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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
August 5 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Notes : Due to travel and my wedding in Europe, there will be no Free Weekly Column written next week. However, if you are an active subscriber to any of our MMA Reports, keep an eye on your inbox for our annual Forecast pre-order sale starting next month. If you are not an active subscriber, you may want to consider taking out a subscription before August 12 th to be part of this special sale.

The year 2020 is going to be an incredible cosmic year, which indicates a major shift is likely to begin in world affairs, leadership, and financial markets. It's not just a 1-2 year shift. This is the end and beginning of a 20-, 60-, 200-, and 800-year cycles involving the Great Chronocrator, Jupiter and Saturn. To astrologers, this is known as the "Great Mutation". You will not want to miss the 2020 Forecast Book and active subscribers to MMA Reports will get the best pre-order price we offer starting on August 12 th .

Review and Preview :

"What the Market wanted to hear from Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve was that this was the beginning of a lengthy and aggressive rate-cutting cycle which would keep pace with China, the European Union and other countries around the world", Trump tweeted. But that's not what the market got. At the press conference following the decision, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said, "Let me be clear - it's not the beginning of a long series of rate cuts". Powell also added that he didn't say there would be "just one rate cut". - Jonathan Garber, "Trump Bashes Fed's Rate Cut", https: www.foxbusiness.com, August 1, 2019.

The U.S. economy added 164,000 jobs in July, just below a Dow Jones estimate of 165,000. The job gains pushed the size of the U.S. labor force to a record high. Wages topped analyst expectations. They rose 3.2% on a year-over-year basis, surpassing a Dow Jones forecast by 0.1 percentage points. The strong wage number could be seen by traders as a sign of rising inflation, which could keep the Federal Reserve from cutting rates multiple times later this year. - Fred Imbert and Dam Meredith, "Dow Futures Surge 100 Points in Sudden Reversal", https://www.cnbc.com, August 2, 2019.

Global stock markets were every bit as whacko as the tenets of Financial Astrology would suggest last week, given that 1) Mercury, "the Trickster", was highlighted as it went stationary direct, and 2) the Sun and Venus formed a square aspect to Uranus, the maverick, all between July 29-August 2.

Take the Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance. Monday and Tuesday were relatively quiet as investors awaited Wednesday's Fed announcement on interest rate cuts. Convinced that the Fed would cut rates maybe by as much as ½%, and express a dovish sentiment towards future rate cuts, the DJIA was trading close to 27,300, near its all-time high of 27,398 recorded on July 16, one trading days after MMA's two-star critical reversal date. Within minutes after the Fed announced a ¼% rate cut, with language that suggested this might be a one-off event and not the start of a series of future rate cuts, President Trump unleashed his first tweet critical of the Fed's decision. The following hours saw the DJIA plummet to 26,719, a swing of over 500 points. But that didn't really matter. The next day, August 1, the DJIA had regained almost all of its losses, and was back to 27,175, up over 300 points. Then Trump launched his second market-devastating tweet. He would start a new round of tariffs on the Chinese, starting September 1. The market promptly reversed, giving up all its gains in a 600+ point swing down from the highs of that day. By Friday, the DJIA had declined to 26,249, off 1149 points and down over 4% from its high of July 16.

Once again, global investors are suddenly unsettled with a new round of uncertainty about what lies ahead, which itself is a reflection of the greater geocosmic signature that is in effect most of 2019 : the waning square between Jupiter and Neptune, which ends September 21. After that, the collective psychology, as measured by the symbolic dynamics of the cosmos, shifts from wishful thinking and complacency to the realization that there are some serious problems that require serious thinking to resolve. The "Capricorn Stellium" of late 2019 through 2020 and even beyond is fast approaching. One of Capricorn's qualities is seriousness, as opposed to Jupiter square Neptune, with is more about silliness when dealing with the mundane, but also transcendence when it pertains to spiritual or aesthetic matters.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

President Donald Trump's former top economic advisor says the trade war with China is unwinnable and is hurting the U.S. economy. Gary Cohn told the BBC that tariffs were raising the cost of importing much needed products from China and were in fact neutralizing Washington's plan to stimulate growth through tax cuts. "When you build plant equipment, you're buying steel, you're buying aluminum, you're buying imported products and then we put tariffs on those, so literally the tax incentive we gave you with one hand was taken away with the other hand", said Cohn. - David Reid, "Gary Cohn : Trump's Trade War with China is Hurting the U.S. Economy More", https://www.cnbc.com, July 26, 2019.

President Trump stood fast by his decision to implement 10 percent tariffs on an additional $300 billion worth of goods coming into the U.S. from China on Thursday, saying the pain will continue for Beijing until an agreement is struck. "Until such time as there is a deal, we will be taxing the hell out of China", Trump said. In reaction to the tariffs, Chinese sources exclusively told FOX Business that the directive in Beijing is to "decouple" from its reliance on the U.S. economy... Trump sounded an optimistic note about trade discussions earlier in the day, classifying the dialogue as "positive" and the future as "very bright". - Brittany De Lea, "Trump : 'We Will Be Taxing the Hell Out of China' Until a Trade Deal is Reached",https:/www.foxbusinessnews.com, August 2, 2019.

The sudden and abrupt changes in financial markets last week were directly related to the sudden and abrupt pronouncements from the Uranian U.S. President Trump, regarding his displeasure with both the Federal Reserve Board's ¼% rate cut and the unwillingness of China to bend to his terms for a trade agreement. In both cases, his announcements were followed by severe selloffs in the U.S. stock market, accompanied by a rally to new two-years highs in T-Notes, and another new 6-year high in the nearby Gold futures contract. When Gold and T-Notes rally to new yearly highs, it usually means investors are seeking safety against an uncertain future in the world economy.

The ironic thing is that these are the same two factors (Fed criticism and tariffs) that led the market to sell off steeply last November-December, and the very two things that President Trump was informed had caused the 19% stock market drop in late 2018. As told to him by the very people he consulted for advice on why the market was selling off in late 2018, the reasons provided were 1) he (Trump) was publicly criticizing the Federal Reserve Board's policies and thereby directly threatening its independence, and 2) his tariff polices and trade dispute with China were making investors nervous of a full blown trade war. It makes one wonder : did he think the same approach would produce a different result this time ? He is under a very harsh Neptune transit, which can coincide with periods of forgetfulness.

Some things never change. Except, in this case, one thing may have changed. The bull market may have just ended. As stated all year, the 12-year cyclical transit of Jupiter in Sagittarius has a strong historical correspondence to long-term cycle crests in U.S. stocks, especially when it transits the middle degrees of Sagittarius. Between July 10 and September 13, Jupiter is located between 14-16° Sagittarius (there are 30° in a sign). In other words, Jupiter is now in the middle degrees of Sagittarius that have the highest correspondence to long-term cycle crests. In our previous column, we referenced August 7-11 as a strong possibility for this crest, due to the fact that Jupiter and Uranus change directions then, while at the same time Jupiter forms a favorable trine aspect with the Sun and Venus. But even with that, we always allowed a 2-month orb. Given the extent of the break last week, it is possible that these all-time highs of July 22-29 in the various U.S. indices may mark the timing of that crest.

Regarding the next two weeks, the major geocosmic signatures on the horizon are the Sun and Venus trine Jupiter, August 7 and 8, followed by Jupiter turning direct and Uranus turning retrograde on August 11. The combination of Jupiter and Uranus changing directions on the same day is a very powerful cosmic setup, often correlating with very large price movements in financial markets within one week. We have already been seeing symptoms of that since Wednesday, July 31. Jupiter relates to the principle of exaggeration and usually optimism. Uranus represents the urge to break boundaries, like support and resistance. When these two planets are highlighted at the same time, more often than not there is a sudden change and new hope leading to sharply rising stock prices. However, it can also be the opposite. When Jupiter is not optimistic and hopeful, it is instead given towards panic and crisis. Thus, the next two weeks could witness either a sudden reversal and surge to new all-time or multi-year highs in some market prices (we already see that with T-Notes and Gold), or a serious collapse of prices, such as was witnessed in early and late 2018 in world equity markets.

We will be back in two weeks. Enjoy the Jupiter/Uranus signatures coming up this week, for they favor immense enjoyment and meeting of many new and old friends. It's a great time for a party, and an even better time for a wedding, or so I think. It is also a favorable time to be inventive and think outside of the box. There are solutions if you are stuck on a matter. This is a good time to get unstuck. It is a good time for travel to new places and engage in exciting new adventures.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

M.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA , was issued last week July 30-31. The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).Consider taking out a subscription now to be included in our annual subscriber-only sale that begins next month. For further information, visit www.mmacycles.com > Shop > Subscriptions.

             Note 2 : .

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled, " RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             J

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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