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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 20 - 2020
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Deutsch         Japanese       Italiano

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Global stock markets were up sharply last week, with several making new all-time or multi-year highs. This was more a reflection of the bullish side of Uranus turning direct on January 10 than it was of the Saturn/Pluto conjunction on January 12. As readers know, a strong Uranus signature can coincide with a reversal of the trend, or a breakout and acceleration of the trend. No resistance or support line is safe under a prominent Uranus signature, for Uranus just loves to break through any boundaries or limits. In this case, it broke through resistance to new all-time highs in the U.S., Australia, India, and Switzerland. The Netherlands AEX also moves to a new 18-year high, while the DAX of Germany and Nikkei of Japan are closing in on either new all-time records or multi-year highs respectively.

Of course, such strong market moves are usually the result of strong economic or political news. And last week exhibited a dual dose of good economic news with the trade pact signings of the United States between its neighbors (USMC) and China.

Yet, all that good economic news for the U.S. was dampened by the twin daggers of Saturn and Pluto - assassination and impeachment. Even though the new year and new decade is only two weeks old, we have already experienced not just the signing of two significant trade deals, but we are also immersed in an effort to impeach the president, and we are the subject of international alarm caused by the president's order to assassinate Iranian General Qasem Soleimani on Iraq's soil. World renowned Mundane Astrologer Claude Weiss shared an interesting astrological insight in last week's powerful Saturn/Pluto conference in Zurich : Osama Bin Laden, who was Barack Obama's highest profile assassination trophy, was born March 10,1957. Soleimani, who is now Trump's highest profile assassination trophy, was born one day later, on March 11, 1957. If you are born March 10-11, 1957, it might be a good idea to avoid choosing terrorism as a career path.

In other market news, Bitcoin rallied back above 9000 late last week, while the U.S. Dollar rose to its highest level against the Japanese Yen since May. Gold ended a sharp selloff at 1536.40 on Tuesday, January 14, following its explosion to 1613.30, a new 6-year high, the prior week on January 8. Silver and Crude Oil followed a similar path.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

The single passage of Saturn conjunct Pluto took place last weekend. However, the "orb of influence" of this 32-37-year cosmic event will be present for several months, maybe even as much as this next two years. This new "era of political assassinations" to get rid of one's enemies or threat to power has been with us for the last couple of years (think North Korea, Russia, Saudi Arabia, a couple of South American countries). This is but one of the ways that a strong Pluto can manifest. But our concern is how Pluto will correspond to economics and financial markets, and here we need to look at another Pluto category : debt and deficits. I have written about the greatest threat to this very mature bull market as being that of the political arena, but I suspect we will soon start seeing attention diverting to another threat : the exploding worldwide debt. We will delve further into this matter as the news starts to unfold ­- after the impeachment proceedings and the tensions still surrounding the U.S. and Iran.

Shorter-term, we have an interesting cosmic development arising. On January 23-24, the new moon will square Uranus. This is an indicator of something sudden and unexpected arising that may potentially disrupts market trends. It involves Uranus, so it can also correspond with another "melt-up" to new all-time or multi-year highs in world stock indices if there is not a reversal. Then, January 26-28 will find Venus and Neptune conjunct in Pisces. Ah ! How sweet it is to fall in love (Venus, Neptune, and Pisces are all about infatuation disguising as true love). The problem is that Mars will square these two planets, so what was thought to be a torrid love affair may quickly turn into a torn love affair. In the mundane world, this refers to agreements gone awry. One side is prone to violate the terms agreed upon or assumed (Neptune likes to assume), and the other side is not very pleased about this. That could turn the markets down for once again, the biggest risk to the markets is still the political risk, where there are many new agreements underway, and actors who have a tendency to over-react to. anything.

But let's look a little further down the road (or, cosmic highway) and we will see that transiting Mars is just beginning to strike that critical 17-25 degree sector of Sagittarius. This will take place January 27-February 9. Mars will touch off the lunar eclipse with Uranus in President Trump's natal chart (TMI - the "Trump Mars Indictor"). It will also activate the Mars square Neptune (forming a grand square) in the founding charts of both the U.S. and Iran. According to Mars, it's not over until its over. According to Saturn/Pluto, warring factions are not interested in a win-win result. Someone has to win, and someone has to lose - badly. Mars can be so macho. And Neptune with Venus in Pisces just wants peace. It's going to be a very interesting next three weeks, and financial markets will likely reflect this dynamic.

Longer-Term thoughts :

The uncertainty resulting from trade tensions with China and other trading partners has probably contributed to falling business investment in the United States. The deal with China and the USMC Agreement ought to help resolve that uncertainty. But given the Trump Administration's record of mercurial policymaking, trade tensions could again flare up at the president's whim, undermining the certainty businesses need before making decisions about their investments and supply chains. This, in turn, would have a negative impact on labor productivity, employment, and wages. - Eswar Prasad, "China Gets the Big Win in the End", The New York Times, January 17, 2020.

How have trade taxes (tariffs) hurt the world economy ? US trade taxes created four costs.
1) Nearly all the US trade taxes are paid by US companies. This squeezes profits. 2) Supply chains have been rerouted. About half the taxed Chinese goods lost US market share. This hurts Chinese exporters. It is also a cost to US importers (who may pay more for their second choice supplier).
3) Some US firms may relocate production. US production using Chinese parts stops. Firms import Chinese parts into (say) Canada. They export the finished product from Canada to the US. This is negative for US employment. But it does not seem to have been very common.
4) The largest cost is the uncertainty trade policy caused. After twenty-five years of investing in global supply chains, companies' trust in trade has been damaged. Slower investment was the main reason for slower US and global growth. The US-China trade deal is unlikely to change trade uncertainty.
Paul Donovan, "The Costs of Trade Policy", UBS Weekly Blog, January 20, 2020.

Today, the Trump Administration and much of America is celebrating the two trade deals that are being signed this month. This indeed is great news for the future of the U.S. and even world economy. Or is it ? The problem is that the tariffs remain in place, with no assurances that additional tariffs will not be enacted at any time the President wishes. As pointed out in the quotes above, such uncertainty is a major cause of withholding investment that is truly needed in order to get the economy to grow at the promised 3% rate. New estimates by agencies outside the U.S. project America's growth rate as only 1.8% now.

With Jupiter now past Sagittarius (sign of hope, optimism and trade) and recently into Capricorn for most of 2020, the cosmic indicators suggest less growth than promised or expected. In fact, the possibility of severe market selloff starting sometime before the middle of 2021, and ending sometime in 2021-2023, is supported by the back-to-back hard aspects between Saturn/Pluto (2020) and Saturn/Uranus (2021). The five most severe market selloffs since 1900 have occurred under this combination (most recently in 2008-2009, 2000-2002, 1973-1974, 1930-1931). Pinpointing the exact date for that to start is never easy, for no one rings a gong when the bull market is over. But this will be one of the subjects we will address in our annual worldwide webinar taking place on February 9 (three weeks from now). We will also discuss how to protect oneself if the event of such a financial crisis as suggested by the history of these aspects.

I will be looking forward to sharing with many of you then. In the meantime, enjoy this Venus/Neptune conjunction in Pisces next week. Find love, or let it find you. But try not to blow it up with petty arguments where wrongs can be greatly exaggerated. It is too easy to exaggerate with Mars in Sagittarius, which is in force January 3-February 16. Better to use that aspect for sports, exercise, and outdoor activities, and consciously avoid areas (and people) where possible danger may lurk. People can be either very trigger happy, or just happy. Let's go for just happy and have a good time with friends.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The Forecast 2020  Book is now printed and distribution was completed last month to those who have pre-ordered. As always, we print an additional 20% of books to the number of orders received by the end of the pre-publication period. This year's printing looks like it will sell out again, so if you wish a copy of this year's book, please order before they are gone. The cost is $55.00 plus postage for the printed edition (no postage for the eBook edition). Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $75! This year's Forecast Book will cover : The Saturn/Pluto 32-37 year cycle, the Jupiter./Saturn 20- and 200- and 800-year cycle, and the 13-year Jupiter/Pluto cycle, and their correspondence to historical events that relate top themes present in today's world. Also covered will be the USA and the 2020 Presidential Election, the potential for the next financial crisis, and the outlook for financial markets in 2020, including interest rates, treasuries, stock market, Gold and Silver, currencies (U.S. Dollar, Dollar/Yen, Swiss Franc, Euro, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains, Bitcoin, and Live Cattle. This will be the largest Forecast Book ever written- over 250 pages! Order now before they are gone.

             Note 2 : SPECIAL ANNUAL REPORTS ON JAPANESE, CHINESE AND GERMAN STOCK INDICES FROM MMA. This year's English edition of the Forecast 2020 Book is 250 pages, our largest ever. We think readers will be pleased with additional analysis on the three synodic cycles that will be in effect in 2020, something that has not happened in over 130 years. The correlation of these cycles to mundane, political, and economic events is fascinating, especially the research on the longest of these planetary cycles beginning this year: the 32-37 year Saturn/Pluto conjunction. It is unlikely you will find a more complete examination and explanation of the Saturn/Pluto conjunction taking place on January 12, 2020, than you will find in Forecast 2020, except via the work of Claude Weiss at www.astrodata.com.

In addition to the English edition of Forecast 2020, Raymond Merriman has written three special 9-page yearly market reports/forecasts for the Japanese Nikkei, Chinese Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX stock indices. Each of these is translated and printed in its respective Japanese, Chinese, and German book editions of Forecast 2020.

Many of our English readers and global investors may find these reports to be of special interest too. Therefore, we will make each of these reports available for purchase for $30 a piece. They are written in English and analyze each of these markets from the perspective of their long- and intermediate-term cycles, as well as citing their correlations to planetary cycles in effect in 2020, such as the history of the three major synodic cycles that will unfold next year.

If you are interested in ordering either of these three special reports on the 2020 outlook for the Nikkei, Shanghai Composite, or German DAX, please visit our Special Annual Report shop.

             Note 3 :

             Note 4 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA was issued last week. The  ICR Financials  includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new  ICR Commodities  Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2020. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2020 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2020. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also available in these languages :

Italiano : at https://ilmiolibro.kataweb.it/utenti/79533/market-timing

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 12, 2020 : The Saturn/Pluto Conference : "Reset Astrology: Start of a New Era", Zurich, Switzerland, featuring Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling, Verna Bachmann, Alexandra Klinghammer, Klemens Ludwig, Markus Jehle, Dr. Christof Niederwieser, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, visit https://www.astro2020.ch .

             February 9, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2020 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 2.PM EST (that's 11.AM PST and 7 PM GMT). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.
Start the New Year, 2020, by saving $20 on a January Monthly Report of your choice + Forecast 2020 Webinar. Chose from the MMA Monthly Cycles + Webinar Bundle , ICR: Financials + Webinar Bundle , or ICR: Commodities + Webinar Bundle.

             September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!

             Saturday, September 12 - 2020, I will be presenting a lecture on "The Times, They Are a Changin' - The Political, Economic, and Monetary Revolution". It's not just the convergence of the 20-, 200-, and 800-year long-term Jupiter/Saturn cycles. It is also Saturn in Aquarius, squaring its ruler, Uranus, in Taurus. The convergence of the Jupiter/Saturn cycle in air sign Aquarius symbolizes the dawn of a new socio-economic-political era; the waning Saturn/Uranus square, the demise of an older order. What does this bode for financial markets of the world, and what can you do? We will discuss that in this lecture.

Sign up by January 19 and receive a pre-registration special discount price of under $400 for the Main Conference. A discount for pre- and post-conference workshops is also in effect until January 19. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed !

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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