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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 1 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

It is now the middle of Mercury retrograde (May 30). It is a time in which we seek to identify any market that did not reverse around the time that the retrograde began (May 19), as a candidate for a reversal now.

For instance, one can look at the Japanese Nikkei Index as an example. It did not reverse around May 19, but instead kept marching to new 15-year highs as of Thursday, May 28. According to this principle, the Nikkei could be making an important high right here. The same can be said for the Chinese Shanghai stock index, which made a new 7-year high of 4986 on Thursday May 28, but then fell sharply on Friday to a low of 4431.

In the USA, it was a mixed bag last week (typical Mercury retrograde). The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P made their all-time highs as Mercury turned retrograde on May 19. But the NASDAQ kept rallying into May 28. Then the DJIA dropped to a new weekly low on Friday, May 29, but the NASDAQ and S&P did not. Gold and Silver also made a high within a day of the Mercury retrograde on May 19, and continued to fall into May 28 as Mercury began its 12-day trek through heliocentric Sagittarius. This is usually a very wild time for metals and other markets. However, it may be curtailed somewhat this time, for the last half of Mercury in retrograde tends to see smaller and smaller daily price ranges.

Typical of Mercury retrograde, most financial markets are exhibiting a pattern of reversals every 1-4 days. If you like trading in short spurts (I do), then this is a good environment for your trading approach. If you are a position trader trying to keep a clear perspective on the market direction, then your mind probably feels more like it is in a ping pong battle.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

"Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements". Article 50, Treaty of Lisbon, on why the members of the Euro Union cannot force Greece out of the EU. Only Greece can take itself out of the EU.
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Withdrawal_from_the_European_Union).

"Rules are made to be broken". Proverb.

This is a very noteworthy geocosmic time. If things seem to be a little disorganized and communication seems to be unclear or even contradictory, do not worry. This is all related to the middle of Mercury retrograde - more so than usual, because Mercury retrograde is happening in an air sign, which correlates with Mercury the Trickster being especially erratic, even if at the same time rather brilliant. However, as far as trading goes, it can coincide with sudden changes of sentiment and short-term bursts of price swings.

Yet something big is quietly starting to unfold in the cosmos, and this is likely to be reflected as something big unfolding in the field of finances and politics. We know that Greece will have a series of massive debt payments come due this week, and we know that Greece cannot afford to make these payments. But contrary to many opinions, Greece cannot and will not be thrown out of the Eurozone. There will be no "Grexit", unless Greece chooses to leave.

According to Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon, which governs the EU, no member can be thrown out of the Eurozone. There is only one way to exit via this treaty, and that is by the choice of each country only. Withdrawal from the European Union is a right of European Union (EU) member states under Treaty on European Union (Article 50), which states, "Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements".

Greece can choose to leave the EU whenever she wants, but Greece cannot be forced to leave against her will. The same is true with Germany. Thus, it is more likely that Germany would leave the Euro Union before Greece, since essentially, Germany - more than anyone else - is on the hook for Greece's debt. Furthermore, many people in Germany (and France and Netherlands) share opinions similar to Senator Elizabeth Warren when it comes to distrust for the power of central banks, financial institutions, and multinational corporations. One wonders how long they (especially Germany) will stay in the Euro Union if other entities expect them to keep picking up the debts of their fiscally (and perhaps morally) challenged siblings.

Therefore, it is likely that this can will be kicked down the road once again by the members of the Eurozone. In fact, it is possible that this drama will continue until 2025-2026 when Saturn and Neptune will cross 0º Aries together. In other words, something will be worked out shortly that no one is really happy with, and leads the matter a little closer to an ultimately sour ending.

This global financial drama is also part of the "incubation" effect of Pluto as part of the 2008-2015 Cardinal Climax. Pluto in Capricorn at the center of the Cardinal Climax suggested there would be a financial crisis. However, decisions were made that seemed to resolve that crisis, but in reality, probably only delayed it. The world is not in less debt due to the decisions of central bankers during that 7-year period. To the contrary, the nations of the world are in more debt and require a rise in inflation to help bring them out of this crisis. But, will they be able to tame the forces of inflation once they really get underway ? We will know shortly, within the next 1-5 years I think (Saturn/Neptune square in 2015-2016 and Saturn/Pluto conjunct in 2020).

Right now, all this is building up to the approaching Sun/Mars conjunction on June 14. This combative, war-like aspect is taking place in late Gemini, sign of communication. There are likely to be harsh words and many stinging allegations, especially given that along the way, both the Sun and Mars will also be forming a square to Neptune, queen of deceit, deception, gossip, and rumor-mongering (that is, when not engaged in purely altruistic, self-sacrificing, and ascetic pursuits). Thus, we may see many unenforceable threats being made, but all Greece needs to do is... nothing, which of course, angers others who are owed by Greece.

As far as trading is concerned, though, the Sun/Mars conjunction has an above-average correlation to 10% or greater reversal in the U.S. stock market when they are within 8% of exactness, or within one month of June 11.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

"Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism towards the gold standard". - Alan Greenspan, 1966, from "The Big Reset : War on Gold and the Financial Endgame", Willem Middlekoop, Amsterdam University Press, 2014.

Even the geocosmic climate just described above is a prelude to an even bigger cosmic development looming ahead that could radically affect Gold prices. On August 11, 2015, Jupiter will enter the sign of Virgo. This will begin a three-year period where, historically, Gold and Silver have made their greatest moves with the greatest amount of volatility.

As many of you know, I am currently working on a new edition of The Gold Book : "Geocosmic Correlations to Gold Price Cycles". This particular volume is on the solar-lunar correlations of 4% or greater reversals, and 3% or greater daily moves (which is large for one day in Gold, but it happens often enough to try to know when).

The data for this current work is derived from 10,114 days of daily trading in Gold between December 31, 1974 and April 16, 2015, or 40+ years. However, as a prelude, I applied these same criteria to all the planets in all signs, and compared it to the baseline results (all planets in all signs using every day of trading over this 40-year period). The results are quite surprising.

What struck me most was the very strong correlation of Jupiter in the consecutive signs of Virgo, Libra, and Scorpio. Of all 12 signs of the zodiac, these were the top three in terms of 4% reversals in Gold prices, and the percentage of days in which the daily range was at least 3%. The results of the study group ranged between 20 and 100% above the norm, or expectation.

What does this imply ? For one thing, it implies that Gold prices are likely to make a very large price moves during this time. For another, it usually means substantial changes in banking policies will be taking place. It can also reflect an increase in social/global unrest, as well as big moves in the U.S. Dollar versus other currencies.

For us, this is shaping up to be a very exciting time for trading precious metals again. It is also shaping up to be a turning point in terms of social chaos. Change is coming, and maybe this time order comes out of the chaos, as practical solutions to long-standing problems are introduced.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             The first subscription issue of the new MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be launched this week!!! This will be the last week in which a special 10% discount introductory subscription rate will be offered for this new report. Each monthly issue will contain an in-depth analysis of the markets that were most requested by1000 readers of the first three complimentary issues. The markets that will now be analyzed on a regular monthly basis, include: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), and Natural Gas (NG) and Corn (C) or Wheat (W) and possibly both. These markets are being analyzed by four of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden) and Paul Davison (Australia). To reserve your copy of the new ICR monthly report, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/the-new-mmta-international-cycles-report-is-coming!!!-/ or www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down the opening page. Sign up now and save big bucks !.

             We are pleased to announce that www.MarketTiming.nl in Amsterdam has just finished conducting an analysis of our weekly recommendations in Gold for aggressive short-term traders in 2014 and the results shows a gain of 101.8%! Not bad!.

             What's Next??? Get ready! The new book on "Trading the Gold Market : Solar-Lunar Correlations to Price Reversals" is now being written and due out within six months. This book will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 4% or greater reversals, and how to trade it. This book will be a very valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Written by Raymond Merriman. More details later.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 20, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economics". one Time in June : By popular demand, a second Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Update of Financial Markets and the World Economic and Political Situation for the Last Half of 2015". With another Q&A session at the end. Cost is $45.00. Attendance is limited again to 100 people. The last one sold out, so sign up ASAP to reserve your place in this presentation.
MP4 recordings will be available three days afterwards for those unable to attend the live webinar. The speech will begin at 2:00 PM, EST. That is 11:00 AM in the Los Angeles and San Francisco, 7:00 PM in London, 8:00 PM in Zurich and Frankfort, and 6:00 AM in Australia (NSW). It will last about two hours with a 20-minute Question and Answer period at the end. The topics - forecasts - to be discussed include the world and national economy for the second half of 2015, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets to be discussed will include Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar.

Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.

             August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special 4-day MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA, will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will discuss trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Special Keynote Speaker will be Claude Weiss of Zurich, Switzerland, speaking on "The History of Capitalism and the Saturn/Uranus/Neptune Cycle - Implications for the Present Period". Special guest presenter is Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, His topic will be, Is Physical Gold the Best Insurance Against Unprecedented Economic & Geopolitical Risks ? Cost is $3600 for sign up by June 21, 2015 (it will increase to $4000 after June 21). Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up. Excursions to the Uffizi Art Museum and the Florence School of Wine are optional. A formal announcement is now available at www.merrimanmta.com/italy2015. A more formal brochure will be posted shortly. It's Tuscany! It's beautiful! Visit www.montegufoni.it for a description of the Castle di Montegufoni where this event will take place.

             October 6-10 or 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - a Symposium of Forecasting. The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. More details later, at www.isarastrology.com.

            December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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