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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 6 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The U.S. jobs machine kept humming along in April, adding a robust 263,000 new hires while the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, the lowest in a generation, the Labor Department reported Friday. Nonfarm payroll growth easily beat Wall Street expectations of 190,000 and a 3.8% jobless rate. Average hourly earnings growth held at 3.2% over the past year, a notch below Dow Jones estimates of 3.3%. Unemployment was last this low in December 1969 when it hit 3.5%. At a time when many economists see a tight labor market, big job growth continues as the economic expansion is just a few months away from being the longest in history. - Jeff Cox, "Jobs Surge in April, Unemployment Rate Falls to the Lowest since 1969", https://www.cnbc.com, May 3, 2019.

President Donald Trump tweeted that he wants the economy to "go up like a rocket", ratcheting up his efforts to badger the Federal Reserve into slashing interest rates... The Fed, as expected, left its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday after a two-day meeting... Here's the rub : Trump is cheerleading for an excessively large rate cut for the wrong reasons, economists say. And his proposal, if enacted, carries unpalatable risks for a relatively modest reward, even putting aside the potentially bigger hazard that the Fed would jeopardize the public's confidence in its independence if it were to follow Trump's advice. - Paul Davidson, "Trump : Rate Cuts Would Make Economy Soar", USA Today, May 3, 2019.

You can just feel the buoyancy, even overconfidence, of Jupiter in Sagittarius in the two quotes above. You can also sense the continued building of a possible "bubble" in the economy and stock market, and the development of a psychological attribute coined by former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan as "irrational exuberance". This is the kind of collective attitude, encouraged by the president of the United States, that could cause investors to start becoming speculators in U.S. stocks, which is consistent not only with Jupiter in Sagittarius (where everything is "large"), but at the same time, in a square aspect to Neptune in Pisces (delusion, illusion, and over-the-top wishful thinking). This is the kind of aspect that symbolizes grandiose thinking and placing large bets on the herd instinct. And the danger is that once it ends in December 2019, it immediately shape-shifts into the Capricorn Stellium involving the Saturn/Pluto conjunction starting in January 2020. Even Jupiter moves from the ever-expansive sign of Sagittarius (November 8, 2018-December 2, 2019) into the hardly ever-expansive sign of Capricorn. History shows a dramatic correlation : long-term stock market highs often occur with Jupiter in Sagittarius (2019), followed by a steep decline when Jupiter goes through Capricorn, often continuing as Jupiter ingresses into Aquarius and even Pisces in many cases (2020-2022). Jupiter was last in this set up in 2007-2009.

On the very good news with the employment reports, stocks soared. The Dow Industrial Average was up nearly 200 points, but still well off its cycle high of 26,696 recorded on April 23, and even further off its all-time high of 26,951 on October 3, 2018. The NASDAQ Composite, on the other hand, soared to a new all-time high last Monday, April 29, at 8176, then closed very near it again on Friday, May 3, at 8164. The S&P made a new all-time high last week too, soaring to 2954 on May 1, and closing the week at 2945.

These upside breakouts in equities (minus the DJIA so far) are also consistent with comments stated in our last column of two weeks ago, stating, " We are about to begin a time band containing several important geocosmic signatures with historical correlations to reversals in many markets, April 22 through May 18. This time band will be bookended by the Sun/Uranus conjunction on April 22 and the Venus/Uranus conjunction May 18. Both involve Uranus, which makes this a very challenging period for both investors and market analysts, since Uranus pertains to the unpredictable. In most cases, such periods coincide with reversals. But in a surprisingly large percentage of cases, such Uranus signatures also have coincided with sharp breakouts of well-defined resistance and support zones, leading to new highs in some markets and new lows in others. The stock market is nearing new highs... . this surge up to new highs can be associated with the Sun/Uranus conjunction in Taurus (money and stocks) this Monday, April 22. It is possible that these breakouts will continue, or resume, near the time when Venus conjoins Uranus on May 18, again in Taurus, the ruling of sign of Venus".

This period has also proved to be favorable to Bitcoin, which broke out to a high of $5796 on Friday, its highest level in nearly 6 months. However, it had the opposite effect on Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil, which fell hard. Gold and Silver both made new cycle lows on Thursday. But Friday's employment reports changed all that. Silver was especially impressive, rising 32 cents on Friday. I think traders also sense the Jupiter in Sagittarius, which - despite what the Fed and the White House say - suggests that the seeds of inflation may be hidden, but readying to sprout in the payroll report numbers. Yes, excluding food and energy, inflation seems tame. But food, and especially energy itself, are showing signs that they may not be so tame soon. And the costs to travel have been soaring lately. Jupiter and Sagittarius rule travel. You may wish to monitor the travel industry closely, for after prices peak with Jupiter in Sagittarius (2019), they tend to come down hard when Jupiter moves through Capricorn in 2020.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Honor thy mother and father that it may be well with thee and thou mayest live long on the earth - the fifth of the Ten Commandments, Exodus 20 : 2-17, the Bible, King James version.

Mothers all want their sons to grow up to be president, but they don't want them to become politicians in the process. - John F. Kennedy, https://www.goalcast.com.

We are right in the middle of that time band containing several important geocosmic signatures with historical correlations to reversals in many markets, April 22 through May 18 . Gold and Silver are falling to new lows for 2019, while stocks and Bitcoin are making new highs.

This week is particularly active. On Sunday, May 5, Mars will form an opposition to Jupiter which can relate to extreme euphoria or recklessness. It is a time when some people may blurt out what is really on their mind, without thinking about the consequences and reactions from others it may generate. This is not an aspect of tactfulness or self-control. It can be blunt and offensive, careless and stupid, if not controlled, especially with Mars now in the talkative sign of Gemini. It would be wise to avoid speaking or tweeting on impulse, especially if your intent is to be self-congratulatory and attempt to solicit praise for whatever it is you are doing. Instead of praise, you may elicit the ire of others for arrogance, if not careful.

On Tuesday-Thursday, May 7-9, Venus in Aries will form a square to the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in Aries. That isn't likely to help the problems created under Mars opposed to Jupiter. In fact, it probably represents the reprehension and consequence of one's untamed and self-indulgent behavior. Pack it in (your impulse) if you are tempted to let your uncensored self loose, which would probably be a very bad idea. In terms of markets, however, we have this rule that any market declining into this type of an aspect becomes an attractive candidate to buy. Since Venus rules Soybeans, and Soybeans are making new cycle lows, this may be a market to watch for a potential buying opportunity.

This is followed by the Sun in Taurus making a favorable trine to the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in Capricorn, May 11-13. This is a favorable cosmic combination for making long-term plans, or initiating activities that will have a long-term favorable outcome if you stick with the idea. It is favorable for business decisions and investments that have a longer-term horizon. The results may not show up right away, so patience and belief in the idea are essential to capitalize on this dynamic. It is also a favorable time to honor those who are legends in your world, in your mind. It just happens to fall on Mothers' Day this year, so this is likely to be very special and rewarding celebration for many families.

Longer-Term thoughts :

U.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The Monthly MMTA International Cycles Report (ICR) will come out this week. This issue will include second round of three introductory analyses on two commodity markets: Coffee and Sugar. In late June, we will launch a new ICR Commodities Report, which will include not only Coffee and Sugar, but also Wheat and Corn, along with Live Cattle and a major Cannabis stocks (MJ), which are currently being offered as pilot reports in the MMA Cycles Report through May. After that, we will begin a new Monthly ICR Commodities Report that will include Coffee, Sugar, Live Cattle, Corn, and Wheat, plus Live Cattle and Cannabis. The monthly ICR report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international financial markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA's classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden). Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), plus Corn (C), Wheat (W), Sugar, and Coffee until late June. For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.

             Note 2 : LIVE CATTLE AND CANNABIS ETF! THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT was issued this week to all subscribers of that report. This report contained our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA's original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. The April issue released last week also included analysis of Live Cattle by Massimo Moras, MMTA graduate and analyst, and our pilot report on Cannabis stocks, by MMA analyst, who has identified the early signs of a primary cycle in this new industry. Both Live Cattle and Cannabis analysis will soon become regular features in a new ICR (International Cycles Report) report coming out in late June-July, to be called the ICR Commodities Report . It will also include analysis on Corn, Wheat, Coffee, and Sugar markets. For now, through May, however, Live Cattle and Cannabis will be introduced via our monthly MMA Cycles Report for no extra cost to those subscribers. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report was also released last week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to these monthly MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month's outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. Please visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services for more information. .

             Note 3 : MMA is looking for new editors for its new monthly reports and some existing reports (ICR Financials, and ICR Commodities). If you are a competent editor (English only) and are interested in editing reports in exchange for complimentary subscriptions to that report, please let us know at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 4 : LIVE CATTLE AND CANNABIS ETF! THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT will be issued this week (Monday night-Tuesday) to all subscribers of that report. This report contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA's original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. This April issue will have an analysis of Live Cattle by Massimo Moras, MMTA graduate and analyst. This issue will also contain our pilot report on Cannabis stocks, by MMA analyst, who has identified the early signs of a primary cycle in this new industry. Both Live Cattle and Cannabis analysis will soon become regular features in a new ICR (International Cycles Report) report coming out in late June-July, to be called the International Commodities Cycles Report . It will also include analysis on Corn, Wheat, Coffee, and Sugar markets. For now, through May, however, Live Cattle and Cannabis will be introduced via our monthly MMA Cycles Report for no extra cost to those subscribers. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also be released this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month's outlook for financial markets, consider taking out a subscription NOW. Please visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services for more information.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             A.

             June 8-16, 2019 : We now have the description posted on our website for the two weekend courses to take place in Beijing, China, June 8-9 and June 15-16 on "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", with Raymond Merriman. This special 2-weekend workshop will take place at the Beijing Broadcasting Tower Hotel, No. 14 Jianguomenwai Da Jie, Chaoyang, 100022 Beijing, China. To view the course descriptions please go to https://mmacycles.com > News and Events . This will be a two -weekend intensive Market Timing and Trading workshop for traders - both position traders and short-term aggressive traders. The first weekend course will focus on the primary cycle and its phases used in trading several financial markets, with the emphasis on the U.S. and Chinese Shanghai stock indices and Gold (other markets may be included as well). The course will then take participants through the steps of narrowing the cycle time band down for trading cycle highs and lows by applying geocosmic signatures. The second weekend course will identify very short-term trading opportunities (1-day to three weeks) based on solar/lunar studies. Once in either time band for a reversal, students will then learn how to apply various chart patterns and technical studies to identify the setup for optimal risk/reward opportunities. The workshops will be given in English, with translation in Chinese. The cost for this unique and valuable 2-weekend trading course is $4000 (10% discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). If you wish to attend, you may need to get a VISA, which takes about 10 days and will require an invitation letter from our hosts, which can be sent immediately. For further information, please contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349 or via email at customerservice@mmacycles.com and we will look forward to seeing you at this first-of-its-kind workshop in China with Ray Merrimank you will need to be there by 9 AM, which means we will have to leave about 7:30 or 8 AM, which will be traffic time.! .

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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