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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 12 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Remaining copies of the printed edition of the Forecast 2015 Book are now available for $35.00 plus postage. MMA is now offering free copies of the printed book (plus postage), to anyone subscribing to a one year subscription of MMA Cycles or MMA Europe or MMA Japan Cycles report, or a 3-month subscription to any MMA weekly report, or a one-month subscription to the MMA Daily report. To take advantage of this special offer, please call Amber at 1-248-626-3034, or via email at ordersmma@gmail.com. This does not apply to the eBook version - only the printed book copies remaining. We wish to get rid of inventory.

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"Gold rose to a seven-week high on Friday after minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting showed the U.S. central bank was in no hurry to raise interest rates, pressuring the U.S. dollar". Reuters, October 9, 2016.

It was a very good week for stocks and commodities worldwide. Both seemed to react positively to IMF chief Christine Lagarde's statement that the IMF's global growth targets are at risk (they may have to lower their forecast again), as well as last week's disappointing job gains report in the USA. These news items cheer investors because they imply the zero interest rate policies (ZIRP) of central banks will - and perhaps even, must - remain low, despite prior statements recently from Fed Chair Janet Yellen that rates would increase by the end of this year.

Let's go back and connect the dots, and see if we understand this right. Just prior to September 17, everyone was convinced the Fed would raise their short-term rates because all of the metrics (given by the Fed) that were required to raise rates had been attained. On September 17, however, (as Mercury the trickster turned retrograde) the Fed stunned most analysts by deciding not to raise rates. One week later, Ms. Yellen made a 180-degree shift. She announced that the Fed would likely raise rates after all before the end of this year. The next week the payroll numbers come in far weaker than anyone predicted, and the job gains reported the prior month were reduced by 50,000. At first, the stock market did not like that. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sold off over 250 points. By the end of that day (October 2), it was up 200 points, and it has not looked back since.

As more bad news came out from the IMF, the stock market continued its torrid rally. So did commodities. The DJIA closed the week above 17,000 for the first time in two months. Gold closed well above 1150. Silver and Crude Oil traded slightly above 16.00/ounce and 50.00/barrel respectively during week for the first time in many moons. Suddenly, as Mercury now ends its retrograde motion on October 9, happy days are here again in nearly all financial markets.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Unavailable this week.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

This was quite a Mercury retrograde instance (September 17-October 9). I do not know that I have ever seen so many changes of stances and policies in so short of a time. The flip-flops of the Federal Reserve Board in the past three weeks have been discussed. The sudden changes in the Middle East situation is forcing major policy changes with the USA for that region. The resignation of John Boehner as Speaker of the House, followed by Thursday's announcement that apparent successor Kevin McCarthy will exit from the race to replace Boehner, has resulted in disarray for the Republican Party. However, the Democrats have their own disarray going on as leading candidate Hillary Clinton shifted her position on the Pacific Trade Agreement, thereby breaking ranks with President Obama and creating a wide opening for Vice-President Joe Biden to enter the race as the party's candidate for USA president.

As Mercury now ends its retrograde motion on October 9, it does so in the midst of several other geocosmic signatures that have strong historical correlations to reversals in various financial markets. On Thursday, October 8, Venus left the socially popular and optimistic sign of Leo for Virgo, where love of the limelight will shift to love of work. Think of all the fun we had when Pope Francis, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Russian president Vladimir Putin, were all in the USA recently. Now we can look for parties with labor leaders.

On Saturday, October 10, Venus will square Saturn, which has tendency to devalue materials and status, not elevate them. The very next day (Sunday, October 11), the Sun ends its translation of the Uranus/Pluto square (October 6-11), with its opposition to Uranus. This cosmic phenomenon has a tendency to correlate with sudden shifts in market trends. If it happens again, this spells trouble for stocks and commodities because both have been rising.

Last week's column pointed out another correlation with this translation: "In terms of nature, this corresponds to eruptions in nature, like floods, earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes, and high winds". We had all that last week, including biblical-like floods in South Carolina. It may not be over. On October 23, Saturn makes its third and final sesquiquadrate aspect to Uranus. Since Saturn rules the ground (earth) and governments, and Uranus represents sudden movements, disruptions, and shake ups, the consequences of the events of the past week are probably not over. They are just readying for another level of manifestation. Expect more surprises in the political race for the 2016 USA presidential election, the leadership of USA House of Representatives, the situation in Syria and the relationship of the USA to Russia, and financial markets.

Jupiter and Neptune are also very much in the picture, which is important because they co-rule Crude Oil. As discussed last week, "There are plenty of Jupiter and Neptune aspects in the 11-day period of October 6-17, so we can anticipate sudden changes in Crude Oil prices again". Crude Oil has been appreciating, and prices have risen above 50.00/barrel for the first time since July 22. There are soft aspects to Jupiter and Neptune throughout October, so it is possible that the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could support Crude Oil prices a little longer than this week. However, we are concerned about late November, for that is when Saturn will makes its first of three waning square passages to Neptune. That is a much more important geocosmic correlation to Crude Oil (and interest rates) than what we are witnessing now.

Longer-Term Thoughts and mundane astrology :

"When you look at tyranny.. the pattern is so consistent : get rid of the guns for people first, so you can go in and dominate them".- Dr. Ben Carson, Republican candidate for U.S. President, "Carson Suggests More People Should be Armed with Guns", Susan Page, USA Today, October 6, 2015.

The last seven years - and especially the last three years - have been very violent years. In the field of financial or Mundane Astrology, this is consistent with the principles of Uranus and Pluto, which have been within orb of a powerful cardinal square formation. That aspect remains in close proximity through the end of this year, and then it begins to separate. This portends hope for a reduction in the violence the world has been experiencing.

There is another little known geocosmic interplay that may also help reduce not just violence, but the craziness surrounding the political process, especially here in the USA. This has to do with the backward motion of Mercury retrograde through the zodiac. In 2015, Mercury retrogrades have begun and ended in air signs. In other words, Mercury is in a seven-year cycle where it spends an inordinate amount of time in air signs compared to the other elements. It last did this in 2008, 2001, 1994, etc. when politics and the world economy was anything but tame.

In the study of astrology, Mercury rules the mind, the intellect, and communications. By its very nature, it is compatible with air signs, which also pertain to ideas, the intellect, and the urge to communicate. Together, Mercury in air signs suggests a time of brilliant and new ideas, a time of experimentation based on intellectual theories. The problem is that these ideas typically have no historical precedence. No one knows if these ideas will work, but their creators are very convincing that they will. After all, they are "smart people", and when Mercury spends a lot of time in air signs, we hear a lot about "smart people" with very smart ideas. We want to believe in one who speaks so well. In addition, ideas are communicate with much passion, and hence persuasion. Mercury in air signs is awesome for people in sales.

What is usually lacking with Mercury in air signs is common sense. It is more about the "idea" than the probable result. The belief is that result will be wonderful. The reality is that the result is not always so wonderful. The result is usually something the "smart people" never expected, never considered. In many cases, the smart people really had no interest (or ability) in applying their smart ideas. They just talk about them, but air signs are not action signs.

We are coming out of the "Mercury in air signs" year. In 2016, Mercury retrogrades will start moving from "air" to "earth". Earth is practical. Earth has respect for tradition, for precedence as to what worked before. Earth tries to build consensus and cooperation, as if part of a team. It does not just talk about the importance of teamwork. It actually engages in building teams of people who cooperate with one another and achieve goals that have been clearly defined.

Here is the good news for those who are leery of such Mercury in air signs "smart ideas". When Mercury starts its retrograde periods through earth signs in 2016, the mood will shift from angst to serious thoughts about "What will work?" "How can we really get things done ?" In the end, the best salesperson, and the smartest person is not likely to win the election(s) in 2016. The one who convinces the public that they can get things done in a practical, common sense manner, is the one most likely to experience victory.

For investors, Mercury moving more into earth signs may be a welcome relief too, for markets begin reacting more as expected to mundane events. Bad news is not necessarily good news for the markets anymore, as the world has witnessed in the last three weeks when Mercury was retrograde in air signs. Good news, however, is apt to become good news for the financial markets. The challenge, however, will be to create "good news", for in earth signs, we have to deal with the consequences of decisions made in air signs, and they are not always as smart as they seemed at the time.

Announcements :

             Only three weeks to go to get for the best rate possible, it's that time of the year again! As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 31, 2015, and that discount period starts now. The price of the Forecast 2016 Book will remain at $55.00 plus postage. However, if pre-ordered before October 31, the cost is $45.00 plus postage. This year's 2016 Forecast Book will be available in both paper and electronic editions. There is no postage for the electronic book format.

Additionally, all pre-order purchases qualify for a 10% discount on any 1-year MMA financial markets subscription service! This includes the MMA Cycles Report, the MMA Weekly, and/or the MMA Daily reports, which provide specific analysis and recommendations to several financial markets, including the DJIA, S&P, NASDAQ, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Currencies, Crude Oil, and Soybeans. This is an exceptional time to subscribe to any of these reports, which have been exceptionally profitable in 2015.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. No other book has informed and prepared readers for the Cardinal Climax period of 2008-2015 as precisely as Raymond Merriman's annual Forecast book. No other book has guided readers through this turbulent period since it began in 2008. But now, in 2016, we enter a different kind of period for the next two years that will require new strategies and a different set of skills to navigate these forces of change. This is a book, with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner. ORDER NOW AND SAVE BIG BUCKS!!!

This year's printed version of Forecast 2016 will also available in five other languages, as follows :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Russian : at http://www.mmafinance.ru
Italian : www.market-timing.it

Forecast 2015 was perhaps the most accurate year for the annual Forecast Book ever. We expect the accuracy to increase even more in 2016-2018 because the geocosmic patterns that will be preset have such a high correlation to long cycles in human activity, including war and drought. You can view MMA's Forecast for 2015 Scorecard at www.mmacycles.com. Scroll down to the bottom of the first page. As you will see, it was indeed a very good year.             

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February or March 2016 : Raymond Merriman webinar on the outlook for financial markets, world economies, and possibly a look at the USA 2016 Presidential Election candidates. The exact date will be announced in about a month. The cost to participate will be $45.

             March 10-13, 2017 : Second MMA Investment Retreat, tentatively planned for Sedona, AZ. Details soon.

             October 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. An "Application to Speak" process is currently underway. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is completed and at the printers. It is due out within the next three weeks. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!! Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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