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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 4 - 2016
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2016 will also available in five other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2016, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

THE HARD COPY, ENGLISH EDITION OF FORECAST 2016, HAS SOLD OUT! There will not be a second printing. However, eBook copies may still be purchased. That's the beauty of this new electronic age and books. You never sell out of eBooks.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Download the movie for the Brexit (movie in english). The murder of Jo Cox.

Review and Preview :

Markets will be closed in the USA on Monday, July 4, in observance of Independence Day.

Mars ended its retrograde motion last week, June 29, and the global panic in equity markets, caused by the Brexit vote in the UK, also ended last week. Most of the world stock indices ended their sharp declines on either Friday, June 24, or Monday, June 27, as Mars was stationary at 23 ° Scorpio. This was clearly in the time band for a bottom, based on the history of Mars in this degree. As discussed in last week's column, "The good news is that this geocosmic signature (Mars ending its retrograde motion) indicates that this decline - this crash, this particular flight of this particular Black Swan - is due to end shortly, to be followed by an impressive rally. In our studies, as discussed in prior columns, we noted that Mars in 23° Scorpio also makes a T-square to the Mercury/Pluto square in the New York Stock Exchange Chart ("The Buttonwood" chart of May 17, 1792). Mars is in 23° Scorpio, June 18-July 11. Sometime in this time band, the end of this sharp decline is due, per these studies". June 24-27 was the bottom, and within the forecasted time band for the end of this decline.

Not only did equity markets bottom early last week, but then they skyrocketed sharply higher by the end of the week. In the Far East and Pacific Rim, the Australian ASX fell to 5131 on June 28, its lowest mark since mid-April. By Friday, it was up to 5356. India's Sensex market fell to a low of 25,911 on June 24. By Friday, July 1, it was up as high as 27,243. China's Shanghai Index was down to a low of 2807 on June 24, and by July 1, it was back to 2945. A similar pattern was noted in Hong Kong's Hang Seng index, which bottomed at 19,662 on June 24. It was not open on Friday, July 1, but even on Thursday, it was up as high as 20,828. Japan's markets were even more dramatic. The Nikkei index fell to 14,864 on June 24, its lowest price since October 2014, and marking a double bottom to its 14,865 low of February 12. However, by Thursday, June 30, it traded as high as 15,781.

European indices were the hardest hit, of course, due to the Brexit vote. But they also experienced the strongest rallies afterwards. Most of the European markets fell to their lowest levels since February. The Netherlands AEX bottomed at 409.23 on June 24 and soared to 440.30 one week later on July 1. The German DAX traded as low as 9214 on Monday, June 27, but recovered to an intraday high of 9806 on Friday. The Zurich SMI bottomed at 7475 on June 24, and was back as high as 8098 on Friday, July 1. But the most impressive rally was, of course, in the London FTSE, which found a floor at 5788 on June 24, and roared back to a high of 6587 on July 1, a one-week gain of nearly 14%. So far no harm, as most indices roared back into the black for the week.

In the Americas, the Dow Jones Industrial Average underwent a nearly 1000-point reversal from a low of 17,063 on Monday to over 18,000 intraday on Friday. The NASDAQ Composite went from 4574 on June 27 to a high of 4880 on July 1. More impressive than both was the Argentina Merval Index, which soared to a new all-time high of 16,156 on Friday, July 1.

Global equity markets were not the only newsworthy event in the financial markets following the Brexit vote of June 23. The British Pound experienced a huge decline from a high of 150.18 on June 24 to a low of 131.18 on June 27. That was a decline of nearly 13%. Financier George Soros had predicted that a UK vote to leave the EU would cause the British Pound to immediately fall 15%. He was not far off. And as the Pound fell, the FTSE recovered, because now British goods are relatively inexpensive in other currencies. Contrary to the claims of the "Remain" group and those of US President Barack Obama, the Brexit decision by voters may actually help the world trading status of the UK. Great Britain will not fall to the back of the queue. Instead, they suddenly jump to the front of the line as demand for British goods appreciate at these very attractive prices. I think I will go out and buy some fish and chips and pudding this weekend. Maybe a Jaguar or Rolls Royce too. On second thought, fish and chips only.

Gold and Silver performed well, but with an asterisk next to Silver. Gold peaked at 1362.60 on June 24, the prior week, and its highest level since March 2014. It stayed relatively high this week, well above 1300, but it could not take out the high of June 24. Silver, on the other hand, just exploded, soaring to $19.75/ounce, its highest mark since August 2014. When you consider that it was trading at $17.18 just one week ago, you realize that it gained nearly 15% that quickly. This all fits with the analysis given in our recent webinar on the "Mid-Year Financial Markets Outlook", which is still very relevant, valuable, and available in MP3 format with 80 charts included.

In retrospect, last week was an incredible end to "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures", which was the subject of our 4-part interview, now available on our YouTube station (Raymond Merriman). These interviews were conducted in March and April, and described very well the types of conditions just experienced in the world of politics, central banking, and financial markets, with one of the times of interest identified as June 13-29. You can view these interviews on the links identified in our "Announcements" section below.

Short-Term Geocosmics AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS :

"We have been tempted to believe that society has become too complex to be managed by self-rule, that government by an elite group is superior to government for, by, and of the people... No better symptom exists of the compact breaking apart than the European Central Bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. They epitomize the exhaustion of elite administrative intelligence. For seven years they failed at restoring even average economic strength, disappearing now into a black hole called negative interest rates". - Daniel Henninger, "Government Hits the Wall", Wall Street Journal, June 30, 2016.

Mars will remain in 23° Scorpio through July 11, as it changes its direction from retrograde to direct. Thus, even though equity markets exhibited a very strong rally last week off their June 24-28 lows, we cannot rule out another sharp decline now that Mars is turning direct and will pass over the same degree and minutes of Scorpio these next two weeks. However, it will be very surprising if the decline gives back all of these gains, based on cyclical reasons discussed in our subscription reports.

There is also a fundamental reason why equities may not come back to those lows again for a while: the Federal Reserve Board will not likely raise its short-term interest rates. It will do whatever it can to support a rising stock market into the election and thereby create a "wealth effect" for likely voters (see the YouTube interview, Part 2). In the process, it will detract from Donald Trump's main campaign issue: that this is a lousy economy. As long as people see their net worth increasing, they won't care about the number of people who have dropped off the labor market payrolls, or who cannot find full time work, or who have not seen their wages appreciate much at all. As long as stocks increase, those other factors won't matter much to these voters.

Also, it really doesn't concern too many voters that their savings accounts pay no interest, because the capital appreciation on their stock gains more than offset that. Additionally, they don't care or even think about the rabid growth of the U.S. national debt. Actually, one reason for its bold increase is due to the lack of taxes made or paid on interest income from savings. That figure is probably a stunning $1-2 trillion in lost taxes per year that the government has lost out on since 2008. This is one of the legacies (unintended consequences) from the Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015 that coincided with massive and irresponsible government expansion and spending leading to such a huge debt that forced the central banks to embark upon ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policies). They really had no choice given that their duty is to provide (monetary) policies that support government (fiscal) policies. If the government spends more than it brings in, the central banks must bring rates down so the government leaders can afford to borrow in order carry out their "blind visions" (read; delusions of grandeur, or obsessions with legacies). Forget the needs of the common people and future generations, despite campaign promises to the contrary.

But back to today's markets... Venus is now entering into an opposition with Pluto, and square to Uranus, June 30-July 7. This is known as a "translation" of Venus, and it has a strong correlation to a sudden reversal of short-term trends. The short-term trend has been up in the past week, so there is a chance stocks could top out here and embark upon a healthy pullback. However, anytime you have Uranus involved, you also have to consider that it might lead to a breakout to a new cycle high or low, and not a reversal. Therefore, if the stock market doesn't pull back this week, we might instead see a continuation of this explosive rally to a new all-time or cycle high in some stock indices, even in this next week, just as we are now witnessing with Silver, as we start this Venus translation time band.

LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS AND MUNDANE ASTROLOGY :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             The MMA Mid-Year Update webinar with Raymond Merriman took place Sunday, June 5. The recording of this event is now available for download. It was a very good presentation, chock full of timely and valuable information. The webinar lasted about two hours, and covered the outlook for Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, Crude Oil, Grains (Soybeans) and the U.S. Dollar. It also analyzed the charts of the German DAX index, the Australian Dollar, Apple, and CGW (the water ETF) charts. There was an interesting Q and A at end. The cost this recording is $45.00 and includes the 88 power point slides. You may order the downloadable recording by going there, or email ordersmma@msn.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-662-3349.

             Our fourth interview on "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures", has now been posted on our YouTube station at https://youtu.be/XoWP_ku6Pus. This latest video focuses on the importance of the current Mercury retrograde and contains a special section on the recent explosion upwards in Silver prices. All four interviews are available for viewing. Part 1 can be seen at : https://youtu.be/KmaySvng0dk, and Part 2 at https://youtu.be/JTCO9JlCnB8. Part 3 may also be viewed now at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7YGVkmlSew. These videos are getting great reviews and are very relevant right now. Hosted by German Journalist and Astrologer Antonia Langsdorf, interviewing Raymond Merriman, these YouTube videos describe the incredible spring geocosmic lineup now in force, and its association with financial markets and world affairs. You will not be disappointed. You will be surprised. .

             W!

             New interview! It seems like we are in demand for interviews lately, which is a good thing. It probably also illuminates the fact that the investment world is in a state of uncertainty right now, and given our accurate forecasts of late, and outlook for 2016, they want to know what we think, how we view the current state of affairs financially and politically. The highly regarded FXstreet.com just conducted an interview/review of Forecast 2016 Book by yours truly.
It is very good, discussing major political, economic, and financial market themes of 2016. To view please go to http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/conversations-with-forex-experts/2016/02/18. It is in English here, but will soon be translated into Spanish. For our Spanish-speaking friends, FXstreet.com will be posting our free weekly column in Spanish shortly.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is now completed and HAS SOLD OUT! There will not be a second printing. However, eBook copies may still be purchased. That is the beauty of this new electronic age and books. You never sell out of eBooks.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2016 will also available in four other languages, as follows :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Russian : at http://www.mmafinance.ru
Then year is now 5 months complete, and we will now drop the price for copies of the Forecast 2016 e-book from $55.00 to $35.00. MMA will also offer a one-month special of a free copy of the Forecast 2016 e-book with any order exceeding $250.00 (offer ends June 30). The Forecast 2016 Book is still very valuable. The first 50 pages cover the outlook not only for 2016, but the year's role in the greater outlook for the next ten years, when Saturn and Neptune will start a new conjunction cycle on February 20, 2026, as both cross over into 0° Aries. It describes the correlation of this planetary pair cycle to the political situation in Russia as well as its correspondence to long-term USA interest rates. Equally valuable are the 7 months of geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates (CRDs) still remaining in the year for USA stocks, Gold and Silver, Treasuries, Currencies, Crude Oil and Grain prices. Order now at the discounted rate and get your copy of the Forecast 2016 Book while it is still current and of great value.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

 Raymond Merriman will be traveling to Paris, Cologne, and Amsterdam in the second half of July to meet with subscribers. If you are interested in attending or hosting any of these meetings with other MMA subscribers, please drop a line to mmacycles@msn.com.

             October 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). There will be two panels on the USA 2016 presidential election (one of foreign and one of USA astrologers with excellent track records for predicting election winners). The symposium itself will feature six tracks on various forecasting technicals and applications, including a financial track for market timers, with forecasts of various financial markets (including yours truly, Raymond Merriman). I will give a presentation on the correlation of the US Dollar to the USA presidential election, as well as my outlook on precious metals and stock markets. Expected attendance is approximately 500-600, including presentations by over 60 of the world's top forecasting astrologers. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             March 9-13, 2017 : The second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in San Diego, California, March 9-13, 2017, located right on the Pacific Ocean. You will be hearing more about this spectacular retreat soon, but save the dates now. One of our guest speakers will be Ted Lee Fisher, money manager, retired member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures for his pioneering work on creating Treasury futures. He is one of the most profound thinkers I have met on the current situation in world financial markets - a brilliant man and savvy trader. Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, an asset management company based on wealth preservation principles, will also be a guest speaker. Matterhorn has clients in over 40 countries and Gold vaults in Zurich, the Swiss Alps, Singapore and Hong Kong. Egon was one of the individuals behind the "Save Our Swiss Gold" referendum in Switzerland in 2015. Also present will be some of the brightest minds from the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) who will present their latest research on the best investment ideas of 2017-2018. Go there for early-bird registration (before June 21, 2015), and do not miss this powerfully enlightening event !. Save the dates! It will be special. Cost is $4000 ($3300 if reserved by July 1, 2016, $3600 if reserved by October 15). Details now available on the MMA website (www.mmacycles.com).

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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