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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 10 - 2016
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2017 will also available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2017, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

It's that time of the year again! As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 31, 2016, and that discount period starts NOW. The price of the Forecast 2017 Book will remain at $55.00 plus postage. However, if pre-ordered before October 31, the cost is $45.00 plus postage. The Forecast 2017 Book will be available in both paper and electronic editions. There is no postage for the electronic book format.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : I will be attending and overseeing the ISAR 2016 Symposium, October 13-17, in Costa California (Orange County Hilton Hotel and Spa). I may not be writing a column next week, or if I do, it will be brief. Looking forward to seeing many of you in person next week !.

Review and Preview :

"The British Pound briefly fell to a new 31-year low Friday plunging 6.1% in early Asian trading before recovering. The tumble in Asia appears to be related to a "fat finger" error by a trader or a rogue automated trading algorithm. However, comments by French President Francois Hollande calling for the European Union to take a firm stance with the United Kingdom in negotiations over its decision to leave the bloc may also be partly to blame. The pound fell as low as $1.1841, its lowest level since March 1985, in "two minutes of chaos" during Asia hours, according to Bloomberg. On Tuesday, the pound also plummeted after Prime Minister Theresa May said she would start the process to leave the EU by the end of March 2017. The pound has dropped around 17% since reaching a 2016 high of $1.50 on June 23, the day of the U.K.'s vote on the EU". - Jane Onyanga-Omara, USA TODAY, October 7, 2016.

There were several big stories in financial markets last week. Perhaps the biggest was the plunge in the British Pound on Friday morning, well before USA markets opened. That was enough to push the U.S. Dollar briefly above an important three-point downward primary trendline at 96.76. It went as high as 97.18 on Friday, before closing the week back below at 96.50, near the lows of the day.

The strength in the U.S. Dollar had a chilling effect on Gold and Silver, which fell sharply on Tuesday and continued lower the rest of the week. The previous week, Gold was testing 1350. On Friday, it was testing 1240. The carnage was similar with Silver, which started the week trading as high as 19.38. By Friday, it was testing 17.00, the low of the day, before closing near 17.50. These are the lowest levels for each since June.

The volatility in the currencies is not only related to the issues of Brexit. The greater concern is that the Federal Reserve Board has backed itself into a corner. The only way out seems to be that it must raise its short-term interest rates. It got a little relief when Friday's payroll reports showed a less than expected gain in the jobs market. The shortfall was not enough to damage the claim that new US jobs still continue to show gains. That's good news for Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. However, the continued strength of the US Dollar going into this election resurrects the 16-year cycle correlation that favors a Republican presidential victory. That is, every 16 years the U.S. Dollar makes a high within 9 months of the presidential election when a Republican wins. This is that 16 th year (as was 2000 with Bush Jr, 1984 with Reagan, 1968 with Nixon, and 1952 with Eisenhower). Every 16 years, the US Dollar makes a low too, and a Democrat wins. That was the case for Obama in 2008, and before that, Bill Clinton in 1992, Carter in 1976, Kennedy in 1960, and Roosevelt in 1944.

There are reasons why this cycle has worked in the past. It is interesting that it broke that cycle in 1928 and 1936, and consider why it might break the cycle this time as well, with similar consequences as the 1928-1944 period. I will cover this subject in my talk at the ISAR conference on Saturday, October 15, in Costa Mesa, California.

Bucking the trend of the bearish effect of Dollar gains on commodities was crude oil, where prices rallied above 50.00/barrel for the first time since June. Let's see. crude oil rallies to its highest level since June and Gold falls to its lowest level since June. How long can that divergence continue? Not much longer, I suspect.

Equity markets stayed mostly in a range since their lows of September 14-16 (MMA's last three-star critical reversal date was September 15). There were exceptions, such as in Brazil, where the Bovespa index soared to its highest level since September 2014. Argentina's Merval also soared last week, in fact, to a new all-time high. Investment opportunities are arising in South America. The plunging British Pound has also had a bullish reaction in the UK stock market, where the London FTSE index soared to 7121 on October 4, its highest mark since April 27, 2015.

Short-Term Geocosmics & longer-term THOUGHTS :

The extreme plunge in the British Pound can be tied astrologically to Mars square Jupiter last week. As our precious column stated, "The middle of next week (Wednesday, October 5), finds Mars in Capricorn making a waxing square with Jupiter in Libra, both Cardinal signs. Mars stirs things up. It can be very reactive to news. Jupiter represents the dynamic of exaggeration". The "exaggeration" was observable in both the pound and precious metals.

But strong moves in other financial markets are also possible this month. As discussed last week, and still operative, "The Sun will make a T-square with Pluto and Uranus, October 7 and 15 respectively. As well, when we see Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus in aspect to one other close in time, it often coincides with large price swings. October is known for such large price movements anyway, but it may be stronger than usual this October. Once the Sun is done making its translation to Uranus and Pluto, Mars will follow with a conjunction to Pluto and square to Uranus, October 19-28. It may get very wild. If markets turn down, they could do so heavily". Such signatures involving Pluto and Uranus can also coincide with powerful forces of nature, or even terrorist activity, threatening the lives of many humans. We are witnessing this now as Hurricane Matthew has struck the Caribbean Islands and is now moving up the east coast of the USA. This could climax in about a week, as we approach the full moon of October 16, which is already in the middle of the entire time band of these two planetary translations, October 7-28.

LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS AND MUNDANE ASTROLOGY :

"The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter". - Winston Churchill, as quoted by Lee Pollack in the Wall Street Journal, October 7, 2016, "Churchill on Trump and Clinton".

"Great men have big failures. And then they take those failures and they turn them into great results". - Rudy Giuliani, in article titles "Giuliani Sharpens Focus on Election", by Sara Randazzo, Wall Street Journal, October 7, 2016".

"This year I am seeing something especially among the young of politics and journalism. They have received most of what they know about political history through screens.. Watching a movie about the Cuban Missile Crisis shows you a drama. Reading about it shows you a dilemma.. If you can't read deeply, you will not be able to think deeply. If you can't think deeply you will not be able to lead well, or report well". Peggy Noonan, "The Politics of 'The Shallows,'" Wall Street Journal, October 1-2.

There will be several important intermediate-term geocosmic signatures arising shortly. One that I would like to address in this week's column, takes place on November 24. That is when Jupiter will make its first of three waning square passages to Pluto. This is the third quarter phase of its cycle that began with the single passage conjunction on December 11, 2007. All phases tend to exhibit themes that were present at the start of the cycle. Therefore, we can reflect back on the period around December 2007 and get a glimpse of themes that will be prevalent late this year through much of 2017. December 2007 was right after the then all-time high in the DJIA of 14,198 on October 11, 2007, a level not seen again until 2013. Pluto themes relates to the three D's: debt, deficits, and defaults. The three D's were very prominent at that time, as the sub-prime housing crisis erupted in the summer of 2007, and then got out of control in January 2008, leading to the Great Recession within weeks after that planetary cycle started. The central time band of this current Jupiter/Pluto waning square will be in effect November 24, 2016 through August 4, 2017.

Taken one step further, this whole period will witness another cardinal T-square in the cosmos, this time between Jupiter, Pluto, and Uranus. It is not as strong as experienced in 2008-2010, when Saturn was also present. However, three of those four planets (75%) will be involved again. That will give you a general idea of the potency to anticipate in financial and economic areas in 2017, compared with 2008-2010 - about 75% as strong, with many of the same issues that were present then, arising once again. We can note that the period was not entirely filled with losses. After all, the USA government did pass its first universal health care program, known today as ObamaCare. Ummmm. wait a minute. that program is on the verge of collapse now. It may be another victim of the three D's. Or maybe it will turn out to be one of the positive three R's of Pluto: reform, repair, and recycle. Something has got to give. That is the nature of Pluto, and it is also the nature of the third quarter phase of a cycle, when the needs identified at the start of the cycle are now seen to be obsolete and in need of a major overhaul.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             MP4's OF LAST WEEK'S SEPTEMBER 24 WEBINAR ON FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THE USA ELECTION ARE NOW AVAILABLE !!! This Autumnal Equinox webinar analyzed the end-of year outlook for Gold, Silver, the USA stock market, crude oil, and the U.S. Dollar, as of September 24, 2016. It also discussed, at length, the USA Election and the change in the world order that will result. A forecast was made as to who would win. The cost of the MP4 recording is $45.00. Get ready for Election 2016! This is a presentation you will not want to miss! To order your MP4 recording, call MMA at 1-248-626-3034, or email ordersmma@msn.com. Or, go to the www.mmacycles.com website to make your reservation.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book.

It's that time of the year again! As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 31, 2016, and that discount period starts NOW. The price of the Forecast 2017 Book will remain at $55.00 plus postage. However, if pre-ordered before October 31, the cost is $45.00 plus postage. The Forecast 2017 Book will be available in both paper and electronic editions. There is no postage for the electronic book format.

Additionally, all pre-order purchases qualify for a 10% discount on any 1-year MMA financial markets subscription service! This includes the MMA Cycles Report, the MMA Weekly, and/or the MMA Daily reports, which provide specific analysis and recommendations to several financial markets, including the DJIA, S&P, NASDAQ, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Currencies, Crude Oil, and Soybeans. It also includes the International Cycles Report (ICR) and Nitin Bhandari's Crude Oil report (daily, weekly, and monthly).This is an exceptional time to subscribe to any of these reports, which have been exceptionally profitable in 2016. To qualify for this discount, use the discount code SALE17 at the checkout when you order Forecast 2017 Book online at www.mmacycles.com.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner (or click Products - Books. ORDER NOW AND SAVE BIG BUCKS!!!

This year's printed version of Forecast 2017 will also available in these languages:
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
You can view MMA's Forecast for 2016 Scorecard at www.mmacycles.com. Click on NEWS AND EVENTS. Scroll down to the "Scorecard". As you will see, it was indeed a very good year.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             October 13-17, 2016 : ISAR 2016 - "The Power of Forecasting Meets the Consequence of Choice". Costa Mesa, California (near LA). There will be two panels on the USA 2016 presidential election (one of foreign and one of USA astrologers with excellent track records for predicting election winners). The symposium itself will feature six tracks on various forecasting technicals and applications, including a financial track for market timers, with forecasts of various financial markets (including yours truly, Raymond Merriman). I will give a presentation on the correlation of the US Dollar to the USA presidential election, as well as my outlook on precious metals and stock markets. Expected attendance is approximately 500-600, including presentations by over 60 of the world's top forecasting astrologers. More details at www.isarastrology.com, and via the ISAR ezine that is sent out to all members of the organization. This event will include tracks on Mundane and Financial Astrology as Forecasting Tools, plus others on Psychological Shifts in Life, Timing of Spiritual Transformations, and Timing of Significant Relationships.

             January 13, 2017 : "Trends for 2017 !" Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. This will be part of a congress on Forecasts for 2017, including Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling. Alexandra Klingenhammer, Verena Bachmann, and Christoph-Schubert-Weller. For further information on this exciting event, please go to www.mma-europe.ch, or call AstroData at 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email at info@mma-europe.ch.

             March 9-13, 2017 : The second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in San Diego, California, March 9-13, 2017, located right on the Pacific Ocean. You will be hearing more about this spectacular retreat soon, but save the dates now. One of our guest speakers will be Ted Lee Fisher, money manager, retired member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures for his pioneering work on creating Treasury futures. He is one of the most profound thinkers I have met on the current situation in world financial markets - a brilliant man and savvy trader. Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, an asset management company based on wealth preservation principles, will also be a guest speaker. Matterhorn has clients in over 40 countries and Gold vaults in Zurich, the Swiss Alps, Singapore and Hong Kong. Egon was one of the individuals behind the "Save Our Swiss Gold" referendum in Switzerland in 2015. Also present will be some of the brightest minds from the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) who will present their latest research on the best investment ideas of 2017-2018. Go there for early-bird registration (before June 21, 2015), and do not miss this powerfully enlightening event !. Save the dates! It will be special. Cost is $4000 ($3300 if reserved by July 1, 2016, $3600 if reserved by October 15). Details now available on the MMA website.

             June 3-4, 2017 : It is on! Trinity College at Oxford University ! Two-day workshop on MMA Financial Market Timing in Oxford, England. Cost is 995 £. More details will be coming soon! .

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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