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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 14 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Stocks  slid off their best levels of the session on Friday after the U.S. and China agreed to a " phase one deal " in the trade war, but still managed to post strong gains. The deal, which will take three to five weeks to write, includes China agreeing to raise its agricultural purchases to between $40 billion and $50 billion from $8 billion to $16 billion, in addition to making reforms on intellectual property and financial services. The U.S. will not be raising tariffs from 25 percent to 30 percent on Oct. 15. A decision has not yet been made on the tariff increase scheduled for Dec. 15. China's trade team is calling the agreement a "pause" in the trade war, and not a deal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up as much as 517 points in the moments following the announcement before finishing higher by 319 points, or 1.2 percent. - Jonathan Garber, "US and China Agree to 'Phase One Deal' in Trade War, Stocks Rally", https://www.foxbusiness.com, October 11, 2019.

Stocks soared on Friday, October 11, as investors got what they wanted and expected : a trade deal with China. Or did they ? President Trump calls it a deal - the "first phase" of a deal. China calls it a "pause" in the ongoing trade war. There is quite a difference.

Once again, this optimistic view of what took place is occurring under the "irrational exuberance" principle of Jupiter square Neptune. Although the final passage of this aspect occurred on September 21, they are still within a 3-degree orb of squaring one another at this time. But they are brought together even more at the moment because transiting Jupiter makes an exact 135° sesquiquadrate aspect to Uranus on Monday, October 14, while Uranus and Neptune are also within only 1° of an exact 45° semi square to one another.

We discussed this unusual celestial pattern in the Forecast 2019 Book. Not only does this configuration continue the dynamics of Jupiter and Neptune (irrational exuberance related to hopes ands wishes that are not confirmed), but also those of Uranus (sudden, unexpected, and abrupt changes to that which was expected). There can be a disconnect (Uranus) between what one side thought was agreed to and what the other side claims was agreed to. The combination of all three usually leads to chaos and a breakdown of deals, as it has in the previous time this configuration was present, January through June. Maybe this time the deal takes hold, since it is the last time these planets form this relationship to one another for several years. Or, maybe it is "hope and wish" being exhibited by the investment community again.

Nevertheless, stock investors liked the announcement. Or, they did until the final 15 minutes of trading, just after "the deal", was reported. The DJIA fell over 200 points from its high of the day at 27,014 to 26,798. With Uranus in the cosmic picture now, sudden reversals like that are more the norm. It will be interesting to see how markets respond early next week when the details of "the deal" are digested. With Neptune involved too, the details may be short on substance and large on . hopes and wishes.

In other markets, Gold fell hard again on Friday, down to $1478 early in the day as investors anticipated a trade deal to be announced. However, shortly after the announcement, Gold started a nice rally and ended up closing at 1493.50. The big loser was treasuries, for a trade deal means the Fed may not lower rates any further now that this uncertainty is being removed (or is it ? China calls it a "pause", not a "deal"). Strangely enough, the Dollar fell hard last week (after falling hard the week before). If interest rates are going to increase, one would expect the Dollar to rally. The Dollar fell as investors believed rates would trend lower over the past two weeks. But the Dollar continued to fall as progress was made on the trade war and rates increased. This "disconnect" between treasuries and the U.S. Dollar is another reflection of the presence of Uranus being highlighted in the cosmos. Past patterns do not guarantee that future patterns will repeat in the same way.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

The long series of consecutive planetary signatures that began on August 24, and peaked on September 18, now comes to its end this Monday, October 14. But it doesn't go out quietly, for between October 12 and 14, Venus will make an opposition to Uranus, Jupiter a sesquiquadrate to Uranus, and the full moon will T-square Pluto. After that, the cosmic focus begins to shift to other matters that have been building in intensity since late August (impeachment and China trade). What is next ?.

The next time band of important geocosmic signatures begins on October 27 and lasts through November 14. It begins with the transit of Mars in Libra squaring the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in Capricorn. Mars in Libra (October 4-November 19) is already a challenging dynamic, for it is in its detriment. Whereas Libra wants an agreement made in a diplomatic fashion, Mars tends to be aggressive and forceful and wants a decision now, not later. One can immediately see the potential for conflict over this "deal" or "pause" between China, which is a Libra country, and Donald Trump, who is a very Martian personality with Mars rising conjunct his Leo ascendant.

So, what happens when Mars in Libra ("let's make a deal now") forms a square to Saturn (delays and obstacles) and Pluto (winner takes all, loser loses badly) in Capricorn (take it or leave it and suffer the consequences) ? We will probably know by November 7-14 when the next TMI (Trump Mars Indicator) arises and we see if President Trump's "calm and stable genius" self steps up, or his inner child erupts, leading to another breakdown in this negotiating process, or some other process that is going on, like the impeachment investigation process (Pluto rules investigations too). Or something else, like Turkey or Iran or Venezuela, all potential "hot spots" reflecting the temperament of Mars.

In the midst of all this, Mercury also turns retrograde in Scorpio, October 31-November 19. In fact, Mercury will be in Scorpio from October 3 through the end of the year. Mercury in Scorpio is also symbolic of investigations and undercover work. The impeachment proceedings are not going to end this year, and the amount of information being uncovered (that was hidden) is likely to be voluminous.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

President Donald Trump said Friday the Federal Reserve should still lower interest rates even though China and the U.S. agreed to the first part of a trade deal. "The Federal Reserve should cut rates regardless of how good this is", Trump said in the Oval Office. "We have a great economy, but we have a Federal Reserve that's not in step with the rest of the world". The U.S. central bank has already cut rates twice this year in part because of weakness in the global economy, which has arisen due to the ongoing trade war. On Friday, however, the two sides announced strides to end the trade war. - Fred Imbert, "Trump Says the Fed Should Cut Rates Anyway Even Though US and China Have Agreed to Trade Deal". https://www.cnbc.com, October 11, 2019.

As long-time readers know, this is the time of the year that I write the annual Forecast Book. The greater body of writing takes place in October and November, and involves considerable time researching long-term planetary cycles that will be in effect the next year, and their correlation to cycles in human activity. There are two very important synodic cycles occurring in 2020 : The first is the 32-37 year conjunction of Saturn and Pluto. For the first time since 1518, this planetary cycle will conjoin in Capricorn. This was the time of the Protestant Reformation, which was a major effort led by Martin Luther to end the corruption in the Catholic Church's practice of selling "indulgences" to absolve sin (pre-quid pro quo).

Also fascinating is the correlation between the phases of the current Saturn/Pluto cycle that began in November 1982 to interest rates in the U.S. In fact, the correlation also involves the prior Saturn/Pluto cycle and its phases going back to August 1947. For instance, near the conjunction in 1947, near-term rates were also near zero. But every quarter cycle of Saturn and Pluto after that correlated with a cycle high in rates, and each time it was higher than the last. That is, until rates topped out in 1982. And then the correlation reversed. Every quarter cycle of Saturn/Pluto since the high in 1982 has marked a low in interest rates, with each phase coinciding with lower rates than the prior one. And here we are again, about to end the Saturn/Pluto cycle in January 2020. Are we on the verge of another 32-37 year Saturn/Pluto cycle where the phases will mirror the pattern of 1947-1982 ? And what does this imply about the Treasury market in 2020 and beyond, and what one's investment planning ought to consider ? After all, Saturn in Capricorn - and the entire Capricorn Stellium of 2020 - has one very important inherent virtue to those who understand cosmic dynamics : the ability to plan effectively. Capricorn and Saturn both rule the process of planning, and if done well (analysis, logic, goal-setting), it leads to success and accomplishment. If not, the result is more likely to be something of a loss.

The other major synodic cycle occurring in 2020 is the 20-year Jupiter/Saturn conjunction on December 21, 2020 (right on the winter solstice). It will take place in 0° Aquarius. This is also quite rare because it is the first time it will occur in Aquarius since 1405. In fact, it starts a series of consecutive conjunctions in air signs for the first time since 1228. That's where my research will be headed during the next two weeks, and I am certain there will be notable political and economic cycles coinciding with the 20-year Jupiter/Saturn conjunction, because they always unfold close to a U.S. Presidential election. I will share the study of that possible correlation in the Forecast 2020 Book.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is underway as of August 12! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription report and will be in effect through October 31. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1 st . Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code SALE2020 at checkout to receive the subscription discount.

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website.

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled", RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             .

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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