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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 8 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

Last week was so Mercury retrograde (May 19-June 11). Last Friday, May 29, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced, "Real gross domestic product (GDP) -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- decreased at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the first quarter of 2015..." That's right, the economy contracted, as in... the first step towards a formal recession.

But then this Friday. June 5, the U.S. Department of Labor reported, "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 280,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.5 percent". That's right, more and more people are working, and on top of that wages increased .3% last month.

Now how is that ? The labor market improves, but the economy contracted ? Perhaps it lies in a report by The National Employment Labor Project, which points out : "Fast food industry jobs have set the pace since 2000, rising 23.3 percent, against a 5.1 percent overall gain in private sector job growth. In New York City specifically, fast food jobs exploded by 87 percent..." (Jeff Cox, CNBC. June 5). Or maybe the contradictory messages are just the typical Mercury retrograde information cycle. One report is bullish, the other bearish.

Or, how about this ? The strong jobs numbers has caused many analysts to now (once again) believe that the Fed will raise interest rates sooner than later. "Sooner" now means September instead of December or early 2016. Remember, just a month ago they were predicting rates would rise in June, contrary to our year-long forecasts that they would not rise before last quarter of 2015 and maybe even 2016 based on the chart of the Federal Reserve Board (December 23, 1913 - see annual Forecast Books). Yet, in Friday's (June 5) Wall Street blares the headline : "IMF to Fed : Wait Until '16 to Start Rate Rise", by Ian Talley. The article states, "... the IMF warned that the increase could trigger 'significant and abrupt rebalancing of international portfolios with market volatility and financial stability'". Do you ever get the feeling that the news you read today is the same material you wrote about - forecasted - before ? It's not like living in the now. It's a combination of living in both the past and the future on the same day. It's like living in a time when Mercury and Neptune are both stationary in the skies, but about to change directions, which just happens to be the case June 11-12, depending on where you live (not to mention the reality you live in - now, then, or tomorrow).

Well, it doesn't matter what I think... err, wait a minute, it does matter what I think, to those who are interested in what others might think and do in the future, like tomorrow, next week or next year. You see, I spend more time there than here, and if I know my readers well, they enjoy - they find value in - this reality that I provide, which can be best described in one word : Next.

In any event, neither stock nor bond markets are enjoying this particular Mercury retrograde in air signs period. Both were down quite hard last week, especially in the USA. Stocks in the USA (DJIA and S&P) have been down since they peaked on May 19, the day Mercury turned retrograde. Treasuries (Ten-Year Notes at least) peaked out January 29, shortly after the previous Mercury retrograde got underway. But now, after a recovery crest on May 29 - the middle of the current Mercury retrograde period - T-Notes have fallen sharply to their lowest level since October. There is a sense of panic erupting in the Treasury market.

But you know how I look at it through this cosmic lens that seems attached to my third eye ? I am glad you asked (well, OK, I was the one who asked myself this question... the I of the now, as Mercury and Neptune change directions, asking the I of the future, who has this cosmic lens attached to his third eye...). I see it like this. All this talk - all this obsession and conviction - about the Fed raising rates sooner than later, really took off on this last round about the time that Mercury turned retrograde, May 19. And this week, Mercury turns direct on June 11 (did I say Neptune also changes directions then) ? With a week, I would not be surprised if the Fed says or does something that completely changes the direction of the market's recent conviction about raising rates sooner than later. And with that, markets can reverse again.

Everyone is crazy or in denial. It's Mercury retrograde in air signs, square Neptune and in opposition to Saturn. But not to fear : temporary help is on the way.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

As mentioned, Mercury ends its retrograde motion of June 11, while Neptune begins its own course backwards through the zodiac, as seen from Earth. Thus, the principles of Mercury (communications) and Neptune (misinformation, misunderstanding, or idealism) are highlighted in the collective mind this week and next. Be careful not believe everything you read, see, or hear. Be careful about joining the herd of lemmings as they give up their positions and jump over the cliff because they are following a path of fear, rather than seeing a new path of light, a new path representing a possible reversal.

June is a very interesting month. There are so many planetary cycles changing, and so many different dynamics to cope with. We have the Sun and Mars coming up June 14, which can be war-like and rather threatening rhetoric from world leaders (or their enemies). We have Jupiter trine Uranus in fire signs on June 22, which offers hope to investors on the possibilities of news that takes the worries off for a moment. Given that both of these signatures (Sun/Mars and Jupiter/Uranus) fall on degrees that highlight positive positions in the chart of the founding of the New York Stock Exchange ("Buttonwood Chart", as pointed out by Rob Robinson in the ISAR financial markets ezine... www.isarastrology.com), don't rule out another new high soon. However, as Jupiter is involved, we can't totally rule out a crushing decline first either. We discuss these things in greater detail in our weekly subscription reports, along with Gold and Silver, which are also entering a very important period as Neptune changes direction this week.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

"Greece will do everything it can to remain part of the Eurozone, a government minister has said, after the debt-laden country missed a €300m (£220m) debt repayment to the International Monetary Fund and raised fears about the future of Europe's single currency... The economy minister, George Stathakis, gave the first official confirmation that Greece could have made the repayment to the Washington-based fund but chose not to do so in the face of demands to overhaul its economy by its lenders, which also include the EU and European Central Bank". - Jill Treanor, "Greece Determined to Stay in Eurozone, Says Economy Minister", www.theguardian.com , June 5, 2015.

It seems that I may have muddled the distinction between the "Eurozone" and "European Union" in last week's column in my reasoning as to why there would be no Grexis - Greece Exit - from the Union (so very much like Mercury and Neptune dynamics). I think my conclusion was correct, but my definitions may not have been accurate. Blame it on my chart (Mercury and Neptune need someone - something - to blame their errors on... and you will see a lot of that dynamic too this week). When you have planets in detriment signs (weak), but the same planets are strong by their house placements, it is an indication of achieving a successful result but not necessarily by acceptable means, according to well-known astrology teacher Robert Corre of New York City. Thus, in my case, I have Venus, Mercury, and the Moon strong in my natal 2 nd , 3 rd , and 4 th houses respectively. That is where each is strongest naturally. But they are in Scorpio, Sagittarius, and Capricorn respectively, which is their detriment signs. I experience success in these areas (financial, communications, and family), but not by the usual or "acceptable" means. It means I am "edgy", but I usually get what I go for.

But enough about me and back to the Euro and my thoughts on the Euro versus the Eurozone. According to www.democraticunderground.com, "The Eurozone... is an economic and monetary union (EMU) of 17 European Union (EU) member states that have adopted the euro (€) as their common currency and legal tender". There are actually 19 countries now in the Eurozone according to Wikipedia, with Lithuania joining in January 2015. Greece is one of those 19 member states.

The European Union (EU), on the other hand, is "... an economic and political union of 27 (28 now, according to Wikipedia) member states which are located primarily in Europe... The latest amendment to the constitutional basis of the EU, the Treaty of Lisbon, came into force in 2009... The Eurozone is mostly about currency, whereas the European Union is a social cause, trade, and free movement of people, goods, and services". All members of the Eurozone are also members of the Euro Union, but not the other way around.

Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty states, "Any Member State (of the EU) may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements", according to www.lisbon-treaty.org.

So it is like this : no one can kick Greece out of the Euro Union. However, Greece (or any member) can choose to leave the Euro Union on its own, and if it does so, it will also leave the Eurozone (currency). But why would Greece choose to do that ? They won't. And according to a Friday report by Reuters , "Close to one in two Greeks is in favor of the government reaching a deal with the country's lenders, and three out of four want to stay in the euro zone, an opinion poll showed on Friday". (www.reuters.com/subject/euro-zone). Thus, it is also no surprise that Greece missed its €300B debt payment due to IMF on Friday, and it is still in the zone.

When Neptune is standing still in the skies, it is strong. When Neptune is strong, no one knows what to do. It is like trying to get from point A to B in a dense fog. No one can see the path. All you can do is wait for the fog to lift, and hope the path is still there and you - or your subject - have not wandered too far off from it. You are better off watching the "Big Bang Theory", and at least enjoying the absurdity of the situation and the leaders who are trying so hard to push a string - in a fog, no less.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             It's coming up fast. In fact, it will take place in just two weeks. Mark your calendars for June 20, 2015! That is when Raymond Merriman's "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economies" webinar will take place. This will be the second and final webinar of the year by MMA. The cost of the live webinar, which includes free viewing of the presentation that will be posted for the following 30 days, is $45.00. Reservations must be made at least 48 hours in advance, or by June 18. Attendance during the live webinar is limited to the first 100 people who make a reservation (the last webinar on February 21 sold out). MP4 recordings will be available three days afterwards for those unable to attend the live webinar. The speech will begin at 2:00 PM, EDST. That is 11:00 AM in the Los Angeles and San Francisco, 7:00 PM in London, 8:00 PM in Zurich and Frankfort, and 6:00 AM in Australia (NSW). It will last about two hours, including a 20-minute Question and Answer period at the end. The topics - forecasts - to be discussed include the world and national economy for the second half of 2015, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets to be discussed will include Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar. Call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or go to the www.mmacycles.com website (scroll down the opening screen) to make your reservation, or email to ordersmma@msn.com. Less than two weeks to sign up!

             The first subscription issue of the new MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be launched this week!!! This will be the last week in which a special 10% discount introductory subscription rate will be offered for this new report. Each monthly issue will contain an in-depth analysis of the markets that were most requested by1000 readers of the first three complimentary issues. The markets that will now be analyzed on a regular monthly basis, include: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), and Natural Gas (NG) and Corn (C) or Wheat (W) and possibly both. These markets are being analyzed by four of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden) and Paul Davison (Australia). To reserve your copy of the new ICR monthly report, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/the-new-mmta-international-cycles-report-is-coming!!!-/ or www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down the opening page. Sign up now and save big bucks !.

             We are pleased to announce that www.MarketTiming.nl in Amsterdam has just finished conducting an analysis of our weekly recommendations in Gold for aggressive short-term traders in 2014 and the results shows a gain of 101.8%! Not bad!.

             What's Next??? Get ready! The new book on "Trading the Gold Market : Solar-Lunar Correlations to Price Reversals" is now being written and due out within six months. This book will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 4% or greater reversals, and how to trade it. This book will be a very valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Written by Raymond Merriman. More details later.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 20, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economics". one Time in June : By popular demand, a second Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Update of Financial Markets and the World Economic and Political Situation for the Last Half of 2015". With another Q&A session at the end. Cost is $45.00. Attendance is limited again to 100 people. The last one sold out, so sign up ASAP to reserve your place in this presentation.
MP4 recordings will be available three days afterwards for those unable to attend the live webinar. The speech will begin at 2:00 PM, EST. That is 11:00 AM in the Los Angeles and San Francisco, 7:00 PM in London, 8:00 PM in Zurich and Frankfort, and 6:00 AM in Australia (NSW). It will last about two hours with a 20-minute Question and Answer period at the end. The topics - forecasts - to be discussed include the world and national economy for the second half of 2015, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets to be discussed will include Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar.

Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.

             August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special 4-day MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA, will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will discuss trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Special Keynote Speaker will be Claude Weiss of Zurich, Switzerland, speaking on "The History of Capitalism and the Saturn/Uranus/Neptune Cycle - Implications for the Present Period". Special guest presenter is Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, His topic will be, Is Physical Gold the Best Insurance Against Unprecedented Economic & Geopolitical Risks ? Cost is $3600 for sign up by June 21, 2015 (it will increase to $4000 after June 21). Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up. Excursions to the Uffizi Art Museum and the Florence School of Wine are optional. A formal announcement is now available at www.merrimanmta.com/italy2015. A more formal brochure will be posted shortly. It's Tuscany! It's beautiful! Visit www.montegufoni.it for a description of the Castle di Montegufoni where this event will take place.

             October 6-10 or 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - a Symposium of Forecasting. The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. More details later, at www.isarastrology.com.

            December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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