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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 18 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

It was a very interesting week, ending with the pressure-packed Mars/Saturn opposition, in Gemini, the sign of communications. Against this ceiling of resistance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied to close the week on its high at 18,272, and only 16 points from its all-time high of 18,288 registered on March 2, just one day before the second Jupiter/Uranus trine passage. The third and final passage of this wildly expansive duo will take place on June 22. Will that too coincide with another new all-time high within one week, from which stocks decline sharply, as they did the previous two times ?.

We may have a case of intermarket bearish divergence developing between the S&P (which made a new all-time high Friday) and the NASDAQ, which fell well short of a new all-time high. Dow Theory already points to a case of bearish divergence in USA stocks. Friday's CNBC story reported the following: " So far in 2015, the Dow Transportation Average is down 6 percent compared with an increase of 2 percent for the Dow Industrials, a rise of 3 percent for the S&P 500 and a gain of 6 percent for the Nasdaq Composite .That divergence, to some investors, may be canary in a coal mine for a potential significant decline ahead". CNBC, "Dow Theory Gives Warning Signal Again", Giovanny Moreano, May 15, 2015.

Most indices bounced back from their monthly lows of the prior week, but none (other than S&P) made new all-time highs.

Precious metals were strong all week after making major cycle troughs the week before. By the end of last week, both Gold and Silver were making new highs for this primary cycle.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There is an old adage regarding the trading of stocks that goes, "Sell in May and go away".

According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, ". since 1950, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has had an average return of only 0.3% during the May-October period, compared with an average gain of 7.5% during the November-April period" : www.investopedia.com.
That may be true this year too, as we head to a powerful geocosmic critical reversal zone in late May, coinciding with the midpoint of the Mercury retrograde period (May 19-June 11), or May 30. In the past two cases, primary bottoms fell very close to the Mercury retrograde midpoint (October 15 and February 2). This retrograde, like the previous one, takes place entirely with Mercury in an air sign. The previous time it was in Aquarius, this time Gemini. It is a time when new ideas come about. They are smart, but usually do not work out as intended. This time it might be different because while Mercury is in an air sign the entire time, the Sun will be in Taurus, an earth sign, when it starts on May 19. There is some practicality combined with this intelligence. New ideas could end up working, especially since Jupiter will trine Uranus right afterwards (June 22). It suggests success with new and innovative ideas, if they are also well thought out, especially involving trade (Jupiter) and technology (Uranus). However, as far as equity markets are concerned, the odds for a sharp crack into, or right after, this period are still greater than usual. With the Sun conjunct Mars on June 14, we need to be alert of a 10% or greater reversal in stocks that begins within one month of that date.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

"Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday (May 15) decried recently proposed legislation that would limit the U.S. central bank's lending authority during a financial crisis, adding to the recent criticism of the bill's sponsor, Sen. Elizabeth Warren. The Bailout Prevention Act-a bipartisan bill introduced Wednesday (May 13) - would seek to curb risk-taking from large banks by removing some of the Fed's ability to bail them out. In a blog post, Bernanke contended the measure would "imprudently limit the Fed's ability to protect the economy" and prevent contagion from firms' failure.

"Bernanke's criticism of Warren's bill comes as the outspoken senator butts heads with President Barack Obama over trade policy. She has repeatedly criticized the Obama-backed fast-track trade promotion authority (TPA) for international trade negotiations". - CNBC.com, Jacob Promuck, May 15, 2015.

I began to think about this Mars/Saturn opposition of Friday, May 15, and Sun-Saturn opposition one week later on May 22, both in the first degree of mutable signs Gemini and Sagittarius. This has a quality of strong debates, arguments, and even disagreements where both sides are convinced they are right, and neither backs down. The fact that Saturn is retrograde and preparing to re-enter the sign of Scorpio again on June 14 for three months, may coincide with an environment of combat (Mars/Saturn opposition), strong political differences (Sun/Saturn opposition), and a mixture of politics and banking powers (Saturn in Scorpio, Federal Reserve Bank).

Then I noticed the above-quoted story on CNBC.com, about Bernanke challenging this outspoken woman, after Obama did the same when she headed a strong offensive against his "fast-track" trade policy earlier in the week. According to www.reuters.com, May 12, "Under fast-track, the U.S. Congress can approve or reject trade deals such as the TPP deal, but it cannot amend the contents of the pact, a centerpiece of Obama's strategy to counter China's rising economic and diplomatic clout in Asia... Obama's aggressive defense of fast-track has put him at odds with the left wing of the Democratic Party, pitting him against Senator Elizabeth Warren, a leading liberal voice". She lost this vote a day later.

I began to wonder about this woman who is suddenly at odds with not only the leader of her own party and the country, President Obama, but also the former chair of the world's most powerful banking institution, the Federal Reserve Board. Who is this woman who dares to take such a position ? Why is she in the public light right now ? Her fight to stop the "fast track" trade bill failed by a very large 65-33 margin. However, was that a failure, or a turning point towards greater public (some say populist) support, from a public that wants a strong, fresh voice that is not afraid to voice her concerns - their concerns - even if it conflicts with the more powerful political establishments ?.

Senator Elizabeth Warren was born June 22, 1949 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Her time of birth is unknown (by me), but through an astrological technique known as rectification, astrologer Lynn Haynes (www.astrodynamics.net) has deduced a birth time of 1:15 PM. The chart for that time certainly seems to fit the little of her that I know. Except, that she is in the news right now for adopting positions that both President Obama and Federal Reserve Board Chair Ben Bernanke were sharply critical of last week.

On her date of birth (regardless of time), the Sun and Uranus were in conjunction at 0-1º Cancer. This falls right on the USA natal Venus in the July 2, 1776 chart that I use (see Forecast 2015 Book). This is also President Obama's natal Venus, and the Federal Reserve Board's natal Pluto (opposite Sun at 1º Capricorn). In the first two cases (Warren and Obama), there is a great love from the population to them (they are both popular), and a great love from them of their country. They love their country (despite what opponents might say), and the country returns that love to them (they keep winning the popular vote). If you were to ask me what Warren's chances are of becoming the President of the USA based on her natal chart, I would say the same as they were of Barack Obama when he ran in 2008. Natally, his Venus conjuncts the USA Venus, an aspect of much love and support. Natally, Senator Warren's Sun conjuncts the USA Venus. This is another aspect of love and support. Warren and Obama have a deep regard and support of one another too. They have strong bases of support. Both also have a string Moon/Pluto square. Both want to fundamentally transform/reform whatever system they are in. That is their nature. With Warren, it is banking (Taurus Moon). With Obama, it is thought and communications Gemini Moon. Their obsession with transforming/reforming brings them conflict and challenge.

Could she make such a decision to run for president ? Why not ? Her Sun conjuncts Uranus. She can decide what is right (for her, for the situation) in an instance. She is not attached to anything as much as to the idea of progress and advancement of humanity, of reaching the potential of possibilities that in her view would benefit the world, or at least the masses. It is a signature of patriotic equalitarianism, given to moments of sudden inspiration and complete awe.

She has three interesting and related periods of sudden changes in her life direction between 2008-2016. The first was 2008-2011, when Uranus crossed into 0º Aries, square to her Sun/Uranus (and Pluto opposed them). It was after the financial crisis of 2008 that she served as chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel, created to oversee the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). In 2011, she decided to run for Senate in Massachusetts. She won the next year against a popular incumbent, Scott Brown. Then, the recent solar eclipse of March 20, 2015 was very near 0º Aries again, square her Sun/Uranus. That time band of influence started about three months before, and will last for the next one-four years. She could try a run for president. And finally, when Saturn and Neptune both cross 0º Aries in 2025-26. If not to run for president now, then perhaps in 2024.

The other point of interest here (to me) is her natal Mars/Mercury conjunction in 9-11º Gemini. This correlates with her fiery, outspoken rhetoric, as well as her very sharp mind. This is interesting right now because Neptune is at 9º Pisces (in square aspect). Neptune is starting to prepare for its retrograde at this point on June 11 - the same day Mercury turns direct. To make a long story short (and with Neptune square Mars/Mercury in Gemini, it would be a very long story), the next few weeks, and next two years will likely challenge Senator Warren's credibility and standing in her own party. Neptune has the capacity to start, or be the victim of, rumors that are not necessarily accurate. Think of what happened to Obama (the series of scandals) when Neptune entered into a T-square with his Moon/Pluto, late 2012 and still in force until the end of this year. If she makes certain her own words are accurate, and she stands by her positions, then she can weather this period and come out very strong. It is a test of one's character, and even virtue, where honor is concerned. If she can't, then her influence melts like ice on a hot stick. Get ready Senator Warren : you won't believe what will start to come your way now. It has already started. the President and the Fed.

To be continued (next week).

PERSONAL EXPERIENCES

It was surreal. Spain was surreal, and so was Barcelona. But then, I should have known it would be surreal when you consider that the location of this special gathering I participated in was in Madremanya, just outside Barcelona, and near the home/castle/museum of Salvador Dali. Dali, as many know, was the leader of the Surrealist movement in art. So much happened last week that it will take me weeks to digest. But one (of several) of the wonderful things was attending a unique conference of Gold experts and people with various intelligence backgrounds who presented their rendition of the future for the world economy and politics. I will try to find the space to write about this in a not-too-distant column.

Announcements :

             The pre-subscription bonus issue of the new MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be launched this week!!! The regular monthly report of this new market advisory service will commence the first week of June and will include 9 markets, written by a select group of top graduates from MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy). Each monthly issue will contain an in-depth analysis of the markets that were most requested from a survey sent out to 1000 readers of the first three complimentary issues, and then a follow up last week. These markets that will be analyzed on a regular monthly basis, starting in June will include: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index, and Natural Gas (NG) and either Corn (C) or Wheat (W) and possibly both. Please note that there will be a special report on Bitcoin in this week's bonus issue to new subscribers. However, it will not be covered afterwards. Instead, the ICR will give monthly analysis on the six markets listed above, plus the U.S. Dollar Index, Natural Gas, Corn and/or Wheat, based on your replies last week. For those who subscribe for this new service by this week, a bonus issue will be released on May 6, covering the XAU, ASX, and the British Pound (and Bitcoin). For a limited time only (until June 6), a special 10% discount introductory subscription rate will be offered to this new report. To receive your bonus copy of ICR on May 6, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/the-new-mmta-international-cycles-report-is-coming!!!-/ or www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down the opening page. Sign up now and save big bucks !.

             What's Next ??? Get ready! The new book on "Trading the Gold Market : Solar-Lunar Correlations to Price Reversals" is now being written and due out within six months. This book will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 4% or greater reversals, and how to trade it. This book will be a very valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Written by Raymond Merriman. More details later.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 20, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economics". one Time in June : By popular demand, a second Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Update of Financial Markets and the World Economic and Political Situation for the Last Half of 2015". With another Q&A session at the end. Cost is $45.00. Attendance is limited again to 100 people. The last one sold out, so sign up ASAP to reserve your place in this presentation.
MP4 recordings will be available three days afterwards for those unable to attend the live webinar. The speech will begin at 2:00 PM, EST. That is 11:00 AM in the Los Angeles and San Francisco, 7:00 PM in London, 8:00 PM in Zurich and Frankfort, and 6:00 AM in Australia (NSW). It will last about two hours with a 20-minute Question and Answer period at the end. The topics - forecasts - to be discussed include the world and national economy for the second half of 2015, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets to be discussed will include Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar.

Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.

             August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will be discussing trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Cost is $3000-4000, depending on cut-off dates for applicants. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up.

             October 6-10 or 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - a Symposium of Forecasting. The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. More details later, at www.isarastrology.com.

            December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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