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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 18 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

"The world economy is slowing very rapidly and therefore monetary policy everywhere will be eased, so the outlook is a lot more inflationary, helping gold", said Alasdair Macleod, head of research at GoldMoney.com. "Gold Scales 2-Week Peak", Reuters, February 15, 2019.

Stocks continued their torrid rally last week to new highs for 2019 in U.S. indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, closed at 25,883, up 777 points for the week and 443 points on Friday alone, and this was in spite of President Trump's "Mars/Uranus conjunction" surprise announcement that he will issue an executive order to "build the wall". To a Mundane Astrologer, this was practically a given with Saturn in Capricorn (2018-2020), and both ruling "walls". However, that was not the real reason why equities rallied so strongly. It had more to do with the encouraging news on trade talks between the U.S. and China, which astrologically pertains to Jupiter in Sagittarius (both the planet and the sign rule world trade). They too will likely come to some sort of an agreement soon, although with Jupiter square Neptune, the "spin" on the agreement may be much greater than the reality of what it actually delivers or can be enforced.

In Europe, the Netherlands AEX, Zurich SMI, and London FTSE indices all spared to new highs for 2019 last week, but the German DAX did not, for a potential case of intermarket bearish divergence in an MMA critical reversal zone.

In the Far East it was also a mixed bag. China's Shanghai Composite, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Tokyo's Nikkei all rallied to new highs for 2019. Australia's ASX just missed, whereas India's Nifty Index was one of the few markets that plummeted last week.

In the America's. the S&P, DJIA, and NASDAQ all made new highs for the year, while Argentina's Merval Index exploded for a new all-time high. Brazil's Bovespa was up, but not quite to a new all-time high.

In other markets, Gold, Silver, the Euro and the Yen all fell to a multi week low on February 14. Crude oil, like many stock indices, rallied to a new high for this year. Bitcoin started the week off quite strong, but then turned sideways again, hovering around 3550 by Friday's close.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

The national debt surpasses $22 trillion for the first time on Tuesday, February 12, a milestone that experts warned is further proof the country is on an unsustainable path that could jeopardize the economic security of every American... The national debt has been rising at a faster rate following the passage of President Donald Trump's $1.5 trillion tax-cut package a little more than a year ago... over time this can push up interest rates for consumers and businesses, nudging up rates for mortgages, corporate bonds and other types of consumer and business loans. - Michael Collins, "National Debt Tops $22 Trillion for Firth Time", USA Today, February 14, 2019.

There are three kinds of lies : lies, damned lies, and statistics. Attributed to Benjamin Disraeli by Mark Twin in "Chapters from My Autobiography", North American Review No. DCXVIII (July 5, 1907).

It is just the nature of Jupiter in Sagittarius square Neptune in Pisces. Everything has a nuance to it, and that nuance is usually dictated by the tendency to exaggerate, which falls under the domain of Jupiter and its ruling sign of Sagittarius. Add to this the tendency to give out incorrect facts, misleading information, and inaccurate narratives that have a hidden agenda to divert attention away from what is really important, and you get an idea of the collective psychological climate we are in this year. In terms of market psychology, this is the juice that can lead to "irrational exuberance", wishful thinking, and a proclivity towards thinking everything is wonderful, when really it is - at best - uncertain, unknown, and confusing, Markets may rally or fall in extremes with no rational basis behind it. We saw this in December when equity markets fell very hard, and we are probably seeing it now as equity markets rally for 8 consecutive weeks.

To a Financial Astrologer, it all fits into the storyline of Jupiter square Neptune with each planet in its ruling sign. At some point, reality will hit, such as the reality that the debt issue is not under control. That wakeup call is coming soon, probably in 2020, as the Jupiter/Neptune square gives way to the "Capricorn Stellium", when Jupiter, Saturn, Pluto, and the Moon's south node will travel through Capricorn and conjoin one another. If Sagittarius exaggerates, then Capricorn is much more critical and discerning, underestimating and preparing for the worst, instead of overestimating and assuming the best. This year, 2019, is the "setup" for what we will experience collectively in 2020-2021. It is a switch from seeing the glass half full to seeing it half empty - maybe almost empty.

We may get a glimpse of this future reality this week. Venus will conjoin both Saturn and Pluto, February 18-22 which is a preview of what we will see when Saturn and Pluto actually enter their conjunction on January 12, 2020. This week's conjunction of Venus, Saturn, and Pluto follows the time last month when Venus was conjunct Jupiter and square Neptune, January 20-22. These translations of Venus over first the Jupiter/Neptune square, and then the Saturn/Pluto conjunction, is a symbolic preview of the greater picture of Jupiter square Neptune, January-September 2019, followed by the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in January 2020, with an effect lasting through much of 2020. As you can see, first the market was up, and now let's see if we get a pull back from the Venus-Saturn-Pluto conjunction this coming week.

An even more important "translation" to the same set of aspects will follow with the Sun in March and April. That is, the Sun will conjunct Neptune and square Jupiter, March 6-13, and then head for a square to both Saturn and Pluto. April 10-13. Thus, this period offers another preview of what is to come, if not specifically in terms of market behavior, then in terms of political and economic scenarios. That is, first hopes and wishes, perhaps tinged with delusionary visions of "what could be", followed by a smack in the face with cold reality, probably related to debt issues. It is very interesting to see the increasing attention being created for many socialistic policies, like free college education, guaranteed minimum annual payments by the government to everyone even if you don't work, to Medicare for all, at the same time the national debt is reported to exceed $22 trillion. This "parallel realities" is taking place as we leave the first Venus translation of Jupiter and Neptune (wishes, hopes, delusionary visions) and approach the Venus conjunction to Saturn and Pluto (hard, cold, reality involving debt) this week. The tax cut (Pluto) did not create the increase in revenues for the U.S. treasury expected. But I suspect all that will be forgotten soon as we approach the Sun's translation to Jupiter/Neptune square in March - until we get to April, when the debt level again reaches a point of greater concern and makes headlines.

Each translation of Jupiter/Neptune by a faster moving planet, followed by that same planet's translation of Saturn and Pluto soon afterwards, is likely to exhibit this pattern : first optimism based on hopes and wishes, then worry based on "How can we afford this with such debt?" This back and forth pattern progresses to less and less optimism and more and more concern the closer we get to 2020. The danger for traders and investors is that they become complacent, because every downturn in the market is still followed by healthy rallies, until Jupiter and Neptune finally separate after September. The danger for governments institutions, companies and individuals is that if not careful, they may be headed for a credit crisis, such as bankruptcy (classical Jupiter/Neptune occurrences), where they spend far beyond what they can afford, falsely believing that everything is OK and will work out.

It is important to understand this dynamic. It may be hard to identify the exact turns in financial markets these days, especially if you don't use geocosmic indicators. However, if you understand the collective psychology that is taking place, you can see why this type of pattern and this probability of increasing investor complacency, can be a "setup" to a rather dangerous market climate that could very well be approaching. It is a reason why investors are advised to start thinking about how they can move from "market risk" to "cash" or certain commodities (if not done already), for when the psychological bubble of complacency breaks, cash will be king. That's usually the way things go when Saturn enters hard aspect to Pluto and Uranus within a year of one another, which will take place in 2020-2021, for the first time since 2008-2010, and 2000-2002 before that.

For more insight on these matters, consider getting a copy of last week's Forecast 2019 Webinar. It went very well, and so did the recording. With the power point slides that go along with this recording, these points are illustrated clearly - much more clearly than one might expect in these times with Jupiter square Neptune.

Longer-Term thoughts and Geocosmics :

O.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MP4's NOW AVAILABLE FROM MMA'S FORECAST 2019 WEBINAR. This was an exceptional 2-hour webinar, and the recording with slides came out very good. The event took place last Saturday, February 9, 2019 and addressed subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book , with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil currencies (including Bitcoin), Live Cattle, and Canopy, a Canadian cannabis stock offered on USA markets, were discussed. If you were unable to attend live, you can still receive the MP4 recording now! Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. You may register via our website at mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. In fact, there is special in effect until this Monday where you can purchase the MP4 recording of the webinar, plus a 2-issue trial of the monthly MMA Cycles Report (which comes out this week), and includes the special Euro Currency report, for a total of $95.00.

             Note 2 : SPECIAL ONE-WEEK OFFER FROM MMA ENDS THIS MONDAY!. You can purchase a two-issue trial subscription to the monthly MMA Cycles Report and get the Special Euro Currency Report by Ulric Aspegren issued last week, and an MP4 recording of last Saturday's Forecast 2019 webinar with the power point slides, all for $95.00. This offer is good for one week, through February 18, President's Day, which is also when the next MMA Cycles Report will be released. To take advantage of this special offer, go to mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars.

             Note 3 : SPECIAL UPDATE REPORT ON THE EURO CURRENCY COMING OUT SOON TO MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS!! MMA Currency Analyst and MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduate Ulric Aspegren has completed an intensive study on the long-term cycles of the Euro currency, via the MMA Market Timing methodology as taught in the MMTA program. In this report he has identified another long-term cycles' breakdown that explains today's current Euro Currency pattern, and what it projects for the future. Aspegren has been the ICR (International Cycles Report) analyst on the U.S. Dollar and British Pound since its inception five years ago. His work has been excellent, and he will now be covering the Euro currency analysis for the monthly MMA Cycles Report starting with the February 19 issue. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report, and are interested in receiving this special Euro report that will be issued this week on February 7, consider taking out a subscription, even a trial subscription. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Monthly Cycles Report.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             F

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             April 26, 2019 7 P.M. : Boulder, Colorado. "Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political climate : an evening with Ray Merriman. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63 rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at patti.simmers@comcast.net. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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