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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 11 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Beijing's statement Thursday that the U.S. and China have agreed to roll back tariffs as part of a "phase one" trade accord lifted financial markets, but questions remained over how much ground - if any - the Trump administration has agreed to give. - Josh Zumbrun, William Mauldin, and Chao Deng, "Chinese Say Deal is Set, but Hurdles Remain", Wall Street Journal, November 8, 2019.

President Donald Trump said Friday he has not agreed to scrap tariffs on Chinese goods, dampening hopes about a coming resolution to a jarring trade conflict. "They'd like to have a rollback", he told reporters. "China would like to get somewhat of a rollback, not a complete rollback because they know I won't do it". Stocks fell to their session lows following Trump's comments. - Jacob Pramuk, "Trump Says He Has Not Agreed to Roll Back Tariffs on China, After a Week of Trade Optimism".

If it's no longer Jupiter square Neptune leading a case of irrational exuberance driving the stock market to new all-time highs in hopes of a trade deal, it's now Mercury retrograde coinciding with conflicting economic and political messages that are at first optimistic, and then later denied or reversed. On the news (rumor) that the two trade-warring nations had agreed to lift tariffs, the U.S. stock market soared to a new all-time high on Thursday, November 7, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching 27,774. This exceeded the previous all-time high, which was 27,398 attained on July 16 (the other major indices made their prior all-time highs during the last week of July).

Other world equity markets also soared to new all-time or multi-year highs on the hopes of a trade deal last week, prior to the President's rejection of the pre-mature announcement. In Europe, the Zurich SMI index made a new all-time high of 10,356 on Thursday, November 7. On the same day, the Northlands AEX soared to 597.66, its highest mark since May 2001, while the German DAX climbed to 13,300, not far from its all-time high of 13,596 back on January 23, 2018. The London FTSE rallied to 7432, a 5-week high but well off its all-time high of 7903 recorded on May 25, 2018.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, both the Japanese Nikkei and Indian Nifty indices performed very well, with the former getting close to its 27-year high reach last October 2, 2018 at 24,448. On Friday, it rallied to 23,591. India's Nifty index got to 12,034 on Friday, just short of its all-time high of 12,103 made on June 3, 2019. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong also had a good week, climbing to its highest level in three months. However, both the Shanghai Composite and the All Ords of Australia languished in their multi-month congestion zones.

In the Americas, both the U.S. and Brazil equity markets scored new all-time highs on Thursday, November 7. All in all, most world stock indices have been on a tear since October 3.

It was the opposite scene in treasuries and precious metals. The Ten-Year Notes broke briefly below 128 for the first time since August 1. With the rise in long-term rates, both Gold and Silver fell to their lowest levels since early August too. Crude Oil bucked the trend, and instead followed equities, rising to its highest level in 6 weeks. Bitcoin also pulled back to levels not seen since it broke out to new multi-months highs on October 25. The pullback appears to be a normal correction after such a stunning advance.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Long-time market bull Edward Yardeni is concerned stocks are getting too expensive. If the S&P forward earnings multiple ticks to 19 or 20, he warns it could spark a "nasty correction". Right now, the index is at 17. The historic norm is 15 to 16. - Stephanie Landsman, "A 'Market Melt Up' is Becoming a Real Risk as Stocks Hit New Highs", November 3, 2019, https://www.cnbc.com.

It seems like everyone is now calling for a market "melt up". Of course, many well-known market analysts also called for a market "melt up" between March and June, and indeed, the U.S. (and many other world stock markets) did surge to new all-time highs in the second half of July. This matched up well with our preferred forecast for a long-term market cycle crest within two months of August 2019 based on the historical correlation of the DJIA to the transit of Jupiter in Sagittarius. This transit is in effect November 8, 2018 through December 2, 2019. And Jupiter turned stationary direct right in the middle of Sagittarius on August 11. Given that historical study, and given that the U.S. stock market also made an all-time high on October 11, 2007 when Jupiter was in the middle of Sagittarius from which the greatest decline since the Great Depression followed, it seemed like a reasonable estimate for the 4-year cycle to top out then. But now that we have passed the ideal time band for this forecast of a long-term market crest, what does this mean ? Is the Jupiter-in-Sagittarius correlation to a crest still valid as long as Jupiter remains in Sagittarius through December 2 ? We will address this question (and answer it) in a special stock market report that will be included in this month's MMA Cycles Report, which will be released Monday night. If you are not a subscriber to this report, and wish to receive a copy, consider taking out a one-month trial subscription. The more detailed study going back to 1900 is compelling, and will be completed by Monday's release of the monthly MMA Cycles report.

In the meantime, there are others geocosmic correlations that support this recent surge in U.S. equity markets. One involves the transit of Jupiter, in Sagittarius, in a very harmonious aspect to Jupiter, Pluto, Saturn, and Neptune on the chart of the "Buttonwood" chart of the founding of the New York Stock Exchange (May 17, 1792). That transiting bonanza began its orb of influence on October 11 and remains in effect through November 25. During this same period, Mars conjoins the NYSE Jupiter/Neptune conjunction in 22-27° Libra, November 7-16. With Mars (heat) and Jupiter (expansion) so pronounced, the concept of a "melt up" is not surprising. But how long will it last ?.

Speaking of Mars, one of our TMI (Trump Mars Indicator) signals will be in effect next week, as Mars will form a hard square aspect to the President's natal Venus/Saturn conjunction, November 8-14. It appears to be already under effect, as he has just negated the idea of an agreement (Mars to Venus) announced by China regarding the U.S. - China trade war. The market didn't like that on Friday, but so far, the consequences seem modest. The market has proven it can still rally in spite of the President's temperament.

However, Mercury is currently retrograde (through November 20) in Scorpio, so the abundance of investigations (Scorpio, Pluto) by both parties against the other is ramping up. Not only are the Democrats on the march to impeach the President, but now Attorney General William Barr has appointed U.S. Attorney for Connecticut, John Durham, to launch a criminal investigation as to why the FBI began a counterintelligence investigation on the 2016 election that led to the appointment of special counsel Robert Mueller. The allegation purported by Trump and his supporters is that the Democrats (the "Deep State" is how they are referred to here) created a false narrative that the Russians interfered with the election to deny Clinton the election. If the investigation of the investigators investigating the source of the 2016 election interference is a little confusing, do not worry. It's just the season of the witch-hunt. err, Mercury the "Trickster" doing his thing when running through the dark caves and underground secret hiding places of Scorpio's buried records.

Something is likely to come to light from all of these investigations, but it may not be what the public wants to see. Not with the 32-37 year cycle of Saturn about to conjunct Pluto in Capricorn on January 12, 2020. Politically, this could result in something akin to a dormant volcano starting to erupt (Pluto in Capricorn, with Scorpio also highlighted). It may lead to more than just "draining the swamp", as leaders from both parties are found to be entangled in a web of corruption and coverups. It's intriguing. It's complex. It's everything the mystery-loving Mercury retrograde in Scorpio is drawn to, especially during this week of the Full Moon on November 12, and the middle of Mercury retrograde cycle, which takes place this weekend, November 9-10.

Get ready for some scary news from your local (or national) inquisitor. At the same, it may be wise to hold back your own impulse to question the actions or motives of others, as it may inspire them to question you. Mercury retrograde in Scorpio : the investigation of the investigators who already conducted an investigation gets underway. And soon after, they may be investigated as well, as their motives are subject to questioning. Everyone in government, it seems, has an agenda they are trying to hide or reveal that others are trying to hide - or both.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

P.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : Pre-Order for the  Forecast 2020  book is now underway! The cost is $55 and must be ordered prior to December 6 th for December 16 th shipment. Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $75! This year's Forecast Book will cover: The Global Reset continues, and is due for yet another reset, The USA and the 2020 Presidential Election, the potential for the next financial crisis, outlook for financial markets in 2020, forecasts for the year for each sign. and much more! .

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website.

             Note 3 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA will be issued November 19-20. The  ICR Financials  includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new  ICR Commodities  Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).

             Note 4 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled", RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 12, 2020 : The Saturn/Pluto Conference : "Reset Astrology: Start of a New Era", Zurich, Switzerland, featuring Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling, Verna Bachmann, Alexandra Klinghammer, Klemens Ludwig, Markus Jehle, Dr. Christof Niederwieser, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, visit https://www.astro2020.ch .

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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