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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 29 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Several factors have conspired to knock markets down this month - some earnings disappointment, fear of rising interest rates, a brewing conflict between Italy and the European Union over budget spending, criticism of oil power Saudi Arabia after the killing of a dissident journalist and finally, worries that world growth is losing steam. - Fred Imbert, "Dow Dives Nearly 300 Points, S&P Dips Into Correction Levels in Another Wild Day on Wall Street", www.cnbc.com, October 26, 2018.

Bashing Jay Powell (Federal Reserve Board chair) makes it harder to keep interest rates low. No doubt the President is also deflecting blame from the White House for any economic slowdown, Mr. Trump needs a foil more than even most politicians. The bigger economic risk is slower growth abroad, which Mr. Trump should care about though he professes not to. Faster U.S. growth and rising interest rates are drawing capital from other markets. Mr. Trump's tariffs are also hurting trade flows. Border taxes are never a free lunch. - "Trump Flunks Fed Politics", Wall Journal Opinion page, October 25, 2018.

Global equity markets continued their plunge following our last three-star geocosmic Critical Reversal Date (CRD) of October 3, which involved the very important Venus retrograde of October 5. In fact, many stock indices made multi-month lows at the end of last week, on Friday, October 26, which is the exact midpoint of Venus retrograde (October 5-November 16). Our rule is that any market that did not make a major or primary cycle reversal near to the date of Venus turning retrograde, is very likely a candidate to do so within 2 trading days of their retrograde midpoint. That rule doesn't apply to stock indices in this case, because they did reverse Venus turned retrograde. There is no compelling reason yet to think that they will end that decline and reverse up right now. However, there are some financial markets that do qualify for this rule, such as the Euro currency and U.S. Dollar. For those that don't qualify (like stocks), there is still a possibility they could reverse, but the historical rate of frequency for such reversals is not as reliable as in the case of those markets that did not reverse at the time of the retrograde.

We saw Uranus in full action last week. On October 23, the Sun made an opposition to Uranus. The next day, the full Moon was conjunct Uranus. On Wednesday, October 31, Venus will be in opposition to Uranus. When multiple Uranus signatures are present nearby to one another, financial markets (like stocks) will often exhibit very sharp price swings, falling below well-defined support or rising above well-defined resistance during the 4-day period surrounding each. However, it is the midpoint of these two Uranus aspects which is especially prone to a potential reversal, +/- a couple of trading days. That midpoint is this Saturday, October 27.

In other markets, Gold continued to rally to its highest price now since our special reports of mid-August calling for a long-term cycle low. That low of 1167 on August 16 has not been violated, and on Friday, Gold climbed to 1248 intraday. The bigger story, however, was in the Euro currency, where the cash index fell to 1.1332 on Friday, October 26, in the double bottom range of its 1.1297 yearly low on August 15. What is most interesting is that Gold is making a multi-month high as the Euro is testing its yearly low and the Dollar is testing its yearly high. Gold is supposed to be depressed when the Dollar is rising, and not rise with it. But then again, this is Venus retrograde time, and Venus rules currencies and values, so the rules are upside down for now, and maybe into November 16 when Venus will turn direct -but then, Mercury will turn retrograde. We get no relief from all of these retrograde planets that have been operative since late June 2018. It's been one retrograde planet after another, which makes you wonder what "true north" is any more. The problem for traders is that under so many retrogrades lasting so long, normally reliable technical studies become unreliable, and some traders (especially inexperienced traders) become discouraged. Experienced traders have seen this before, and they know that "this too shall pass".

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term mundane thoughts :

US President Trump has suggested the Fed is the greatest threat to the US economy. An economist would suggest recessions arise from overheating (caused by deficit financed tax cuts, perhaps), or policy error (disrupting supply chains on which an economy depends, perhaps). Zero real rates with full employment are probably not a (restrictive) policy error. - Paul Donovan, "To redo, or redo", www.ubs.com/pauldonovan, October 24, 2019.

(Mr. Trump) has had significant achievements - unemployment down, economy up, the courts, an imperfect tax bill that nonetheless got passed and was slightly better than what it replaced. No one seems to mention it, but America right now is enjoying prosperity and peace - or, if you prefer, growth and no new wars. It is a continuing amazement that with this, the president can't get himself to 50% approval, or his party in a better position. - Peggy Noonan, "A Long Way From the Arsenal of Democracy", Wall Street Journal, October 20-21, 2018.

On Sept 18, simultaneous with the nation's daily dose of Ford versus Kavanaugh, Mr. Trump's approval began to climb (from 40.6%). It now sits at a 44.1% average. It just hit 47% in the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll". - Daniel Henninger, "The October Surprise Arrives", Wall Street Journal, October 25, 2018.

The greater question to traders and investors right now is whether a bear market has actually begun in U.S. and other nations' stock indices. From the cosmic perspective, there is reason to think it has - and there is reason to think this is just a temporary pullback before another astounding rally to new all-time highs.

First, the bearish perspective. The all-time high on October 3 was just a few weeks after the fourth and final trine aspect between Saturn and Uranus that took place when this 45-year planetary cycle came within just 13' of one degree of an exact trine in the last ten days of August. Historically, the U.S. stock market has always made a long-term cycle crest within 2 months of this aspect's time band (in this case, it was in effect November 2016-August 2018). The last time this aspect unfolded coincided with the all-time high of January 1973, after which the Watergate fiasco began and stocks has their largest decline since the Great Depression into December 1974. The DJIA lost 46% of its value between the all-time high of January 1973 and that 36-year cycle bottom in December 1974. Supporting this idea that a new bear market has begun as of October 3 is the deteriorating technical damage that is now occurring. It acts like a bear market as daily and weekly support levels break down, and so do various longer-term chart formations. This is how bear markets behave when they are underway. One support after another breaks down, and all rallies are short-lived.

Yet, the cosmos also allows for a bullish outlook. On November 8, Jupiter will enter Sagittarius for the next 13 months, a historical placement that has a strong correlation of coinciding with a long-term cycle crest during that reign. Supporting this view is the election on November 6, 2018. Markets lately have made lows nearby to important national elections in the USA. Plus, any resolution of the trade dispute with China would likely result in a powerful rally, and Jupiter in Sagittarius is favorable for reaching a resolution involving world trade spats. Also supporting this possibility is that Venus retrograde will end on November 16 (and Mercury retrograde will begin). The market topped out when Venus turned retrograde. Any market that makes a primary or greater cycle crest when Venus or Mars turns retrograde is a strong candidate to make its low (counter-trend movement) when Venus turns direct. The next three weeks, therefore, are important from the cosmic perspective.

When Venus turns retrograde, people (investors) change their minds, and so do politicians and bankers, who just happen to be people too. When Venus turns direct, they change their minds, their stories and excuses, back to where they were before they changed them in the first place (think Saudi Arabia). It's like, what goes around, comes around. Or, it's like, what was good for you once before comes back again, and you like it again (think of a past lover). But then you realize why you let it go in the first place, so you let it go again.

By the way, is anyone watching Live Cattle prices, since Uranus ingressed into Taurus in mid-May? It is going to cost you to be a meat eater these next few years.

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Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : Only three days remaining for MMA's once- a-year special sale on Forecast 2019 and MMA subscription services. The annual MMA pre-publication sale for the Forecast 2019 Book will end October 31. After that date, the discounted price of $45.00 will increase to the normal rate of $55.00. You may also order both an eBook and printed book version for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates, until October 31.

The Annual MMA Subscription Sale will end on October 31. Save 10% on any subscription ($325+) with purchase of Forecast 2019. Use code SALE19 to take advantage of this special rate. This sale ends in three days, so order now, before you miss out.

Do you have a subscription that is not expiring until after the sale ends? Renew now and extend your subscription at the discounted rate! Did you already purchase Forecast 2019 but would now like to take advantage of saving 10% on a subscription ? You still can! Call or email our office today so we can help you save.

For more information on this once-a-year sale, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also call us at 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349, or email customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : Last year's Forecast 2018 Book rocked !. Check out the scorecard for financial markets asas of July 19 on our website at https://mmacycles.com under NEWS AND EVENTS. Some of the calls by our MMTA graduates were phenomenal, including Kat Powell on Soybeans, Nitin Bhandari on Crude Oil, Ulric Aspegren on the British Pound, as well as Mark Shtayerman and Izabella Suleymanova on Wheat, not to mention Merriman's own calls on other markets and the world/national political and economic arenas.

             Note 3 : MMA's special webinar on Silver and Soybeans that took place on Thursday, October 4, came out very well. The presentation was based on the research and analysis of MMTA graduate and MMA analyst Kat Powell with Ray Merriman acting as moderator. In this webinar, Powell and Merriman outlined the monthly, weekly, and daily charts of both Soybeans and Silver, identifying where each market was in terms of long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles. Powell additionally pointed out the status of various chart patterns in place that support a bull market outlook, but also key support levels that could prolong this current correction until important geocosmic signatures come into play within the next couple of months. She and Merriman both discuss the history of these two important geocosmic signatures. They then closely examine the next 1-6 weeks for both markets in light of Venus retrograde and heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius that is now beginning. Venus retrograde is examined historically in regards to the Soybeans market. Both markets were discussed at length in regards to the approaching Saturn/Pluto conjunction in January 2020. If you were not present for the live telecast, the MP4 recording is now available and very timely. Of great interest was the back and forth discussions between Merriman and Powell, which provided excellent, in-depth, coverage of both markets. The cost for the MP4 recording of this 90-minute webinar is $45. To register, please email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-800-662-3349, or 1-248-626-3034. You will also be able to order directly from our website at https://mmacycles.com shortly.

             Note 4 : The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever". This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the recording of this MP4 recording is $125. To order, please visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page. Or, you may email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. .

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.
Saturday workshop : "Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019".Based on the Forecast 2019 Book , Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles - both rhythmic and geocosmic - to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss !.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Details and contact information coming soon via www.markettiming.nl.

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD).

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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