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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 6 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :
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This is the Independence Day holiday weekend in the USA. Thus, we start with a Happy Birthday to the USA on its 239 th birthday, or - as astrologers would say - solar return.
Nearly all global equity markets suffered sharp losses last week, especially early in the week, as it became apparent that Greece would default on the repayment of its IMF loan. This was unfortunate from a cosmic viewpoint, since the planetary alignment early last week was the most favorable and benign that will be seen for a while. But it has been apparent for several months - even years, now - that Greece has little inclination to pay back her debt.
Many equity markets dropped to new multi-month lows. In Europe, the Netherlands AEX, German DAX, and Zurich SMI fell early in the week to their lowest levels since February. The London FTSE fell all week, to its lowest mark since December. The Russian MICEX, however, was quiet for a change. That might be a signal of a new relationship developing with Greece, possibly opening up new consumers for Russian goods and services.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, it was a little more bizarre. First, the biggest loser last week was China, where the Shanghai Index dropped to 3624 on Friday, July 3, its lowest level since March. More importantly, that represented a decline of 30% since its multi-year high of 5178 attained less than one month ago. These are the type of percentage declines that we expect to see when 4-year or greater cycles are due, as is also due in the USA in 2015-2017. The Australian All Ords was also weak, falling on Friday to its lowest level since January. Both the Nikkei and Hang Seng indices also fell last week, but not too badly. However, in a reversal of other world indices, India's equity market rallied to their highest level since April.
In the USA, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to 17,576 on Tuesday, June 30, a level not seen since February. The Bovespa of Brazil also fell to its lowest level since April. However, Argentina's Merval index made a new monthly high late last week to buck the trend.
The defaults of Greece did not bode well for the precious metals or Crude Oil either, as investors flocked back to the U.S. Dollar. A rising Dollar is generally negative for commodities. Gold fell to 1155 on July 2, it lowest price since March, and nearing a new multi-year low of 1130. Silver dropped to 1543 on June 30, its lowest price since its March 11 primary cycle trough. Crude Oil fell back to the $55/barrel area, a decline of 10% from the prior week's high.
All in all, the market ended on a note of worry about the future of the world economy, financial system, and political landscape. There was a cosmic opportunity for cooperation and agreement last week, but once again, it was squandered or sabotaged by leaders whose agenda does not include accountability. It is so "Saturn-back-into Scorpio." There are consequences for past actions related to debt, and not a time of forgiveness or mercy (see Longer-Term Thoughts).
Best Trades of the Past Week :
Unavailable this week.
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
We are leaving the soft and harmonious aspects of Venus and Jupiter now. Coming up next are the hard and challenging aspects involving the Sun and Mars to Uranus and Pluto. As stated last week, "The cosmic balance shifts sharply after the first few days of July. From the harmonious aspects between the three benefics of the solar system (Sun, Venus, and Jupiter), the sounds of disgruntlement and the drums of war begin to beat as both the Sun and Mars fall into a cardinal T-square formation with Uranus and Pluto, July 6-25. It is like being on a picnic on a nice, sunny day, when all of a sudden dark clouds gather, the wind picks up, and a ferocious storm starts to envelope the area. The race to the Venus/Uranus retrograde is underway, at the same time the last passage of the Mars T-square to Uranus/Pluto takes place (July 25)."
From July 6-12, the Sun will translate the Uranus/Pluto square. This portends sharp price swings in many financial, markets, related to sudden and unexpected announcements from world leaders, or sudden and unexpected developments with nature, such as earthquakes, heat waves, high winds, and electrical failures. This is followed by Mars making the same aspects July 15-25. It ends when Venus and Uranus both turn retrograde, July 25-26, which is to say something political ends then, but another financial headline story erupts at the same time. The rest of this month has geocosmic promise of being quite eventful and possibly disruptive, as if something could be more disruptive and eventful than the world experienced last week.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
Greece is analyzing possibly taking legal action against the European institutions to block its exit from the Eurozone, according to Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, whose country is expected to fail to make Tuesday's payment to the International Monetary Fund, or IMF. "The Greek government will make use of all our legal rights," Varoufakis told British newspaper The Daily Telegraph on Tuesday (June 30). Greece, according to the newspaper, has threatened to file a court order to not only block the expulsion from the shared currency, but also to avoid stifling the country's banking system. "We are taking advice and will certainly consider an injunction at the European Court of Justice. The EU treaties make no provision for euro exit and we refuse to accept it. Our membership is not negotiable," the minister argued. EFE News Services, London, June 30, 2015.
You knew this was coming if you read this column over the past month. Greece isn't going to pay and they won't exit the Euro Union or the Eurozone. And why should they, since they are absolutely right: The EU treaties make no provision for forcing any country out of the Eurozone. No one can make them leave. They can only exit on their own decision. Here is truly a case of being too big to fail, even if the press is trying to create the illusion that they are a small country and their defiance can be easily contained. It can't, unless the court rules otherwise - unless the court makes up its own interpretation of the treaty (the laws enacted by legislative processes). We see that happening elsewhere. This is the Cardinal Climax all over again, with the same cosmic players (Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto) all in hard aspects again through the end of this year.
There are numerous astrological correlates to what is unfolding on the world stage today. However, let's just discuss this for now: Saturn has retrograded back into Scorpio, while at the same time it makes a hard semi-square (45°) aspect to Pluto and another hard sesquiquadrate (135° ) aspect to Uranus. Keep in mind that Scorpio is ruled by Pluto, so the Saturn transit back to Scorpio makes this semi-square with Pluto doubly important. It is a mutual reception, but by no means an easy one.
As Saturn moves from Sagittarius back to Scorpio (June 15 through September 18), it suggests that past debts (Saturn) must now be repaid (Scorpio), or else there are consequences (Saturn hard aspect to Pluto). The location of Saturn is also interesting, for the last four degrees of Scorpio (26-29°) is the strangest sector of all the zodiac (in my opinion). This sector has a quality much like Uranus, which means very unpredictable, full of surprising twists and turns, but never quite able to conform or agree to anything or anybody. This is the "maverick" area of the tropical zodiac, where people do not act as expected, let alone as others would wish them to act. They go way outside "the box." Sometimes it works, but more often than not, it leaves them isolated and alone. In addition, Saturn also represents delays and resistance.
This is the cosmic environment in which deadlines have been imposed upon both Greece and Iran. Neither is likely to confirm. Both are likely to propose new and unworkable proposals that are rejected by others who wish to hold them to their words, to their past agreements.
Last week was probably the best chance this summer for a workable agreement, given the cosmic alignment. It will be interesting now to see what world leaders do in response to the missed deadlines and unacceptable or rejected proposals. Expect some very outlandish new proposals to be made. But do not expect open and sincere negotiations and compromises. One can always hope for this, and we do. But as investors, it may be better to plan for opposing parties to dig in their heels and take the punches. It has the makings of a real slugfest.
As investors and traders, you must ask yourself: which markets benefit from these dynamics? As people who care about this planet, one might ask: how can we get past resentment and unaccountability, to a state of forgiveness and healing? This is the message and challenge of Saturn returning back to Scorpio this summer.
To be continued (next week).
Did you miss the June 20, 2015 "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economies" webinar by Raymond Merriman? Not to worry. You can see the whole event on MP4, which is now available. The topics - forecasts - that were discussed include the world and U.S. interest rates for the second half of 2015 and into 2020, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets discussed included Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar. Call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or go to the www.mmacycles.com website (scroll down the opening screen) to order you downloadable copy now, or email to firstname.lastname@example.org. The updated recording is expected to be ready by Wednesday. The cost is $45.00, unless preciously ordered.
Get ready! The long awaited sequel to the "Secrets of a Silver Trader" is on its way!!! Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book on "Solar-Lunar Correlation to Gold Prices: Secrets of a Gold Trader", are now underway, and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book is due out in about three months and will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Pre-order sales are now available for readers of this column at a special rate of $118 (the retail price will be $144 as soon as the pre-publication special period ends, which may be anytime in the next 1-2 months). You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email email@example.com, and place your pre-order now. It will be available for purchase on the MMA web site next week. Order now and save Big Bucks! .
MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or firstname.lastname@example.org for details or sign up.
September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special 4-day MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA, will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will discuss trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Special Keynote Speaker will be Claude Weiss of Zurich, Switzerland, speaking on "The History of Capitalism and the Saturn/Uranus/Neptune Cycle - Implications for the Present Period". Special guest presenter is Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, His topic will be, Is Physical Gold the Best Insurance Against Unprecedented Economic & Geopolitical Risks ? Cost is $3600 for sign up by June 21, 2015 (it will increase to $4000 after June 21). Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or email@example.com for details, or to sign up. Excursions to the Uffizi Art Museum and the Florence School of Wine are optional. A formal announcement is now available at www.merrimanmta.com/italy2015. A more formal brochure will be posted shortly. It's Tuscany! It's beautiful! Visit www.montegufoni.it for a description of the Castle di Montegufoni where this event will take place.
December 18-19 : Istanbul, Turkey : "Forecasts for 2016", and "Financial Market Timing" workshop with Raymond Merriman. Details for registration will be announced soon.
December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at email@example.com. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.Valeur des terres Robert Loquet - Conseiller général