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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 30 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Gross domestic product grew at a solid 4.1 percent pace in the second quarter, its best pace since 2014, boosting hopes that the economy is ready to break out of its decade-long slumber. "We're on track to hit the highest annual growth rate in over 13 years", President Donald Trump said in remarks an hour after the report hit. "And I will say this right now and I will say it strongly, as the deals come in one by one, we're going to go a lot higher than these numbers, and these are great numbers". - Jeff Cox, "Second Quarter GDP Jumps 4.1% for Best Pace in Nearly Four Years", www.cnbc.com, July 27, 2018.

Facebook on Thursday posted the largest one-day loss in market value by any company in U.S. stock market history after releasing a disastrous quarterly report. - Fred Imbert and Gina Francolla, "Facebook's $100 Billion-Plus Rout is the Biggest Loss in Stock Market History", www.cnbc.com, July 26, 2018.

A powerful lunar eclipse is occurring today, Friday, July 27, 2018. The last full moon lunar eclipse was also powerful, and occurred about six months ago, on Tuesday, January 31, 2018. You may remember that time. The DJIA made its all-time high of 26,616 just three trading days before, on Friday January 26. Other markets like the S&P made their all-time highs the next Monday, January 29. By Friday of that week, the DJIA plummeted 665 points, its sixth largest one-day decline in its history prior to then. The next week, it had two days (Monday and Thursday, February 5 and 8) where it dropped over 1000 points each, for the first time in its history. Can it happen again ? Of course, anything is possible, especially since this eclipse also makes a T-square with the unpredictable and unstable Mars/Uranus square.

There are some charting similarities between late January 2018 and today. Last week witnessed the NASDAQ soaring to a new all-time high on Wednesday, July 25, just two days before the current lunar eclipse. That was also the day that Facebook announced its disappointing quarterly report, resulting in the largest one-day loss of market value by any company in stock market history. By Friday, the NASDAQ was down triple digits on the day.

Last week was notable for several equity markets throughout the world. Not only did the tech-heavy NASDAQ index make a new all-time high last week, but so did the Indian Nifty Index on Friday, July 27. Additionally, on the same day, the Netherlands AEX exploded to its highest mark since July 2001, and the Australian ASX (All Ords) index sprung to its highest level since January 2008. In fact, most world indices were rallying sharply for most of last week, until the USA equity markets started falling after the very strong GDP report of Friday morning. It was as if everyone suddenly became moonstruck.

Gold and Silver started to recover after their yearly lows of the prior week, but then ran out of steam after reaching weekly highs on July 25-26. By Friday, July 27, they were again approaching the yearly lows of July 19. Crude oil also tried to recover from its recent decline following its three-year high 75.27 on July 3, but it couldn't get back above 70.00 all week. Bitcoin, however, rallied to $8482 on July 25, its highest price in two months. But it too fell back into the end of the week.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

Venezuela is arguably going through one of the largest economic disasters in world history, with prices soaring uncontrollably each day. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said this week that the Latin American nation is "stuck in a profound economic and social crisis" and that inflation will hit 1 million percent by the end of the year. "Hyperinflation brings the economic system to a halt : It scares off foreign investors, discourages local business, destroys the value of savings and wages for households, thus damaging long-term economic growth", said Francesco Filia, chief executive officer at the London-based fund Fasanara Capital. - Silvia Amaro, "Venezuela Inflation Predicted to hit 1 Million Percent This Year", www.cnbc.com, July 27, 2018.

This is such an intense period of cosmic activity that it is challenging to decide where to begin. Perhaps we should start with the abundance of retrograde planets now in effect. There are five planets now appearing to move backwards through the skies as seen from earth : Mercury, Mars, Saturn, Neptune, and Pluto. Soon, Uranus will join them, on August 7, making it six of the eight planets performing the same dance step. That is a lot, and highly unusual to witness. All of the dynamics usually associated with those planets seem to reverse or break down.

Mercury's retrograde motion just began on Thursday, July 26, and will last until August 19, the same day that the third and final passage of the Jupiter/Neptune trine aspect occurs. Long-time readers of this column know that the period of Mercury retrograde has a highly unpredictable quality to it, combined with a rather unreliable correlation to technical buy and signals generated from breakouts of support and resistance levels. More often than not, such breakouts become fake outs.

Uranus turning retrograde is even more of the same characteristics. That is, the week surrounding Uranus changing direction in the skies (August 7) is usually fraught with sudden and unexpected events, often disturbing to the status quo. Does the concept of a "status quo" even exist today ? If Mercury is often a fake out in market activity, then Uranus is often a break out, so which dynamic will prevail ? On top of that, we are right in the middle of the Mars retrograde period, June 26-August 27. Mid-retrograde periods often correlate with market reversals. If Mercury retrograde heightens the possibility of a market fake out, and Uranus retrograde heightens the possibility of a market break out, and Mars retrograde represents a time when the aggressor often ends up the loser, what should we expect ? We should not enter this period with any expectations, but instead, only a sense of curiosity as to what might happen. Having attachment to an expected outcome is probably a sure formula for disappointment.

In terms of financial markets, this can appear to be a robust move in one direction, only to be completely reversed in favor of the opposite direction, which itself can then suddenly reverse again. It will make you feel in need of a visit to your favorite chiropractor, for the result can be a case of mental, emotional, or even physical whiplash. Which is a reminder to all readers during this period : drive carefully, do not speed, do not hurry, and watch all movements around you that could pose a danger to your own "status quo". Things might come at you from "left field", as we say in America. I can only imagine what they are saying or thinking in Venezuela now, with inflation projected to increase 1 million percent this year.

The abundance of retrograde planetary activity is only one piece of the geocosmic puzzle happening today. We also have the lunar eclipse in early fixed signs, making a T-square with Mars and Uranus also in early fixed signs, and all on the cusp of new sign changes. But there is even more. In the study of geocosmics, we have noted large price moves (usually declines) often occur when there are hard aspects in the cosmos involving Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus close to one another. Between July 25 and August 7, we note there will be several signatures involving these three planets. On July 25, the Sun squares Uranus. On July 27, the Sun is in opposition to Mars. On August 1, Mars will square Uranus. On August 6, the Sun will square Jupiter. On August 7, Uranus will turn retrograde. That is five instances of hard signatures involving these three planets in a space of only 13 days. It suggests a market climate that is overloaded with conflicting signals. It suggests a political and economic climate that is overloaded with conflicts pulling it in opposite directions, where there appears to be no resolution in sight. It suggests a strain on the infrastructure of the earth. It suggests a strain on personal relationships where one or both parties are inflexible and trying to assert their will on the other. You cannot assert your will on others at this time and expect a favorable outcome. It's like winning the battle but losing the war. You need a longer-term view of the world, of your own life. This isn't karma. It's destiny-in-the-making. There are consequences to what you are doing and deciding now, and those that play the long game will likely be better off than those reacting to moment-by-moment dramas.

These next two weeks can also represent a time of personal insight and awakening. Perhaps it is best to use this period for self-reflection and avoid making judgements on others that are apt to be mistaken. If you understand and know that you don't know, you stand a much better chance of having a remarkable personal experience than if you mistakenly assume that you know that you know. You don't. No one does, especially those who claim they do.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The webinar/workshop "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever",took place last week, June 22, in England. It went very well and the MP4 recording of this 4-hour webinar/workshop is now available. This 4-hour, MP4 recording of the webinar is an excellent way to learn basic and even some more advanced methods of cycles analysis working with geocosmic studies.Sponsored by the AAGB (Astrological Association of Great Britain) as part of their 60 th anniversary, this workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the live webinar/workshop is $125 . To order a recording of the event from MMA, email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. Or Visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page for purchase.

             Note 2 : We are pleased to announce that the recordings of Course 2 on MMA's Market Timing Methodology, taught to students in Beijing, China, begins now. The first class in Course two is on "Calculating Price Targets and Identifying Basic Chart Patterns when Geocosmic Reversals Are Due". This class focuses on long-term market timing methods of MMA and is taught by MMTA graduate and market analyst Kat Powell. Future classes in Course 2 will be taught once a month by Raymond Merriman, and MMTA graduates and professional market analysts Kat Powell (USA), Ulric Aspegren (Switzerland), Nitin Bhandari (India), and Ken Liao (China). The classes in both courses are given in English with Chinese translation. The cost for each course is $995 (this is a savings of over $1000 from the cost of Course 1 and 2 in MMTA). The cost includes the text of each class (in English), the webinar recordings (in English and Chinese), as well as the power point slides (in English). Classes may also be purchased individually at $145/each. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com/moodle/course/index.php?categoryid=3 , or visit www.mmacycles.com > Education, or, click the banner with Chinese characters that come up on the opening screen of the MMA web site. This is, without a doubt, the most comprehensive, effective, and valuable way to learn the art and science of Market Timing (the MMA way, the leader in market timing products and services, and now, education as well). Call 248-626-3034, or email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com for further information, and Get Ready for Course 2, which begins now.

             Note 3 : Stay tuned ! The annual MMA pre-publication specials for next year's Forecast Book are about to begin. Subscribers to MMA reports will get the first notice and steepest discounts to subscription services and next year's book in about a week.

             Note 4 : THE SPECIAL LONG-TERM CYCLES REPORT ON GOLD was featured in this month's MMA Cycles Report, and it is still valuable. The decline to new yearly lows in Gold, with the end due shortly, was discussed in detail, in terms of price and time. If you don't already subscribe to this monthly report, and you are interested in timing this developing decline to a longer-term cycle low, this would be an excellent time to take out a trial subscription ($66.00 for this issue, plus the next two issues). For more information on ordering, go to www.mmacycles.com > SERVICES > SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES, or call us at 248-626-3034, or 800-662-3349, or email customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             The third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1 : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is now out as of Friday, September 8! This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17 th century. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles. There is nothing else like this book available today. The cost of this book is $125. There is also a special $25 discount for those who also pre-order the Forecast 2018 Book . Call us to get this rate. The new material and tables on long-and intermediate-term cycles in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets are worth the cost of the book alone. For more information, go to visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com, or here and check it out. You can also order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034". The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Index" is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen : T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan's major commodity newspaper).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages:
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Details and contact information coming soon.

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD).

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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