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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 25 - 2024
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped on Friday, but clinched its best week of the year after back-to-back record-setting sessions. One reason for the market optimism stems from this week's Federal Reserve meeting. The central bank left rates unchanged, and commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced that cuts are coming despite a recent bout of hot inflation readings that led some investors to fear a postponed easing timeline. Samantha Subin, "Dow Closes 300 Points Lower Friday, but Notches Best Week since December", www.cnbc.com, March 22, 2024.

"That doesn't mean the Jupiter/Uranus express headed to its major destination on April 20/21 has been derailed. It just means there is a pause as Venus will first conjoin Saturn on March 21, followed by a powerful solar eclipse, and Mars conjoining Saturn, April 8-10. It may get a bit rocky short-term, but the magnetic pull of Jupiter and Uranus is still poised to outweigh other cosmic forces ". Last week's MMA Cycles column.

The pause in global stock markets ended last week as many indices shot up to new highs. The rallies were especially strong on Wednesday and Thursday after the Fed announced it would not cut rates just yet (as expected), while the Bank of England actually did lower rates and the European Central Bank stated it would soon follow. On that news, several European and U.S. stock markets shot up to new all-time highs.

However, on Friday, equities sold off sharply in the U.S., but still ended the week higher. This confirms our thoughts that stock markets would pause, then become a bit ragged and choppy, but continue their advance to new highs associated with the forthcoming Jupiter/Uranus conjunction on April 20/21.

Stocks were not the only beneficiary of the central banks dovish tone last week. Gold soared to a new all-time high late Wednesday to 2223. However, by Friday, it had fallen back to a low of 2158. Silver allied too on the Fed's announcement, to a high of 25.97 early Thursday. By Friday, it had fallen to 24.58.

Bitcoin and Ethereum had sharp sell offs last week. From its all-time high of 73,803 on March 13, Bitcoin dropped all the way back to 60,760 one week later, a loss of 17.6%. Ethereum had a multi-year high of 4093 on March 13, followed by a selloff to 3058 one week later, for a loss of slightly over 25%. As subscribers know, we are looking for a decline of 20-50% for the 16-month cycle trough in Bitcoin. The criterion is being fulfilled in Ethereum already, after only one week.

Crude Oil made a new 4-month high last Tuesday, rallying to 83.12 before pulling back modestly as it remains above 80.00. Given that Jupiter is a co-ruler of Crude Oil, it could still break out into April 20/21 when it conjoins Uranus, king of breakouts.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

Home sales rose in February from the month prior, marking the first time in more than two years that sales increased for two consecutive months. Sales of existing homes, the majority of purchases, surged 9.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.38 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had estimated sales of previously owned homes to fall 1.3% in February. Will Parker and Nicole Friedman, "U.S. Home Sales Jumped 9.5% in February", Wall Street Journal, March 21, 2024.

Interest rates are likely to come down later this year, with the Federal Reserve on track to start cutting rates. But mortgage rates might not follow as quickly. In short, prospective homebuyers might get a little help from the Fed later this year. But not that much. Telia Demos, "The New Normal for Mortgage Rates Will Be Higher Than Many Hope", Wall Street Journal, March 22, 2024.

You can't always get what you want.
But if you try sometimes, you just might find,
You get what you need. - Rolling Stones, "
You Can't Always Get What You Want", 1969

We now leave the gentle season of Pisces and start a new cycle beginning with Aries and the Spring (Vernal) Equinox of March 19/20, depending on where you live. It's like going from a cozy, pleasant slumber to the rude awakening of an overly loud alarm clock. Get up! Pay attention! The house on fire!.

The first month of spring (Aries) might be a little more dramatic than usual this year because it contains both a lunar and solar eclipse on March 25 and April 8, respectively. Not only that, but the solar eclipse in Aries will also be conjunct Chiron, the "wounded healer". This means there is danger of harm especially in war games (Aries territory). And once again, right on cue, Russian President Vladimir Putin issues yet another dire warning to the world. Not only did he reiterate another threat of possible nuclear weapons if NATO troops enter Ukraine, but he also announced 100,000 more troops would be sent to Kyiv. This is not just April's solar eclipse in Aries conjoining Chiron, but it reflects the even greater matter of the "Aries Vortex" coming up in 2025-2026 as covered in recent MMA webinars. We will revisit this topic and financial markets again on April 20 at a speech to be given live at Nova University in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida.

In terms of financial markets, my observation is that solar eclipses tend to be more often positive than negative for stocks. However, they do not usually correspond to the culmination of primary cycles (lows or highs). They can reflect sharp gains and losses right before or after the eclipse. With the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction two weeks later, my view remains that stocks can still go higher, and maybe continue even into May-June due to additional favorable Jupiter aspects arising then.

Yet, as mentioned before, markets can get ragged here. Mercury will turn retrograde April 1 through April 25. The "Trickster" can cause sharp price movements (up and down) in short spans of time, especially in its first 10-12 days. During the Mercury retrograde, we have the solar eclipse, which can also coincide with sharp price swings, followed by Mars conjunct Saturn on April 10. Combinations like this can also propel sharp price swings (reversals) in foods (watch grains, orange juice, and cocoa, and by association, also live cattle and meats). These are not likely easy markets to navigate, but until proven otherwise, keep the focus on the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction of April 20/21 as a marker for trends to continue in markets.

Key words to remember during this particular Aries season are "danger and aggression". Key behaviors to exhibit for best results are "caution and avoidance of risk". It's fine to start new initiatives as long as one is fully aware of consequences. In other words, backup plans will be important when things don't immediately go quite the way one wants (Mars/Saturn = "frustration and delays"). Efforts can still be successful for those who are both patient and far-sighted.

Note that this may be a "bully's season". Avoid the bully. There is nothing to gain by being a bully or giving in to a bully. There is much to gain, however, by being self-motivated and independent (not dependent on others who may frustrate and cause upset). It is useful to work hard on projects deemed as personally important, even if you have to work alone. In fact, it may be better to work alone than with others who fall behind in their commitments, especially within a week of April 10.

Mark it down. But don't set your alarm clock to it.

Longer-Term Geocosmics and Thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

           

             Note 1 : FORECAST 2024 BOOK IS now OUT in all formats - Print - ebook and audio. Order the now for instant access to Forecast 2024 by clicking here.

This will be the 48 th year of publishing this popular annual astrological almanac by Raymond Merriman. This book is 200 pages and provides projections of major social, political, mundane, and economic issues of the next year as seen through the lens of rhythmic and planetary cycle studies. This is critical at this time because
1) we are approaching the Aries Vortex in 2025-2026, which itself is the middle of the New Aira period of 2020-2032, and
2) the U.S. presidential election is taking place in 2024. This year's book gives an in-depth view of this election. In addition to analysis of mundane cycles, this book also provides our outlook on the Stock Market, Gold, Silver, Copper, Bitcoin, Currencies, Crude Oil, Treasuries and Interest rates, and Grain markets. The back section contains an ephemeris and geocosmic calendar outlining planetary aspects and lunar ingresses in effect every day of every month from January 2024 through March 2025.

The retail price of the Forecast 2024 printed edition is $66 (while supplies last), and the eBook is $55. The print edition is limited based on the number of pre-orders received by December 8. When they sell out, they are gone. There are no reprints. This book has sold out in six of the last eight years, so order now and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2024 !

MMA will also offer a special bundle discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages :

German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese : https ://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

For more information on this year's Forecast Book, please view our recent YouTube Video Interview with Ray and Alie at the Merriman Market Analyst YouTube channel , or by clicking here.

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

The Forecast 2023 Scorecard of the Forecast 2023 Book can now be viewed by clicking here.

             Note 2 : Each foreign translation of Forecast 2024 has a section on that nation's stock market that is not in the English or other nations' Forecast Book. Yet we are aware that some readers and investors may be interested in the stock markets of these other nations, but do not wish those editions in the other nation's language. Therefore, we make those stock market outlooks available in English as a separate service for $35.00 each. The overseas market reports for 2024 that are available separately in English include: Japan's Nikkei, China's Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX plus Zurich SMI indices. Each is available in PDF format. Each report contains their monthly charts as of December 13 2023, and a list of their critical reversal dates for 2023.

             Note 3 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, MMA Monthly Grains Report by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

             Note 4 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!

             Note 5 : THE March ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ , edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, will be issued this week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the June MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Please note that subscriptions rates for this report will increase as of January 1, 2024. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 6 : The MMA Monthly ETF Report by Gianni Di Poce was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include : SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.

             Note 7 : THE MONTHLY MMA CHINESE SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET (SSE) REPORT was issued last week. It looks like the SSE has completed its 5.5-year cycle low earlier this year with its lowest price since January 2019. And as of last week, SSE has soared nearly 17% in the past month. For information on subscribing to this report and the ETF that follows it, click here . .

             Note 8 : MMA'S FREE WEEKLY COLUMN IS NOW ON SPOTIFY, APPLE, AND AMAZON PODCAST! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays ! Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. New Podcast episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Apple Music. It makes for great listening!.

             Note 9 : MMA'S Daily and Weekly Subscription services have been very hot, especially with stock indices, metals, and Bitcoin over the past several weeks. For instance, these reports have been long Gold since the lows of October 6 (below $1840), stocks since right after their low of October 27, and Bitcoin for several weeks as well. To order any of these subscription reports, please click here.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles Report : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00, or save by ordering a 30-months or one year subscription.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :                

             April 20, 2024 : FORECASTS 2024 AND THE APPROCHING ARIES VORTEX, Nova Southwestern University, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, with Ray Merriman. An in-person event and workshop, 10 :30 AM - 5 :00 PM with a 90-minute lunch break. We will also update financial markets that are likely to be at critical stages in their cycles then, as it takes place under the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction that day. Cost is $95.00. This is one of the few live in-person events to be given by Ray Merriman this year. This event will not be broadcast via Zoom, but recordings will be made available for sale a few days afterwards. For further information and registration, please click here.

             September 19-22, 2024 : THE MMA 2024 INVESTMENT RETREAT IS NOW OPEN TO REGISTRATION!!! This special event will take place at the Rikki Balance Hotel , located in the Julian Alps region of beautiful Lake Blad, Slovenia. This will be MMA's first Investment Retreat in Europe since 2015. You won't want to miss this chance to hear the outlooks and wealth-building strategies using MMA market timing methods by top MMA analysts Raymond Merriman (USA), Gianni Di Poce (USA), Ulric Aspegrén (Switzerland), Pouyan Zolfagharnia (UK), Irma Schogt (Netherlands), Matthieu Kaiser (France), Rita Perea (USA), Vincent Wang (Singapore), Wyatt Fellows (USA), plus special guest speakers Claude Weiss (Switzerland) and Aleksandar Imsiragic (Serbia). Special attention will be given to the stock markets of the USA, Germany, China, Japan, plus Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Wheat, Crude Oil, Real Estate and interest rates, and Copper. There is nothing quite like a life-altering MMA Investment Retreat! The cost is $3500, but only $3000 if you registered before August 1, live, in person, or online. Sign up early if you wish to attend in person to secure one of the limited rooms reserved for our group at the fabulous Rikki Balance Hotel right on Lake Bled To register for those spectacular event, click here. To see the full brochure, schedule, topics, and speakers' bios, click here..

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the ..Save Our Swiss G...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to whento expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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