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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 3 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Mr. Powell (Fed Chair) said interest rates are "just below" broad estimates of a neutral level - a setting designed to neither speed nor slow economic growth. Investors read his comments to suggest that the Fed increases might stop sooner or happen more slowly, though he didn't say so directly. Stocks climbed immediately after Mr. Powell's midday remarks. - "Powell Remarks Spark Market Rally". Amrith Romkumar and Nick Timeron, Wall Street Journal, November 29, 2018.

Stocks closed a volatile month with strong gains on Friday on renewed bets the U.S. and China could strike a deal on trade. - Fred Imbert, "Dow Ends Volatile November With More Than 150-Point Rally on Hopes of a U.S.-China Trade Deal at G-20". https://www.cnbc.com, November 30. (Note: DJIA ended up 199 points on Friday).

Last week was a good omen for stocks, reflecting the recent ingress of Jupiter into its ruling sign of Sagittarius. In fact, both the Sun and Mercury conjoined Jupiter last week, and the stellium had a spectacular reaction with global equity markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average skyrocketed 617 points on Wednesday, November 28, following Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments about interest rates and the economy approaching the desired "neutral level". That was the fifth largest up day in the history of the DJIA, and only two points shy of the fourth largest one-day point gain. The DJIA continued higher into the close of the week on hopes of a breakthrough this weekend in the trade dispute between China and the U.S.A., during the G-20 summit taking place in Buenos Aires.

The only problem from the cosmic viewpoint is that these optimistic and hopeful themes of Jupiter and Sagittarius begin losing some of their luster now. Mercury is retrograde, which is challenging enough with the unpredictability of the Trickster likely to be in full force. But it retreats back into the more skeptical sign of Scorpio on Saturday morning, December 1, and Venus also joins it in Scorpio on Sunday, December 2. By Monday, the Moon also enters Scorpio, so what was joyous and happy this past week may start out next week with a more somber assessment of what is real and possible. Still, the Sun and Jupiter will remain in Sagittarius for the next three weeks, and on Thursday, December 6, Mercury will end its retrograde cycle, so this is still another opportunity for the president to pull off his magic and show the world what "The Art of Deal" is all about. Or not. After all, Jupiter and Sagittarius are well-known for their promises. They are also well-known for promising much more than they often deliver.

Many of the world's stock indices showed healthy gains last week, following their lows of the prior week. The DJIA and Japanese Nikkei indices, for example, were both up over 1000 points from their lows of November 21-23 to their highs of November 29-30. The lows were just 1-3 trading days after Venus ended its retrograde motion, and the highs of Friday were exactly on the day that Venus formed an opposition to Uranus, another powerful reversal signature. It appears there is a lot riding on Mr. Trump's ability to "close the deal". It may not happen this weekend and if it does, it may be subject to revision soon afterwards.

Bitcoin continued very much in the news as it dropped to 3457 on November 25. That now represents a loss of 82.2% from its all-time high of less than one year ago at 19,458 on December 18, 2017. That also means Bitcoin is in the 77-93% loss-of-value range that has defined historical crisis periods of various financial markets throughout history, such as Silver in 1980-1991, the NASDAQ in 2000 through 2002, and Crude Oil in 2008 into early 2009. Many now fear that Bitcoin will go extinct.

Crude Oil, which didn't go extinct in 2008-2009, was also in the news last week as it fell to a new yearly low of 49.41 on Thursday, November 29. It is still not going to go extinct. It's just a cycle, a long-term cycle, but not as long a term of a cycle as was present in 2008-2009. I think the case with Bitcon will be the same as it was with Crude Oil, the NASDAQ, and Silver ; however, it took years for each to come back to where it was before. These markets usually need time to build a base, and a sense of faith, after their near-death episodes. But they do come back, unless they are tulips.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

"I think we are really close to doing something with China, but I don't know that I want to do it". Trump told reporters. "Because what we have right now is billions and billions of dollars coming into the United States in the form of tariffs and taxes, so I really don't know". - Liz Moyer, "Trump Says He Thinks China Wants to Make a Deal". https://.www.cnbc.com, November 29, 2018.

In a trade war, both sides lose. "It's just the winner loses less". said Alan Greenspan. "Insane. Why we're doing it probably is very deep in the psyche of someone". This foolish policy is definitely behind the astounding 94% drop in the sale of American soybeans to China, by far the world's biggest buyer of soybeans. Trump has launched a bailout program, (but) it's not nearly enough to cover farmers' losses. "Trade wars are good and easy to win". tweeted Trump in March. Crazy-town, here we are. -Froma Harrop, "Is the Economy on the Direct Line to Crazytown ? " Arizona Republic, November 28, 2018.

This promises to be another bizarre week, filled with promises, hype, maybe threats, possibly a lot of blame or lip-biting to keep them shut, and no facts. It will paint pictures and deliver narratives that are probably fantasy. You cannot believe what you will hear or what is promised. This is the week that Mars will conjoin Neptune in Pisces, and the new Moon in Sagittarius that will square both. This is a combination that can have an impact on the Crude Oil market, for both Sagittarius and Pisces are signs which have rulership over Crude Oil, along with their ruling planets Jupiter and Neptune.

But here is why it may be crazy and unbelievable. Mars is aggressive, but Neptune and Pisces are passive. So, what you will witness is a heavy case of passive-aggression on the part of world leaders, trying to put on a good front by endorsing things (like agreements) that they don't really believe. "We are really close to a deal but I don't know that I want to do it". What ? They are acting, and they are exaggerating (Sagittarius), but not very convincingly. They are mad, but mostly mad at themselves for not doing what they want to do. They will act like they are in agreement and they want to appear unified and at peace with one another (Neptune, Pisces), when below the surface they may be seething (Mars) that they couldn't get the deals they really wanted. How will the markets respond ? It depends on whether they believe the words and the show, or not. If they believe it, stock indices can soar next week, especially with the "irrational exuberance" of the Sun in Sagittarius square Mars and Neptune. Or, the opposite can happen if the investment community senses that this is not going to work, if it is all too abstract, lacking in details and specifics; in that case the negative side of these aspects manifests as lost trust leading to hysteria and panic.

By the way, these themes don't apply only to world leaders on the world stage this weekend, but to all of us. The challenge for everyone this week is to be honest, forthright, sincerely helpful, and authentic. Anything less than that will be read as deceptive, and could lead one into crazytown.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

E.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The Forecast 2019 Book makes an EXCELLENT HOLIDAY GIFT !. The MMA Forecast 2019 Book is now completed. However, to assure that you receive the print edition of the book by Christmas, you will need to place your order by Thursday, December 6. At the close of business on December 6, all pre-order mailing addresses will be sent to the mailing house, where they will begin to be processed for mailing the following week when the printing is completed. Any orders received after that will have to wait until the remaining books are shipped to MMA offices afterwards, which could be the following week. The digital version of the book, however, can be ordered and distributed as soon as the formatting is completed, due in two weeks. There will be no delays in receiving the eBook of Forecast 2019. One other thing to note : we have ordered 20% additional copies to the number of printed books ordered as of this week. Whenever those remaining 20% are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printings. At that point, the only place to order Forecast 2019 will be through third party distributors, like Amazon.com, where the price generally skyrockets to 2 or 3 times the current price. Or, through our international distributors, where shipping costs to the USA can be high. So, ORDER NOW, if you haven't done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 in a timely manner and before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

             Note 2 :

             Note 3 : The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever". This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the recording of this MP4 recording is $125. To order, please visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page. Or, you may email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. .

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The MMA Forecast 2019 Book will be completed at the end of this week and sent to the printer for publication. Expected delivery remains on track for December 15. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.
Saturday workshop : "Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019".Based on the Forecast 2019 Book , Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles - both rhythmic and geocosmic - to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss !.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This Congress will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag. Antonia Langsdorf, Irma Schogt, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for congress details.

             February 9, 2019 : MMA'S 2019 WORLDWIDE "FORECAST 2018" LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide webinar on "Forecast 2018". This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event, within 72 hours afterwards. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com , or register via our website at https:// mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend, you can pre-order MP4 recordings, which will be delivered as soon as they are available - within 72 hours after the live webinar.

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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