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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 2 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Republican Sen. Thom Tillis is pushing for an investigation into the Federal Reserve's independence, after a former agency president suggested policymakers should punish President Trump for the U.S.-China trade war by allowing the economy to tank, hurting his 2020 re-election chances. A member of the Senate Banking Committee, Tillis said he planned to ask the chairman, Sen. Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, to hold a hearing regarding Fed independence. Trump's frequent criticisms have raised concerns about the independence of the Fed - prompting four former chairs to stress, in a Wall Street Journal op-ed, the need for the central bank to remain free of short-term political pressures. "It is critical to preserve the Federal Reserve's ability to make decisions based on the best interests of the nation, not the interests of a small group of politicians", wrote Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen, who have all, at one point, headed the Fed, appointed and reappointed by six different presidents, both Republican and Democratic. - Megan Henney, "GOP Senator Calls for Probe into Fed's Independence", https://www.foxbusiness.com , August 30, 2019.

The stock market's collapse of one week ago, following the escalation of the U.S.-China trade war, was reversed as calmer heads began to prevail, and talks of new negotiations soon to get underway were announced. This is a script we have seen before, and it perfectly times with the movement of the heavens, most notably the approach of the third and final waning square this year between Jupiter and Neptune, which will take place on September 21. Jupiter and Neptune in a hard aspect, especially with both in their ruling signs of Sagittarius and Pisces respectively, is like a hopeless romantic. They will believe anything positive, because they want to believe everything will be OK, even though they have no evidence or reason to believe that anything has really changed at all.

But never mind the past and its pattern of repetition correlating with a pattern in the cosmos. Investors want to hear positive news! They want a reason to keep bidding stocks higher, even if it means believing in the race between nations to have the lowest interest rates (even negative interest rates) and their currencies values lower than anyone else. Those who study Financial Astrology are no doubt wondering what happens after this last passage takes place between Jupiter and Neptune in waning square on September 21 ? Or, what happens when Jupiter ends its year-long trek through Sagittarius, a historical marker for the completion of long cycles crests in world stock indices, that ends December 2 ?.

Last week saw world equity markets erase all their previous week's losses, as most soared to their highest level since August 2. It was a good week for stocks.

It wasn't quite such a good week for commodities and currencies, although both Gold and Silver made new yearly highs to start the week, and Silver continued rising throughout most of the week. In fact, on Monday morning, Gold soared to 1565, its highest level in 6 years. By Friday, it was making weekly lows around 1525. Silver continued rallying to a 23-month high on Thursday, August 29, at 18.61. By Friday, it was back to testing the 18.00 mark. This resistance is related to the U.S. Dollar, which soared to 99.02 on Friday, its highest mark since May 2017. A rising Dollar spells headwinds for precious metals and other currencies against the Dollar, like the Euro, which fell below 1.1000 for the first time since May 2017. Yet each of these developments are in line with long-term cycle patterns, which point to another reset of financial markets in the near future, and maybe even as early as September.

Another market that did not fare well last week was Bitcoin, which is testing the $9000 mark again for the third time since mid-July, following its breathtaking ascent from 3300 earlier this year to its high of 13,895 on June 26. Bitcoin doesn't seem to do well heading into strong Saturn signatures, so maybe the station of Saturn on September 18 will coincide with this digital currency finding a floor. It would not be surprising to see several falling markets find a floor then, whereas rising markets may bump their heads into resistance.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

September is shaping up to be a very important month for world stock indices as indicated by geocosmic correlations. That is, there are five geocosmic signatures that take place between September 2 and 30 that have a 40% or greater correlation to 50-week cycles. That is huge number, and includes the following, with their percentages of correlation in parentheses, as taken from the studies published in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlation to Trading Cycles :

September 2, Sun conjunct Mars (43%)
September 10, Sun opposition Neptune (43%)
September 18, Saturn direct (43%)
September 21, Jupiter square Neptune (40%)
September 30, Venus square Pluto (55%)

In comparison, the months of August and October only contain one signature each that has a 40% or greater correspondence to 50-week cycle crests or troughs. The point midway between the September signatures is September 16, so we will focus on that time, +/- 1 week, as the peak of this cosmic confluence.

Each of these signatures is considered a "hard aspect" in the study of astrology, which suggests the collective mood of the world is likely to be under some kind of stress. Yet, in the past, we have seen Jupiter/Neptune aspects coinciding with a sense of "irrational exuberance", as stock prices have soared to new all-time highs. The September 21 instance will be the third time this aspect has happened this year. In the two prior cases (January 13 and June 16, 2019), the stock market ended a severe decline about two weeks earlier, and by the aspect was exact, stock prices were rallying quite strongly. That appears to be the case again, as a severe decline ended on August 26, a little more than three weeks before this last passage about to take place.

However, the presence of Saturn turning direct on September 18, just three days before the last Jupiter/Neptune square passage, may augur a different result. We know from past observances that the unbounded euphoria represented by Jupiter (exaggeration) and Neptune (hopes and wishes) can highlight periods when the world is hopeful of some good news about to be announced (like a trade deal), only to be disappointed when it fails to materialize. This time may be more of the same, only more in line of the disappointment reaction, because Saturn is the psychological dynamic pertaining to disappointment and loss. Yes, in its most positive expression, Saturn can represent a major accomplishment if all parties stock to the goal and abide by the rules of fair play and conduct, but "accomplishment" and "sticking to the rules" is not a natural behavior associated with Jupiter and Neptune in square to one another. As stated many times before in this column, under Jupiter/Neptune contacts, you cannot believe what you read, see, or hear. It has more to do with rumors and false hopes. It has happened so often that the world has been given positive news of an imminent resolution to the trade war, for instance, that it is somewhat baffling that the investment community continues to bid up equity prices whenever it is announced that trade talks will resume. Maybe this time will be different, which itself is a common belief under Jupiter and Neptune.

The tempo of the discussions may vacillate wildly between on again and off again, given that the Sun, Venus, and Mars will make a T-square to the Jupiter/Neptune square, September 2-14, while at the same they make a trine to the Saturn/Pluto conjunction of September 6-19. The latter is very constructive and capable of coinciding with a long-term agreement. But the former is not, which is why September's stock markets may vacillator as much as the news reports and press releases, between misleading rumors versus accurate news and facts. It becomes a challenge to figure out which is which in September, and it doesn't apply only to the U.S.-China trade war. It also applies to the Brexit exit.

As long as talks are planned, and progress is announced, stocks will rise this month. But this may again be a case of Jupiter and Neptune's narrative of false hopes and "irrational exuberance". Just as soon as these talks break down - if they break down again, as I suspect they will - stocks will fall, and maybe very hard. And then the Jupiter-in-Sagittarius crest cycle could be over as Jupiter heads towards Capricorn, Aquarius and Pisces, 2020-2022, a time band that history has shown to correlate with long-term cycle lows. Or, in the optimistic view, a time when equities (and maybe real estate too) will offer outstanding values for those with courage - and cash - to enter the playing field.

For this week, the cosmos starts out with the Sun conjunct Mars in Virgo. This is the aspect mentioned previously in which declines of 8% or more in equities end and rallies begin. It appears the decline ended early last week, August 26. But the war isn't over. And workers (Virgo) of the world may be ready to go on strike.

It is also the start of the college football season in America, and with Sun/Mars being a signature of competition, it could be a very exciting season with many records broken, but hopefully not many bones. It can be an auspicious time to start new projects, or new protests. Mars in Virgo is a hard combination to please, given that it has a drive for perfection. It's great for those who have analytical or athletic skills. Enjoy your week, but be careful of acting too hastily, before first thinking things out carefully. Being too impatient or impulsive can lead to mistakes or even accidents. Being patient, thoughtful, and passionate about what you are doing can lead to success now.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

M.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is underway as of August 12! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription report and will be in effect through October 31. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1 st . Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code SALE2020 at checkout to receive the subscription discount.

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled, " RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             J

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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