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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 26 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The inaugural issue of the new MMTA International Cycles report was launched January 1. The contributors were all MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduates of the two-year training course that was completed in late August 2014. I think you will be impressed with the quality of analysis this report contains.

If you would like a free copy of this issue and the next two issues of this new monthly report, please contact ordersmma@msn.com. And let us know what you think. This first issue contained a special long-term cycles report on the British Pound, plus in-depth analysis on Coffee, Sugar, Corn, Wheat, Platinum, and the Indian stock market. The next issue will contain some of these, plus additional markets. After that, we will decide which markets to continue to analyze every month based on the responses of those who express an interest in subscribing.

This will be a shortened column due to my speech and workshop in Zurich, Switzerland this weekend. It is written early Friday, well before markets close

Review and Preview :

"As with all currencies, we expect a big reversal either now, nearby Dec 19-22, or Jan 2-5. There may be a big and unexpected announcement by central banks to "reset" currency valuations within the next four weeks". - MMA Weekly and MMA Weekly Currencies Report, mid-December, 2014.

The idea is that if you print enough money, prices will go higher. Another theory holds that if you fight the FED (Federal Reserve Board), you will not win. Now other central banks (Japan, Europe) are following the "successful" American central banking model of quantitative easing (QE) to revive their sluggish economies. Every time one of these banks announce they will create more money, make monies more available, and/or use newly printed monies to purchase a nation's debt at historically low rates, equity markets soar. This policy of "market intervention, or engineering", is cheered by investors, who jump aboard for the apparent risk-free ride. These policies have caused currencies around the world to plummet, and stock markets around the world to rally higher and higher. In Europe, stock indices soared to record or multi-year highs last week as the ECB announced its new QE program.

We focus mostly upon world equity and precious metal markets in this column. However, if you want to know what is really happening in world finances today, you need look no further than the currency markets. That is where the Uranus/Pluto square is very evident, given that Uranus represents volatility and Pluto pertains to debt, and market interventions. The engine driving these currencies is the central banks of the world, and their unorthodox measures (i.e. experiments) to try to manage (i.e. engineer, manipulate) the economies of the world. "Unorthodox", and "experimental", are concepts associated with Uranus. It was therefore not a long stretch of the imagination for a Financial Astrologer to speculate that central banks would try to "reset" currency valuations within 2-3 weeks of the New Year. After all, that was a period in which Uranus made its sixth passage (of seven) in its 33-month square aspect to Pluto, while shortly afterwards both Venus and the Sun "translated" the Uranus/Pluto set up.

Uranus square Pluto is the longest "hard" aspect of our lifetime. It started in June 2012 and will finally end - after seven passages - on March 16, 2015. It is also arguably the most challenging aspect of our lifetime because it touches so many areas of the collective human experience. For instance, in addition to debt and financial manipulation, Pluto (in Capricorn) is associated with both righteousness and corruption. It also corresponds to grabs for power (or wealth), the desire to take away power (or wealth) from one's enemies (who become clearly defined) and transfer it to oneself. This behavior can be noticed within governments or opponents of government, such as terrorist groups who engage in beheadings and abductions, both extreme Plutonian behaviors.

But let's return to today's currency wars. One week ago, on January 14, the Swiss Franc was at its lowest level to the U.S. Dollar since September 2010 (.9777). The next day, the Swiss National Bank made the surprise decision to unpeg the Franc to the Euro currency. Within 20 minutes, the Swiss Franc soared to 1.2282 against the U.S. Dollar, its highest level since September 2011, which was around the time the SNB announced it would 'temporarily" peg the Franc to the Euro. I don't recall seeing a major currency change value that greatly, that quickly. A 3% move is a lot for a currency to change even in a month. A 25% move in 20 minutes is surreal.

On the back of the Swiss National Bank decision, the European Central Bank (ECB) made its first attempt at quantitative easing (QE). So now Europe is going to join Japan and follow the American playbook for an economic miracle. Or so they hope. When the announcement came out on Thursday, January 22, one day after Mercury started its retrograde motion, the Euro currency plunged, testing the 1.1100 level on Friday, its lowest level against the U.S/ Dollar since September 2003. Just 8 months ago, it was testing 1.4000. Not surprisingly, the U.S. Dollar zoomed to 95.48, its highest level against a basket of world currencies since. September 2003.

The European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Federal Reserve Bank all want inflation to increase. The danger, they surmise, is that economic conditions are too deflationary today. Lately, the central banks have been getting what they want. It has not paid to invest against them. Now they want inflation, and they will likely get it. However, with Saturn now starting its 3-year trek in Sagittarius, the sign of exaggeration and expansion (and hence "inflation"), they may get more than they bargained for. In the words of the famous economist Freidrich Hayak, in his book "The Fatal Conceit" (University of Chicago Press, 1988), "The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design". But even that is not the real danger. The real danger is that central banks lose their credibility that others have imagined they have. What if they don't succeed in bringing inflation up ? What if they do succeed, but cannot control the rate of its ascent ? What happens if the world loses its faith in the power that the central banks have assumed in managing world economies ? What if Saturn (loss) square Neptune (faith and dreams), turns out to be a nightmare out of control ? That too is a possible manifestation of Saturn square Neptune.

Watch the currency markets. They will be a key to understanding the price movements in other commodity markets, like Gold and Silver. Gold rallied above $1300 last week, for the first time since August 19, even as the Dollar was elevated to its highest mark in over 11 years. Gold rising with the Dollar rising ? That just doesn't happen unless.. the level of uncertainty (loss of faith, loss of control, Saturn square Neptune) in the financial world is rising too.

In the meantime, as long as the world maintains its trust in central banks to control economies, and as long as the central banks continue to devalue their nations' currencies by creating more money and using it to purchase the debt of those nations, the more likely that stocks will keep rising. At least, that is, until the belief in the power of those banks is broken.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

No new trades were initiated last week. However, several of our former positions were exited. In Silver, aggressive traders were advised, ".exit all longs for excellent profits if prices get to 1825 +/- 10". The high of the week was 1850. For the S&P, the weekly report stated, "Position traders are long with a stop-loss on a close below weekly support (1972.50-1972.25). However, let's exit if prices rally to resistance (2053-2053.75) and stand aside during Mercury retrograde". The high of the week was 2062.50. The close was 2043.50.

The best trade in the daily report was in stock indices (all of them). The daily report for Tuesday, January 20, for the NASDAQ, advised, " Aggressive traders are short with a stop-loss on a close above 4185 after covering 1/3 for profits Thursday. Let's cover all and go long at 4100 +/- 25, with a stop-loss on a close below 4030". The low was 4109 that day, and by Thursday, prices were testing 4270. The same day advised traders based on the DJIA, " Aggressive traders are flat and may buy 17,400 +/- 25, with a stop-loss on a close below 17,240". Thursday's report advised, "Aggressive traders are long with a stop-loss on a close below 17,346. Cover 1/3 if prices rally to 17,800-17,850". The high was 17,840. The close was 17,672.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts :  

Mercury has now begun its retrograde journey in Aquarius, an air sign. As expected, big announcements in the financial world came out last week (ECB). Now we see if their new policies will work as intended. It is my belief that they will not work out as intended (nothing seems to work out as intended when initiated under Mercury retrograde or Uranus square Pluto). We shall see, but I expect more unintended consequences will force Europe to consider other alternatives and changes to this newest effort. I have no idea what "other alternatives" are even possible, but I am sure they will think of something. Perhaps they will consider "debt forgiveness" or "debt relief" to faltering countries. That might be a compassionate expression of the forthcoming Saturn/Neptune square in late 2015 through 2016. But don't bet on it.

Next week finds Venus in early Pisces, square Saturn (January 30) and conjunct Neptune (February 1). This translation of Venus offers a glimpse of the important Saturn/Neptune square coming up later this year, and it occurs right after the FOMC meetings January 27-28. Historically, Saturn/Neptune aspects have one of the highest correlations to the long-term cycle tops and bottoms in many financial markets, (stocks, crude oil, and currencies). We could see shorter-term reversals taking place around January 30-February 1. We might also see doubts and criticisms become more public of the ECB's newly launched stimulus. The currency battles continue, which means more uncertainty and volatility in other markets. Likewise, it might also affect USA President Barack Obama. His natal Moon (public image) and Pluto (personal power) will be the focal point of the Venus-Saturn square with Neptune in the skies. Unlike the central banks, he doesn't get what he wants. In fact, the transiting Saturn suggests that what he gets is many unwanted investigations into past actions. The Moon is the past ; Saturn is the demand to account by others who are critical of you.

Another important short-term geocosmic signature looming ahead for traders is the opposition of the Sun to Jupiter on February 6, which is when the USA Labor Department's payroll and unemployment reports are released. The Sun/Jupiter opposition has one of the highest correlations to primary cycles in the U.S, stock market of all geocosmic studies. If given an orb of ten trading days, it has a 50% correlation to 50-week or greater stock market cycles, and a 75% correspondence with primary cycles, according to studies published in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3". With Jupiter, everything becomes exaggerated. Crude Oil, which is under the domain of Jupiter, Neptune, and Pisces, may be subject to a trend reversal.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

".
To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             A new YouTube video introducing the Merriman Market Timing Academy may now be viewed at youtube, or download it.

             The 2015 world wide Webinar on "The State of Financial Markets" will take place at 5:00 PM, EST, on February 21, 2015. It will be a 2-hour discussion on the outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Interest Rates, and the U.S. Dollar, presented by Raymond Merriman. All you need is a computer, internet, and speakers to participate. The cost is $45.00. This registration via MMA's website will be set up shortly. In the meantime, you may register by calling MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or email Amber at ordersmma@gmail.com.

             What's Next ??? Now that the 2008-2015 Cardinal Climax will wind down in early 2015, what is the next great challenge awaiting humanity ?.

It is that time of the year again! MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is out December 15. It is be available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. This year we are pleased to announce that copies of the English edition will be printed in both China and India. Purchasers from those countries may order next year's book in paper print at the same postage costs that apply to those living in America.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. No other book has informed and prepared readers for the Cardinal Climax period of 2008-2015 as precisely as Raymond Merriman's annual Forecast book. No other book has guided readers through this turbulent period since it began in 2008. In 2015, the saga of the Cardinal Climax reaches the conclusion of its central time band. This is a book, with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February 21, 2015 : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Preparing for the Post-Cardinal Climax - An Outlook of Financial Markets and World Economics". Cost is $45.00. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.

             August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.

             September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will be discussing trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Cost is $3000-4000, depending on cut-off dates for applicants. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details, or to sign up.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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