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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 11 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

A wave of bankruptcies is sweeping the U.S. Farm Belt as trade disputes add pain to the low commodity prices that have been grinding down American farmers for years. Bankruptcies covering major farm states last year rose to the highest level in at least 10 years. - Jesse Newman and Jacob Bunge, "Wave of Bankruptcies Hits Farm Country", Wall Street Journal, February 7, 2019.

General Motors said Wednesday that steel and aluminum tariffs helped damage its bottom line in 2018 by more than $1 billion. The Journal reports soaring farm bankruptcies in part because of the trade wars. If those promised Trump trade deals don't happen, a slowing global - and U.S. - economy will overwhelm his achievements. - Daniel Henninger, "Trump Flipped the Opposition", Wall Street Journal, February 7, 2019.

Stocks fell on Thursday after White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said China and the U.S. were still far away on striking a trade deal. A cut in the euro zone growth forecast also reignited fears that the global economy may be slowing down. "We've got a pretty sizable distance to go here", Kudlow told Fox Business, referring to the ongoing trade talks between the two largest world economies. China and the U.S. have until the start of March to strike a trade deal. Otherwise, additional tariffs on Chinese goods take effect. - - Fred Imbert, "Dow Drops 200 Points After Kudlow Says US and China Still Far Away on Trade Deal", https://www.cnbc.com, February 7, 2019.

The post-holiday rally in global stock markets came to a halt last week as Mars entered the critical 23-27° degrees of Aries zone. That happens to be where Saturn is located in the New York Stock Exchange chart (May 17, 1792), and in opposition to the NYSE Jupiter/Neptune conjunction in Libra. That passage lasts from February 4-11. After being up for six weeks, most stock indices topped out on February 5, although some continued higher into February 7, but almost all were down for the week after Friday's selloff.

The fundamental issue on investors' minds continues to be the slow progress on resolving the trade dispute with China. President Trump was optimistic about the talks over the past few weeks. The tone changed, again, last week, and the market showed its displeasure. Reports of further economic weakness in the Eurozone, combined with a lack of willingness to come to a mutually agreeable resolution on the Brexit issue between the EU and UK, also added to the worry investors are feeling about the future. However, Jupiter still has 10 months to go through Sagittarius, and if panic doesn't set in, the odds still favor more hope and optimistic news ahead. Yet, with Jupiter also square to Neptune through September, that hope and optimism may not square with reality in the end. Any aspect involving Neptune is a temptation to be hopeful and a challenge to be realistic. And then the Capricorn Stellium will take over in very late 2019 through 2020, which is no longer concerned with delusional fantasies without concrete evidence of something solid and reliable taking form. It will be time to show the proof that fantastical hopes and wishes are based in reality, and not just hype and false promises.

In other markets, bitcoin finally jumped out of its doldrums on Friday. It has a chance now to live up to its hype and promise as Friday it rallied to its highest level in three weeks without making a new low for the year. Like stocks, Gold and Silver also pulled back last week, but they bottomed on Thursday and were up on Friday, whereas stocks continued to fall Friday.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

"The mission of all schools is to teach students how to think, not what to think. To do otherwise is not teaching. It is indoctrination". - William Wade, "Opinions", Arizona Republic, February 7, 2019.

A powerful Mars/Uranus conjunction takes place on February 13, followed by Venus conjoining both Saturn and Pluto, February 18-22. Each of these is an important geocosmic signature that oftentimes correlates with significant reversals in many markets, especially stocks. Mars/ Uranus can indicate sudden and unexpected events or announcements, either due to natural matters, such as earthquakes, volcano eruptions, high winds and electrical blackouts. Or it can coincide with surprise announcements that cause a disturbance in the markets, as investors were not expecting a shift in policy or behavior. The result can be a sudden spike or drop in prices of stocks or commodity prices, or both. The following week, when Venus conjoins Saturn, is often a geocosmic signature of a trade set up. Any market making a corrective decline into this period is a candidate to start a healthy rally. If the stock market, for instance, continues down into then, +/- 3 trading days, it may present a favorable buying opportunity.

Looking further ahead, we will be watching the end of several eras related to the Jupiter/Saturn conjunction that takes place December 17-21, 2020, as both planets enter Aquarius. It is the end of the 20-year Jupiter/Saturn "normal" cycle that began May 28, 2000. A lot has happened in those 20 years. But it is more than that because it also ends the Jupiter/Saturn conjunction cycle in earth signs that has been present since July 19, 1802. Those conjunctions will now take place in air signs through December 20, 2159 (what is with all of these cycles taking place on the Winter Solstice ?). But it doesn't end there, for this will also be the start of the first air-sign "Great Mutation" series (where Jupiter and Saturn conjoin in air signs) since 1186-1226. Just like 1961-2020, the Jupiter and Saturn conjunction cycle alternated between earth and air then, before finally settling into the air element for the next two centuries.

What does it all mean ? It means we will be reimagining our future, and the future of the world. It will not be what you currently imagine. The "Great Chronocrator" (Jupiter and Saturn) moves from the political, practical psychology of earth, to the mental, intellectual quality of air for the rest of the century and well into the next. We will move from authoritative, centralized governmental controls, to more social drives for equality and fairness for the masses. Conservatives may not like this, as it has the scent of more socialistic visions. But it is not in a water sign (the caregivers), so intelligent efforts will be made to make the new systems workable and yet value the independence of the individual. At this time, I have no idea how that will look. However, I am fairly certain that since Jupiter is involved, and Jupiter rules education, that schools will once again focus on teaching students how to think, and not what to think. This is how we move from the controls of earth to the freedom of thought symbolized by air. Conservatives of today may find reason to cheer for that. In fact, I think most political leanings will support that direction.

Longer-Term thoughts and Geocosmics :

O.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR, take place on Saturday, February 9-2019. The MP4 recording of this event will be available on Monday, February 11. This webinar addressed subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book , with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies (including Bitcoin) were discussed, as well as an outlook on cannabis stocks, the new stock sector darling. If you were unable to attend live, you can still receive the MP4 recording now! Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. You may register via our website at https:// mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

             Note 2 : SPECIAL ONE-WEEK OFFER FROM MMA! You can purchase a two-issue trial subscription to the monthly MMA Cycles Report and get the Special Euro Currency Report by Ulric Aspegren being issued this week to all subscribers of MMA Cycles, and an MP4 recording of Saturday's Forecast 2019 webinar with the power point slides, all for $95.00. This offer is good for one week, through February 18, President's Day, which is also when the next MMA Cycles Report will be released. To take advantage of this special offer, go to mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars.

             Note 3 : SPECIAL UPDATE REPORT ON THE EURO CURRENCY COMING OUT SOON TO MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS!! MMA Currency Analyst and MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduate Ulric Aspegren has completed an intensive study on the long-term cycles of the Euro currency, via the MMA Market Timing methodology as taught in the MMTA program. In this report he has identified another long-term cycles' breakdown that explains today's current Euro Currency pattern, and what it projects for the future. Aspegren has been the ICR (International Cycles Report) analyst on the U.S. Dollar and British Pound since its inception five years ago. His work has been excellent, and he will now be covering the Euro currency analysis for the monthly MMA Cycles Report starting with the February 19 issue. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report, and are interested in receiving this special Euro report that will be issued this week on February 7, consider taking out a subscription, even a trial subscription. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Monthly Cycles Report.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             February 9, 2019 : MMA'S 2019 WORLDWIDE "FORECAST 2019" LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide webinar on "Forecast 2018". This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event, within 72 hours afterwards. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com , or register via our website at https:// mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend, you can pre-order MP4 recordings, which will be delivered as soon as they are available - within 72 hours after the live webinar.

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             April 26, 2019 7 P.M. : Boulder, Colorado. "Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political climate : an evening with Ray Merriman. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63 rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at patti.simmers@comcast.net. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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