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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 9 - 2016
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2016 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2016, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

THE HARD COPY, ENGLISH EDITION OF FORECAST 2016, HAS SOLD OUT! There will not be a second printing. However, eBook copies may still be purchased. That's the beauty of this new electronic age and books. You never sell out of eBooks.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Review and Preview :

"Donald Trump said Tuesday he would 'most likely' replace Federal Reserve Board Chairwoman Janet Yellen if elected". - David Harrison, "Trump: I'd likely Seek New Fed Chief", Wall Street Journal, May 6, 2016.

"If you think the battle between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump could be nasty, just wait until he starts on Janet Yellen with her natal full moon falling opposite his natal Mars on his Ascendant". Our second YouTube interview on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures", at : https://youtu.be/JTCO9JlCnB8, March 25, 2016.

World equity markets continued to fall last week from their 2016 highs of April 20-21, which was also an MAA three-star critical reversal period, and a time when Venus made its translation to the Uranus/Pluto square. On Friday's new Moon, May 6, stocks dropped to their lowest price since those highs of two weeks ago.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, fell from a high of 18,167 on April 20 to a low of 17,580 on Friday, May 6, after the nonfarm payroll reports showed an increase of only 160,000 jobs when expectations were for over 200,000. The market dropped, right to the extension of a former trendline as discussed in Part 1 of our YouTube series on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures". The less-than-expected payroll numbers actually boosted stocks because
1) new jobs were still up, and
2) because the increase fell below expectations, it implies the Fed will not raise interest rates soon, despite their last announcement that they were cutting back from four increases to only two this year. Maybe there will be none prior to election now, again per our YouTube interviews. The Central Banks do not want Trump to win because he threatens their independence, as Andrew Jackson. However, as far as equity markets are concerned, not raising the rates will likely propel the economy and stocks onward and upward, maybe enough to take away that campaign advantage for Trump that the economy is weak, as covered in interview #2.

In other markets, Gold and Silver made new multi-month highs on Monday, May 2, then declined into Thursday-Friday, and then Gold rallied again to test $1300 on Friday. It acted very much like a typical Mercury retrograde (April 28-May 22), by first breaking to new cycle highs, then falling below daily support, then rallying up again. Under Mercury retrograde, it seems to shift momentum every 1-4 days, exhibiting first bullish, then bearish, signals along the way, which turn out to be fake-outs. Currencies are doing the same cosmic dance, exploding to new cycle highs early last week, then falling rather hard into the end of the week. The Trickster Mercury seems to get added energy from Mars, who is also retrograde now through June 29. Treasuries were strong all week, while Crude Oil traded in a $3.00 range.

Short-Term Geocosmics & LONG-TERM THOUGHTS :

Our column last week stated, "... next week we will find a harmonious grand trine playing out between the Sun and Venus (in Taurus) to Jupiter and Pluto (in Virgo and Capricorn). That is an earth sign grand trine, which usually means "money". This favorable configuration starts May 3 and lasts through May 13.... This is one reason why it is not wise to get too bearish on the stock market. Yes, equities can fall into this period, especially given that Mercury is retrograding at 23 degrees of Taurus, which makes a hard aspect to the New York Stock Exchange chart (May 17, 1792, known as "The Buttonwood" chart). If they do continue to fall into this period, it suggests a strong rally will follow".

Besides being in the middle of favorable Jupiter transits, which can give a temporary spike to stocks, there are other notable geocosmic signatures unfolding now. On Monday, Mercury will eclipse the Sun, a rare phenomenon that happens about 13 times per century. In the skies, it will look like a black speck crossing in front of the Sun for about 6-7 hours. If you are looking for it, use proper safety glasses. I am not sure that by itself will affect financial markets, but I think May 10 could, since that is when the midpoint to this Mercury retrograde period occurs, and midpoints of Mercury retrograde have a strong correlation to reversals in financial markets that did not reverse when Mercury turned retrograde on April 28, +/- 1 day.

Another important cosmic occurrence this week occurs when heliocentric Mercury begins its 11-day journey through Sagittarius, May 13-24. This will be fascinating because that pairing usually corresponds to sharp price movements in metals and currencies (usually up), but it is occurring near the end of Mercury retrograde, which is a time that is usually not very volatile for financial markets. Which will dominate ? Or will we see both expressions manifest ?.

Longer-Term Geocosmic Signatures :

" Key U.S. economic information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released Monday. The European Central Bank published a working paper arguing that seven out of 21 market-moving announcements show evidence of "substantial informed trading" before the official release time. The authors looked at price movements 30 minutes before that data's release and studied the movements in futures on the S&P 500 index and 10-year Treasury note. They did this on 21 indicators from January 2008 to March 2014..." Steve Goldstein, "U.S. Data is Being Leaked, ECB Study Suggests", Market Watch, May 2, 2016.

"As stated before, Neptune can be sneaky, lurking invisibly behind the shadows as if part of the environment itself, while it goes about its subterfuge. It concocts ways to not be seen, and discretion is held in the highest regard in order to carry out a plot that others cannot see or discover easily. Neptune is stealth-like. When this behavior is applied to financial markets (or valuable jewelry, art, or financial portfolios), it can lead to such activities as thievery, bribery, embezzlement, hoaxes, and manipulation in order to make a financial fortune dishonestly. It can manifest as manipulation of financial markets. There have been several cases leading to charges of insider trading lately, but this may begin a new round of actual market manipulation by large firms, and even governments". Forecast 2016 Book, written by Raymond Merriman, November 2015.

Life during the 36-year Saturn/Neptune waning square cycle has certainly been... strange, especially following the Uranus/Pluto waxing square of 2012-2015. Sometimes it seems overwhelming when you try to put together just how remarkable and bizarre these years have been, and continue to be today. It is hard to comprehend because we are living in it. When you are going through the experience, it is difficult to be objective about it. It is as if you need some time and distance away from the experience to realize just how profound it is. Did anyone imagine the emergence of ISIS before this period ? Or that there would be a USA election between someone like Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who both possess the highest disapproval ratings of any two candidates running for the office of presidency ever ? With Saturn/Neptune in hard aspect, the core psychological issue to navigate is "trust versus mistrust". Who can you trust ? This was supposed to be an election about character and trust. Instead, it has become a contest between two characters that are both mistrusted by the majority of Americans.

On top of that, we now learn what has been suspected all along : financial markets may be manipulated - taken advantage of - by those who pay for access to government data just before those announcements are made public, and which sharply affect market prices right afterwards. By engaging in this dishonest behavior (Saturn square Neptune), they gain an unfair advantage over others, which amounts to thievery (also a negative manifestation of Saturn square Neptune).

Who is paying for this information ? Who is agreeing to release it ? We probably won't know while the Saturn/Neptune aspect is in effect (through September 10), for Neptune is adept at hiding what it is doing, creating distractions away from the "hand in the cookie jar".

The good news is that these transits will end, and the truth will eventually come out. With Pluto still in Capricorn through 2024, revelations of corruption will continue to come to the surface, and the public will continue to demand accountability and consequence. Right now, with Neptune having the ability to evade detection as well as accountability and consequence (domains of Saturn), these stealth-like activities will probably remain hard to discover.

However, looking ahead to 2020, we note that Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto come together in Saturn's ruling sign of Capricorn. The shift from dishonesty, in a climate of distrust, will start to give way to a climate based upon honesty and trust, resulting in a much different election climate. People think that both political parties are on the verge of self-destruction, never to return to what they once were. I don't think so. I think in 2020, both parties will return to the higher standards of what they once were. Under the Capricorn stellium, the pendulum can radically shift back to the desire for unity and basic values that once made America great. That is what Capricorn does. That is what Saturn does when aligned with Jupiter (and Pluto). I think the election of 2020 will produce a leader that will go down as one of the great presidents in US history, along the lines of Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, whether it is Elizabeth Warren or Paul Ryan.

The election of 2016 is a catalyst for this shift. It is also a turning point in a long-term social cycle that started with the Uranus/Pluto conjunction of 1965-66. Back then, the world exploded socially, politically, financially, and then manifested in the stormy violent protests of the 1968 election season. In 2012-2015, the world likewise erupted into great violence as the Uranus/Pluto first quarter cycle unfolded, highlighted by violent protests leading into the 2016 election right after the Uranus/Pluto hard aspect (again). The USA and the world made it through that period, despite the doom and gloom that the end was near. The pendulum of vast social change will make it through this one too... I think. Being a Capricorn myself, I always believe history repeats itself, But I always worry that the great German philosopher Friedrich Hegel may be right too, when he wrote, "What experience and history teach us is this : that people and governments have never learned anything from history".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             The next Raymond Merriman webinar will take place Sunday, June 5, at 11:45 AM, Eastern Daylight time. It will last a little less than two hours, and will cover the outlook for interest rates, real estate market, grains and foods, Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, and the U.S. Dollar. The cost will be $45.00. A power point of the slides will be included with your reservation. TO RESERVE YOUR SPOT AT THIS EVENT, call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or email ordersmma@msn.com. In about three weeks, you will be able to reserve on line. Live attendance will be limited to 100 people. All of these webinars have sold out in the past, so reserve early and guarantee your slot

             We are pleased to announce announce the release of a new book titled "Mundane Astrology 2016" by Toshi Nippou, our MMA sponsor (agent) in Japan. This book is compilation of many of my Mundane Astrology articles from Forecasts Books and weekly columns, put together by Hiyoka Akiyama, who translated these works into Japanese. For our Japanese audience, you can go to and learn more about this exciting new publication. I only wish I could read Japanese. I would love to see this new book.

             Our fourth interview on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures", has now been posted on our YouTube station at https://youtu.be/XoWP_ku6Pus. This latest video focuses on the importance of the current Mercury retrograde and contains a special section on the recent explosion upwards in Silver prices. All four interviews are available for viewing. Part 1 can be seen at : https://youtu.be/KmaySvng0dk, and Part 2 at https://youtu.be/JTCO9JlCnB8. Part 3 may also be viewed now at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7YGVkmlSew. These videos are getting great reviews and are very relevant right now. Hosted by German Journalist and Astrologer Antonia Langsdorf, interviewing Raymond Merriman, these YouTube videos describe the incredible spring geocosmic lineup now in force, and its association with financial markets and world affairs. You will not be disappointed. You will be surprised. .

             We have just completed a fascinating interview with Ted Lee Fisher, the keynote speaker at the 2017 MMA Investment Retreat taking place March 10-13, 2017, in sunny San Diego, California. Go there to read about this remarkable trader and analyst.

             We are pleased to announce that the second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in San Diego, California, March 10-13, 2017. One of our guest speakers will be Ted Lee Fisher, money manager, retired member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures for his pioneering work on creating Treasury futures. He is one of the most profound thinkers I have met on the current situation in world financial markets - a brilliant man and savvy trader, who has also been an ordained Buddhist Monk, and for 40 years, a diligent practicing lay person. We will open up early registration for this event shortly. Stay tuned, and don't miss this powerfully enlightening event!

             New interview! It seems like we are in demand for interviews lately, which is a good thing. It probably also illuminates the fact that the investment world is in a state of uncertainty right now, and given our accurate forecasts of late, and outlook for 2016, they want to know what we think, how we view the current state of affairs financially and politically. The highly regarded FXstreet.com just conducted an interview/review of Forecast 2016 Book by yours truly.
It is very good, discussing major political, economic, and financial market themes of 2016. To view please go to http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/conversations-with-forex-experts/2016/02/18. It is in English here, but will soon be translated into Spanish. For our Spanish-speaking friends, FXstreet.com will be posting our free weekly column in Spanish shortly.

             The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be released this week. Each issue contains an in-depth analysis of: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). The analysis of these markets is written by three of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), along with myself on the Australian markets, starting with this issue. One of the several good calls in last issue was in Wheat, where Izabella wrote "Let's get out of half our (long) positions at 499.25+/-5.19 in the next two or three weeks. We expect the market to top April 19-20 or 22-25 as there will be strong aspects including Mars and Pluto turning retrograde".   BINGO as the high was 510.75 on April 21, 2016. Nice call Izabella! If you do not subscribe to this report and would like to, please go to www.mmacycles.com, and select SERVICES or SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES and look up the MMTA International Cycles report.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is now completed and HAS SOLD OUT! There will not be a second printing. However, eBook copies may still be purchased. That is the beauty of this new electronic age and books. You never sell out of eBooks.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2016 will also available in four other languages, as follows :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Russian : at http://www.mmafinance.ru

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 5, 2016, 11:45 AM, EST : Mid-year Review of Financial Markets with Raymond Merriman. Our next webinar. Reservations to the live event online is limited to the first 100 people who apply. Cost is @45.00, and will last slightly less than 2 hours.

             October 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). The climax will be a panel of expert Mundane Astrologers giving their Forecast of the USA 2016 Presidential Election. An "Application to Speak" process is currently underway. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             March 9-13, 2017 : Second MMA Investment Retreat, tentatively planned for Southern California or Hawaii now (no Sedona). Details soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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