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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
August 26 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Stocks fell on Friday after President Donald Trump ordered in a series tweets that U.S. companies find alternatives to their operations in China. "Our great American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China, including bringing… your companies HOME and making your products in the USA", Trump tweeted. "The threats always been out there but there's been no need to provoke that", said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. "It's almost like the administration was expecting the Fed to announce a rate cut at the Jackson hole meeting. And since Powell did not deliver, he went to defcon 5". - Fed Imbert, "Trump Orders U.S. Companies to Look for Alternative to China", https://www.cnbc.com, August 23, 2019.

Central banks are just getting started with monetary easing, hedge fund manager Kyle Bass said, predicting U.S. interest rates will keep falling and follow global interest rates all the way down to zero. "We're the only country that has an integer in front of our bond yields. We have 90% of the world's investment-grade debt. We actually have rule of law and we have a decent economy. All the money is going to come here", Bass, founder and chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management, told CNBC on Tuesday .- Fred Imbert, "Kyle Bass Says U.S. Interest Rates Will Follow the Rest of the World to Zero - "This is Insane", , August 20, 2019.

We are back to chasing hurricanes again. It was a lovely break, getting married on a fabulous Rhine River Cruise ship and honeymooning in the lush, rolling hills and vineyards of Tuscany, Italy. But delving back into the world of twitter storms and "insane" economic and political policies causing chaos in financial markets is what I do when I am not getting married, so I return to … the other world reality. It seems the president and I are asking some deep questions lately. Earlier in the day, he tweeted : "Who is our biggest enemy ? Fed Chairman Powell or Chinese President Xi ?" (hint : the answer is neither). My question is much simpler : "Which is the real reality ? The soft, relaxing lifestyle of Tuscany, or the chaos of sudden tweets and news stories on my computer screen leading to another avalanche in world equity markets ?".

All seemed well until Friday. Stock markets were recovering nicely following their double bottom lows of August 7 and 15, surrounding the Jupiter and Uranus stations of August 11. But those rallies ended abruptly on Friday, shortly after the Sun entered the practical sign of Virgo, when China announced new tariffs on another $75 billion worth of American goods, including automobiles, in retaliation for tariffs the U.S. declared on Chinese goods a few weeks ago. The Chinese had announced back then that they would retaliate, and the markets took the announcement in stride, until the president's Twitter rage was unleashed. It was classic astrology in action, for as stated at the end of last week's column, "The major geocosmic changes of this week involve the Sun, Venus, and Mars all leaving the sign of Leo for Virgo. This has importance to the chart of President Donald Trump, for each will cross his natal Ascendant and Mars in late Leo". Mars symbolizes the urge to fight, to act aggressively and impulsively. That's fine in and of itself. But once it reacts in anger or rage, nothing can stop it until it exhausts itself. By then, there can be unintended consequences, such as another leg down, another crash in the stock market, which is the last thing the President wants. Once again, this is typical bear market behavior. The market goes up in steps, then gives it all back and more, very suddenly, as it goes down in elevators.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Germany's central bank has warned that Europe's largest economy is likely to tip into recession in the third quarter, dragged down by a sharp drop in exports and a decline in industrial production. - Martin Arnold, "Bundesbank Adds to Fears of German Recession as Trade Wars and Brexit Hit", Financial Times, August 20, 2019.

The next 3-4 weeks will see a deluge of conflicting geocosmic signatures, which could prove to be very confusing to investors. Perhaps they are pondering the question asked by President Trump as to who is the biggest enemy to the U.S. Is it the one he often refers to as his friend, President Xi, or his own appointment to head the Fed, Jerome Powell ? By the way, when I was in China in June, in an act of extraordinary diplomacy, President Xi confirmed publicly that President Trump "is my friend", but President Putin "is my best friend". You may wonder what that has to do with financial markets. It illustrates China's decision to develop a greater trading relationship with Russia (and other countries) in lieu of its uncertainty in trading with the U.S. China is finding new markets to purchase from and to sell to, replacing its former reliance on the U.S. as a stable trading partner. They are developing longer-term strategies, and adjusting, as trade alliances around the world are changing (to their advantage). The U.S. leadership is not adjusting, except to command U.S. companies to come back to America and produce their products here. Is that smart ? Is this even realistic ? I don't know, because I am trying to figure out what is real and what is not. Tuscany seemed real. This does not. But if it works, then OK. If not, then we should all find our Tuscany.

But let us return to the short-term geocosmic picture. Venus and Mars (the lovers or quarrelers) are in conjunction to one another in the perfection-oriented (i.e. critical) sign of Virgo, and in a harmonious trine aspect Uranus, August 24 through August 28. The Sun will also form a trine to Uranus on August 29. Normally, one would think that would boost equity markets and indicate a breakthrough in negotiations. It could, especially as those same planets then form a trine to Saturn and Pluto, September 1-19. But behind those soft trines lie more potent cosmic forces : the conjunction of Sun and Mars on September 2 and the third and final passage of the Jupiter/Neptune mutable waning square on September 21. During the first two weeks of September, the Sun/Venus/Mars transits will form a hard T-square aspect to Jupiter and Neptune. This is why September could be a very confusing time, with contradictory messages announced. It may be fraught with rumors, resulting in either "irrational exuberance" or hysteria - or one followed by the other, as the facts cancel out the rumors, and/or hopes are dashed by the facts. Stock markets of the world may swing wildly during the first 2-3 weeks of September.

Longer-term, the question remains as to whether the Jupiter-in-Sagittarius transit (November 8, 2018 through December 2, 2019) has already correlated with the market top (I think it has, but it is still not confirmed), and/or the Sun/Mars conjunction selloff is over. As pointed out several times in this column, there is a strong historical correlation between the culmination of long-term cycle crests in the U.S. stock indices during the transit of Jupiter in Sagittarius, that usually ends at least two months before the transit ends. Ideally, that high happens nearby to Jupiter passing the middle degrees of Sagittarius. On August 11, 2019, Jupiter went stationary at the almost exact midpoint of Sagittarius. Thus, Jupiter is in the middle of Sagittarius (say 13-17 degrees), July through September.

To the Jupiter-in-Sagittarius passage, we can add the importance of the Sun/Mars conjunction on September 2. Within 4 weeks of that date, history has demonstrated that world stock indices are vulnerable to an 8% or greater decline from the high that happens during or slightly before that period. The highs of July fit this pattern. Thus, we could be amid that 8% or greater decline even now, and if so, it could end during this time frame too. But even if it does end by October, the Jupiter transit leaving Sagittarius for Capricorn on December 2 has a more bearish than bullish history. There may be a rally off the Sun/Mars low, but it doesn't necessarily mean there will be a new all-time high that follows.

The Jupiter/Neptune aspects of September also pertain to Crude Oil, which has been flirting with the $50 mark for three months now. The first two passages of this aspect have also coincided with major cycle lows in Gold, which were followed by strong rallies. It may be the end of summer, but financial markets seem to be heating up.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

M.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is underway as of August 12! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription report and will be in effect through October 31. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1 st . Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code SALE2020 at checkout to receive the subscription discount.

             Note 2 : Tune into a special podcast conducted by noted astrologer Chris Brennan, interviewing Raymond Merriman, on "How to Organize a Large Conference". You can hear this interview, which contains commentary on the forthcoming Jupiter/Saturn conjunction (20-, 60-, 200-, and 800-year cycles) at http://theastrologypodcast.com/2019/08/04/organizing-astrology-conferences-with-ray-merriman.

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled, " RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             J

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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