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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 19 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

We've clearly been arguing for a while now that holding balance sheet risk in an era of rising interest rates and higher market volatility has limited upside but significant downside. Andrew Lapthorne, Société General, Feb 12, 2018.

"It (Trump's budget) fails as sound fiscal policy", said Justin Bogie this week, of the notably conservative Heritage Foundation's senior policy analyst in fiscal affairs, noting that just last year the Trump administration proposed balancing the federal budget within a decade. "This proposal would add an additional $7 trillion to the national debt - something not even a big spender like President Obama ever proposed", he said. "U.S. wage and price inflation are rising briskly, putting intense downward pressure on financial markets", Albert Edwards, global strategist at Société Générale said in the note, adding that "the post-mortem will identify President Trump's ludicrously timed fiscal stimulus as a key trigger for the collapse". - Natasha Turak, "Economists Rip Trump's Spending Spree as "Foolhardy", "Ludicrous", and "The Dumbest". www.cnbc.com, February 15, 2018.

It has been a rather amazing 3-week period. Many world stock markets made new all-time or multi-year highs in late January (23-31). And then, two weeks later, on February 9, many made new multi-month lows, as stocks plunged 10% or more than that quickly. Our Special Stock Market Report issued the evening before, on February 8, advised all subscribers to be ready for a reversal any time now, for the primary cycle was expanded (overdue), and the ideal time for a bottom would have been that day or the next (February 9). That was because on February 4 and 10, the Moon was also in Sagittarius, the sign of exaggeration, complimenting the Sun and Venus, which were both in square aspect to Jupiter (ruler of Sagittarius, also a symbol of exaggeration). The special report could not have been timelier.

This was a clear case where the astrological factors needed to be in a certain part of the cycle structure to have an effect. Normally, the Sun and Venus in aspect to Jupiter would not have such a powerful reversal correlation, even with the Moon in Sagittarius. However, it was the very end of a cyclical time band when a stock market low was due, and that was the only major geocosmic signature nearby. Thus, it had a greater weight than would normally be the case. However, as noted last week, this rupture also occurred in the middle part of the Uranus transit making a conjunction to the New York Stock Exchange's natal Saturn, and in opposition to the NYSE Jupiter/Neptune conjunction in Libra, all between 23 and 27 degrees of Aries/Libra. It is Uranus (especially in Aries) that has the correlation to such dramatic sell offs, especially so soon after new all-time or multi-year highs were made.

A brief review of some of the world equity markets will illuminate what recently transpired. In Asia and the Pacific Rim, India's Nifty and Hong Kong's Hang Seng indices made new all-time highs on January 29, the same day that China's Shanghai soared to its highest price in over two years. Japan's Nikkei index had made a 26-year high a week earlier, on January 23, while the Australian ASX topped out on January 10, a new 10-year high. On February 9, one day after our special report, China's Shanghai index had plummeted 14.6%, while the Hang Seng had fallen 13%, in just two weeks. The Nifty and ASX were down until February 6-9, but not double digits. Japan's Nikkei continued falling into February 14, down 13%, from its high of January 23. All have bounced up strongly from those lows of the last week.

In Europe, it was a consistent story. The German DAX, Zurich SMI, and London FTSE indices all made new all-time highs January 16-24. Each then plummeted rapidly into multi-month lows on February 9. The DAX lost 11.7% in value, while the others declined 9.2-9.9%.

In the USA, the DJIA fell from its all-time high 26,616 on January 26, to 23,360 on February 9, a loss of 12.2%. The NASDAQ Composite fell 11.65%, from an all-time high of 7505 on January 26, to a low of 6630 on February 9. All have rallied smartly since that low last week.

Just as noteworthy was the fall in Treasury values, which coincided with interest rate continuing to rise. The Ten-Year Note fell to 120/01, its lowest level since April 2011. What is ironic, though, and a sign that correlations between markets are changing, is that the U.S. Dollar also fell to its lowest level since December 2014. Not many weeks ago, they were going in opposite directions. This is not a healthy sign. It implies that investors are worried about the USA future economic prospects, seeing better investment opportunities abroad. It also points to the problem of future federal deficits as a result of the administration's unbalanced budget, showing a surprising increase of spending and debt accrual, something Republicans were supposed to be committed to fighting against. Is there a difference anymore between the promises of political parties and the word "hypocrisy ?" It also fits well with the Saturn/Pluto balsamic phase, which will be discussed in Saturday's Ft. Lauderdale presentation, and was also covered in our recent 2018 Forecast webinar.

One other market that exhibited significant movement last week was Bitcoin. This cryptocurrency rose sharply from a low of 5911 on February 6, to over 10,000 on Friday, February 15. Not a bad move - up 70% - for a one-week trade. Still, it is well down from its all-time high of 19,458 on December 18, less than 2 months ago. This is an exciting market, which also suggests it has correspondence with Uranus. It is apt to get very interesting when Uranus, the planet of disruption and newness, enters Taurus, the sign of money and currencies. For that matter, Taurus also rules cattle. Last week, the nearby Live Cattle contract rallied to 130.32, a new yearly high.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

So now what? That question is likely to be asked more and more in the days and weeks ahead, as Neptune and Pisces - the planet and sign pertaining to uncertainty and doubt - come into prominence. Keep in mind, these two geocosmic factors also pertain to crude oil and health care. On Saturday, February 17, Mars in Sagittarius will square Neptune. This is like an exaggerated threat based on false data, perhaps made by someone or some entity that is way out of its league. This is the same day that Mercury (information) enters Pisces (lack of clarity), and one day later, the Sun enters Pisces, followed by Venus (monies) conjunct Neptune on February 21. This climate of uncertainty, non-control, and non-accountability may linger until March 4-6, following the Sun/Neptune conjunction of March 4 and the ingress of both Mercury and Venus into Aries on March 6. Thus, the next two weeks could be a fight between the irrational exuberance and complacency of Pisces and Neptune, as the market continues to rally and people forget what just happened February 2-9, versus the forces of hysteria and panic if the market unleashes another serious swoon reminiscent of February 2-9. I am not sure which will dominate (how can anyone be sure with these dynamics in effect ?), It is even possible that both themes will manifest in very quick succession of one another.

I do know this. The low of February 9, which ended a two-week, 3256-point decline in the DJIA, was very late in the primary cycle. It is not likely that low will be taken out that quickly. Plus, the season for the funding of retirement accounts in the USA is starting now, which means a lot of new money (probably a record amount) will enter equities very shortly. I think the greater danger is in being short rather than long, until we get well into this new primary cycle, and well past the IRA funding season. It is all about liquidity, and although I think the Fed's recent policies of interest rate hikes and stoppage of QE programs will soon lead to a contraction in liquidity, I don't think it will be that obvious until after March-April. All that money has to find a home somewhere, and the American economy could still look good until the final passage of the Saturn/Uranus and Jupiter/Neptune waning trines are complete in August, +/- 2 months.


Longer-term thoughts :

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : RAY MERRIMAN'S 2018 WORLDWIDE "FORECAST 2018" LIVE WEBINAR, took place on Saturday, February 3, 2018. The MP4 recording are now available. It came out very well. This broadcast addressed subjects from this year's Forecast 2018 Book, with updates on several financial and commodity markets such as Bitcoin, the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, Currencies. Crude oil and Live cattle (Uranus in Taurus). Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. To reserve a copy of this live broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email at :
customerservice@mmacycles.com, or go to our website at www.mmacycles.com.
In addition, all purchasers of this recording will receive a free copy of MMA's Special Stock Market Report that was issued on Thursday evening, February 8. Or, if you subscribe to any MMA Cycles Reports, you will also receive a free copy of this report. Otherwise, the cost for this special report is $50.00.

             Note 2 : LEARN THE MMA MARKET TIMING METHODS FOR FINANCIAL MARKETS !!! We have recently begun making recordings for the MMA Financial Market Timing course that will be converted to an MP4 format. Each class will be 1-2 two hours long, and will be packed with information on how to understand the language of cycle studies, chart patterns within cycles, and trend analysis. There will be 8 classes in each course. If you are interested in learning about cycles and market timing methods of MMA, this is a course - and these are classes - you will want to take. The cost will be $145.00/class, or $995 for all 8 classes in each course, as they become available. This is a savings of over $1000 from Course 1 of the MMTA courses taught three years ago. Watch this column for further information on ordering, just as soon as the recording and conversion of the first classes are completed, due in about three weeks now.

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             The third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1 : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is now out as of Friday, September 8! This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17 th century. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles. There is nothing else like this book available today. The cost of this book is $125. There is also a special $25 discount for those who also pre-order the Forecast 2018 Book . Call us to get this rate. The new material and tables on long-and intermediate-term cycles in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets are worth the cost of the book alone. For more information, go to visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com, or here and check it out. You can also order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034. "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Index" is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen : T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan's major commodity newspaper).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages:
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February 17, 2018 : Miami, Florida, "Forecasts 2018 and the Great Reset" - 10:30 AM - 4:30 PM.

Ft. Lauderdale, FL, Nova Southwestern University, Carl DeSantis Bldg/Business Sales Bldg, 3301 College Ave, Rooms 3032 and 3034.

This lecture/workshop will outline the major geocosmic signatures in effect in 2018 (and beyond), and their correlation to the political and economic trends for the year, both globally and nationally. The cosmic patterns of 2018-2020 are especially relevant to the leadership of the USA and its Federal Reserve Board. The decisions to be made will likely have long-term consequences, for better or worse, to the US Dollar, interest rates, stocks, and precious metals. In turn, this could have a direct impact upon the financial condition of both businesses and individuals. For more info mysticmimi@gmail.com, or go to :   https://www.meetup.com/Astrologers/events/240846998/ or call
954-296-1211
or  954-249-7620 for more info. You may also contact the local chapter of the National Council of Geocosmic Research at mysticmimi@gmail.com and put RSVP Merriman in Subject Line.

             May 23-29, 2,018 : The UAC (United Astrology Congress), Chicago, IL. The largest and most exciting conference for astrologers in the world take place then. 15 tracks, over 200 of the world's top astrologers making presentations. For more information, go to www.uacastrology.com.

             June 21-24, 2018 : AAGB (Astrological Association of Great Britain's) 50 th anniversary conference. Ray Merriman will be presenting a morning and afternoon workshop on "Cosmic Cycles are Forever" - valuable tools for timing trends and changes of trends in financial markets. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of currency and gold prices to certain planetary cycles are present in today's cosmos will be examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020. For more information, or email office@astrologicalassociation.com. or, visit and register before February 28 for only £199 and save big bucks !.

             July 12-15, 2018 : GLAC (Great Lakes Astrology Conference), Ann Arbor, MI. I will be there, conducting a special pre-conference workshop on "Mundane Astrology and The Great Reset". Plus, the Keynote speech.

             September 15-18, 2018 : 3 RD MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT, Majorca, Spain. Tentatively being planned. Details to be announced soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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