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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 8 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

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Nonfarm payrolls rose just 134,000, well below estimates of 185,000 and the worst performance since September 2017 when a labor strike weighed on the numbers. The unemployment rate fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.7 percent, the lowest since December 1969 and one-tenth of a percentage point below expectations. August's initial count was revised up dramatically, from 201,000 to 270,000, while July's numbers came up as well, from 147,000 to 165,000. -Reuters, "Gold Rises After Weakest Job Report This Year", www.cnbc.com, October 5, 2018.

China plans to sell $3 billion in U.S. Dollar bonds this month, wooing investors at a time of heightened trade tensions with the U.S. and turbulence in its own stock market. - Manju Dalal, "China to Raise Billions in Dollar Debt", Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2018.

Venus retrograde and MMA's three-star critical reversal date (CRD) of October 3 strikes! Last week we concluded that "... It is the nature of Venus retrograde to change its mind... a total turn around". We were commenting on the confirmation hearings of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, where some Senators did change their mind, but most were not willing to give up the Libra and Venus concepts of "due process by law" where one is presumed innocent until proven guilty. And despite the very credible testimony rendered by Dr. Ford, without collaboration for her allegations, a majority of senators couldn't go against that bedrock of American law.

However, the Venus retrograde "change of mind" was very apparent in world stock indices. Most stock indices topped out by the middle of last week and then fell hard, especially the USA NASDAQ index. As mentioned in prior recent columns, Venus retrograde is one of the strongest geocosmic correlations to the completion of primary or greater stock market cycles that we have identified through our published research. It has a 78% correlation to primary or greater cycles within an orb of 12 trading days, and usually much less.

The all-time high in the DJIA that occurred on October 3 was a direct hit with our three-star CRD. Although all USA indices rallied into that date, they were not all able to make a new all-time high as the DJIA did, for a clear case of intermarket bearish divergence. Market timing doesn't get much better than that. This illustrates exactly why Financial Astrology is a valuable market timing tool, especially when used in combination with cycle studies. When the two studies come together as they did last week, it is a reaffirmation that the cycles of the cosmos do indeed correlate with cycles in human activity. We are connected to the cosmos, even though our ego likes to insist on its own independent dominance as the center of the universe and all that is. The ego is not all there is to the universe. Nor is the stock market, for that matter. But that is a topic of discussion for another day in another venue than this column, whose purpose is to educate the reader on the correlation of geocosmic cycles to the mundane world of financial markets and geopolitics. And last week was an excellent example of how this correlation often works.

The DJIA soared to a new all-time high on October 3 following the announcement of a new and modestly revised trade deal between the USA, Canada, and Mexico, now called USMCA (U.S., Canada, Mexico Agreement). It was cause for celebration and optimism, a little ahead of Jupiter entering Sagittarius (in one month). Jupiter in Sagittarius is the combination inclined to such positive news of agreements regarding world trade. But all those gains for the week were wiped out when traders and investors realized that
1) interest rates are rising, and
2) China is starting to sell its inventory of U.S. Treasuries, a fear that lurks in the back of the minds of everyone as a potential catalyst for trouble ahead, as long as the U.S.-China trade dispute continues. This is also consistent with Pluto turning stationary direct at the beginning of last week, for Pluto rules debt, and treasuries are essentially an IOU, or debt, of one party (USA) to another (China).

In other markets, Silver was very strong last week, but the Euro pulled back sharply from last week's announcement regarding Italy's decision to bust its budget. The U.S. Treasuries fell very hard, with 10-year treasury notes soaring above 3.2%, making a new 10-year high. Crude oil, like stocks, made a new yearly high early last week and then started to sell off. Bitcoin continues to flounder in a narrow trading range between 6300 and 6800, coiling in preparation of breakout one way or the other.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term mundane thoughts :

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde is raising alarm bells about the health of the global economy, saying international growth may have plateaued. - World Watch, "Lagarde : Economic Outlook is Dimming", Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2018.

The Trump administration aims to step up trade talks with other countries, using its new pact with Canada and Mexico as a template, an approach that has U.S. trade partners preparing for contentious talks.. The underlying principle, as Mr. Trump himself said in unveiling the North American accord this week, is that trade partners should consider it "a privilege for them to do business with us". - Jacob M. Schlesinger and Josh Zumbrun, "Trump Forges New Model on Trade", Wall Street Journal, October 5, 2018.

What ever happened to the idea of "fair trade" agreements ? Wasn't that what this trade dispute was supposed to be about ? Mr. Trump was upset that many counties, including China, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Europe (well, everyone) had an unfair trading relationship with U.S.A., and he was going to correct that. It was a worthy goal and he has made much progress in that direction. But now it seems that "correction" doesn't mean "fair and balanced trade agreements" any longer. It is morphing into ones that reverse the situation and puts the U.S.A. at a clear advantage over its trading partners ("it's a privilege for them to do business with us").

It's no longer so much as "balancing" or "correcting" an imbalance, but creating the very type of imbalance in reverse that led the Administration to initate this trade dispute. Something seems fundamentally wrong when the goal of negotiations is not to affect compromises, or a win-win balance, or even a "fair" resolution, as this campaign started out to be, but instead becomes one that ends up as a new "one-upmanship" over others. Does anyone really understand why the U.S.A. can not be satisfied and pleased with a "fair and balanced" trade agreement ? Are we aware of the long-term consequences this type of demanding, self-glorifying behavior might have in future dealings with our trading partners ? These are the kinds of signatures showing up next when Jupiter will be forming three square aspects with Neptune. If not careful the U.S.A. might win this battle, but lose the "war" to attain a strong world trading climate that benefits everyone on the planet, including the U.S.A.

Shorter-term, we now enter the Venus retrograde period, October 5-November 16. This is a time when people change their minds and central banks often change their monetary (interest rate) policies. Expect some surprises here in the next six weeks, maybe even this week as Venus squares Mars on October 10 and the Sun squares Pluto on October 11. Perhaps more important, heliocentric Mercury will enter Sagittarius, October 10-20. This signature often correlates to heightened volatility in currency and precious metals prices. Don't be surprised if bitcoin starts to break out of its congestion zone. Whatever new market trends/reversals are starting in association with Venus turning retrograde, they may gather momentum in the next two weeks. The same holds true with dynamics in romantic relationships, so be prepared for reversals in many facets of life. It will make things interesting, and maybe that part of one's life becomes a little more spicy.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The annual MMA pre-publication specials for next year's Forecast Book are now underway. Last month to pre-order with annual discount our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription services available through October 31. Order a subscription now - before the end of October - to qualify for the special $45 rate on next years' Forecast Book! Or, order both an eBook and printed book version for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates, and also qualify for the special 10% discount on MMA Cycles reports. These sales end in one month, so order now and save big bucks (such as over $300 for MMA daily reports!). For more information on this once-a-year sale, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also call us at 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349, or email customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : Last year's Forecast 2018 Book rocked !. Check out the scorecard for financial markets asas of July 19 on our website at https://mmacycles.com under NEWS AND EVENTS. Some of the calls by our MMTA graduates were phenomenal, including Kat Powell on Soybeans, Nitin Bhandari on Crude Oil, Ulric Aspegren on the British Pound, as well as Mark Shtayerman and Izabella Suleymanova on Wheat, not to mention Merriman's own calls on other markets and the world/national political and economic arenas.

             Note 3 : MMA's special webinar on Silver and Soybeans that took place on Thursday, October 4, came out very well. The presentation was based on the research and analysis of MMTA graduate and MMA analyst Kat Powell with Ray Merriman acting as moderator. In this webinar, Powell and Merriman outlined the monthly, weekly, and daily charts of both Soybeans and Silver, identifying where each market was in terms of long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles. Powell additionally pointed out the status of various chart patterns in place that support a bull market outlook, but also key support levels that could prolong this current correction until important geocosmic signatures come into play within the next couple of months. She and Merriman both discuss the history of these two important geocosmic signatures. They then closely examine the next 1-6 weeks for both markets in light of Venus retrograde and heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius that is now beginning. Venus retrograde is examined historically in regards to the Soybeans market. Both markets were discussed at length in regards to the approaching Saturn/Pluto conjunction in January 2020. If you were not present for the live telecast, the MP4 recording is now available and very timely. Of great interest was the back and forth discussions between Merriman and Powell, which provided excellent, in-depth, coverage of both markets. The cost for the MP4 recording of this 90-minute webinar is $45. To register, please email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-800-662-3349, or 1-248-626-3034. You will also be able to order directly from our website at https://mmacycles.com shortly.

             Note 4 : .

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             October 5-7, 2018 : Tucson, AZ. OPA (Organization for Professional Astrologers), taking place at the Lodge in the Desert Hotel. Ray Merriman will give a talk on "My Journey to Becoming a Professional Astrologer - and How I Made It". Also, a talk on "The Sequence of Events Necessary to Becoming A Successful Professional Astrologer in the Next Decade". For more information, or to register for this unique gathering, go to www.opaastrology.com, or call 207-210-1275, or email events@opaastrology.org.

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.
Saturday workshop : "Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019".Based on the Forecast 2019 Book , Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles - both rhythmic and geocosmic - to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss !.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Details and contact information coming soon via www.markettiming.nl.

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD).

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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