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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 20 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Britain's Theresa May announced her resignation as prime minister on Friday morning, drawing her turbulent three-year premiership to an abrupt end. She will step down as Conservative Party leader on June 7. - Sam Meredith and David Reid, "Teresa May Resigns as UK Prime Minister Amid Brexit Crisis", https://www.cnbc.com, May 24, 2019.
President Donald Trump signaled Thursday that a trade deal with China could lift tough restrictions on the Chinese telecom giant Huawei. If we made a deal, I can imagine Huawei being included in some form or some part of a trade deal", Trump said to White House reporters. He also predicted a swift end to the ongoing trade tensions. - Chloe Taylor and Ryan Browne, "European Stocks Close Higher as Trade Jitters Fade", https://www.cnbc.com, May 24, 2019.
It was certainly a Gemini type of week for the stock markets of the world. That is, some markets were strong, like the Australian ASX, which soared to its highest level since 2007, and India's Nifty index, which made a new-all time as Prime Minister Narendra Modi was re-elected. Others were weak, falling to multi-week lows, as in the Netherlands, China, Hong Kong and the NASDAQ Composite of the USA. Still others were in between, trading below the prior week's high but also above the prior week's low (this is known as an "inside week"), as in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Japan's Nikkei Index, and several of the European indices.
This erratic activity, with several examples of regional divergences (some indices made new multi-week lows, others did not, and some made multi-year highs and others did not) is characteristic of Gemini. On May 21, both the Sun and Mercury (the latter is the ruler of Gemini) entered the sign of Gemini, often associated with intellects and geniuses, but almost never associated with the idea of being "stable". Eccentric maybe, even capable of brilliance and cleverness. Hence, in Gemini-like fashion, global stock markets showed flashes of bullishness early in the week under the Venus/Uranus conjunction, as if it they wanted to break back to the upside after the large losses experienced since May 1, only to falter again as the week wore on. And, in spite of a Friday rally after Thursday's secondary (or new) lows, worries about the world trade situation still loom like an approaching storm cloud over the world financial markets. Positive political signals on trade were mildly delivered, but nothing got resolved. Nobody budged.
Other markets also posted notable activity and signs of intermarket bullish divergence. Silver for instance, fell to 14.35 last week, its lowest level of 2019. But Gold did not. It tested its low of May 2, but held, and then both markets spurted up to weekly highs on Thursday, for a case of intermarket bullish divergence. The same occurred in currency markets, where the Euro fell to 1.1106 on May 23, its lowest price in two years. However, the Swiss Franc did not fall, but instead rallied to its highest level since April 16. Crude Oil fell hard, to 57.33 on Thursday, May 23, its lowest mark in over two months. Treasuries continued their impressive rally, reaching their highest level since 2017, and once again demonstrating their status as a "safe haven" in unstable times.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :
Whatever other assets and liabilities he brings to the table, President Trump certainly offers this : He is a master at sowing uncertainty, so neither friend nor foe really knows what he is up to. - Gerald F. Seib, "Risks are High as Trump Pushes Hard on Iran", Wall Street Journal, May 21, 2019.
All warfare is based on deception. If your opponent is of choleric temper, seek to irritate him. Pretend to grow weak, that he may grow to be arrogant. Sun Zu, "The Art of War", 5 th century BC (email from colleague).
June 9-24 is one of the most intriguing time bands of the year containing several geocosmic signatures. Let me first identify the unusual cosmic combinations that will be operative then, followed by an explanation of how these dynamics might work out, bearing in mind that the end result is very much unknown, even at this late date. However, it is important to discuss this now, because the behaviors of world leaders, and the events that have unfolded in the past three weeks, are already exhibiting the bizarre dynamics associated with these geocosmic forces.
First of all, this is the period in which the second (of three) passage of the Jupiter/Neptune waning square takes place (June 16). This is the most dominant aspect of 2019, and happens three times due to Jupiter's retrograde motion (January 13 and September 21 are the others). The time band begins with the Sun making a T-square to Jupiter and Neptune (June 8-9) and it ends with Venus making a T-square to Jupiter and Neptune (June 23-24). Also, Neptune will turn retrograde on the summer solstice of June 21.
To understand this period, then, we need to understand the nature of Neptune in its ruling sign Pisces, especially as it is being squared by Jupiter in its ruling sign of Sagittarius. The key is the waning square aspect, arguably the most challenging of all aspects to work with. At its most virtuous (for Neptune and Pisces are symbolic of the quest for virtue), it highlights the generosity and optimism of Jupiter and Sagittarius. We saw a wonderful example of such generosity and kindness of spirit exhibited by Robert P. Smith, a billionaire who was the keynote speaker for Morehouse College's commencement ceremony on May 19. He gifted $40 million to cover the student loans of about 400 graduates. To say this was a stunning surprise to those graduates is an understatement. It was dubbed a "liberation gift". Freedom and liberation are qualities associated with Jupiter and Sagittarius. These young students can now advance in life without the burden of student debt that weighs down so many other college graduates today.
This is the type of behavior and spirit that is always possible under Jupiter/Neptune, if one would only make the effort to be kind and generous to others in need where one can afford it.
Because this aspect wants to believe in magic, believe in the goodness of others, believe that miracles can and do happen, it lends itself to optimism. With Jupiter, it can be overly optimistic, overly confident, and often with no basis in reality - only in hopes and wishes (Neptune). Jupiter and Sagittarius rule world trade too, so it is not surprising that people want to believe a trade deal will work out. And in fact, in many parts of the world, trade deals are being worked out and many countries are experiencing the benefits of an increase in world trade that would normally happen under Jupiter in Sagittarius. Except in the United States, where its citizens believe it will eventually work out. But to work out, there needs to be a generosity of spirit and kindness. Otherwise the downside of Jupiter square Neptune is apt to manifest. And that is disillusionment, the breakdown of the processes that everyone thought were working out, working towards some kind of a mutually beneficial resolution. Neptune is the fog. It can represent the disintegration of that which once appeared to be realistic and possible. The hopes and wishes go up in smoke (another symbolism of Neptune in Pisces). When that happens, finger-pointing and name calling begins. People look for scapegoats to blame, to explain why the promise never materialized, why something so positive suddenly dissolved. Accusations of deception, betrayal, reneging on promises, are all part of the reaction that goes along with Jupiter square Neptune.
At its worst, what was once hopeful and optimistic quickly turns into loss of control. Hence, Jupiter/Neptune aspects are associated with periods of both "irrational exuberance", which drive equity prices to new highs, but also hysteria and panic, which lead to large losses. It is an aspect of delusion of grandeur as well as delusions of persecution, mania as well as depression. One may claim to be a genius, strong, and successful, then also claim to be a victim, while others allege he/she is a fraud, a hoax, a clown, "messed up", or needs some kind of psychological intervention. It gets personal. People lose control. They can act crazy. They may "lose it" and they may need intervention or a vacation if they are not grounded. This is not a favorable period for confrontations, which tend to end badly.
As we head into June 9-24, this is the hope and the danger. On the hope of a resolution and agreement, equity prices rally. On the disappointment over setbacks in this process, equity prices fall. Previously I stated the only threat to the American economy is the political threat, and this is proving to be the case.
The June 9-24 period is additionally important and challenging because at the same time there will be an opposition of Mars and the Moon's North Node in Cancer to Saturn, Pluto and the South Node of the Moon in Capricorn. This is the dynamic that has an urge to try and force others to its will, to fight until the end, to not budge, but rather to demand and issue threats. It is war-like.
Yet, this opposition is broken up by Neptune, which sextiles Saturn/Pluto and trines the Mars/North Node. There is great danger to the world financial system, but there is also an avenue for constructive progress to be made, signified by the qualities of Neptune in Pisces. It is the cosmic key to successfully navigating this very risky period. The positive side of Neptune is kindness of spirit and understanding, compassion, empathy, listening to others. The downside is to resort to allegations and name-calling, blaming others for the sad state of affairs and accepting no responsibility for one's own actions. Those types of complaints will only push the situation further into the swamp or fog (also Neptune qualities).
In terms of financial markets, all we can say at this point is that the June 9-24 time band is already exhibiting both the positive and negative characteristics of the Jupiter/Neptune square. If the positive begins to dominate and there are signs of a resolution and agreement brewing, stocks will rally. In fact, they will explode if a deal can be consummated. If not, and there is another disillusioning disappointment again during that period, look for a tsunami or hurricane to strike financial markets, a possible meltdown. The risks are great and the result is still to be determined. Equities are not the only market to be affected by the political events of June 9-24, Crude Oil also stands out, as does precious metals. Both of these markets have a historical correlation to the completion of primary cycles or their secondary reactions during this period.
There will be ample opportunities for significant profits to be made by traders who are on the right side of a trade - or several trades - that will be offered, if the historical correlation of the past is present again during this time band.
Longer-Term thoughts :
To be continued (next week).
Note 1 : The Monthly International Cycles Report (ICR) came out last week .
This issue will include second round of three introductory analyses on two commodity markets: Coffee and Sugar. In late June, we will launch a new ICR Commodities Report, which will include not only Coffee and Sugar, but also Wheat and Corn, along with Live Cattle and a major Cannabis stocks (MJ), which are currently being offered as pilot reports in the MMA Cycles Report through May. After that, we will begin a new Monthly ICR Commodities Report that will include Coffee, Sugar, Live Cattle, Corn, and Wheat, plus Live Cattle and Cannabis. The monthly ICR report is probably the best kept secret for the timing and cyclical analysis of several international financial markets available today. It is an excellent report, written by several graduates and students of MMA's classic market timing methodology, including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden). Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), plus Corn (C), Wheat (W), Sugar, and Coffee until late June. For more information, call us at 248-626-3034, or 1-800-662-3349. Or, please visit http:// mmacycles.com/ > Subscription Services.
Note 2 : The New ICR Cycles' Reports from MMA are Coming!!! Starting on July 2nd, we are going to expand our International Cycles Report (ICR) into two reports... ICR Financials and ICR Commodities . Each report will be covering 7 markets, and will cost, as follows (but there will be a special introductory offer - see below) :ICR Financials : Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months
Markets Covered: ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound)
Release Date : Tuesday July 2, 2019
ICR Commodities : Cost: $325/ Year or $66/ 2 Months
Markets Covered: LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat)
Release Date: Wednesday July 3, 2019If you sign up for either ICR Report by June 30 th , you will also receive - at no additional cost - the May issue of our current ICR Report, which contains our initial analysis of Coffee, Corn, Wheat, and Sugar. As a final BONUS, we will send you both the ICR Financials Report and the ICR Commodities Report in July so that you can see and experience both of our new reports. That's TWO reports- at no additional cost- just for trying our new report. SAVE 20% NOW ! If you wish to sign up for both the ICR Financials Report and ICR Commodities Report, we are offering a 20% off the yearly rate for both reports, valid until June 1. Instead of $650 for both reports, your cost will be $520- a savings of $130! Use code ICR at check out to receive the discount. For further information, visit https://mmacycles.com > Services > Subscription Services.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at email@example.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.
MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
June 8-16, 2019 : We now have the description posted on our website for the two weekend courses to take place in Beijing, China, June 8-9 and June 15-16 on "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", with Raymond Merriman. This special 2-weekend workshop will take place at the Beijing Broadcasting Tower Hotel, No. 14 Jianguomenwai Da Jie, Chaoyang, 100022 Beijing, China. This will be two intensive weekend Market Trading workshops focusing on the identifying the primary cycle and its phases used in trading several financial markets, with the emphasis on the U.S. and Chinese Shanghai stock indices and Gold (other markets will be included as well). The course will then take participants through the steps of narrowing the time band down for trading cycle highs and lows by applying geocosmic and solar/lunar studies. Once in the time band for a reversal, students will then learn how to apply various chart patterns and technical studies to identify the setup for optimal risk/reward opportunities. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16 in Beijing. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable 2-weekend trading course is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at firstname.lastname@example.org or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349. Or, for a complete description of each course, go to:
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at email@example.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at firstname.lastname@example.org. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email email@example.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.Valeur des terres Robert Loquet - Conseiller général