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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 17 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Seventy percent of voters describe the U.S. economy as "excellent" or "good" in a new Quinnipiac University poll, matching the survey's all-time high. But the strong outlook on the economy has not lifted Trump. Only 38 percent of voters approve of the job he is doing, versus 54 percent who disapprove, according to the survey. Jacob Pramuck, "Trump's Approval Rating is Poor Despite Glowing Views on the Economy", www.cnbc.com, September 10, 2018.

Despite the excellent poll numbers for Mr. Trump's economic programs, he still can't get respect from the people of the Untied States, or for that matter, much of the rest of the world. It really isn't a case of "It's the economy, stupid" that drives the American voter as politicians like to think. Nor is "loyalty" a very important factor, as Mr. Trump himself likes to espouse. Like it or not, most Americans value "character", "honesty", and/or "truthfulness" even more than the economy or one's loyalty. In geocosmic terms, we ascribe these latter qualities to the planet Saturn. But Saturn has much more to do with our experiences in life than only virtues like character and honor. It also has a lot to do with market timing.

We have a rule for Saturn that goes like this : any market declining into a strong transiting Saturn signature is a candidate for a low from which prices will stop falling and start rallying. We have rules for other planets too, but the Saturn rule worked out quite well last week. That is, on September 6, Saturn ended its retrograde motion and turned direct. This is known as a Saturn station, and is considered a very strong geocosmic signature. In fact, it is a Level 1 geocosmic signature, per the research studies reported in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles". In any event, many of the world's stock indices made a cycle high around the time that Mars turned direct (we have a rule for that too, which we discussed last month). They then declined sharply into the September 6-7 station. A couple of indices, like the DJIA, DAX, and the China Shanghai Composite, continued lower into Tuesday, September 11, which created a case of intermarket bullish divergence right in the middle of our three-star critical reversal date (CRD) of September 10-12. And then, most of the stock indices of the world that we follow reversed strongly upwards, just like the Saturn rule suggested would happen. By the way, Saturn rules "rules". So, it is especially gratifying when his rules work out.

We would like to say the same about Uranus. We have rules for Uranus too, but those rules are that Uranus violates all rules. It rules the unexpected, unpredictable, and unconventional. If there is a support or resistance zone nearby, it will often explode through it. But only if it doesn't reverse instead. And in many cases, it will explode through support or resistance, and then reverse anyway. That may be what is happening now in other markets. That is, Uranus is also highlighted at the present time, receiving a square aspect from Venus on September 12, and another next week, on September 18 when Mars will square the master of mavericks.

On September 11, Silver dropped briefly below $14.00 for the first time since December 2015. Gold did not. So here was another case of bullish intermarket divergence right in the middle of MMA's three-star CRD of September 10-12. The next day, both Gold and Silver shot up higher. But then the following day it started to pull back again, after breaking both support (in Silver) and resistance in Gold, but not enough resistance to give a confirmation signal that metals are in the throes of a major long-term trend reversal. Gold, for instance, traded down to 1192 on September 11. But September 13, it was testing 1220. By Friday, September 14, it was trading below 1200 again. That's very Uranian. However, the activity last week did not deny the possibility that a new bull market has begun, at least not in Gold, but it hasn't confirmed it yet either. We continue to monitor it (and trade it) every day for our daily subscribers, for both Gold and Silver are in a very important juncture as described in our recent special reports (see Announcements below).

In other markets, Bitcoin also made a cycle low last week at 6098 on September 9 (the big selloff, however, happened right as Saturn turned direct on September 6). By Friday, Bitcoin had continued rallying to a weekly high at 6584. It will be interesting to see if it can continue higher much past the Mars/Uranus square on September 18. In the two prior passages of May 16 and August 1, Bitcoin made two important cycle crests nearby, and then sold off.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term mundane thoughts :

The growing U.S.-China trade war may well push the world's second-largest economy to work toward winning even more global clout, according to an economist at a widely followed investment group. As for the origins of the trade war, Eric Fishwick said politics played an important role. The ongoing negotiations were kicked off, he said, partly due to the U.S. becoming uncomfortable with China's growing power. "This is really because China is the next geo-economic and geopolitical rival to the U.S., and the U.S. is uncomfortable with that", he said. "I do not believe that either side will particularly (be) willing to compromise given that it's more a political issue rather than simply a trade issue". China's trade surplus with the U.S. widened to a record in August, even as the country's export growth slowed slightly. Weizhen Ten, "Trump's Trade War Against China May Have a Perverse Reaction", www.cnbc.com, September 10, 2018.

"When you combine a roaring economy, which we do have, with new tariffs, you get a toxic inflationary brew that the Fed must feel compelled to stop, and the way they do that, of course, is [by] rais[ing] interest rates", Cramer warned".- Elizabeth Gurdus, "(Jim) Cramer's Game Plan : Be Ready for Another Trump Tariff-Fueled Sell-Off", www.cnbc.com, September 7, 2018.

I am spending my last week on this monthly tour of Europe in Malaga, Spain. What an interesting place this is. Sometimes I feel like I am in a slum, but probably the most comfortable slum I have ever been in because the people here are so authentic. But then I get on a bicycle and ride along the miles-long beach, and I realize that this is no slum. This is a rather unique and unconventional paradise. This is a tropical, Mediterranean area with tremendous investment potential, and probably the next big property market that I can imagine for investors. But now, having said that, I am sure (and hopeful) that investors will look elsewhere. I don't think the people of Malaga want to change their turf after hundreds of centuries being relatively undiscovered.

But enough of my travelogue, even though I know that many readers love it when I veer off markets and talk about my travels. But you tune in to this weekly because you want to know what I am looking at in terms of cosmic correlations to the human experience, especially when that experience deals with financial markets.

So, what I am looking at is getting past the third passage of the Mars/Uranus square this week (September 18). And then heading into Venus turning retrograde, in Scorpio, on October 5. As written many times before, Venus retrograde (and direct) are two of the most powerful geocosmic correlations to primary cycle lows and highs, with an orb of 10-12 days. What do we know about Venus retrograde and Scorpio ? Well, we know that both pertain to activities involving central banks, and possible changes in interest rate polices. My concern is that the Fed, or some other central bank, may change its course, and that can rattle financial markets, like stock indices. Whatever you think is a given or conventional wisdom regarding interest rates is anything but the way things are likely to unfold during the time of Venus retrograde (October 5-November 16).

In terms of personal matters, don't be surprised if lovers from the past show up in your life, or on your Facebook page. Just remember : there was a reason it didn't work out before, and it probably wasn't due to misapplied Scorpio interests. Scorpio matters may, however, be the reason why you are intrigued again. That is, if you don't mind being trapped in a spider web by a beautiful creature from your past.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : LAST CHANCE, LAST DAY. ONE MONTH TRIAL SPECIAL OFFER ! MMA is offering a special one-month trial to the  MMA Weekly Gold and Silver Report  for only $95.00. You will have until  September 17 , to sign up for this one-month trial to the MMA Weekly Gold and Silver Report. This trial will also include the two special reports issued in the past two weeks that provide the charts and background to our outlook. If you are interested, please visit our website, mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Weekly Gold and Silver, and sign up for our 1 Month Report. 
For more information on this once-a-year sale, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also call us at 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349, or email customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : Last year's Forecast 2018 Book rocked !. Check out the scorecard for financial markets asas of July 19 on our website at https://mmacycles.com under NEWS AND EVENTS. Some of the calls by our MMTA graduates were phenomenal, including Kat Powell on Soybeans, Nitin Bhandari on Crude Oil, Ulric Aspegren on the British Pound, as well as Mark Shtayerman and Izabella Suleymanova on Wheat, not to mention Merriman's own calls on other markets and the world/national political and economic arenas.

             Note 3 : The date is set. MMA will host a special webinar on Silver and Soybeans led by MMTA graduate and MMA analyst Kat Powell on Thursday, October 4, at 6 PM EDT. Ray Merriman will act as moderator and interviewer for this special event. Powell has proven to be an excellent market analyst on these two markets. In Forecast 2018 , written in November 2017, she stated " My bias is that the market may need to re-test support in the range of 800-900 before a substantial rally can begin. The current range for the descending pattern is 842 +/- 43… Venus in Virgo will form a grand trine involving Saturn in Capricorn and Uranus in Taurus at the time of the solar eclipse of July 13". The low of the year, as of today, was right on July 13 (another CRD zone given in Forecast 2018) at 810. Kat writes the Soybean analysis in the MMA Cycles Report and has also done outstanding studies on geocosmic correlations to cycles in the Silver market. With Silver near a 3-year low, and Gold in the time band for its 30.5-month cycle trough, this will be a very timely webinar. Longer-term, these markets are also moving towards the important Saturn/Pluto conjunction of January 2020, which Kat will discuss in light of her research on this planetary pair cycle. The cost for this 90-minute webinar will be $45. To register, please email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-800-662-3349, or 1-248-626-3034. You will also be able to order directly from our website at https://mmacycles.com shortly, or via this link.

             Note 4 : ONE MONTH TRIAL SPECIAL OFFER ! A   Special Gold Alert  was issued last week, which followed our  Special Gold Update  the prior week, to all subscribers of all MMA subscription reports. Several readers have since asked if we would consider a special trial subscription to our weekly or daily reports to keep up with our analysis of this special situation in metals. We will offer a special one-month trial to the  MMA Weekly Gold and Silver Report  for only $95.00. You will have until  September 17, to sign up for this one-month trial to the MMA Weekly Gold and Silver Report. This trial will also include the two special reports issued last week that provide the charts and background to our outlook. If you are interested, please visit our website, mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Weekly Gold and Silver, and sign up for our 1 Month Report. Or, click the banner.

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             The third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1 : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is now out as of Friday, September 8! This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17 th century. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles. There is nothing else like this book available today. The cost of this book is $125. There is also a special $25 discount for those who also pre-order the Forecast 2018 Book . Call us to get this rate. The new material and tables on long-and intermediate-term cycles in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets are worth the cost of the book alone. For more information, go to visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com, or here and check it out. You can also order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034". The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Index" is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen : T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan's major commodity newspaper).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Details and contact information coming soon via www.markettiming.nl.

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD).

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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