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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 9 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Italiano        German         Japanese       Chinese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The jobs market turned in a stellar performance in November, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 266,000 and the unemployment rate falling to 3.5%, according to Labor Department numbers released Friday. Those totals easily beat the Wall Street consensus. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for solid job growth of 187,000 and saw the unemployment rate holding steady from October's 3.6%. Average hourly earnings rose by 3.1% from a year ago. "Bottom line, America is working", Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street". "These are very strong numbers". - Jeff Cox, "Jobs Growth Soars in November", www.cnbc.com, December 6, 2019.

US President Trump tweeted plans to tax US consumers of French champagne and cheese (and other goods). Substituting Kraft Cheese Slices for Camembert may be a heavy burden. However, earlier tweets re-imposing taxes on US users of Brazilian and Argentinian steel seem even more serious. Companies have spent years believing that they can operate global supply chains. Trust in global supply chains is threatened when a Trump trade deal does not seem to last more than a few months. If trust in global supply chains is weakened, investment in global supply chains will be weakened, and any economic recovery in 2020 will be weakened. Trust is hard to restore once it has been damaged. You cannot turn burnt toast back into bread. A lot of toast was burnt yesterday. - Paul Donovan, UBS Morning Comment, December 3, 2019.

Indeed, America is working. And it is not just for the upper classes in society as some claim. The middle class is also improving financially as unemployment fell to another multi-decade low. People are working and incomes are rising. As one commentator on a market-related TV news station stated today, it is amazing how well the economy can perform when you get government out of the way of trying to micromanage business. But is that true ? And if so, what could change it ? A slowdown in world trade is what could change this trend. And the continuation of an escalating tariff policy (by the government) could easily become the culprit that brings the world and national economy down as expansive Jupiter now begins its transit in the contractive sign of Capricorn, December 2, 2019-December 19, 2020.

Last week started off by exhibiting fears of a worldwide slowdown. World stock markets plummeted sharply the first two-three days of last week, following Jupiter's entrance into Capricorn. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, was down nearly 800 points from its opening on Monday to its intraday low on Tuesday. Then it paused on Wednesday and Thursday as it awaited Friday's employment report. On the blowout payroll numbers, the DJIA soared 327 points to within striking distance of its all-time high recorded on November 27, the prior week. The odds are that other world stock indices will open higher on Monday, especially in Asia and the Pacific Rim.

Gold and Silver fared exactly the opposite from stocks. That is, they rallied nicely into Wednesday, paused on Thursday, then came down hard on Friday. Treasuries followed a similar path to that of metals, but Crude Oil traded higher along with stocks. In fact, Crude Oil is now testing $60/barrel for the first time since mid-September. Bitcoin made an important low on November 25, but it is still struggling to get back above $8000.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

The rally in Crude Oil and equities may be related to Jupiter - not because it is leaving Sagittarius, but because it is approaching a favorable trine to Uranus on December 15. Jupiter is the co-ruler of Sagittarius, and Uranus is the planet that breaks out of congestion zones, sometimes spectacularly. Its correlation with market movements can last up to ten days either side of the aspect.

However, the Jupiter/Uranus trine may be tempered by the conjunction of Venus with Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn, December 11-13. Suddenly, debt and taxes may come to the forefront. Yet, with Jupiter trine Uranus following those conjunctions, there may also be signs of a trade deal between the U.S. and China, which would make sense as new tariffs are scheduled to be launched December 15. It would appear, in a perfectly ordered universe, that the talks start to break down again with Venus (agreement) conjoining Saturn (delays) over tariffs (Pluto). But it could also mean the final details of a limited agreement suddenly come to fruition. That could be the trigger providing the impetus for another record high by the end of the year, for the Sun will then conjunct Jupiter and trine Uranus, December 24-27. Failure to get an agreement signed by the end of the year puts a trade deal back into the dark, as the Sun, Mercury, Saturn and Pluto then conjoin with one another in the serious sign of Capricorn, January 10-13. It is also a full moon and Uranus changes directions. Equity markets - and all financial markets - could abruptly change directions then. It may not be pretty if a trade deal fizzles out again.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :

"Americans have always been able to handle austerity and even adversity. Prosperity is what is doing us in". - James Reston, American journalist, as quoted in December 6, 2019 edition of the Arizona Republic.

You are going to hear a lot about the Saturn/Pluto conjunction that will occur January 12, 2020. It is the one of the "top 6" synodic (planetary conjunction) cycles in terms of its length. That is, it happens every 32-37 years. The last time it occurred was November 8, 1982. This will be the longest planetary cycle since the Uranus/Neptune conjunction of 1993, which followed the 45-year Saturn/Uranus and 36-year Saturn/Neptune conjunctions of 1988-1989. Uranus/Neptune is super-long at 171 years, second only to Neptune and Pluto's 492-year cycle.

The Saturn/Pluto conjunction is a very important planetary cycle correlating with political and mundane matters, as well as economic trends. Its dynamics and themes are covered in detail in the soon-to-be released Forecast 2020 Book. In fact, I don't think anyone has dissected, analyzed, researched, and explained this cycle to the extent it is covered in this book. Why ? Because it describes the current conditions and collective psychology engulfing the world today.

With a duration of 11 months, it is already in full force, and will remain so throughout most of 2020, as both planets continue close to one another by longitude in last degrees of Capricorn. They are already conjunct one another by declination and have been since July 2019.

There are basically three themes that are delineated in Forecast 2020 regarding this major planetary conjunction :

•  Checkmate - someone wins, and someone loses, and thus breaks the logjam. There are no win-win outcomes likely, unless opposition parties are committed to such a favorable resolution.

•  Virtue versus corruption - heroes versus villains.

•  Power to destroy versus superhuman effort to reform and reconstruct - tremendous pressure where the collective feels increased stress and anxiety to do - or avoid doing - something.

It is important to recognize that Saturn/Pluto in Capricorn is also a time of consequence for acts and policies initiated during the stages that led up to 2020. For instance, the Fed made unorthodox monetary policy decisions like ZIRP (Zero-interest rate policy) and QE (quantitative easing) in 2008-2016 for which no one knew what the consequences would be, but there were concerns that there would be a reckoning at some point. The same was believed regarding the Brexit vote of 2016, and the more recently enacted tariff policies of the U.S. (2018-2019) against several nations, and especially China. With Saturn and Pluto, the consequences of all these actions and decisions are due to climax in 2020. Someone will win, someone will lose. There will not likely be a win-win result here, as Pluto represents force and finality - the conclusion to the matter - and not by compromise.

The good news is this : the lack of civility between parties on opposing ends of these matters may also peak now, in 2020-2021. The pressure that the collective has increasingly experienced since the Cardinal Climax began in 2008 has been like being caught in a constantly tightening vise. That pressure will slowly begin to release after January 12, 2020, but probably not very noticeably until after the Saturn squares Uranus in 2021. By then we will know who the winners and losers are and what type of rebuilding must commence.

How will this dynamic affect the economy and financial markets ? This is also a subject tackled in the Forecast 2020 Book and will be addressed in this month's issue of the monthly MMA Cycles Report to be released Monday-Tuesday of this week. For now, just be aware that under this aspect, there isn't much room for error. It is valuable to have a plan, stick with it, and realize there will be consequences for being lax with discipline, such as loss of money. At the same time, there can be great rewards for exhibiting great discipline during this time and staying with a well-thought out plan. By itself, the Saturn and Pluto conjunction doesn't correlate with the end of long-term trends. However, in combination with hard aspects involving Saturn and Uranus within one year, it does correlate with reversals of long-term trends, and oftentimes violently so. This is the cosmic situation we are about to enter in 2020-2021. The economy and stock markets have done very well for a very long time (record length of expansion). But what goes up usually comes down, and with hard aspects of Saturn/Pluto followed by Saturn/Uranus, it may not be a soft landing.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The Pre-Order period for the  Forecast 2020  book ends on December 6 th . The book is at the printer and distribution will begin December 16 th to those who have pre-ordered. As always, we print an additional 10% of books to the number of orders received by the end of the pre-publication period. This year's printing looks like it will sell out again, so if you wish a copy of this year's book, please order before they are gone. The cost is $55.00 plus postage for the printed edition (no postage for the eBook edition). Order both an eBook and print book ( Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $75! This year's Forecast Book will cover : The Saturn/Pluto 32-37 year cycle, the Jupiter./Saturn 20- and 200- and 800-year cycle, and the 13-year Jupiter/Pluto cycle, and their correspondence to historical events that relate top themes present in today's world. Also covered will be The USA and the 2020 Presidential Election, the potential for the next financial crisis, and the outlook for financial markets in 2020, including interest rates, treasuries, stock market, Gold and Silver, currencies (U.S. Dollar, Dollar/Yen, Swiss Franc, Euro, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains, Bitcoin, and Live Cattle. This will be the largest Forecast Book ever written- over 250 pages! Order now before they are gone.

             Note 2 :

             Note 3 :

             Note 4 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA was issued last week. The  ICR Financials  includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new  ICR Commodities  Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also available in these languages :
Italiano : at https://ilmiolibro.kataweb.it/utenti/79533/market-timing/
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 12, 2020 : The Saturn/Pluto Conference : "Reset Astrology: Start of a New Era", Zurich, Switzerland, featuring Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling, Verna Bachmann, Alexandra Klinghammer, Klemens Ludwig, Markus Jehle, Dr. Christof Niederwieser, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, visit https://www.astro2020.ch .

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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