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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 13 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

Last week's geocosmic signatures struck the U.S. stock market in ways that literally reflected the comments made in last week's column. "From July 6-12, the Sun will translate the Uranus/Pluto square. This portends sharp price swings in many financial, markets, related to sudden and unexpected announcements from world leaders, or sudden and unexpected developments with nature, such as earthquakes, heat waves, high winds, and electrical failures". Not only were financial markets (like stock indices) subject to violent price swings, but on Wednesday, July 8, trading on the New York Stock Exchange was halted for four hours following a sudden and unexpected technical computer failure. On the same day, United Airlines also had a computer malfunction which forced it to delay nearly 1200 flights.

While all these electrical failures happened, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 300 points. The day before, July 7, it traded as low as 17,465, its lowest level since February 3. However, by the end of the day, it closed at 17,776, up over 300 points from that low. In all but one day last week, the DJIA experienced daily ranges exceeding 200 points. The one day that it did not - Monday, July 6 - the daily range was 170 points. But that was nothing compared to other world equity markets, such as the Japanese Nikkei, which fell from 20,428 on July 7, to a low of 19,115 on July 9, a loss of over 1200 points. Yet it closed the week (the next day) at 19,779. And that was nothing compared to Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, which started the week above 26,000, fell over 3000 points to a weekly low of 22,836 on Wednesday, July 8, then closed week testing 25,000.

The volatility was also very present in precious metals and Crude Oil. Gold fell to 1145.90 on July 8, testing the low of 1141.60 that started its primary cycle back on March 17 (Uranus square Pluto). Silver, however, plunged to 14.62 on July 7, well below the start of its primary cycle on March 11 at 15.26. This creates a case of intermarket bullish divergence. Silver ended the week near 15.50. Crude Oil also broke hard last week, falling to a low of 50.58 on July 7, down nearly 18% from June 24.

The Sun, as discussed above, was translating the Uranus/Pluto square aspect last week, forming a potent cardinal T-square. Starting on July 15, Mars will do the same through July 25. With Mars in Cancer, the Sun sign of the USA and the sign of patriotism, it is no wonder that heated debates are flaring up all around the world over nationalistic interests. In the USA, there is a spirited debate over the use of the Confederate flag on state and federal properties. What is it about this aspect that makes national flags such a symbol of personal outrage ? It is Mars, the sometimes angry red planet, exposing areas of behavior that are like a red flag to others. It is also a red flag (warning) to financial markets : something is not right and needs to be resolved before outrage leads to threats and then to violent actions. Coming to a mutual agreement in the next two weeks will be challenging, and financial markets are apt to reflect this discord.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The week begins with Venus (finances and agreements) in a square aspect to Saturn (delay, frustration, and blockage) on Tuesday, July 14. Our rule is that any market declining into this aspect, +/- one day, is a candidate to reverse and witness a rally. However, the geocosmic signatures that follow Tuesday are not any more promising. Mars will be in opposition to Pluto on July 15. In fact, Mars is then in the midst of forming its own T-square with Pluto and Uranus (just like the Sun did last week), with the later square (to Uranus) taking place on July 25. It is likely to be ten days of gnawing tensions, probably involving both Greece and Iran with western demands for changes in both nations, and changes that are resisted by both nations. The USA has threatened to walk away from talks with Iran, and they very well might under this aspect, for it can symbolize termination of an effort due to lack of a good faith compromise. It can also correspond to sabotage and threats of conflict escalation.

This set up does not bode well for any country threatening to default on its debt too, for Pluto rules debt. In this case, the aspect pertains to Greece, the nation currently in default, and its creditors who are demanding harsh measures for repayment. Greece wants more flexibility, but these signatures indicate no flexibility until Venus and Uranus turn retrograde on July 25-26. Something will likely be worked out nearby to that time, but in the long run, it may not really be a solution at all. The matter will likely return again by September, in accordance with the nature of Venus (money) retrograde (decisions made don't work - they need to be adjusted again later).

Longer-Term Thoughts and mundane astrology:

"Based on my outlook, I expect that it will be appropriate at some point later this year to take the first step to raise the federal funds rate and thus begin normalizing monetary policy. I want to emphasize that the course of the economy and inflation remains highly uncertain, and unanticipated developments could delay or accelerate this first step." Janet Yellen, Friday afternoon, July 10, 2015, in a speech to the City Club of Cleveland, www.cnbc.com, Jeff Cox.

All of this bad behavior and escalation of ill will is driving the markets (and world leaders) crazy. But the deeper problem underlying all of this is likely dishonesty, deception, and corruption, which will become even more apparent by the end of the year when Saturn (integrity and honor) forms a square (difficulty) to Neptune (virtue or deception). The truth comes out as the rose-colored glasses come off. The power of reality trumps the shallowness of promises not delivered, and probably never intended to be delivered. It will be a time of spiritual awakening - and probably a rude awakening for those not spiritually or honorably inclined. Saturn represents the consequences of one's choices. With Neptune involved, the consequences for intentionally misleading or misrepresenting oneself or others can be harsh, such as imprisonment or shame. The reward for honesty and authenticity under this signature is clarity between right and wrong, which leads to great respect and even reverence from others.

One area that the Saturn/Neptune square has a strong historical correspondence with is reversals in long-term cycles of interest rates. That starts late this year and extends into late 2016. That will be the focus of our papers and discussions at the MMA Investment Retreat in Tuscany in early September (see below).

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Did you miss the June 20, 2015 "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economies" webinar by Raymond Merriman? Not to worry. You can see the whole event on MP4, which is now available. The topics - forecasts - that were discussed include the world and U.S. interest rates for the second half of 2015 and into 2020, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets discussed included Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar. Call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or go to the www.mmacycles.com website (scroll down the opening screen) to order you downloadable copy now, or email to ordersmma@msn.com. The updated recording is expected to be ready by Wednesday. The cost is $45.00, unless preciously ordered.

             Get ready! The long awaited sequel to the "Secrets of a Silver Trader" is on its way!!! Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book on "Solar-Lunar Correlation to Gold Prices: Secrets of a Gold Trader", are now underway, and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book is due out in about three months and will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Pre-order sales are now available for readers of this column at a special rate of $118 (the retail price will be $144 as soon as the pre-publication special period ends, which may be anytime in the next 1-2 months). You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmsail.com, and place your pre-order now. It will be available for purchase on the MMA web site next week. Order now and save Big Bucks! .

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special 4-day MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA, will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will discuss trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Special Keynote Speaker will be Claude Weiss of Zurich, Switzerland, speaking on "The History of Capitalism and the Saturn/Uranus/Neptune Cycle - Implications for the Present Period". Special guest presenter is Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, His topic will be, Is Physical Gold the Best Insurance Against Unprecedented Economic & Geopolitical Risks ? Cost is $3600 for sign up by June 21, 2015 (it will increase to $4000 after June 21). Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up. Excursions to the Uffizi Art Museum and the Florence School of Wine are optional. A formal announcement is now available at www.merrimanmta.com/italy2015. A more formal brochure will be posted shortly. It's Tuscany! It's beautiful! Visit www.montegufoni.it for a description of the Castle di Montegufoni where this event will take place.

             December 18-19 : Istanbul, Turkey : "Forecasts for 2016", and "Financial Market Timing" workshop with Raymond Merriman. Details for registration will be announced soon.

             December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.

             October 13-17, 2016: ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. An "Application to Speak" process is currently underway. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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