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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 14 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.

The Market Week in Review :

It is not as if it is a surprise to Financial Astrologers. After all, we are arguably in the midst of the most potent combinations of geocosmic signatures in a lifetime between March 29 and April 25, as the Sun, Mercury, Mars, Jupiter, Uranus, and Pluto all enter this powerful cardinal grand square configuration, with Mars, Jupiter, Uranus, and Pluto all in 13 degrees of cardinal signs April 20-23. Venus will enter into the same combustible pattern in Mid-May, nearby to the time when Mars goes stationary direct.

This cauldron of scalding energies still has a few more weeks to complete its duty - or fate. However, the middle of this current planetary cluster is taking place right now - April 11-12. What I am referring to is the fundamental shift now unfolding in the political, economic, banking, and financial market realms of the world. I am referring to the complete reversal of the outlook in financial markets that the consensus of economists and investment houses held at the beginning of the year, which exhorted that equities would be up 8-12% this year and interest rates would rise. Our comment at the time was that Uranus was in the middle of its square aspect to Pluto, and in fact in the middle of giant cardinal T-square with Jupiter (that would turn into a grand square with Mars in April). Nothing would go as expected, and there would be powerful reversals in almost every market trend, far beyond what the consensus of analysts thought. Last year (2013) was a rare year when everything went right for those who have a vested interest in suspending the public belief in permanent and everlasting rising markets, healthy economies, and "I-care-about-you" government leaders. 2014 will be a rare year in which everything goes the opposite of their forecasts. You can read all about this phenomenon (and our own Forecasts, which are so far right on), in our Forecast 2014 Book.

Global equity markets were slammed hard last week. This is interesting because the prior week of March 31, we stated that equity markets would not be volatile then, in spite of the new moon conjunct Uranus on March 30, because the Moon (and Sun) were the faster moving planets, and not Uranus. With conjunctions, the dominant planet is the faster moving one. True enough, that week saw stock prices gradually move to new all-time highs in many countries, like in the USA, India, Switzerland, and Argentina, but it wasn't volatile. The volatility, we stated, would start the next week, April 7, when the Sun moved into opposition to Mars, because in oppositions, the stronger planet is the slower moving one, and Mars is volatile. True enough, once again. From their highs of April 4, stock markets around the world began plunging last week. Even the bullish release of the FOMC meeting notes on Wednesday, April 9, didn't help for long. After recovering nearly 200 points that day, the DJIA gave up all that and more the following two days to end the week closer to 16,000, down about 600 points from the high of a week ago. Now several analysts are starting to consider what we had written about in Forecast 2014 - namely, that the U.S. (and many world equity markets) would be due for a 17-50% decline, and very possibly 30-50% from a high that would be completed no later than May 2014.

Now we wait and see if cosmic nature takes this course. Or, will the Federal Reserve Board intervene once again to make sure that does not happen ? One area that suggests that the plunge won't stop this time is Japan. The Nikkei broke below the level that started its current primary cycle ten weeks ago (13,996). According to our cycles' theory, once the market breaks below the level that started a cycle, that cycle turns bearish and the lowest price won't be in until the cycle ends. The top of the longer-term cycle is also suggested then. That means the Nikkei could be in a bear trend for the next 2-12 months before the long-term low is in. Just think of that : if the normal cycle pattern unfolds now (without manipulation or intervention from Central Banks), stocks will drop 17-50% from their April highs in the next 2-12 months, and quite possibly 30-50%. Last week's behavior in the Japanese Nikkei suggests the decline has now started. Yet Uranus is still square to Pluto, and as we have seen, that signature has concurred with historic market manipulation and intervention. Is it finally over ? Or is there more of that to go under new Fed Chair Janet Yellen ? Here is her first real challenge to reality in her new role, as transiting Saturn squares her Sun - an aspect of stress and pressure. What to do - and still be loved - the eternal dilemma for Leos like Ms. Yellen. And if her chart is not concern enough, one should look at the transiting grand square touching off the Moon-Mars square in the natal chart of ECB president Mario Draghi. Central Bankers are about to take a hit. One wants to move abruptly and boldly, while the other wants to wait and see. It is like riding a bicycle built for two, where one has his foot on the pedal and the other has her foot on the brake. If they are not careful, they will clash or crash.

How has this affected Gold and Silver and other commodities ? So far, it has been bullish. Gold was strong last week, and so were Crude Oil and Soybeans. The dollar was weak, which is good and bad. It is good for commodities, but not so good for some currencies like the Euro, which once again is testing the 1.4000 mark. The problem here is that these other world markets (other than the USA) are on the verge of plunging into deflation (Europe, China) if their currencies don't come down. They risk losing market share in world trade, and worse, entering into recessions. Maybe that is what the markets are looking at. The G20, IMF, and World Bank meetings and subsequent announcements this week are probably going to result in more volatility over the next two weeks, as Mars will approach its opposition to Uranus, and Jupiter its opposition to Pluto. That makes Uranus and Pluto especially strong right now (they are the slower moving planets in the oppositions, so they assume more dominance). Of the entire June 2012-March 2015 period involving seven passages of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, this is no doubt this passage will be the most indicative of its particular message relevant to cycles in human activity.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Our best trade of the week in the weekly subscription report was in the NASDAQ E-Mini futures (NQM), which advised , "Aggressive traders are flat and may now sell short at 3590 +/- 10, with a stop-loss on a close above 3670". The high of the week was 3599.50 on Thursday morning. The close on Friday was 3444. Or, it may have been in Crude Oil, which advised , "Position traders are flat and may go long 100.50 +/- .15, with a stop-loss on a close below 97.37. Aggressive traders are flat and may also buy at 100.50 +/- .15, but with a stop-loss on a close below 98.80". The low was 99.92 and it closed at 103.74 after touching 104.44 during the day on Friday, its highest level in over a month.

Our best trades on the daily reports were in stock indices. Wednesday's daily report for the DJIA stated, "Position traders are flat and may sell short at 16,440 +/- 15, with a stop-loss on a close above 16,631. Our target is still below 16,000. Aggressive traders are flat and may do the same". The high of that day was 16,439 and it closed the week at 16,026. For June S&P E-Mini contract, Wednesday's report advised, " Position traders are still flat and may sell short at 1865 +/- 2.50 with a stop-loss on a close above 1892. Aggressive traders are flat and may do the same as position traders". The high that day was 1866.50. It went to 1867.50 the next day and then closed the week at 1811.75. We nailed the highs in both markets. It doesn't get any better than that.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term and Longer-Term Geocosmics :  

This is the middle of the March 29-April 25 time band containing the most potent geocosmic signatures (15 of them) of the year, possibly of a lifetime. On Monday, April 14, Pluto will be stationary, turning retrograde. This of course highlights the principles of Pluto, which include power grabs, coercion, more violence on the part of individuals going berserk with guns in their possession, threats to both crops and human lives, and tax reforms. The positive aspects include reforms that the majority consents to (as opposed to changes made unilaterally by world leaders without the consent of their people or representatives, which is the negative side of this signature). The next day, April 15, is the lunar eclipse, referred in this instance as part of a "Blood Moon" sequence, referring to the fact that there are 4 total lunar eclipses (which is irregular because there are usually partial lunar eclipses in the sequence) in succession in 2014-2015. Some astrologers are making a big deal about this because :
1°) it correlated with the discovery of America when it happened in 1492-1493 and
2°) it has some correlation with major events in Jewish history and it is now taking place during the Jewish Passover season. In my opinion, the so-called "Blood Moons" or "Lunar Tetrad" as this phenomenon is also called, is a minor factor in comparison to the planetary aspects taking place right now.
If something big happens now (and it is), the "Blood Moons" only add a little more weight to the already very weighty intensity of the Mars-Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto cardinal grand square at 13 degrees of cardinal signs, hitting right on personal planets in the charts of the USA, China, Russia, and Vladimir Putin. The last time we had these planets in a grand cardinal square was August 31, 1931 and December 18, 1933, just to give you an idea of how rare this is (thank you to colleague Daniel Gordon for that excellent piece of research he shared with me, going back a couple thousand years, www.xstarian.com). Blood Moon sequences, on the other hand, will occur 8 different times in this century.

Venus will trine Jupiter on April 17, which provides a brief window of harmony as well as gainful social and financial opportunity within one day, a respite before the actual grand cardinal square reaches its apex April 20-23. Do as much as you can that needs to be done successfully April 16-17. These Venus/Jupiter trine days are known as "Law of Abundance Days" for those who are spiritually inclined and want to meditate and visualize/pray for love, or abundance in anything. Yes, I know it sounds crazy to those who are so practical and scientific-minded, like I am 99% of the time. But so does the idea of a missing Malaysian airline without some pre-conceived motive, or the suppression and denial of so many conservative non-profit applications during the election of 2012 without even "…a smidgen of IRS corruption". I plead "the fifth" for why I share these thoughts with you. At least I share them.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

Will resume next week.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             We are pleased to announce that very soon, we will be posting our weekly columns in India. MMA-India will be directed by MMTA Apprentice Nitin Bhandari, and will include subscription services to all of our reports, as well as availability of all of our books. We will keep our readers from India informed as progress is made on this new initiative.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes, "You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right…

             Course 5 of the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) was a great success ! This course, titled "Trading and Investing Planning: Combining Market Timing Studies and Price Objective Calculations", was held March 24-27, 2014, in Troy, Michigan. This course focused on several topics. The first was the development of a weekly and daily trading plan, based on cycles, geocosmic signatures, and solar-lunar combinations. Real-time strategies took place every morning and at the end of the trading day. Then, longer-term market cycles, longer-term planetary cycles, and calculations of price objective targets for long-term cycle tops and bottoms, along with their patterns and sub-cycles were addressed. From there, the lessons moved into intermediate- and shorter-term price calculations. The DVD and LMS (on line version) of the course will be available at the end of April, via www.merrimanmta.com. The cost of this 4-day course is $3600.

             MMTA Course 6 will take place June 2-5, 2014, also at the Michigan State University Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. This course will focus on short-term calculations of daily and weekly support/resistance, and trading plans to go with it. These plans will combine our knowledge of market timing tools, including cycles, geocosmic critical reversal dates, and solar-0lunar combinations. For more information, please call 1-248-626-3034, or visit the MMTA website.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com , or call 1-248-626-3034.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             April 10, 2014 : Ann Arbor, MI. "Financial Astrology Workshop - Gold, Silver, and the Stock Market", with Raymond Merriman, 1:00 - 6:00 PM. This is a pre-seminar to the GLAC - Great Lakes Astrology Conference, which takes place April 11-13 and features several well-known professional astrologers. For more information, or call 1-734-434-0804.

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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