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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
August 10 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Remaining copies of the printed edition of the Forecast 2015 Book are now available for $35.00 plus postage. MMA is now offering free copies of the printed book (plus postage), to anyone subscribing to a one year subscription of MMA Cycles or MMA Europe or MMA Japan Cycles report, or a 3-month subscription to any MMA weekly report, or a one-month subscription to the MMA Daily report. To take advantage of this special offer, please call Amber at 1-248-626-3034, or via email at ordersmma@gmail.com. This does not apply to the eBook version - only the printed book copies remaining. We wish to get rid of inventory.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

In typical Venus retrograde fashion, stocks markets around the world cannot decide whether to be bullish or bearish. Some are decidedly bearish, like the Dow Jones Industrial Average of the USA or Bovespa of Brazil, which keep making lower highs and lower lows. The Indian and European indices (except the Zurich SMI), on the other hand, continue to rise off their lows of late June through early July, but remain far below their highs of April. And still others, like the Zurich SMI and Japanese Nikkei, are either near all-time or 20-year highs respectively.

Gold and Silver prices were range-bound last week, with Gold trading between 1080 and 1100, and Silver still unable to get back above $15.00/ounce, near their lows of the past 5 years. Crude Oil was also in this category, falling as low as $43.70/barrel on Friday, August 7, slightly above its multi-year low of 42.03 on March 18, when the 7th and final Uranus/Pluto square took place. There is no such square aspect occurring now between the farthest out planets in our solar system, so one wonders what will stop this plunge before the Jupiter/Neptune opposition of September 17 or the Saturn/Neptune square of late November.

Maybe the middle of the Venus retrograde period will coincide with a change of direction in all of these markets.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Venus retrograde. It is one of the most interesting of all geocosmic phenomena. As seen from Earth, Venus appears to go backwards (retrograde) in the heavens approximately every 19 months. That part is not so unusual. But what is unusual is the fact that every five Venus retrograde occurrences take place in nearly the same part of the zodiac. This occurs over an eight-year period, and when these five points are connected, they form a nearly perfect pentagram.

Although this is most interesting from a mathematically aesthetic point of view, our interest has more to do with the correlation of these points to activities in human cycles - particularly economic and financial market cycles. The Venus retrograde period lasts about 43 days (July 25 through September 6, in this current case). According to the studies published in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3, Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles, the retrograde date has a 78% correlation to primary or greater cycles within 12 trading days in the U.S. stock market, making it one of the strongest correspondences of all to this 13-21 week cycle governing stocks. Venus direct (September 6) also has a very high correlation (73%) to primary cycles within 10 trading days. In many instances, a primary cycle trough will occur nearby to the retrograde date, and a primary cycle crest nearby to the direct date, or vice-versa. It has now been 10 trading days since Venus turned retrograde on July 25, and so far, there has been no primary cycle in the U.S. stock market. Yes, it could happen by Tuesday, the 12th trading day, as the DJIA is still falling. Or, it could happen within 2 trading days of the midpoint of the Venus retrograde period, which happens next weekend, August 15-16. The rule (Merriman's rule) is this : if a market does not reverse around the time of its retrograde date, then look for it to reverse very close to the midpoint of the retrograde period. This applies to Mercury retrograde periods as well.

Gold and Silver, on the other hand, did bottom on July 24, the trading day before Venus turned retrograde. There is no need for either to make another reversal around next weekend, unless both fall to new lows.

In terms of banking and economics, Venus rules money and its value. The value of money is largely a function of interest rate policies of the central banks of the world. If a country wants its currency to appreciate against other currencies, it typically raises its short-term rates. If it wants its currency to fall in order for its businesses to gain a competitive advantage in world trade, it typically lowers its rate. Of course it is more complicated than that, especially today, as many nations are in a race to offer the cheapest currency possible. The world-wide currency wars continue, but banks (like the Federal Reserve Board) can't go any lower, so the expectation is that FRB rates will soon rise. The time to announce this could very well correspond to the period when Venus is retrograde, for this is when central bankers often do make changes regarding the monetary policies.

Venus also pertains to changes in personal popularity. It will be interesting to see if Donald Trump, who came out of nowhere as Venus turned retrograde on July 25, can sustain his status as leader of the Republican pact, which polls say he now leads by double digits. If you read this column, you have to chuckle at Thursday night's debate when the first question asked was : "Would any of you (10 candidates) not support the Republican nominee if it is not you ?". In other words, would any of you consider running as an independent third party candidate if not nominated by the Republican Party ?. Guess who rose his hand ?. Guess who trumped (pardon the pun) everyone on stage with that shock ?. Guess where you read that this could happen first (due to Saturn in Sagittarius during the election season) ?.

Longer-Term Thoughts and mundane astrology :

Another important geocosmic cycle begins this week on August 11. That is when Jupiter will enter Virgo, where it will remain until September 9, 2016. Classical astrology would suggest that employment will continue to grow through much (if not all) of that period, for Jupiter rules growth and Virgo rules work (and healthcare).

Of greater importance to us is the correlation of this planet/sign combination to long-term trend reversals in Gold. As readers of the soon-to-be-released book titled Solar/Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader will soon discover, Jupiter in Virgo will begin a 3-year period that has historically correlated with large and frequent price swings in precious metals. Gold has been declining sharply since its all-time high of September 2011. When a market enters a period of increasing price swings, from low prices, it usually means a long-term cycle low is forming from which a new bull market begins. Of course, the low that forms during this period can be a sharp move too, a serious washout. It would be hard to argue that Gold is not already in the midst of a serious washout, having fallen from about $1920/ounce in September 2011 down to $1072 on July 24-2015, a decline of 44%. Even more remarkable is the devastation among the miners, reflected by the XAU Gold and Silver mining index, which has fallen from 229.55 in September 2011, to a low of 47.28 as of last week, a decline of nearly 80%. One of our (Merriman's) basic rules about long-term cycle lows is that they happen when markets fall 77-93% from their highs. Within the next 12 months, they are usually up at least 50% from that low. The XAU is in the territory where traders and investors need to be vigilant for a potentially very profitable buying opportunity within the next year. Of course, the majority of investors now believe Gold is dead, no longer relevant. Cash and the U.S. Dollar is king. That is exactly the type of collective mindset needed for a bottom to form, and as is typical at times like this, no one will believe it until the up move is at least one-third over.

We will be tracking the XAU index closely now, especially in our new publication, the MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR). If history is any indication of the future, the XAU index will probably lead the actual move up in Gold. As miners go out of business due to price of Gold being below the cost to extract it, the available supply of Gold will begin to decline. Maybe that is why the central banks of Russia and China have been buying Gold when everybody else has been selling. Maybe they know something about cycles. Actually, they do, as the grandfather of cycles is none other than Nicholai Kondratieff, a former Russian economist who identified the 54-year long wave Kondratieff economic cycle.

This is the advantage of Financial Astrology used in combination with cycle studies. It gives one that extra edge in timing that no other study can quite provide, because in financial markets, timing is everything. Well, almost everything. Price is important too. Almost as important as knowledge - of recognizing when a certain price at a certain time equals exceptional opportunity. Jupiter (opportunity) in Virgo (precision) is about to begin. Be like a Virgo. Hold onto your seats and sharpen your pencils, er. computers and calculators.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Did you miss the June 20, 2015 "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economies" webinar by Raymond Merriman? Not to worry. You can see the whole event on MP4, which is now available. The topics - forecasts - that were discussed include the world and U.S. interest rates for the second half of 2015 and into 2020, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets discussed included Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar. Call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or go to the www.mmacycles.com website (scroll down the opening screen) to order you downloadable copy now, or email to ordersmma@msn.com. The cost is $45.00, unless preciously ordered.

             Get ready! The pre-publication special offer for the soon-to-be-released new book titled "Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices: Secrets of a Gold Trader", is now underway and will end in less than two weeks, on August 20! The long awaited sequel to the "Secrets of a Silver Trader" is coming!!! Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right...historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Pre-order sales are now available for readers of this column at a special rate of $118 (the retail price will be $144 as soon as the pre-publication special period ends in 3 weeks). You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmsail.com, and place your pre-order now. It will be available for purchase on the MMA web site next week. Order now and save Big Bucks! .

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special 4-day MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA, will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will discuss trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Special Keynote Speaker will be Claude Weiss of Zurich, Switzerland, speaking on "The History of Capitalism and the Saturn/Uranus/Neptune Cycle - Implications for the Present Period". Special guest presenter is Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, His topic will be, Is Physical Gold the Best Insurance Against Unprecedented Economic & Geopolitical Risks ? Cost is $3600 for sign up by June 21, 2015 (it will increase to $4000 after June 21). Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up. Excursions to the Uffizi Art Museum and the Florence School of Wine are optional. A formal announcement is now available at www.merrimanmta.com/italy2015. A more formal brochure will be posted shortly. It's Tuscany! It's beautiful! Visit www.montegufoni.it for a description of the Castle di Montegufoni where this event will take place.

             December 19-20 2015 : Istanbul, Turkey : "Forecasts for 2016", and "Financial Market Timing" workshop with Raymond Merriman. Details for registration will be announced soon.

             D.

             October 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. An "Application to Speak" process is currently underway. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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