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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 29 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Stocks in the U.S. have had a good run this year, but that could end as soon as this quarter, said Jasslyn Yeo, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. That potential sell-off would be driven by a downward revision in earnings forecasts for next year, Yeo said. "In terms of timing, I think these two weeks will still be good for equity markets as we move into the Fed rate cut", she said. After that expected Fed move, investors are set to turn their attention to other factors that influence stock prices, such as corporate earnings..." We think there could be a risk that (earnings) would head downwards", - Yen Nee Lee, "J.P. Morgan Warns of Significant Sell-Off in U.S. Stocks This Quarter", https://www.cnbc.com, July 26, 2019.

It was a noteworthy week for many markets, even with Mercury retrograde. That may be because July 25 was also the midpoint of several geocosmic signatures that started July 7, when Mercury turned retrograde, through August 11, when Uranus will turn retrograde and Jupiter direct.

Typical of Mercury retrograde, world equity markets were all over the place. Some made new all-time highs July 25-26, like the NASDAQ Composite and the Australian ASX indices. The Netherlands AEX soared to its highest level since June 2001 at the same time. The German DAX, China Shanghai Composite, and Japanese Nikkei also had decent rallies into July 25, but not to new monthly highs. Others instead fell most of last week, recording multi-week lows, such as in India's Nifty, Brazil's Bovespa, and London's FTSE indices.

A similar pattern was observed in world currency markets. The Euro fell to its lowest prices in over two years on July 25 following ECB Chair Mario Draghi's mixed messages on the future of the European economy. The Swiss Franc was also down, but well above its yearly low recorded on April 25 and May 6. The U.S. Dollar, which had been falling on the belief that the Fed will be cutting interest rates next week, suddenly reversed after Draghi's speech and is now challenging its yearly highs again. It seems like a race between Trump and the ECU to see who can deflate their currencies the most and capture world market shares for their regional businesses, as if this will really boost their economies again, as it did during the last currency war, which was not that long ago.

The strangeness, and the incidents of intermarket bearish and/or bullish divergence of this particular Mercury retrograde cycle (July 7-31) on financial markets, does not end there. The prior week, Gold exploded to a new 6-year cycle high, above $1450 for the first time in six years. This high of 1454.40 was right into the price target given in our first special report on Gold on August 26, 2018, when Gold was trading below 1190, and we stated, ".because if August 16 was the 30.5-month cycle low, a nice multi-month rally is already underway. In fact, it may be more than "nice". It may be excellent, The upside potential of a new 30.5-month cycle projects a rally to the crest of the new 30.5-month cycle as 1499 +/- 54". Following the low of August 16, 2018 and our recommendation to buy Gold then, our 30.5-month cycle was adjusted to 31.33 months. Our second special report on Gold was issued June 25, 2019, and stated , "Within the 31.33-month cycle are usually three 50-week cycles. Measured from the start of this cycle on August 16, 2018 (at 1167.10), the upside price target (of this first 50-week cycle) is 1450 +/- 33.50". Not bad. When we issue special reports, they are usually on target with regard to trend, price, and time. The last two especially have been no exception.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Growth decelerated in the second quarter, but not by as much as Wall Street thought, as tariffs and a global slowdown weighed on the U.S. economy, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Following the report, Trump tweeted, "Not bad considering we have the very heavy weight of the Federal Reserve anchor wrapped around our neck. Almost no inflation. USA is set to Zoom!" - Jeff Cox, "Growth Slows to 2.1% in Second Quarter". https://www.cnbc.com, July 19, 2019.

Mercury retrograde, the Trickster, is having his way of creating chaos in the form of conflicting signals and market divergences in both world stock indices, as well as financial and commodity futures in this particular cycle (July 7-31). But Mercury retrograde is not the only show playing at your favorite cosmic theatre right now. There is also the "Fed Watch" game show, where the debate is intensifying as to whether rates will be cut by ¼ or ½ percent this week.

There is also the never-ending mystery story of the China-USA trade talks that vacillates from on-again to off again status : Will the Donald really be able to close a super incredible trade deal this time or not, as he has claimed will happen many times ? Or, does he even really want to ? He says he wants a super deal and he says that China really wants a deal, but so far, there is no deal and no indication that there really will be a deal, and that it is just an illusion, reflective of the Jupiter/Neptune waning square that ends September 21. Jupiter rules trade, and its natural expression is always about something "grand", whereas Neptune is associated with illusion, delusion, and misdirection. People may again get their hopes up, at their own risk.

Still, there are a number of favorable geocosmic signatures involving Jupiter (trade) that peak August 7-11. Either the two sides are once again close to a deal, or if the gods of the cosmos smile down upon Humankind, maybe they will actually be able to complete the deal and end this slow-moving, gradually evolving, global economic comedy-tragedy. It's a comedy-tragedy (Jupiter/Neptune) because it is based on the assumption that trade deficits are bad, when in actuality, a trade deficit (in this case) usually means you (the USA) are prosperous and your citizens can afford more than the other side. Using tariffs to try to balance a trade deficit is nothing more than tax on everyone, and that doesn't lead to growth for anyone. Hence, the idea that the seeds of recession are being planted is not far off the mark, especially considering that once the Jupiter/Neptune fantasy ends, and people see through the smoke and mirrors, the harsh reality of the Capricorn Stellium will start taking hold.

This "shift" begins in the cosmos December 2, 2019, when Jupiter leaves Sagittarius for the sober and realistic sign of Capricorn, where it will join Saturn and Pluto. It doesn't mean that the markets top out on December 2 and then reverse down. Stock markets have a high rate of frequency topping out while Jupiter is Sagittarius, especially near the middle degrees of Sagittarius, which just happens to be within two months of August 11, 2019. Adding "fuel to the fire" will be the fiery Sun-Mars conjunction of September 2, a geocosmic signature that also has a high correlation to 8% or greater reversals in many stock indices when they are within 8° orb to one another (most of August and September).

We are entering a very wild period of geocosmic activity again, based on cosmic indicators related to financial markets. This is time when trends can reverse very suddenly due to quickly changing variables between hope and expectations, versus disillusionment and reality. There is no deal, no agreement, no commitment, until the deal is signed. And that won't happen until both parties feel they can trust one another. If they do trust one another, then the next two weeks are an exceptional time to sign an agreement. In fact, it is why I chose August 9 (August 7-11) for having my own wedding celebration. You don't see opportunities like this from the cosmos come about very often. And when they arise, you don't want to miss the opportunity. Missing a great opportunity can be as psychologically devastating as a major loss. One often leads to the other. But understanding that every moment has its own unique quality, and anything born in that moment takes on the quality of that moment, is the basis for using astrology as a powerful planning tool. The art of successful planning is perhaps the most valuable feature of this study, the oldest of all studies known to Humankind..

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

M.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA will be issued THIS WEEK, July 30-31. The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).Consider taking out a subscription now to be included in our annual subscriber-only sale that begins next month. For further information, visit www.mmacycles.com > Shop > Subscriptions.

             Note 2 : .

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled, " RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             J

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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