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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
OCTOBER 22 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

            It was a very significant week after all, particularly on Friday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell a whopping 375 points. A look at many of the world's equity indices will show that the critical reversal date of October 11 was indeed a major reversal from an important crest. That represented the all-time high not only in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, but also the S&P nearby futures, Brazil's Bovespa, and multi-year highs in the Netherlands AEX, German DAX, London FTSE, and NASDAQ Composite. In Argentina, it was a double top to the all-time highs of last July. All-time highs also spilled over into this week in the Pacific Rim and Asian markets, notable the Hang Seng of Hong Kong, Australia's All ordinaries, and India's Nifty Index. However, by the end of this week, many of the European and American markets suffered sharp losses. The losses were heaviest in the American markets, which continued to sell off after the Asian and European markets closed.

            Other markets were also prominent last week. Crude Oil continued its climb to a new record high on Friday by surpassing the $90.00/barrll mark intraday. Just one week ago, as the third and final passage of the square between Jupiter and Uranus took place, Crude Oil was putting in a major cycle trough at 78.35, It's been almost vertical in price since then. Gold also continued soaring. It tested 775.00 on Friday, the highest level since the all-time highs of early 1980. However Silver did not fare so well. After trading above $14.00/ounce on Monday's "Sagittarius Factor," and testing 14,.00 again on Friday, it sold off over 50 cents intraday to close down for the week. The high on Monday was far below its high of even last year, sow we have a developing case of "intermarket bearish divergence." The Euro currency also soared to a new all-time high on Thursday, while the Dollar plunged to a new multi-decade low.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

            As stated in last week's column, "The major planetary cluster in effect was centered on October 11 of last week. It involved the third and final waning square of Jupiter-Uranus (October 9), the Libra new moon and Mercury retrograde station on October 11, and the third and final conjunction of Venus and Saturn on October 13. I would expect that this week's activity would be a reaction to those signatures that peaked last week (or early this week)." Indeed it was in the equity markets, and perhaps Silver as well.

            Last week's column also stated, "For this week, we note the following geocosmic signatures. The "Sagittarius Factor" (Moon in Sagittarius will take place on Monday and Tuesday, coinciding with Venus sextile to Mars on Tuesday. The Sagittarius Factor has a tendency to produce sharp price swings in some financial and commodity markets, like currencies, T-Notes, and Silver." We already pointed out the correlation to the multi-month high in Silver on Monday. But it should also be noted that T-Notes put in their primary cycle trough on Monday at 108/06. By Friday's close, they were at 110/18, one of the sharpest gains in many moons. However, such a big run up in Treasuries, accompanied by a large sell-off in stocks, is a sign that the market is worried. Perhaps we can relieve some of this concern by reminding readers that Mercury is retrograde, October 11 through November 1. It is typically a time of mixed messages from political leaders and economic data, and it oftentimes results in such large price swings and fake outs, especially right around the 9 th calendar day and 9 th trading day, which is this weekend through the middle of next week. We also note that the all-time highs of the stock market occurred with the new moon in Libra, when the lunation in Libra coincides with a high, stock prices can fall sharply into the full moon two weeks later. The full moon occurs this Friday, October 26. I would suspect that if stocks continue down into the end of this week, it might be too much for Bernanke and Paulsen to bear. They may be moved to intervene again. But how ? If they lower interest rates again, the Dollar could crash. Perhaps they have finally reached a point where they are in a corner. But I doubt. Jupiter is still in Sagittarius, a fire sign, and that tends to benefit our two fire sign saviors. They will think of something, for as stated before, they just aren't going to allow a recession or crash to happen on their watch if at all possible. The thing is, we may not hear about what they orchestrate behind the scenes in the next two weeks if the market does continue lower, because this week we also enter the season of Scorpio - sign of secrets and behind-the-scenes activities. I expect this decline to end very soon. As stated in last week's column, "This is a new moon week, and it happens on the day Mercury turns retrograde... between October 8-27, Saturn and the South Node of the Moon will be conjunct. It's possible that worry becomes heavy, and if prices do continue to decline into the following week, they may continue to do so for several more days. But in all likelihood, these signatures suggest that many declining markets will find a bottom by the end of this month, however sharp the decline is."

            We also note that transiting Venus will translate the Jupiter-Uranus square of October 9, from October 25-29. I would expect that to be close to the end of this sharp sell-off, unless prices do fall below the lows of August 16-17.

Long-Term Thoughts :

            There were a couple of news items on the front page of Friday's "Wall Street Journal" which pertain to longer-term geocosmic signatures. The first was headline that stated: "The Senate Intelligence Panel approved a compromise with the White House that would extend some of the president's expanded surveillance powers for six year's." This relates to the forthcoming ingress of Pluto in Capricorn, 2008-2023. In the words of Dr. Geoffrey Stone, law professor at the University of Chicago, "When civil liberties are at stake, there is a regular cycle : fear, repression, and repentance." Pluto in Capricorn pertains to all of these themes.

            The second item, right below the first, stated "France's biggest strike in 12 years crippled the nation's public transport system. The walkout came as President Sarkozy said that he and his wife had divorced." Talk about a bad day! You wake up the day of your divorce and your country's public transportation work force walks off the job. This is a classical Saturn in Virgo event. Virgo rules the work force. Saturn is stoppage, and Mercury retrograde refers to problems in communications and transportation systems. It couldn't be more apropos. Since Saturn is involved, and Mr. Sarkozy is president (Saturn role), chances are he will receive the brunt of the blame for this. Or maybe his ex-wife will, for reasons that I better not speculate upon in this column. But more to the point : Saturn is just beginning its two-year stint in Virgo, and this is the time that the common man - the workers of the world - gain power. They have the power to bring economies to their knees by simply refusing to work if they are not treated better. It is also why I think a Democrat will be the next president of the United States, unless the Republicans can find someone who represents the needs of the middle and working class, and somehow convinces the electorate that this gap between the "haves" and "have nots" can be brought more into line. Otherwise the middle class is in danger of disappearing. Saturn in Virgo is their last stand, and I think they take this primary concern to the election booth on Election Day. If not, then we have the darker side of Saturn in opposition to Uranus (revolt and revolution) to look forward to in 2009-2010. The question is only what form the revolt will take ? Peaceful or violent ? Uranus and Neptune in mutual reception suggests peaceful, which further suggests to me that a very dramatic leadership change is taking place in the November 2008 elections in the U.S.A.

            Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

            The Forecast book for 2008 : is coming out December 15. Written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, it is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2007 is still unfolding, many of the Forecast outlined in this book have already come to pass, including :

- 1) real estate bubble ending ;
- 2) lack of bi-partisan support from Congress for President's military efforts and tax policies ;
- 3) President's lack of cooperation with Congress and the subsequent increase in investigations into his past decisions ;
- 4) President's efforts to increase military activity in Iraq, not decrease, despite special reports advising to the contrary ;
- 5) the economy is not collapsing in 2007 ;
- 6) higher Euro currency prices - at least test of its all-time high, before September 2007 ;
7) Soybeans bullish in 2007, possibly exceeding 900 ;
8) Crude Oil due to bottom early in year and soar to new all-time highs by 2008.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets, which have been impressive in 2007. The cost of this year's book will remain at $45.00. Order before December 10 to be certain that your order goes out in the first delivery.

            The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site.

For more information, go to our website at http://www.mmacycles.com, and read the latest "News" items. This new report will be issued once/month, instead of the previous schedule of 8 times per year.

            My next financial presentations will take place in all day workshops on January 19 and 26 in Cologne, Germany and Basel, Switzerland, respectively. For further information, please go to EVENTS on our web site at www.mmacycles.com . The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles : The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site at www.mma-europe.de.

                        The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

            If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : "I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them."

            The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will came out last week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports, although it will change to a monthly issuance cycle next year, so that the "SOS Global Stock Market Cycles Report" can be increased to a monthly issuance cycle as well. The "MMA Cycles Report" (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

            I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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