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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 4 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The U.S. economy remains strong, but dangers are brewing ahead, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told a Senate committee Tuesday".While we view current economic conditions as healthy and the economic outlook as favorable, over the past few months we have seen some crosscurrents and conflicting signals",Powell said in his prepared remarks to the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs".Financial markets became more volatile toward year-end, and financial conditions are now less supportive of growth than they were earlier last year".China and Europe are particular areas of concern, and the Fed also is watching how Brexit negotiations and trade talks play out. - Jeff Cox", Powell Warns of Headwinds, Says Fed is Prepared to Adjust on Balance Sheet Unwind if Necessary", https://www.cnbc.com, February 26, 2019.

But in Europe, where trade tensions between the U.S. and EU countries have been rising, the risks from U.S. trade policy are becoming more prominent. U.S. trade policy was the No. 1 external risk factor cited by CFOs from the Europe, Middle East and Africa region taking the survey, with 35 percent saying it was the biggest current threat to their business. That was higher than the percentage of CFOs from the Asia-Pacific region citing trade policy as the biggest external risk (29 percent). Only 17 percent of North America-based CFOs cited trade policy - concern about consumer demand was cited by many more CFOs from the U.S. (43 percent). - Eric Rosenbaum",Trade Policy now biggest issue in Europe", https://www.cnbc.com, March 1, 2019.

... the success of trade taxes (tariffs) to date was shown by the December US trade deficit hitting a record high. - UBS Morning Audio Comment, Paul Donovan, March 1, 2019.

It is my self-assigned duty to report current instances where the Jupiter/Neptune square (delusion, hyperbole, grandiosity, exaggeration) seem apparent in current economic and financial market news, and may have the corresponding effect of falsely influencing investors' perceptions of reality. For instance, equity markets may be going up on the perception that progress is being made on trade issues, when in fact, it may be just the opposite, or, it may be improving in one area (Asia) but not in others (Europe). Or, if I were a cynic, I might notice that relations for future trade deals appear to be improving most in areas where the prospects are greatest for a certain company's brand, perhaps after 2020.

Nevertheless, most world equity markets continued to advance to their highest levels of 2019 last week. In Europe, the German DAX index, which had been the weakest of the European indices, led the march forward, rising sharply to 11,676 on Friday. The Netherlands AEX and Zurich SMI indices posted new highs for the new year on February 27. The story was different in England where the FTSE fell to its lowest level in 18 days on March 1. The Brexit proceedings are not proceeding well, and neither party is able to find a win-win situation. Instead, both sides continue to lumber toward a lose-lose resolution. This is not surprising, given that Brexit passed under a retrograde Mars in 2016 - in Scorpio, no less. Mars direct means things get started and move forward, often quickly. Mars retrograde implies that things started don't get moving forward too fast. Matters started under Mars retrograde often go backwards more quickly than they go forward. In the case of Brexit, progress is more like a constant regress.

In Asia and the Far East, new highs for 2019 were noted on Friday in both the Japanese Nikkei and Australian ASX indices. Hong Kong's Hang Seng and China's Shanghai Composite posted new highs on February 27, and nearly match those on the close of Friday, March 1. India's Nifty was weaker, moving more sideways than up or down.

The Americas were a tale of two continents. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite both posted new highs for 2019 last week, but the Bovespa of Brazil and Merval of Argentina fell to new multi-week lows late last week.

It wasn't a good week for precious metals. Gold and Silver both fell to new multi-week lows on Friday, with Gold falling below $1300. Crude Oil and Live Cattle, however, soared to new highs for this year. In the case of Live Cattle, prices continued their torrid pace upwards that started when Uranus first moved into Taurus last May 2018. That same cosmic event returns again this week, March 6. The symbol for Taurus is the bull. Given that Uranus pertains to "boom and bust" in financial markets ruled by the sign it is in, it is no wonder that Cattle prices have been soaring since May 2018, as depicted in both the Forecast 2018 and 2019 books.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen says she doubts that President Donald Trump has a good grasp of economic policy or even knows the Federal Reserve's mandates". I doubt that he would even be able to say that the Fed's goals are maximum employment and price stability",Yellen said in an interview with radio program "Marketplace". She said comments like that show a "lack of understanding of the impact of the Fed on the economy and appropriate policy goals". Asked in the interview released Monday if she felt Trump had a grasp of macroeconomic policy, Yellen said, "No I do not". - Martin Crutsinger",Yellen Critical of Trump's Grasp of Economic Policy",Associated Press (AP), February 26, 2019.

Janet L. Yellen was the most qualified Federal Reserve chair we've ever had and maybe the most successful Federal Reserve chair we've ever had. But, in part because she was also the shortest Federal Reserve chair we've ever had, she wasn't reappointed by President Trump.. Trump, according to The Washington Post , seems to believe that the Fed is a lot like a roller coaster: You have to be so tall to go on it. In particular, he thought that the 5-foot-3-inch Yellen was too short to do the job that she'd been doing so well the previous four years. You might say this was the height of a bad decision. - Matt O'Brien",Trump Thought Yellen was too Short to be Fed Chair: That's Not How Any of this Works",Washington Post, December 3, 2018.

This should be a most interesting week from the cosmic perspective. It actually started on Friday, March 1, with Venus (money and love) forming a waning square to Uranus (the unexpected, volatility, disruptions, and sudden changes). By itself this signature has a strong correlation to reversals in many financial markets, such as stock indices, within 4 trading days.

On Tuesday, March 5, Mercury will begin its three-week retrograde motion in Pisces, which should be a peculiar period, for the "Trickster" will conjoin Neptune three times while in Pisces. Mercury rules data, like information and communication. Neptune and Pisces rule inspiration. But in Pisces, Mercury is debilitated, so the effort to communicate information comes out more like an attempt at inspiration, or a sermon, with little basis in fact or reality. The result can be confusion, or news that is released as fact only to be disputed quickly as not-fact, and in fact, it comes across as misleading and contradictory. Think the after-meeting reports of the Trump-Kim summit last week. And that is just a preview of what to expect the next 3-4 weeks. In other words, it's another case of who do you believe ? Truth is rather elusive during this month.

It doesn't get any clearer this week when the new Moon in Pisces takes place on March 6, conjunct Neptune, the day after Mercury starts its retrograde motion in Pisces. This is a period when everyone would be well-advised to think first before speaking, and then after speaking, checking to make sure the other person understood what you meant (and vice-versa). Did you really mean to tell your broker to "buy" when you meant "sell?". Did you really mean to tell your secretary (or boss) "I love you", when you thought you had called your mother?. Maybe you did, but didn't know it consciously, for Neptune and Pisces have a lot to do with the unconscious. They both rule sleep. With Mercury involved, there might be a lot of sleep-walking and sweet-talking during sleep. This might be a good time to sleep alone, lest you implicate yourself unintentionally.

But don't sleep during market hours if you are a trader, for Uranus is also active this week, and with Uranus, prices can change fast and furiously. That goes double with Mercury turning retrograde. You know the Trickster can change his mind on a dime, and if you hesitate, the opportunity is lost. The rules and boundaries get blurred with all this Neptune and Pisces and Mercury retrograde. However, it is a very good time for intuition, which is a little like inspiration, but not so reliable for information. So, don't follow the instructions of others (they will only confuse you), but rather trust your own gut when deciding what is right and what is wrong - for you.

As far as trading is concerned this week, rewards are there for those who can act quickly and decisively. Price swings may be huge, but the opportunity to capture them will likely last seconds, not minutes. And the idea of thinking you will have hours to decide on a trade is probably a wishful fantasy. Which, come to think of it, is another way to describe the current cosmic picture and its message. Enjoy the pictures. Ignore the text.

Longer-Term thoughts and Geocosmics :

O.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MP4's NOW AVAILABLE FROM MMA'S FORECAST 2019 WEBINAR. This was an exceptional 2-hour webinar, and the recording with slides came out very good. The event took place last Saturday, February 9, 2019 and addressed subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book , with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil currencies (including Bitcoin), Live Cattle, and Canopy, a Canadian cannabis stock offered on USA markets, were discussed. If you were unable to attend live, you can still receive the MP4 recording now! Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation. You may register via our website at mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. In fact, there is special in effect until this Monday where you can purchase the MP4 recording of the webinar, plus a 2-issue trial of the monthly MMA Cycles Report (which comes out this week), and includes the special Euro Currency report, for a total of $95.00.

             Note 2 : MARK YOUR CALENDARS AND SAVE THE DATE! On April 4, 6:30 PM, EDT, we will host a webinar to MMA subscribers on "How to Read the Daily and Weekly MMA Reports for Optimal Trading Strategies". This 90-minute webinar will be free to subscribers ($45 to non-subscribers). Presented by Raymond Merriman. If you are not a subscriber to an MMA Cycles Report (daily, weekly, or monthly), this would be a good time to start - if you are interested in seeing how MMA's market timing studies are integrated with technical analysis studies for optimal trading setups. .

             Note 3 : SPECIAL UPDATE REPORT ON THE EURO CURRENCY COMING OUT SOON TO MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS!! MMA Currency Analyst and MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) graduate Ulric Aspegren has completed an intensive study on the long-term cycles of the Euro currency, via the MMA Market Timing methodology as taught in the MMTA program. In this report he has identified another long-term cycles' breakdown that explains today's current Euro Currency pattern, and what it projects for the future. Aspegren has been the ICR (International Cycles Report) analyst on the U.S. Dollar and British Pound since its inception five years ago. His work has been excellent, and he will now be covering the Euro currency analysis for the monthly MMA Cycles Report starting with the February 19 issue. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report, and are interested in receiving this special Euro report that will be issued this week on February 7, consider taking out a subscription, even a trial subscription. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services > MMA Monthly Cycles Report.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             April 26, 2019 7 P.M. : Boulder, Colorado".Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political climate : an evening with Ray Merriman. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63 rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at patti.simmers@comcast.net. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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