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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 19 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The British Pound suffered its biggest one-day loss against the euro since October 2016 on Thursday, as a flurry of resignations rocked the government of U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May. Market focus is largely attuned to Brexit developments, amid heightened fears the country could soon crash out of the European Union without a divorce deal. - Sam Meredith, "Euro Markets Lower as Sterling Stabilizes After Brexit Drama", https://www.cnbc.com , November 16, 2018.

An oil market sell-off has shaved more than a fifth off the Brent crude benchmark and slashed the price of U.S. crude by 25 percent since early October. WTI logged its steepest one-day loss in more than three years on Tuesday. The contract fell 6.2 percent this week. - Reuters, "US Crude Posts 6 th Straight Weekly Loss", November 16, 2018.

Bitcoin tumbled below $6,000 for the first time since August and reached its lowest level in over a year, breaking the recent stretch of tranquility exhibited by the notoriously volatile digital alternative to cash.

The world's largest cryptocurrency tumbled as much as 15 percent, with most of the initial loss coming within a half hour window. - Olga Kharif and Eddie Van Der Walt/Bloomberg, "Bitcoin Is Tanking Hard - and It Is Now the Lowest It's Been in Over a Year", time.com/money, November 14, 2018.

So, what happened last week to cause crude oil, bitcoin, and the British Pound to fall so hard ? Economists can point to an oversupply of crude oil as the cause of its decline. Political analysts can point to the painful divorce of the UK from the Euro Union (Brexit), leading to resignations and calls for U.K. Prime Minister Teresa May to step down as the catalyst for the steep selloff in the British Pound. No one quite knows why bitcoin dropped so hard last week. But then again, they really couldn't explain why it rose so sharply in the first place a year ago. Something about a fork in Bitcoin cash that will cause a split, followed by the creation of new coins. In the meantime, the "split" could make bitcoin itself less valuable.

And therein lies the key to our analysis : "less valuable". What is "value" to a Financial Astrologer ? What rules the concept of "what something is worth" ? It is Venus. And that is exactly the culprit in the dramatic change in the "value of things" that has rocked financial markets in the last six weeks, like crude oil, equities, Silver, and currencies, even bitcoin.

Six weeks ago, in early October, U.S. stock indices were making all-time highs and many others were at multi-year highs. Crude oil was at its highest level in nearly 4 years. The Dollar/Yen was at its highest mark in nearly a year. U.S. Treasuries were at the lowest level (highest level in interest rates) in 8 years. Jamal Khashoggi, a noted journalist and critic of Saudi Arabia, was brutally murdered in the Saudi embassy in Turkey on October 2 and Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed by the Senate to the Supreme Court on October 6, following a bitter partisan battle that ripped the political divide in the U.S. population even further. All of these events and milestones happened October 2-9. All had one thing in common : Venus turned retrograde in Scorpio on October 5.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

In Financial Astrology, we have a several rules. Some of them even work! Seriously, one of the principles of Financial Astrology is that any market that is trending over several months into a Mercury, Venus, or Mars retrograde date is a candidate to make a counter-trend move that will last until the time that planet turns direct. Venus is more reliable than Mars or Mercury in this regard.

On Friday, November 16, Venus completed its six-week retrograde period, which began October 5. This is something that happens about every 19 months. Venus rules values. It also rules love, but that is a topic for another day, especially since we are talking about Venus starting its retrograde motion in Scorpio this time around. We don't want to talk about love with Venus in Scorpio, because that combination has a hard time telling the difference between love and lust. If I get started on that, I will lose my focus on the trend and counter-trend movements of the markets, and that's the point of this column, usually.

Thus, we look back on the last six weeks, and it is clear to see that something changed. Investors were bullish on many markets around October 5. They then turned bearish on those markets into this week as Venus ended its retrograde motion. The idea is that investors will now change their sense of values again and markets will return to their trend that was in effect before the countertrend took effect. That is, equities will become desirable again, as will crude oil, and interest rates, which had been falling the last six weeks, will resume rising.

The only cosmic matter that might disturb this rule is Mercury, the trickster. Just as Venus ends its retrograde motion on November 16, with the promise of returning to happier equity days again shortly, Mercury the trickster will begin its 3-week retrograde drama that will last into December 6. Whereas the issue with Venus has to do with the change of value we place upon things (like assets, love, and lust), the issue with Mercury has to do with communications and the tendency to make decisions that are not well-thought out and later have to be changed. It's all about changes. In this case, market values are apt to vacillate a great deal in the next few days, as in volatility and more large price swings in very short periods of time.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

Every decision I make is a choice between a miracle or a grievance. - Deepak Chopra, Adam Plack, "The Soul of Healing Meditations", 2001.

The U.S. government ran a $100 billion deficit last month, compared with a $63 billion budget gap in October 2017. Deficits are projected to rise in the coming years as entitlement spending grows and interest expenses on the debt rise. A strong economy typically leads to narrower deficits, as rising household income and corporate profits help boost tax collections, while spending on safety-net programs tends to decline. - Kate Davidson, "Deficit in October Reached $100 Billion", Wall Street Journal, November 14, 2018.

So, how does this happen ?. How is it that the U.S.A. has a strong economy, the lowest unemployment in decades, and yet the Federal government spends so much more than it brings in ?. In the study of Financial Astrology, we have a simple explanation, or rather a simple correlation : Saturn conjunct Pluto in Capricorn, January 12, 2020.

Well, maybe it's not quite that simple. You might say it's a setup, a sequence of planetary signatures involving long-term planetary cycles. The huge spending spree can be foretold by the transit of Jupiter into Sagittarius, approaching a three-passage series of square aspects to Neptune in Pisces, January - September 2019. This is a classical bankruptcy aspect, a period of overspending and overreaching in which many entities - governments, corporations, institutions, and individuals - are tempted to spend more than they bring in (think Italy and think the USA). There is a lack of attention paid to the consequences of this behavior in the belief that enough money will be brought in to cover those added costs. Except, it doesn't. The estimates are woefully wrong. Budget controls get busted, and overruns on the account get out of control.

At some point, the credit binge is forced to stop as debtors demand payment and put a halt to any further debt increase. That day of reckoning usually happens when a strong Saturn aspect follows. In this case, the demand for accountability and fiscal tightening is due in 2020-2021, when Saturn conjoins Pluto, followed by Jupiter conjoining Saturn, and finally Saturn making its waning square to Uranus. It's not just the U.S.A. that is under this pressure, although it does impact its founding chart. It is the whole world, and especially entities that have natal planets in 22-27° of cardinal signs. In addition to the U.S.A. founding chart, this includes Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve Board, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and the New York Stock Exchange.

Can this be avoided ?. Must entities with planets in these degrees experience bankruptcy ? Of course, this can be avoided. With awareness and free will to make choices, anyone under any aspect can choose to make decisions that are responsible, take into account the consequences of those decisions, and remain within the themes of those planetary dynamics. The cosmos, and the study of it known as astrology, is not a choice-maker. It is a choice-revealer. Here is the situation approaching: what choices are you going to make that will minimize the danger and/or maximize the opportunity ? It's a choice that is likely to be made based upon one's consciousness of these matters and their potential outcomes..

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : Maria Schoeppel has just come out with a fascinating new book titled "The Dragon's Debt : China's Financial Crisis 2019-2020". Maria is a Financial Astrologer with a degree in Mathematics from UCLA. She was a guest speaker at the last MMA Investment Conference in March 2017, where she showed the geocosmic correlations between China's chart in 2019-2020, compared to prior transits to its chart during other financial crises. Now she has put all of her research into a book format and it is fascinating, especially if you know the language of astrology (but it is interesting even if you don't). The book is now available through Amazon.com and costs $22.95. It is interesting that our next investment conference will be more of a traders' conference and it will take place in Beijing in June 2019.

             Note 2 : Get ready for Cyber Monday, November 26! MMA will have a special 48-hour bundle sale on Monday-Tuesday, November 26-27, and it will be announced on Monday morning, November 26. Stay tuned. This sale will be in time for the holiday season, as well as the long-awaited launch of MMA's new web site.

             Note 3 : The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever". This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the recording of this MP4 recording is $125. To order, please visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page. Or, you may email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. .

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The MMA Forecast 2019 Book will be completed at the end of this week and sent to the printer for publication. Expected delivery remains on track for December 15. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.
Saturday workshop : "Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019".Based on the Forecast 2019 Book , Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles - both rhythmic and geocosmic - to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss !.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This Congress will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag. Antonia Langsdorf, Irma Schogt, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for congress details.

             February 9, 2019 : MMA'S 2019 WORLDWIDE "FORECAST 2018" LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide webinar on "Forecast 2018." This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event, within 72 hours afterwards. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com , or register via our website at https:// mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend, you can pre-order MP4 recordings, which will be delivered as soon as they are available - within 72 hours after the live webinar.

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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