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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
AUGUST 27 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

            Equity and financial markets around the world rebounded smartly last week, following the panic selling attack of the prior week.

            The most dramatic reversal was in the Pacific Rim, specifically China. The Hang Seng was up a very impressive 3677 points at one point from the low of the previous week, a 5-day gain of 19%! The Australian All Ordinaries rallied from the low of 5490 just one week ago to a high this past week of 6164, a gain of over 12%. Although percentage-wise the rally was not as great in Japan, the Nikkei nevertheless was up nearly 1000 points from the close of the prior week.

            In Europe, the gains were less impressive, but solid nonetheless. The AEX of the Netherlands rose from a low of 479.49 the prior week to an intraweek high of 521.15. The German DAX rallied from 7190.36 to 7591.52. In England, the FTSE bounced off the low of 5821.70 one week ago to an intraweek high of 6287.20. And in Switzerland, the stock index rose from a low of 8329.63 to a high of 8824.23 in just one week.

            In South America, the gains were almost as impressive as in Hong Kong. The Bovespa of Brazil and the Merval of Argentina both rose more than 16% from the lows of the prior week. In the United States, the rallies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite appreciated their values 6.8 and 7.9% respectively.

            Gold and Silver also leaped upwards last week. December Gold rallied from a low of 652 on August 16 to a high of 678.50 on Friday. After testing the 1100 mark one week ago, September Silver was able to hit 1200 intraday on this past Friday. Much of the precious metals' rally can be attributed to the strength in foreign currencies (or weakness in the U.S. Dollar). The Euro currency surged on Friday, but was generally higher all week. Even Crude Oil sprung back to life. After dropping to 68.63 on Wednesday, it managed to close the week back above 70.00, at 71.09.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

            The major geocosmic signature of significance this week is the total eclipse of the Moon, which takes place Tuesday, August 28. Normally I would think that such a total lunar eclipse could have a powerful impact on financial markets - and it might. But this is the end of the month, and the week leading to the Labor Day holiday in the United States (the following Monday, September 3). If there is an impact, I think it will be short-lived, perhaps lasting only 1-2 days. I would be more focused on the week following Labor Day, when Venus will turn direct.

            There is one other geocosmic study that suggests the next two weeks could be quite dramatic, in spite of the forthcoming holiday. From now through September 3, Mars will form a T-square to Jupiter and Uranus. And immediately after that, the Sun will do the same from September 3 through September 9, perhaps having an impact even into the solar eclipse of September 11. As you will read below, these types of signatures can be very important in both the study of mundane and financial astrology. These signatures should not be taken lightly, for they can coincide with events of a very sudden and unexpected nature.

Long-Term Thoughts :

            All in all, it was a good week for financials and stock markets everywhere, proving once again that if Central Banks want to support these markets, they certainly have the power to do so. Consistent with the Venus retrograde principle, these banks continued to inject much needed cash to shore up the nervous investment community, following the panic selling of the previous week that was caused by a tightening of these credit markets in the face of the recent sub-prime woes.  But are those woes over? Is the bottom in? Technicals would argue that this is so. However, Venus is still retrograde through September 8, and thus "fake outs" are entirely possible. And Venus retrograde, by itself, is not really a "panic" situation. For "panics," you need a combination of Mars, Jupiter, and/or Uranus.

            It just so happens that these types of signatures are still ahead. Now that doesn't mean that we will indeed have a financial panic. It just means the astrological conditions for such a panic are present. But they can manifest in other ways too - like in hurricanes, earthquakes, high winds, and electrical storms that can cause problematic black outs.

            One of the major aspects in effect this year is the Jupiter-Uranus waning square. In earlier columns, as well as in this year's "Forecasts For 2007" book, I pointed out that Jupiter was in Sagittarius almost the entire year, and that had very bullish historical correspondence for stock markets. But 2007 was also a year in which that Jupiter formed three squares to Uranus in Pisces (both mutable signs). Since any major aspect involving Uranus is subject to sharp reversals, and since mutable signs are volatile by nature too, equity markets would therefore be prone to a very deep but short-lasting sell-offs. One of these could be sharp enough to coincide with the 4-year cycle trough, which was due by the end of November 2007. You are seeing the effect of that geocosmic condition now, especially the prior week that ended August 17. And it may not be over, despite the vastly improving technical condition of the market in the past week.

            All of this ties into October 9, when the third and final square between Jupiter and Uranus unfolds. And that is just three days before the third and final conjunction between Venus and Saturn, due to the Venus retrograde phenomenon. These are potent geocosmic indicators.

            The bottom line is that the 4-year cycle trough may have ended August 16-17, but it cannot yet be confirmed. The minimum time and price criteria for that long-term cycle trough were achieved. But both the time band for such an important low is still in effect, and so too are powerful geocosmic signatures that could correlate with another financial panic before the end of November. In the meantime, these same signatures could portend severe weather conditions, especially over the next two weeks.

             Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

             On June 2, 2007, I conducted a one-day workshop on Financial Astrology with Irma Schogt of the Netherlands, in Amsterdam. My focus was on trading the Silver market via the methods outlined in "The Sun, The Noon and the Silver Market" Secrets of a Silver Trader" book. I also gave a presentation on Gold and the geocosmic outlook for the next 5 years, related to economics and politics. A 3-set DVD of this workshop has been created and is now available through October 15 for a special introductory price of $215.00 (Europe) or $225.00 (everywhere else). For information click on the link.

             I will be presenting an all-day workshop on Financial Astrology at the DAV (German Astrological) Congress in Karlsruhe, Germany, October 5. I am looking for a translator for this workshop. If anyone would be interested in attending in return for translating this workshop from my English presentation into German, plus a new copy of the German edition of “Merriman on Market Analysis: The Basics” when it comes out about that time, please contact me at mmacycles@msn.com. The emphasis will be upon stock indices (DJIA and DAX), and Gold and possibly Euro versus US Dollar.

             The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report and the SOS Global Stock Markets Report came out last week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast book for 2008
: The Forecasts for 2008 book can now be pre-ordered at a pre-publication discount rate of $39.95 until October 15. Go to www.mmacycles.com, and click on the banner

           The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : "I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them."

             The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” came out last week . These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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