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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 21 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Larry Kudlow, the chief economic adviser to President Trump, accused staff members of the Federal Reserve's Board of being part of the "deep state". - Megan Henney, "Larry Kudlow Accuses Feb Board of Being 'Deep State' ",https://foxbusiness.com, October 17, 2019.

Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Friday blasted President Donald Trump's decision to withdraw U.S. troops from northern Syria, calling the move "a grave strategic mistake" in an op-ed for Washington Post. "The recently announced pullout risks repeating the Obama administration's reckless withdrawal from Iraq, which facilitated the rise of the Islamic State in the first place", McConnell wrote in the op-ed. While his piece does not explicitly lay blame at Trump's feet - or even mention his name - it warns that the Trump administration's sudden foreign policy shift "will leave the American people and homeland less safe, embolden our enemies, and weaken important alliances". - Kevin Breuninger, "Mitch McConnell Blasts Trump's Syria Withdrawal as a 'Strategic Nightmare' ". https://www.cnbc.com, October 18, 2019.

President Donald Trump will host world leaders at a G-7 economic summit in 2020 at his Doral golf resort in Miami, the White House said Thursday, despite condemnation from lawmakers and the president's critics who said he is again using public duties for personal gain. - David Jackson and John Fritze, "Trump to Host G-7 at his Golf Club in Miami", USA Today. October 18, 2019.

Global equity markets started out strong last week, on the heels of the productive trade meetings between the U.S. and China one week ago. But then the market's biggest risk - the "political risk" - began to take over as a series of criticisms and concerns regarding President Trump's decisions, actions, and even psychological stability begin to emerge, even as the investigation into possible impeachment proceedings continued to unfold. It was not a good week for Donald Trump, although he did give a rousing speech in Texas on Thursday evening that demonstrated that his supporters still love him, still stand behind him.

The geocosmic climate of last week was also interesting. The week began with the opposition of Venus and Uranus on Saturday, October 12, and Jupiter forming a sesquiquadrate (135°) to Uranus on Monday, October 14, with the Full Moon making a T-squares with Pluto in between the two Uranus signatures. The Full Moon in a T-square with Pluto likely relates to the impeachment proceedings, as well as more "tell-all" books and articles being released that reveal a White House in chaos under the President's watch. But the Uranus aspects are more important to our work as market timers, for they usually coincide with either a reversal in market prices (counter-trend moves) or a breakout of long-standing resistance or support zones. Looking at the performance of world equity markets last week, one can see signs of both types of market behavior.

In the U.S. the Dow Jones Industrial Average made its weekly high on Tuesday, October 16, then began to pull back. On Thursday, October 17, both the S&P and NASDAQ futures made their weekly highs, as the Moon entered Gemini. But by the end of Friday, all three markets had pulled back sharply, with the DJIA down 255 points on that day alone. A Gemini Moon period (Thursday-Friday) has that potential to suddenly coincide with sharp market reversals, but they don't necessarily last very long. Still, it is a concern that the DJIA peaked right after the Uranus aspects and didn't break to new highs.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, a similar pattern unfolded in the Shanghai Composite Index, which made a triple top on Monday, October 14, and then started a decline into the end of the week. But in Japan, India, and Hong Kong, stock markets exploded higher right into the end of the week, with the Nikkei rising to its highest level of 2019.

In Europe, the German DAX rallied to its highest level of the year on October 17. No other European indices made new highs for this year last week, for a case of intermarket bearish divergence of indices in the same region.

In other markets, Crude Oil rallied to its highest mark since its probable primary cycle low of October 3, testing 55.00 on Monday October 14. It pulled back for 2 days, and then started to climb again by the end of the week, looking poised to go higher this week. The Euro currency had a good week, soaring to 1.1172 on Friday, its highest level in 2 months. It is starting to flash signs that a long-term cycle low may have occurred on October 1, at 1.0877. If so, this will bode well for Gold and Silver, which were both relatively quiet last week, but still holding above their probable primary cycle lows of October 1. It was not a great week for Bitcoin, however, as it dropped back to 7719 on Friday, testing its multi-month low of 7671 made on October 7. If that can hold as a double bottom, it could be very bullish. But if it breaks, another 20% decline may be "in the stars". With Uranus in Taurus for another 5-6 years, I would not count this cryptocurrency out of another huge rally again in the near future.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

In terms of geocosmic activity, it was relatively quiet last week following the Uranus aspects and the Full Moon T-square of Pluto, which may have correlated with the electrical shutdown by PG&E and a 4.5 Earthquake in San Francisco that hit Californians, October 9-14.

The next series of major geocosmic signatures begins on October 27, when Mars will form a waning square to Saturn and Pluto that will last through November 5. This is a geopolitical dynamic, one that might exhibit combative, war-like rhetoric or action. Mars with Pluto and Saturn symbolizes a threat to human life or nature, and a need to explore options to any actions that might be perceived as hostile and coercive. Mars is in Libra, which is its detriment. Since Libra rules agreements where both sides see a need to compromise in order to "close the deal, and Mars represents the principle of "me first", or "my way or the highway", it suggests that new (Mars) proposals may be offered to move negotiations (Libra) forward. But with Saturn and Pluto involved, there may be difficulty finding acceptance rather than resistance. If there is no willingness to compromise, the result may be anger and frustration from one of the parties, and the process could be in danger of breaking down. This applies to both the trade negotiations between the U.S. and China, and the impeachment proceedings (Saturn and Pluto) involving President Trump.

Given that the Sun will also form a New Moon that will be in opposition to Uranus (October 28), while Mercury will be turning retrograde (October 31-November 20) during this the same time, it is advisable to be patient and make sure all possibilities and their outcomes are considered before acting or reacting impulsively. In the case of the U.S. President, we also note that the first two weeks of November is especially highly charged. It is a TMI period, ("Too Much Information" and a "Trump Mars Indicator"). It is a time when the political risk to the market is most highlighted.

How will equity markets react during this period? Well, between October 27 and November 14, there are five geocosmic signatures that have a strong correlation to sudden sharp but possibly brief reversals. These do not necessarily end the bull market trend, but they can indicate sudden 1-4 day declines. And given that we are entering the final two months of the 13-month transit of Jupiter through Sagittarius, a long-term cycle crest continues to be due. The ideal time was/is August 2019 +/- 2 months, and so far, the high in the S&P and NASDAQ occurred in the last week of July, which is right on time. Yet, the market has not yet broken down, so we cannot rule out the possibility of another thrust up to a new all-time high in at least one major U.S. equity market, if not all three, that we track.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is underway as of August 12! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription report and will be in effect through October 31. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1 st . Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code SALE2020 at checkout to receive the subscription discount.

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website.

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled", RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 12, 2020 : The Saturn/Pluto Conference : "Reset Astrology: Start of a New Era", Zurich, Switzerland, featuring Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling, Verna Bachmann, Alexandra Klinghammer, Klemens Ludwig, Markus Jehle, Dr. Christof Niederwieser, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, visit https://www.astro2020.ch .

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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