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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 17 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Note : I am abroad for courses the next two weekends. This column will be written on Thursday, one day before normal, while I'm here. This week's column is written on Thursday, June 6, before the jobs report of Friday, June 7.


Review and Preview :

Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank (ECB) and Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the global trade dispute between the U.S. and China as well as a threatened dispute with Europe and other industrial nations could cause headwinds for all and could get worse. Speaking at the 8th ECB conference focused on central, eastern and south-eastern European (CESEE) countries on Wednesday, the IMF's Lagarde said "We meet at a moment when support for global cooperation and multilateral solutions is waning". - Holly Ellyatt, "IMF's Lagarde and ECB's Draghi Warn Against Troubling Developments in Trade War", https://www.cnbc.com, June 12, 2019.

Morgan Stanley's Business Conditions Index, which captures turning points in the economy, fell by 32 points in June, to a level of 13 from a level of 45 in May. This drop is the largest one-month decline on record and the lowest level since December 2008 during the financial crisis, according to the firm. - Maggie Fitzgerald, "A Morgan Stanley Economic Indicator Just Suffered a Record Collapse", https://www.cnbc.com, June 13, 2019.

Global stock indices continued their impressive rally through Thursday, June 13, off the lows that began with the prior week's primary cycle bottom on June 3. It's all part of the second passage of the Jupiter/Neptune waning square, which takes place this weekend, June 16, and has a historical correlation with major reversals within an orb of 11 trading days. The low of June 3 was nine trading days before this passage, which falls within the time band of historical correspondence. However, the orb for reversals related to this aspect remains in effect for another two weeks, which means it can also coincide with another major reversal, down from a crest that could be developing now. So far, most world indices have rallied about 5% from that low into highs of June 11. In the U.S. the rallies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ have been greater, 6.4 and 8.4% respectively, as of the highs on June 11, but both are again challenging those highs as we close out the week.

In other markets, Gold also rallied smartly last week, climbing back above $1350 in the recent contract for the first time since April 19, 2018, over one year ago. Silver is flirting with the 15.00 level, up modestly from its 6-month low of 14.26 on May 28, but well below its 16.19-16.20 double top highs of January 31 and February 20, 2019. Crude Oil dropped to 50.72 last Wednesday, June 12, forming a bullish double bottom chart pattern to its low of 50.60 the prior week on June 5. This is noteworthy because both Jupiter and Neptune co-rule Crude Oil, and they are at their cosmic peak for 2019 right now. Bitcoin also had an important week, forming a double bottom at 7424 on June 5 and 7498 on June 10. As of this writing on June 13, just three days later, Bitcoin has already rallied more than 10% off those lows.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

As stated above, this is the cosmic peak of the 2019 Jupiter/Neptune waning square aspect, arguably the most dominant geocosmic signature of 2019. It is especially important to students of geocosmic studies because both planets are also in their ruling signs of Sagittarius and Neptune respectively, something that only happens every 166-167 years. Both Jupiter and its ruling sign of Sagittarius pertain to the emotions of optimism and hope. They see the "glass as half full", and believe that the glass is in the process of becoming full. However, both the sign and the planet have a tendency to exaggerate, to the point of dismissing factual evidence, perhaps because they want to believe the best outcome will happen. It's called positive thinking, but it can lead to poor, or even wrong, judgement, resulting in losses rather than the gains expected due to the exaggerated and high hopes. This characteristic becomes more problematic with the waning square to Neptune in Pisces, which also has a tendency to dismiss or even fabricate/misapply "facts" in favor of optimistic (and even grandiose) wishes. And the waning square is, in my opinion, the most difficult of all aspects to work with, to integrate successfully, for a positive outcome. Thus, as long as evidence, accountability, and discernment are not required, the collective mood can easily bend towards "irrational exuberance". People are positive because things "feel good" and therefore they must be good and getting better. What is often missing is awareness or attention to signs that tell a different story - a presence of reality that is not supported by the beliefs and wishes behind the irrational exuberance. When reality strikes and it becomes evident that this reality is not what was believed to be the case, then irrational exuberance can quickly turn to hysteria and panic.

We may experience a case of this conflict between reality and wishes/hopes in the next two weeks as the Jupiter/Neptune waning square peaks July 16, with an effective orb of influence lasting about two weeks. Last week, on June 9 and 10 the Sun made a T-square with Jupiter and Neptune. The stock markets of the world surged on hopes of a breakthrough in the trade dispute between the U.S. and . everybody else, but in particular, Mexico and then the hopes of a meeting between the presidents of the U.S. and China. Jupiter and Sagittarius relate to world trade, and the square aspect pertains to an impasse or the possibility of a blockage. With Jupiter and Neptune, the blockage is often a result of mistrust, deception, and/or misrepresentation by one side or the other.

Now we find Mars entering the picture as it makes an opposition to Saturn and Pluto, June 14-19. Whereas Jupiter and Neptune exaggerate and may try to play "nice", Mars in a hard aspect to Saturn and Pluto has a tendency to play hard ball, to try and pressure one's opponent into compliance or submission through force. This is a war-like aspect, where the powerful force confronts the immovable object head on. It's a battle of brute strength, where one side pushes hard, and the other side digs in deep. Seldom does that result in an agreement or a breakthrough, which in turn dashes the hopes and wishes (or even false pronouncements) of those who "believed" something positive would happen per Jupiter square Neptune. Hence, world markets are vulnerable to a sudden jolt.

The following week, Neptune returns in full force, as it turns retrograde on June 21, followed by Venus making a T-square to the Jupiter/Neptune square, June 23-24. How do leaders react when their demands are not met, when their hopes and wishes are dashed ? Under such aspects, they tend to resort to finger-pointing, accusations, and blame on one side, followed by complaints of unfairness on the other. Our historical studies show that stock markets often react with very large price swings during this period, especially over the next week, through June 24.

Interestingly enough, President Donald Trump's birthday occurs during this time, on June 14. In the study of astrology, this is known as one's solar return, a time when the earth is in the same position in its orbit around the Sun as it was at the time of one's birth. The moment of the return creates a solar return chart, which outlines the themes and potentials of one's next year of life. Thus, in Donald Trump's case, we find both the Jupiter square Neptune, as well as Mars in opposition to Saturn and Pluto, very strong. This does not indicate a year of many agreements or accomplishments, but rather a year of increasing obstacles and investigations. He may be inclined to try to force others to do things they do not want to do (because he "believes" in his position, right or wrong), without much success. At the same time, he is likely to feel coerced into doing things he does not want to do, and is likely to react strongly to those demands. His resistance may be as strong as their force. The movement to remove him from power (Pluto) is apt to grow. This is his "war-like" year. It will likely be a real test as to his ability to "remain calm and under control" with this set up. If there is any advice to offer someone undergoing these types of aspects during their solar return, it is this : avoid confrontations and situations of stress as much as possible. Of course, that is not possible when you are the president of the United States.

As for everyone else, this advice applies to all of us during the next week. Try to remain calm and grounded, not lose your temper, and refrain from starting or entering into unnecessary and un-winnable fights or disputes. Others will not bend to your will, any more than you will bend to their demands. It is best to use this period to carefully think out your plan(s), not act out or initiate those plans, especially if you know they will upset others whose support you need. You may be right in your beliefs, but you probably do not have the support of others needed to attain victory. Take the time to develop your strategy before attacking. Better yet, don't attack. Be patient and try to detach and see the bigger picture realistically. What can you realistically gain without destroying your purpose ? Otherwise, as we say in America, you may "create a tempest in a teapot" if you overreact on impulse.

Longer-Term thoughts :

U.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The MMA Cycles 2020 Vision webinar series continues. Mark your calendars for June 22, 2019 at 1pm, EDT when MMA presents: "RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020". This live 2-hour webinar will be led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It will feature an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with select additional markets. Kat will also share her research highlighting geocosmic patterns correlating with the current Tariff Wars. Traders and investors will enjoy her clear, straight-forward charting examples and unique insights. Cost is $45.00 and includes an MP4 Recording with PDF charts. Sign up now and reserve your spot in the next MMA live webinar.

             Note 2 : The New ICR Cycles' Reports from MMA are Coming!!! Starting on July 2nd, we are going to expand our International Cycles Report (ICR) into two reports... ICR Financials and ICR Commodities . Each report will be covering 7 markets, and will cost, as follows (but there will be a special introductory offer - see below) :

ICR Financials : Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered : ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound)

Release Date : Tuesday July 2, 2019

ICR Commodities : Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months

Markets Covered : LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat)

Release Date : Wednesday July 3, 2019

If you sign up for either ICR Report by June 30 th , you will also receive - at no additional cost - the May issue of our current ICR Report, which contains our initial analysis of Coffee, Corn, Wheat, and Sugar. As a final BONUS, we will send you both the ICR Financials Report and the ICR Commodities Report in July so that you can see and experience both of our new reports. That's TWO reports- at no additional cost- just for trying our new report. SAVE 20% NOW ! If you wish to sign up for both the ICR Financials Report and ICR Commodities Report, we are offering a 20% off the yearly rate for both reports, valid until June 1. Instead of $650 for both reports, your cost will be $520- a savings of $130! Use code  ICR  at check out to receive the discount. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 22 - 2019, 1 PM, EDT : MMA Webinar on "RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020". This live 2-hour webinar will be led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It will be her second installment of THE MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES. This one will feature an in-depth look at Silver and Soybeans from a cycles' and geocosmic studies viewpoint, as well as other select markets that illustrate the major reset underway into the Capricorn stellium of 2020. Kat will also share her research highlighting geocosmic patterns correlating with the current Tariff Wars. Traders and investors will enjoy her clear, straight-forward charting examples and unique insights. Cost is $45.00 and includes an MP4 Recording with PDF charts to all participants. Sign up now and reserve you spot in the next MMA live webinar!.

             J

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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