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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 16 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : Markets in the USA will be closed on Monday, February 16, in observance of President's Day.

There will be no weekly column next week, as I will be preparing for Saturday's worldwide webinar on "The State of Financial Markets", as we complete the Cardinal Climax and Uranus/Pluto square. You can still sign up to join this 2-hour live webinar until 3:00 PM on Friday, February 20. For more info, go to www.mmacycles.com.

Review and Preview :

Happy Valentine's Day to everybody, and Happy President's Day to those living in the USA.

The markets seemed to be in a holiday spirit last week, despite all the troubles engulfing the world, from Russia and the Ukraine to Europe, from the revolution suddenly engulfing Yemen where US Marines were ordered to give up their weapons, from Greece demanding wartime reparations (again) for German War Crimes committed in World War II, to the continuation of terror threats from ISIS in Syria and Iraq, and now into Egypt and the Arabian Peninsula, to Iran and the USA trying to crunch out an agreement in the next 4 weeks to stop the next nuclear bomb from being created that would be an existential threat to Israel, to ex-IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn testifying in a French court that the sex parties he was active in over the years were because "I have an extremely hectic life and these parties were sessions of leisure, like decompression valves". (Wall Street Journal, February 11). Yes, we can all use decompression valves to cope with the stress of these hectic Uranus-Pluto days.

Despite all those troubles and "Walls of Worry" plaguing the world, stocks indices were mostly positive last week, with several either testing or making new multi-year highs.

In Europe, the German DAX soared to another new all-time high on Friday as it crossed the 11,000 barrier for the first time. The Netherlands AEX shot up to 406.06, its highest level since June 2008. The London FTSE rallied to 6887, just shy of its 15-year high at 6904 back on September 3, 2014. The laggard was Zurich's SMI index, which rallied to 8665, but that is well shy of its 9292 mark of January 13, just before the Swiss National Bank de-pegged the Swiss Franc from the Euro currency. Russia's MICEX index also did very well, climbing to 1839, which is up over 58% from its long-term cycle low of 1182 in January 2014, but still a little short of its all-time high of 1970 made in December 2007. Apparently many money managers think Russia is a favorable place to invest, despite all the threats of western economic sanctions. It makes you wonder what is really going on there - or here.

In the Far East, the Australian ASX index soared to 5850 on Friday, its highest level since May 2008. The Japanese Nikkei edged above 18,000 briefly on Thursday, February 12, testing its 7-year high of 18,030 made in December 2014. Indices in China, Hong, Kong, and India rallied the last 4 days of last week, but each is still off its all-time highs, especially in Hong Kong, which is the weakest of the three.

In South America, both Brazil's Bovespa and Argentina's Merval indices were up last week, but well off their yearly highs. In the USA, the NASDAQ Composite soared to its highest level since its all-time high of March 2000. The S&P made a new all-time high, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell slightly short, for a possible case of intermarket bearish divergence.

Gold and Silver exhibited a case of intermarket bullish divergence last week, as Gold fell to 1216.50 on February 11, but Silver held above its prior week's low of 1654. By Friday, Silver was up as high as 1743 and Gold tested 1235, but closed back below 1230. Crude bounced back and forth over the $50/00/barrel mark, finding resistance in the 53-55 zone, which is close to 20% above its low of 43.58 recorded two weeks ago on January 29.

Altogether, it was not too bad for a week that saw the end of the first Mercury retrograde in air signs for this year. Now we can prepare for the biggest gathering of notable geocosmic signatures of the year, which will take place February 22-March 16. March 16 will also mark the end of the Uranus/Pluto waxing square sage that has been in effect since June 24, 2012. That in turn will also mark the end of the main body of the Cardinal Climax, which has been in effect since January 2007. To which we say : "Hallelujah!".

Best Trades of the Past Week :

The only new position initiated in the weekly report was in Gold for aggressive traders, which advised, "If not long, look to get long this week, ideally 1210-1225 if offered". The low of the week was 1216.50 on Wednesday, February 11. By Friday, it was testing 1235.

There were several new trades initiated in the daily reports. The best may have been last Friday in Silver, which for aggressive traders stated, " "You can still buy them back on a decline to 1650 +/- 10 if offered". The low that day was 16.54. It closed last week at 1727. The daily report of February 11 also advised Gold traders, "If not in, look to buy at 1215-1221 with a stop-loss on a close below xxxx. You may also buy if Gold or Silver take out Friday's low, but not both". Both of those conditions were met that day.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Mercury is now out of retrograde motion as of February 11. The next time band with an abundance of meaningful geocosmic signatures (for financial markets) takes place February 22 through March 16. For this week, we note that Venus and Mars will both enter Aries, February 19 and 20, on their way to conjoining one another on February 22. Mars belongs in Aries - it rules Aries - so that would favor those who are assertive, even aggressive. It may indicate new military battles. But Venus is not so comfortable in Aries, for Venus likes peace, love, and agreements. Mars and Aries prefer combat and opportunities to exhibit bravery and courage. Together, they do not bode well for peace agreements, but rather favor those who have a military advantage. It is sort of like saying : "I want us to agree to do as I wish". If not, then as the huge geocosmic time band begins to unfold later this week, this approach may turn more aggressive and combative. On the other hand, this aspect is favorable for passion and the type of "decompression" experiences preferred by Strauss-Kahn. Come to think of it, who doesn't like to decompress ? Under Venus and Mars, I think we will see a lot more decompression taking place.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

"Mr. Axelrod describes how that idealistic flame ignited early in his life at the age of five. He was taken to a John F. Kennedy campaign rally in New York City, where he says he 'somehow' absorbed the message 'we are masters of our future, and politics is the means by which we shape it". - Believer : My Forty Years in Politics", by David Axelrod, from book review titled "The Handmaid's Tale", Daniel Henninger, Wall Street Journal, Bookshelf, February 10, 2015.

"Ronald Reagan understood this when he said 'I hope we have once again reminded people that man is not free unless government is limited. There is a clear cause and effect here that is as neat and predictable as a law of physics. As government expands, liberty contracts.'" - Scott Kaufmann, Kansas City, MO "Keynes Day Came and Has Passed", Wall Street Journal, Letters to the Editor, February 12, 2015.

We are in a time of great transition on whatever level you want to view it. From the point of view of a Financial and/or Mundane Astrologer, this is certainly true as you view the solar system, and Earth's placement in it. From January 2008 through March 16, 2015, the period known as "The Cardinal Climax" unfolded, in which Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto all moved into a hard aspect with one another, and mostly from within cardinal signs. The last time that happened was 1928-1934. Thus, this "7-Years of Tribulation" (actually 7 years, 2 months) comes to an end in one month.

It ends when the last of this planetary trio completes its powerful 33-month long waxing square. That would be Uranus in Aries square Pluto in Capricorn, June 24, 2012 through March 16, 2015. The end of this the iron-man dance coincides with the end of the 7-year Cardinal Climax. Soon, we will "transition out" of these two cosmic storms. We will have survived - but we are each different now than we were before that collective initiation.

However, there is another cosmic high pressure front just starting. Saturn is now in a 315 semi-square aspect to Pluto, and 215 sesquiquadrate aspect to Uranus. In other words, Saturn, Uranus and Pluto are once again in hard aspect to one another, November 27, 2014 through most of 2015. Even though Uranus and Pluto end their exact square on March 16, they will remain within a one-degree orb to one another even into the end of 2015. So what does that mean ? It means we get many of the same dynamics experienced in the summer of 2010 through mid-2011. This includes the first Greek bailout that threatened the very existence of the Euro Union, the re-set of the quantitative easing program (QE II) when everyone thought it was going to end and which started the currency wars where each nation began the race to become the world's cheapest currency. It was also the beginning of the middle class savers flight into financial misery that push-forced them into speculative stocks, which gave rise to a whole universe of ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds). Investing became highly technical, and speed suddenly mattered - a lot.

Everyone thinks that the U.S., economy is strong and getting better, while Europe, China, and Russia are weakening, and that this will continue. Everyone thinks that deflation will rule the day, despite the pledge by Central Banks everywhere to generate inflation. What makes them think the Central Banks won't succeed in this goal ? They get whatever they wish. If they wish inflation, they won't stop until they get it. But can they then stop that when and as they wish, with Saturn (loss) in Sagittarius (freedom) ? Maybe, but I don't think "when" they wish. Once a force starts, it is hard to stop, until new rules take hold. It takes time for rules to affect a change in mass (collective) behavior. Even more startling may be the erosion (Saturn) of liberties (Sagittarius) as government (Saturn) grows (Sagittarius) much faster than anyone expected. Furthermore, Jupiter (expansion) will be in a difficult square aspect to Saturn (contraction) by mid-2015, which doubly highlights these principles. You know it won't be easy.

But back to the economy. Despite the growth of government in 2008-2014, the stock market rallied as interest rates stayed low. But economic policies are in a state of transition now, too. The Fed has stopped its monthly QE purchase programs. And its ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) is supposedly coming to an end (really? I don't believe it yet). As this happens in the USA, Europe and Japan have embarked upon new massive QE programs for their own nations' economies. As this new trend has started, the Dollar has gained in strength and is no longer considered dangerously weak. The Euro, Yen, and Ruble are rapidly taking over that distinction, which is all a part of the transition now unfolding in 2015, just as reflected in the symbolism of the planets in their angular relationships to one another and with Earth.

This is a cosmically powerful time, especially now through March, but to some extent, all year and even into 2016 when Saturn will square Neptune, which is a whole other story that needs to be told... next time, next week, in the February 21, 2015 webinar (see below).

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             A new YouTube video introducing the Merriman Market Timing Academy may now be viewed at youtube, or download it.

             The 2015 world wide Webinar on "The State of Financial Markets" will take place at 5:00 PM, EST, on February 21, 2015. Australians - you will be able to join us !. It will be a 2-hour discussion on the outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Interest Rates, and the U.S. Dollar, presented by Raymond Merriman. All you need is a computer, internet, and speakers to participate. The cost is $45.00. This registration via MMA's website will be set up shortly. In the meantime, you may register by calling MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or email Amber at ordersmma@gmail.com.

             Our colleague and friend Larry Schwimmer of San Francisco will be offering a live webinar on February 28, 2015, titled "Secrets to Rapidly Growing Your Astrology Business Using 7 Proven Marketing Techniques". If you are a professional consulting astrologer, this webinar could be very valuable. For more information, contact Larry at schwimmer@me.com, or call 415-999-5888. Tell him you heard about it here.

             What's Next ??? Now that the 2008-2015 Cardinal Climax will wind down in early 2015, what is the next great challenge awaiting humanity ?.

Copies of MMA's 2015 Forecast Book are still available (less than 100 left)!!! And the early reviews are very positive. It is available in both paper and electronic formats. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! In the words of Michael St. Clair, Gold expert and author of "Light Seeds", who was sent a pre-publication draft, "What an achievement, I was always impressed how you wrap it up. Yours is a really advanced master arts craft. For some reason, I feel this is your most important book ever. Your speech about America is very spot on. And I even agree with most of it". Financial analyst Garrett Jones of "Observations" Financial Report also commented, " I just received your Forecast for 2015.  What a masterpiece!"

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. No other book has informed and prepared readers for the Cardinal Climax period of 2008-2015 as precisely as Raymond Merriman's annual Forecast book. No other book has guided readers through this turbulent period since it began in 2008. In 2015, the saga of the Cardinal Climax reaches the conclusion of its central time band. This is a book, with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February 21, 2015 : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Preparing for the Post-Cardinal Climax - An Outlook of Financial Markets and World Economics". Cost is $45.00. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.

             August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will be discussing trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Cost is $3000-4000, depending on cut-off dates for applicants. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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