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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 22 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Greenspan suggests the nearly 50-year low unemployment rate, coupled with American corporations clamoring for workers, will force up wages and inflation. "Ultimately prices take hold", he said. "This is the tightest market, labor market, I've ever seen. But concurrently, we have a very slow productivity increase". - Berkeley Lovelace, "Ex-Fed Chief Greenspan : This is the Tightest Labor Market I Have Ever Seen", www.cnbc.com, October 18, 2018.

Ongoing concerns about Italy's spending proposals are likely to remain a negative for the (Euro) currency. The European Commission on Thursday sent Rome a letter calling a draft budget an "unprecedented" breach of EU fiscal rules, the first step of a procedure that could end with Brussels rejecting the budget and fining Italy. - Reuters, "Euro, Sterling, Gain on Report that UK May Drop Key Brexit Demand", www.cnbc.com, October 19, 2018.

Analyst expect ratings agencies to lower Italy's credit rating next week. David Reid, "A Ratings Downgrade for Italy is Now Forecast to Happen Within Days", www.cnbc.com, October 19, 2018.

The decline in world stock indices following their highs near the Venus retrograde on October 5 continued last week. Many indices started out low, then had a huge rally into Tuesday, and then another sell-off. In most cases, the selloff did not fall below last Monday's low, but it was a disappointing let down after Tuesday's large rally. The concerns were related to the themes of Venus (banking policies) in Scorpio (debt). That is, Italy's recent budget proposal included much more spending than previously expected, and the continued criticism by the USA Administration of the Federal Reserve Board's interest rate policies have caused investors to re-consider the growth prospects of stocks. In the first case, the decision by the Italian government to inflate its deficit spending plans is leading to a downgrade in its credit rating. It undermines investment plans in the entire Eurozone by those outside the Eurozone, for this becomes another inflationary factor. In the second case, the Fed is continuing its plans to raise rates because it doesn't want inflation to get out of control. Critics, like President Trump, argue that inflation is mild and under control. But that's today, before Jupiter enters the expansive sign of Sagittarius and squares Neptune, which is an inflationary combination that is starting in November 2018 and will be in force over the next year. The Fed is thinking about the future, and as Alan Greensman points out, the low unemployment and tight labor market are powerful forces that can - and probably will - lead to an inflationary spike sooner than later. These factors may account for the recent weakness in world equity and treasury markets, but they also factor in the recent rally in Gold and Silver.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term mundane thoughts :

The U.S. government ran its largest budget deficit in six years during the fiscal year that ended last month, an unusual development in a fast-growing economy and a sign that - so far at least - tax cuts have restrained government revenue gains... The deficit is headed toward $1 trillion in the current fiscal year, the White House and Congressional Budget Office said. - Kate Davidson, "Deficit Swells as Tax Cuts Take Bite", Wall Street Journal, October 16, 2018.

President Trump asked his cabinet to find ways to find ways to cut their budgets by 5% next year, targeting government spending after an official tally showed Republicans' tax cuts drive the federal budget deficit to its widest level in six years... During last year's tax debate, Democrats warned that Republicans would use the deficits created by the tax cut to press for cuts in safety-net programs. - Siobhan Hughes, Ricard Rubin, and Rebecca Ballhaus, "Trump Wants Budget Cuts as Deficit Grows", Wall Street Journal, October 18, 2018.

The 31-37 year Saturn/Pluto cycle of January 12, 2020 is already starting to make its presence felt. In terms of the economy, this is a time, give or take 18 months, when budget deficits increase, along with debt and credit downgrades. That's one of the key themes of Pluto, especially with Saturn. Another frequent theme under hard aspects from these two powerhouses is political assassinations, another grim story that attracted much attention last week with the mysterious disappearance of a Saudi citizen from the Saudi Embassy in Turkey on October 2. He also just happened to be a journalist for the Washington Post who was critical of the Saudi regime. That was another reason for the cause of last week's stock market decline after Tuesday's strong rally. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin cancelled his trip to a highly publicized Saudi Investment Conference then. On that announcement, the DJIA plunged over 400 points from its high of the week on Tuesday.

The volatility is not likely to subside this week, nor are the reports drawing attention to the missing Saudi critic and the world's increasing problems with renewed government deficits and growing debts. On Tuesday, October 23, the Sun will enter Scorpio, the sign of Pluto's rulership. It will also make an opposition to Uranus that same day, and the next day will be a highly charged full moon. The Sun/Uranus opposition is not a historically powerful reversal signature. Its correlation to primary cycles is only 52% within an orb of 12 trading days. However, it has a 74% correlation to very sharp but brief price swings, often as much as 4%, within only 4 trading days. Venus will oppose Pluto on October 31, which is a stronger correlate to primary or greater cycle reversals (71%), and also has a 71% correspondence to sharp price swings within 4 trading days. They overlap October 25-29, which means we can anticipate an important top or bottom between next Thursday and the following Monday that will either end or begin one of these swings. It should be a very good one-two weeks for short-term day traders who like to trade off extreme but brief price swings.

Further out, we are more focused on November 16 when Venus ends its retrograde motion, but Mercury begins its own. Once again, we expect much volatility then, as both have a 70+% correspondence to sharp price swings within 4 trading days. However, in this case, Venus direct has a very strong 73% correlation to primary or greater cycles culminating within 10 trading days.

On a more personal note, Venus will be turning direct from its own ruling sign of Libra. It could usher in a period of heightened romantic attractions for the remainder of the month. You better make sure you have plenty of cash or your credit card debts are up to date, for it could be embarrassing to meet someone, take them out for a romantic dinner, and then find out you can't pay the bill. Such is the nature of this period that highlights the sign of Scorpio (debt), both for governments and individuals. Everyone wants to spend money they don't have - or other peoples' money, as if it is their own. November is a good month to start a relationship. It is also a month when relationships that started out very well may end abruptly. It's just like markets because Venus rules love and money. One day it's there, the next day it's gone. That's the story line from now through November. Enjoy it while you can, and try to be a good manager of your resources and temptations.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : Only one more week remaining for MMA's once- a-year special sale on Forecast 2019 and MMA subscription services. The annual MMA pre-publication sale for the Forecast 2019 Book will end October 31. After that date, the discounted price of $45.00 will increase to the normal rate of $55.00. You may also order both an eBook and printed book version for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates, until October 31.

The Annual MMA Subscription Sale will end on October 31. Save 10% on any subscription ($325+) with purchase of Forecast 2019. Use code SALE19 to take advantage of this special rate. This sale ends in less than TWO WEEKS, so order now, before you miss out.

Do you have a subscription that is not expiring until after the sale ends? Renew now and extend your subscription at the discounted rate! Did you already purchase Forecast 2019 but would now like to take advantage of saving 10% on a subscription ? You still can! Call or email our office today so we can help you save.

For more information on this once-a-year sale, go to https://mmacycles.com and click the opening banner of the website. You may also call us at 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349, or email customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : Last year's Forecast 2018 Book rocked !. Check out the scorecard for financial markets asas of July 19 on our website at https://mmacycles.com under NEWS AND EVENTS. Some of the calls by our MMTA graduates were phenomenal, including Kat Powell on Soybeans, Nitin Bhandari on Crude Oil, Ulric Aspegren on the British Pound, as well as Mark Shtayerman and Izabella Suleymanova on Wheat, not to mention Merriman's own calls on other markets and the world/national political and economic arenas.

             Note 3 : MMA's special webinar on Silver and Soybeans that took place on Thursday, October 4, came out very well. The presentation was based on the research and analysis of MMTA graduate and MMA analyst Kat Powell with Ray Merriman acting as moderator. In this webinar, Powell and Merriman outlined the monthly, weekly, and daily charts of both Soybeans and Silver, identifying where each market was in terms of long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles. Powell additionally pointed out the status of various chart patterns in place that support a bull market outlook, but also key support levels that could prolong this current correction until important geocosmic signatures come into play within the next couple of months. She and Merriman both discuss the history of these two important geocosmic signatures. They then closely examine the next 1-6 weeks for both markets in light of Venus retrograde and heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius that is now beginning. Venus retrograde is examined historically in regards to the Soybeans market. Both markets were discussed at length in regards to the approaching Saturn/Pluto conjunction in January 2020. If you were not present for the live telecast, the MP4 recording is now available and very timely. Of great interest was the back and forth discussions between Merriman and Powell, which provided excellent, in-depth, coverage of both markets. The cost for the MP4 recording of this 90-minute webinar is $45. To register, please email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-800-662-3349, or 1-248-626-3034. You will also be able to order directly from our website at https://mmacycles.com shortly.

             Note 4 : The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever". This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the recording of this MP4 recording is $125. To order, please visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page. Or, you may email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. .

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2019 : "Trends for 2019", sponsored by Astrodata, Zurich, Switzerland. There will also be a workshop taught by Raymond Merriman on "Forecast 2019" the following day, January 12, with an outlook on several financial markets. For further information, contact info@astrodata.com and ask about pricing and location.
Saturday workshop : "Forecasts for Financial Markets in 2019".Based on the Forecast 2019 Book , Ray will present his outlook for the world geopolitical and financial landscape in 2019. He will discuss various cycles - both rhythmic and geocosmic - to support his outlook. In this workshop, he will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, the USA and German/Swiss stock markets, crude oil, and the Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a workshop you will not want to miss !.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Details and contact information coming soon via www.markettiming.nl.

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD).

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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