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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 19 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Worries of escalating trade wars could be a longer-term negative for the dollar, even as the currency gets a temporary lift ahead of the Fed's meeting next week. The dollar is seeing some support as the markets anticipate that the Fed will raise interest rates by a quarter-point next Wednesday. But the dollar has also been buffeted by other headlines, including threats of a trade war with China and a tumultuous reshuffling of cabinet members, with Secretary of State Rex Tillerson the latest to leave and others rumored to be fired by President Donald Trump. - Patti Domm, "Trade War Scare Could Bring on a Dollar Slump", www.cnbc.com, March 16, 2018.

First it is steel beams, then Jim Beam, then Beemers. Remember that tariffs are effectively taxes… Trade wars have a way of intensifying. Immediately after announcing tariffs, the European Union warned that it would slap penalties on American bourbon. (Trump) replied that the U.S. could impose tariffs on European cars. That is exactly how trade wars escalate…. The tariffs also punish American allies more than any other nations… the top three exporters of steel to the U.S. are Canada, Brazil, and South Korea. - Alan Binder, former vice-chairman of the Federal Reserve, "This is Exactly How Trade Wars Begin", Wall Street Journal, March 15, 2018.

The markets are very nervous. They became more nervous in the past two weeks since Donald Trump announced his intention of implying tariffs, especially on China and our closest trade partners. That tension escalated even more last week on Trump's firing of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, following the prior week's resignation by Chief Economic Advisor Gary Cohn, with the prospect of more exits shortly by other top administration officials. Amidst all of the instability and uncertainty, the stock markets of the world are exhibiting their own uncertainty and confusion. They try to rally, but they struggle to make or maintain new highs. They try to sell off, but they can't break below important support.

Last week witnessed the NASDAQ rallying to a new all-time highs early Tuesday, but not accompanied by either the DJIA or S&P. They all then declined, especially the NASDAQ, into the end of the week, despite a rather feeble attempt to recover by the other two indices. Most world indices, including the DJIA, Nikkei, DAX, and Hang Seng, couldn't even take out their highs of February 27, which were well below their highs of the prior month, for multiple cases of intermarket bearish divergence. They are nervous. Maybe it is because the Sun is in Pisces, the last degrees of the last sign of the zodiac. It is a symbol of an end to a cycle and the start of a new one when the Sun enters Aries. Winter officially ends and spring begins, in the northern hemisphere. But because it is Pisces, we tend to be unable to see the end. We tend to be unable to see anything clearly, except God, and we wonder if that is an illusion too because this is usually a time indicating a crisis in faith. Is it a crisis of faith in ourselves, or in our leaders ? It is a certainly a crisis of faith in the future direction of equities, related to a crisis of faith in the future of the national and world economy, now that the possibility of trade wars is on the table and in discussions in the board rooms of major global corporations.

And then again, maybe this is all a strategic negotiation tactic by President Trump to secure better trade deals, as his newly appointed Economic Advisor Larry Kudlow believes. Maybe Donald Trump is the smartest man in the world. Or, in the words of Wall Street columnist Peggy Noonan, "You think : On some level, this is working. And on some level, he is crazy. Then you realize everything you've learned in life as a leader... tells you this : Crazy doesn't last. Crazy doesn't go the distance. Crazy is an unstable element that, when let loose in an unstable environment, explodes. And so your disquiet. Sooner or later something bad will happen… centrists and moderates are seeing what Trump supporters cannot, will not, see". (Wall Street Journal, March 10-11, 2018). On the other hand, if he is the smartest man on the planet, or even an exceptional negotiator who really understands the "art of the deal", then the USA and its allies may be on the brink of a powerful rising economy and stock market. That requires an awful lot of faith in the leader of the free world, which is another reason so many are experiencing a crisis in faith. It is either boom or bust, and possibly both, in that order, according to the history of Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto cycles unfolding in 2018-2023, as discussed in the Forecast 2018 Book.

One would think this uncertainty and nervousness would have been bullish for precious metals and Bitcoin, but it wasn't. Gold is still hovering between 1310-1315, while Silver fell to 16.20 on Friday. Both are near their lows for this year recorded on our March 1 three-star geocosmic critical reversal date. Bitcoin fell to 7670 on March 15, its lowest level in five weeks, since it bottomed at 5911 on February 6. It has already rallied 12% off that low in just one day.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

You can't always get what you want.
But if you try sometimes,
Well, you just might find…
You get what you need"

•  The Rolling Stones, "You Can't Always Get What You Want", 1969.

The final Jupiter transit on the March 13 coincided with the end of the stock market rally associated with the Jupiter-heavy time band of March 1-13. Now we head into a new series of transits that have a historical correlation to reversals in many financial markets. The most notable will be Mercury turning retrograde on March 22, followed by Venus making a square to Pluto and conjunction to Uranus on March 23 and 28. Each of these has a 70-80% rate of frequency to 4% reversals in US stock indices within 4 trading days. The orb of influence of each these overlap March 22-28, too.
It is confusing enough for investors, with the Sun in Pisces until Tuesday, March 20. But it isn't likely to get clearer when Mercury turns retrograde March 22-April 14. Politicians and bankers may be tempted to make decisions that are not well-thought out. Either adjustments will have to be made afterwards, or there will be unintended consequences during or shortly following that period. People need time to gather all the information necessary in order to make intelligent decisions. This is a time band best used to gather that information, but not necessarily to make that final decision, especially if you are a Gemini who is prone to change his/her mind, and who wishes to keep his/her options open.

There may be other factors arising that sustain the level of tension and nervousness currently being experienced by market participants. The Sun will make a square to Mars and Saturn, March 24-29, followed by the war-like conjunction of Mars and Saturn in Capricorn on April 2. This may be a frustrating period for those who try to push matters through quickly. Nothing good comes from forcing an issue before its time is ripe. For those who try to do this, the usual reaction is one of frustration and then anger. This period can be used constructively to just work hard on your own projects, get them completed correctly (and without rushing), and do not depend on support from others who simply aren't interested in supporting you or who do not have the time to help you because of their own heavy workload. Those who succeed under this combination are both independent and self-sufficient. Those who do not succeed, tend to be needy and overly dependent of approval from others, and then over-react when they don't get that support or approval from others that they want.

The climate gets easier after early April, as tensions start to recede. Until then, try not to stress yourself out. Breathe deeply, work hard (but don't overwork), and stick to your plans. You can always get what you need, especially if you just try sometimes.


Longer-term thoughts :

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The new MMA Bitcoin Daily Report has started !. And it made its first official trade on Thursday, March 15, as Bitcoin made a new multi-week low. The cost for this new report is $1500/year or $150/mo, but it is included in the MMA Daily subscription report too, along with 10 other markets (stock indices, Gold, Silver, Euro, Yen, and T-Notes). The reason we like Bitcoin for traders is because 50+% moves seem to happen every couple of weeks. Also, we like it because it seems to have its favorite solar/lunar combinations for reversals. It is a great market for speculators and aggressive traders, who understand how to manage the risk (don't trade more than your life style can afford to lose). We use the current nearby futures contract as the basis for our analysis, which can easily be used by those who want to actually own bitcoins (or its relatives, like Ethereum and Lite Coin). For those who sign up this week, we will also provide a FREE COPY of our recent March 8 webinar for subscribers ("Q&A with Ray"), which includes the tables on our initial research results of daily bitcoin reversals of 10% or more related to lunar movements since July 2014. The initial results are impressive! To sign up, please go to the front-page banner at www.mmacycles.com and click the Bitcoin image. Or, call us at 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034. Or email us at cusatomeservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : There was a Special One-Hour Exclusive "Q&A with Ray" on March 8, 4:30 PM, EST, hosted for MMA subscribers only. There was no charge. If you are a subscriber and wish a copy of this recording, let us know via customerservice@mmacycles.com, and we will send you a link to download. If you are not yet a subscriber to any of the MMA Reports and would like to be one, this would be an excellent time sign up and receive this free but very valuable Q&A session. It was exciting and very informative, with lots of intelligent questions about markets (Bitcoin, Stocks, Metals, Soybeans), as well as how to use the Daily and Weekly reports effectively .

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             The third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1 : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is now out as of Friday, September 8! This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17 th century. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles. There is nothing else like this book available today. The cost of this book is $125. There is also a special $25 discount for those who also pre-order the Forecast 2018 Book . Call us to get this rate. The new material and tables on long-and intermediate-term cycles in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets are worth the cost of the book alone. For more information, go to visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com, or here and check it out. You can also order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034". The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Index" is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen : T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan's major commodity newspaper).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages:
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

            

             May 23-29, 2,018 : The UAC (United Astrology Congress), Chicago, IL. The largest and most exciting conference for astrologers in the world take place then. 15 tracks, over 200 of the world's top astrologers making presentations. For more information, go to www.uacastrology.com.

             June 21-24, 2018 : AAGB (Astrological Association of Great Britain's) 50 th anniversary conference. Ray Merriman will be presenting a morning and afternoon workshop on "Cosmic Cycles are Forever" - valuable tools for timing trends and changes of trends in financial markets. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of currency and gold prices to certain planetary cycles are present in today's cosmos will be examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020. For more information, or email office@astrologicalassociation.com. or, visit and register before February 28 for only £199 and save big bucks !.

             July 12-15, 2018 : GLAC (Great Lakes Astrology Conference), Ann Arbor, MI. I will be there, conducting a special pre-conference workshop on "Mundane Astrology and The Great Reset". Plus, the Keynote speech.

             September 15-18, 2018 : 3 RD MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT, Majorca, Spain. Tentatively being planned. Details to be announced soon.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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