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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 25 - 2015
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.
MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is now out December 12. It is available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.
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Please note that U.S markets will be closed Monday, May 25, in observance of the Memorial Day holiday.
Review and Preview :
Mercury retrograde may be striking financial markets again.
The trickster turned retrograde on May 19, the very day that the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P nearby futures made new all-time highs at 18,351 and 2134 respectively. The NASDAQ Composite, however, is still short of its all-time high of 5119 on April 27, for a case of intermarket bearish divergence.
New multi-year highs were also in evidence in China and Japan last week. The Chinese Shanghai index soared to 4658 on Friday, May 22, right between the Venus/Pluto opposition and Venus/Uranus square. That was its highest level since February 2008. Tokyo's Nikkei Index rallied to 20,320 on Thursday, May 21, its highest level in 15 years.
The rest of the world was rather tame, with most rallying well into the end of the week, but far below their all-time highs recorded in April, especially in Europe. An interesting exception to this was in Australia, where the ASX fell to 5580 on May 20, its lowest level since February 2, which was the middle of the last Mercury retrograde cycle.
Gold and Silver posted new three-month highs on May 18, the day before Mercury turned retrograde. This could be important, as the last time Mercury turned retrograde was on January 21. Both Gold and Silver posted primary cycle tops then too.
The underlying sentiment has shifted in regards to the direction of currencies and the U.S. Dollar as Mercury begins its three-week retrograde journey. Prior to this week, the Dollar was in a multi-week corrective decline as currencies, like the Euro, soared. In fact, the Euro exploded to a high of 1.1466 at the end of last week May 15, an appreciation of nearly 10% since the multi-year low of 1.0456 on March 16. That is a huge move for currencies in this brief amount of time, bit entirely consistent with studies of intermediate-term cycles in currencies. Yet, as the Euro rallied and the Dollar fell, commodities like Gold and Crude Oil also rallied. But now, as the sentiment has shifted back in favor of a stronger Dollar, Gold and Silver (and other commodities) are falling again, along with the Euro. Our bet is that this sentiment will shift back again after Mercury turns direct around June 11.
This all fits in with the Greek payment that comes due June 5. I do not think they will be able to make it, judging by the behavior of the Euro. However, after June 11, some sort of "kicking the can down the road" again will likely be enacted, which could help the Euro regain its strength again into the late summer months. Then it may come to the screeching halt in September when they miss the next payment date badly (assuming they fix one for that time), and the world realizes this is getting hopeless as Jupiter starts its T-square to Saturn and Neptune.
Best Trades of the Past Week :
Unavailable this week.
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
We now shift our market timing attention to the end of this week and beginning of the next (May 29-June 1). This will coincide with the middle of the current Mercury retrograde passage. Any market that didn't reverse nearby to the date Mercury turned retrograde (May 19) is susceptible to reversing around the middle of this retrograde period. This was highly noticeable the last two times of October 15 and February 2, when U.S. stocks posted the previous two primary cycle lows. After that, U.S. stocks soared to new all-time highs within just a few weeks.
Mercury retrograde and its midpoint are not, however, the only important geocosmic signature unfolding now. Venus is in the midst of forming a T-square with Uranus and Pluto, May 21-25. This too has a strong historical correlation to reversals in world equity markets within 4 trading days, especially in Japanese equity markets. That high in the Nikkei on Thursday, May 21, may prove to be important.
Also important is the approaching Sun/Mars conjunction on June 14. As it moves to that important period, both will form a square to another trickster-like planet, Neptune, on May 25 and May 31. On top of that, Neptune will turn retrograde on June 11, the same day that Mercury will turn direct. With Mercury retrograde, hard aspects to Neptune and Neptune turning retrograde all in the next three weeks, markets may be running on fumes - hopes and wishes, rumors, and all sorts of misinformation used to disguise the truth or awareness of what is really happening. It may also be a time when attempts are made to discredit prominent public figures (watch out Senator Elizabeth Warren) who have challenged the power structure of banking, business, and/or politics. Furthermore, it may be a time of floods and/or oil spills, causing danger to the environment.
As far as trading is concerned, the Neptune transits relate to Crude oil, which has been near a multi-month high lately. However, all markets may be subject to sudden reversals and rather sharp price swings these next few weeks, for Mercury is retrograde entirely in air signs, an element that corresponds with sudden changes of mind and direction. Yet it is all within the greater drama of the Sun and Mars coming closer and closer. They reach conjunction on June 11. Within one month (8 degrees, for those who study Financial Astrology), world equity markets often embark upon 10% or greater price reversals. Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil might too. It is not a 100% correlation. It is more like slightly better than 50%. But when you consider the DJIA has not had a 10% correction since 2011 (they are rare), and that this planetary cycle takes place at greater than 2-year intervals and it didn't happen last time, it becomes a time to pay attention to.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
"A hike in U.S. interest rates is not likely to be appropriate until early 2016, Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Wednesday. 'Inflation is too low' Evans told an audience in Munich. 'The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) should refrain from raising the federal funds rate until there is much greater confidence that inflation one or two years ahead will be at our 2 percent target'". - Reuters, May 20, 2015, "Rate Hike Not Right Until Early 2016 - Fed's Evans.
We have been stating this for a long time. There will not likely be an interest rate hike before the fourth quarter of 2015, and maybe not even until 2016. ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) lives on, due to fear of market instability - sort of like coming off an addiction/dependency to heavy drugs. Longer-term, the key to interest rates is associated with the 36-year Saturn/Neptune cycle. It is a cycle we will refer to in our June 20 special webinar on mid-year markets, and a cycle we will go into great detail with during our MMA Investment retreat in Tuscany, Italy, September 4-7 (see Announcements below). This geocosmic signature has a very high correlation to long-term cycle crests and troughs in many markets. Thus, it offers an opportunity to establish new long-term positions based on these opportunities.
From November 20, 2015 through September 10, 2016, Saturn will begin a three-passage series of a waning square aspect to Neptune. To give you a sense of its importance, just consider the last two times this happened and what was going on in the world of interest rates, commodities, and military conflicts : September 14, 1979-June 22, 1980, and July 2, 1944-April 6, 1945. In addition, this particular passage will be doubly important because Jupiter will be transiting through the sign of Virgo through Scorpio. Through my research on the current Gold Book (to be released later this year), I have found that the largest price moves in precious metals takes place during this period. Why do precious metals jump so much when Jupiter passes through this sector of the zodiac ? And why will it be so important to financial and commodity markets this time, as Saturn squares Neptune simultaneously ? Furthermore, how can this information be parlayed into a long-term investment plan ? These are questions we will answer in Tuscany.
For now, get prepared. Interesting opportunities are on the horizon.
To be continued (next week).
We are pleased to announce that www.MarketTiming.nl in Amsterdam has just finished conducting an analysis of our weekly recommendations in Gold for aggressive short-term traders in 2014 and the results shows a gain of 101.8%! Not bad!.
The pre-subscription bonus issue of the new MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be launched this week!!! The regular monthly report of this new market advisory service will commence the first week of June and will include 9 markets, written by a select group of top graduates from MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy). Each monthly issue will contain an in-depth analysis of the markets that were most requested from a survey sent out to 1000 readers of the first three complimentary issues, and then a follow up last week. These markets that will be analyzed on a regular monthly basis, starting in June will include: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index, and Natural Gas (NG) and either Corn (C) or Wheat (W) and possibly both. Please note that there will be a special report on Bitcoin in this week's bonus issue to new subscribers. However, it will not be covered afterwards. Instead, the ICR will give monthly analysis on the six markets listed above, plus the U.S. Dollar Index, Natural Gas, Corn and/or Wheat, based on your replies last week. For those who subscribe for this new service by this week, a bonus issue will be released on May 6, covering the XAU, ASX, and the British Pound (and Bitcoin). For a limited time only (until June 6), a special 10% discount introductory subscription rate will be offered to this new report. To receive your bonus copy of ICR on May 6, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/the-new-mmta-international-cycles-report-is-coming!!!-/ or www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down the opening page. Sign up now and save big bucks !.
What's Next??? Get ready! The new book on "Trading the Gold Market : Solar-Lunar Correlations to Price Reversals" is now being written and due out within six months. This book will change how you approach trading Gold, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 4% or greater reversals, and how to trade it. This book will be a very valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. Written by Raymond Merriman. More details later.
MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
June 20, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Mid-Year Outlook on Financial Markets and World Economics". one Time in June : By popular demand, a second Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Update of Financial Markets and the World Economic and Political Situation for the Last Half of 2015". With another Q&A session at the end. Cost is $45.00. Attendance is limited again to 100 people. The last one sold out, so sign up ASAP to reserve your place in this presentation.
MP4 recordings will be available three days afterwards for those unable to attend the live webinar. The speech will begin at 2:00 PM, EST. That is 11:00 AM in the Los Angeles and San Francisco, 7:00 PM in London, 8:00 PM in Zurich and Frankfort, and 6:00 AM in Australia (NSW). It will last about two hours with a 20-minute Question and Answer period at the end. The topics - forecasts - to be discussed include the world and national economy for the second half of 2015, based on cyclical and geocosmic studies. Markets to be discussed will include Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Treasuries, and the U.S. Dollar.
Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or firstname.lastname@example.org for details or sign up.
August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or email@example.com for details or to sign up.
September 4-7, 2015 : Tuscany (near Florence, Italy) : "Identifying the Next Long-Term Investment Opportunities". A special MMA retreat for independent investors and traders. Raymond Merriman, and graduates of MMTA will present their newest studies on various financial and commodity markets that are entering new long-term cycles (trends), which we believe offer long-term investment opportunities. The last day will be discussing trading plans for the next week for those who are traders. Cost is $3000-4000, depending on cut-off dates for applicants. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or firstname.lastname@example.org for details, or to sign up.
October 6-10 or 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - a Symposium of Forecasting. The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. More details later, at www.isarastrology.com.
December 11, 2015 : Tucson, AZ. "Forecasts for 2016", with Raymond Merriman. Details to be announced soon.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at email@example.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at firstname.lastname@example.org. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.Valeur des terres Robert Loquet - Conseiller général