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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 28 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The U.S. Treasury on Friday said that the federal deficit for fiscal 2019 was $984 billion, a 26% increase from 2018 but still short of the $1 trillion mark previously forecast by the administration. The gap between revenues and spending was the widest it's been in seven years as expenditures on defense, Medicare and interest payments on the national debt ballooned the shortfall... Annual deficits have nearly doubled under President Donald Trump's tenure notwithstanding an unemployment rate at multidecade lows and better earnings figures. Deficits usually shrink during times of economic growth as higher incomes and Wall Street profits buoy Treasury coffers, while automatic spending on items like food stamps decline - Thomas Franck, "Federal Deficit Increase 26% to $984 Billion for Fiscal 2019, Highest in 7 Years", https://www.cnbc.com, October 25, 2019.

It's fascinating to see synchronicity in financial markets based on seasons, dates, and the return of specific geocosmic signatures. Case in point : in early October 2018, just one year ago, many of the world's stock indices were making new all-time highs, from which a severe decline started that didn't end until December 26. During that plunge, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, for example, dropped over 19% and formed its 4-year cycle trough. One year later, on October 3-4, many global equity markets made a low. It wasn't a long-term low, but one that is labeled a 5-7 week major cycle trough. Since that time, most of the world's indices have started an impressive rally, with several rallying to their highest level of 2018.

What was the difference between October 2-5, 2018 (high) and October 3-4, 2019 (low) ?. In 2018, Venus turned retrograde on October 5, which is historically one of the most consistent and powerful geocosmic signatures to the completion of primary or greater cycles in stocks. That was a 4-year cycle crest. In 2019, Venus formed a waning square to Saturn and Pluto and Pluto turned direct. Although the Venus square Saturn/Pluto has a reliable correlation to primary cycles too, there was no primary cycle low time band in effect then. It was in a time band that was 5-7 weeks after the primary cycle had already formed on August 6 (S&P) or August 15 (DJIA), when a major cycle trough was due. The point is that geocosmic signatures work extremely well in timing market reversals. However, their correlation to the amplitude of a market reversal depends not only on the type of geocosmic signature is in effect, but also on the point in a cycle in which the geocosmic signature(s) occurs. A Level One (strongest correlation) geocosmic signature that occurs in time band that overlaps the time band for an 18-week primary cycle will have a different reaction - a different intensity for a reversal - than one that occurs in a time band in which a 6-week major cycle is due.

Let's return to the current market conditions now. It was a positive week for most global equity markets. Many, like in the U.S. and Europe, are nearing their all-time highs. In the case of the Zurich SMI and Brazil's Bovespa indices, all-time highs were achieved on Friday. Others will follow shortly, or if not, then world stocks indices will exhibit what is known as a case of intermarket bearish divergence, which happens when some indices make new cycle highs (or all-time highs) but others do not, and then the following week(s), all indices start to fall hard. So far, there is no sign that indices are falling - but that can change quickly, especially since we have some rather "sudden and abrupt" geocosmic-type signatures coming up next week.

In other markets, Gold and Silver enjoyed nice rallies. On Friday, October 25, Gold rose to a 2-week high of 1520.50, while Silver soared to a new monthly high of 18.35. But the most interesting market was Bitcoin. It fell to a new 5-month low of 7205 on Thursday, but then suddenly reversed and rallied to 8800 late Friday on news that China had officially endorsed blockchain development. Here comes the next stage of Uranus in Taurus. That's a good sign for Bitcoin !.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

"President Trump has steely resolve. It's either a big deal or no deal. That's been his posture from day one", (Trump Trade Advisor Peter) Navarro said. - Kayla Tausche, "Trump Advisor Peter Navarro Fighting 'Phase One' of China Trade Deal", https://www.cnbc.com, October 25, 2019.

The U.S. and China have made progress in trade discussions and have come close to finalizing parts of a phase one deal, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative said Friday. The agency issued a statement outlining the status of discussions following a conversation that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He. "They made headway on specific issues and the two sides are close to finalizing some sections of the agreement", The news helped to send major U.S. stock indexes to their Friday highs.- Jacob Pramuk, "US and China Are Close to Finalizing Some Sections of a Trade Deal", https://www.cnbc.com, October 25, 2019.

It's deja vu all over again.

As the U.S. and China prepare to sign a new, but limited, trade agreement, the White House paraded Vice-President Mike Pence out to give a special press conference whose purpose was to .... bash China. This is a pattern that has been repeated close to every trade deal that has come close to being consummated, only to push the Chinese away from going forward, and then complaining that the Chinese reneged on the deal again. I am not sure what drives this Administration to keep repeating the same behavior over and over again and expecting a different result - unless they don't want a different result, because it makes for a good campaign issue to rally the Administration's base of supporters. In the meantime, economic data keeps pointing to a slowdown in world economic growth, directly attributed to the trade war initiated by the U.S. Yes, we know it has not been a level playing field for several years due to the enabling behaviors and policies of previous administrations, as well as U.S. companies that have been more than willing to give away intellectual property secrets order to get the Chinese business. And we know that Mr. Trump is "the chosen one", in his own words, to take the steps necessary to create a level playing field. But if a trade deal is truly desired, you don't get the carrot - the agreement - by trashing the other side before the meeting. It hasn't worked so far, and the Chinese have made it very clear that they won't sign an agreement unless mutual respect shown.

So here we are, on the verge of another "19 th nervous breakdown". Starting this weekend, Mars will form a hard square aspect to Saturn and Pluto, on October 27 and November 5 respectively. Also, the Sun will form an opposition to Uranus on Monday, October 28, followed by Mercury turning retrograde on October 31 (and lasting through November 20). These are not the types of geocosmic signatures that lead to an agreement based on good will diplomacy. They are the types of planetary signatures whose themes imply trying to pressure others, trying to force an issue, and then getting very agitated when you don't get what you want. To continue the Rolling Stones' oldies but goodies analogy, "You can't always get what you want, but if you try somehow, you get what you need".

With Mars in Libra (the desire for an agreement) square Saturn and Pluto (the frustration of not getting what you want), this behavior may well lead to a pullback in both the trade talks as well as market prices. I would expect the next two weeks to exhibit one or two of those nasty sell-off days in stock prices that frequently happen when trade optimism morphs into disappointment and more disillusionment. I thought Jupiter square Neptune was over, but apparently its influence lingers on as long as Jupiter remains in the optimistic "trading" sign of Sagittarius.

With the Sun in opposition to Uranus next week, and Mercury turning retrograde as well, be prepared for some very strange mood swings. Be prepared for the possibility that the pendulum of optimism swings 180 degrees around on this trade deal, and fingers will be pointing at each other for blame (it might apply to the U.S.-Turkey relationship too). Of course, it doesn't have to be that way. It is always possible that acts of good will and compromise can overcome such resistance implied by these... signs of resistance, where one side digs in and tries to "act like a tough guy" (wasn't a world leader just advised not to do exactly that ?). It's just that we've seen this pattern - this "projection" - before. And the cosmic picture indicates we are about to see a sequel. Hopefully this one has a different ending. Maybe we will all be surprised with the Sun in opposition to Uranus, which is usually more akin to an earthquake, an electrical blackout, or some act of insanity, yet it also rules surprises. But as the plot and characters are the same as before, expecting a different outcome would be. crazy.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : THIS IS THE FINAL WEEK!!!  The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is now underway! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book  and  MMA Subscription Reports  and will be in effect through October 31st. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1st. Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code  SALE2020  at checkout to receive the subscription discount. Already pre-ordered Forecast 2020 but still want to save on a subscription? Send us an email and we'll send you a code for 10% off all subscriptions totaling $275 or more before October 31st.

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website.

             Note 3 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA was issued last week, October 22-23. The  ICR Financials  includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new  ICR Commodities  Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).

             Note 4 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled", RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 12, 2020 : The Saturn/Pluto Conference : "Reset Astrology: Start of a New Era", Zurich, Switzerland, featuring Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling, Verna Bachmann, Alexandra Klinghammer, Klemens Ludwig, Markus Jehle, Dr. Christof Niederwieser, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, visit https://www.astro2020.ch .

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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