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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 17 - 2020
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Deutsch
Japanese
Italiano
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Please note that financial markets will be closed in the U.S. this Monday, February 17, in honor of the "President's Day" holiday. It just so happens that the most "famous" presidents in the history of the U.S. were born as Aquarians (or early Pisces), including George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt, Ronald Reagan, and Michael Bloomberg (just teasing on the last one).
Review :
The federal budget deficit grew 25% in the first four months of the fiscal year. Over the 12 months that ended in January, receipts rose 6.7%, the most since February 2016. Outlays were up 8.8%, pushing the overall deficit to 1.06 trillion, a 16.4% increase from a year earlier. Kate Davidson, "Deficit Widens as Spending Hits High", Wall Street Journal, February 13, 2020.
(Judy Shelton's) vigorous public defense of monetary stability as a solution to the (lack of) productivity (puzzle challenges defenders of today's orthodoxy to explain how their model is any better than a fixed standard such as the gold she advocates. They can't do it in light of the serial disasters of the past 50 years. No wonder her nomination (to the Fed) elicited such shameful vitriol from the economics professoriate and their friends in the press. Their beef with Ms. Shelton isn't that she's a nut. It's that she might be right. - Joseph C. Sternberg, "Why the Economics Establishment Hates Judy Shelton", Wall Street Journal, February 14, 2020.
U.S. and European stock indices were strong last week. New all-time highs were recorded on Friday in the German DAX and Zurich SMI, as well as in the U.S. S&P futures index. All-time highs were recoded in the Dow Jones Industrial Average two days earlier, on February 12, and one day earlier in the NASDAQ Composite, February 13. The Amsterdam AEX also soared to its highest level since February 2001.
In terms of geocosmic studies, part of this rally can be attributed to the transit of Mars making a favorable aspect to the Jupiter/Neptune conjunction in the "Buttonwood" chart of the New York Stock Exchange (founded May 17, 1792). Fundamentally, European stock indices gained support for their weak currency, as the Euro fell to its lowest mark since April 2017. That happens when you continue a policy of monetary accommodation (like negative interest rates) amidst a lack of fiscal discipline in all of the member nations. In the U.S., we have similar case where the Fed has been extremely accommodative as of late (with the Repo market, until Friday) and the U.S. government has run up a trillion deficit again. All that liquidity finds its way to the stock market - until the debt limit is breached and credit agencies step in. This is possible in 2020-2023 with Pluto (debt and taxes) so prominent in the charts of the U.S., its current president, the Fed, its chair, and the NYSE. Maybe Judy Shelton does have the right idea (i.e. return to an asset-backed currency, like Gold).
In Asia and the Far East, there were no new all-time highs in stock indices, probably due to the continuation of fear caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Yet, the Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng stock indices have enjoyed a decent 2-week recovery since their huge selloffs into February 4.
Crude Oil enjoyed a strong week after falling to a new multi-month low below $50/barrel the prior week. Gold and Silver are still trading between their three-week highs and lows. They are looking for a direction and may find it as a slew of new geocosmic signatures arise starting this weekend, February 16. A confirmation of Judy Shelton to the Fed Board of Governors might also add support to the Gold bull market.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :
The most dangerous people are those who don't know that they don't know but think that they know more than everyone else. - anonymous.
Trump registered as a Republican in Manhattan in 1987 and since that time has changed his party affiliation five times. In August 2001, Trump changed his party affiliation to Democratic. In September 2009, Trump changed his party affiliation back to the Republican Party. In December 2011, Trump changed to "no party affiliation" (independent). In April 2012, Trump again returned to the Republican Party. https://en.wikipedia.org.
Bloomberg served as the 108 th mayor of New York City, holding office for three consecutive terms beginning his first in 2002. A lifelong Democrat before seeking elective office, Bloomberg switched his party registration in 2001 to run for mayor as a Republican. https://en.wikipedia.org.
Here he comes again. That notorious harbinger of market whipsaws and flip-flops in policy statements returns this weekend, February 16, and he will make his presence known through March 9. We are not talking about the party affiliation reversals of Donald Trump (a one-time Democrat who is now a Republican serving as the U.S. president) or Michael Bloomberg (a one-time Republican Mayor of New York City who is now running for presidency as a Democrat again). We are talking about Mercury retrograde, the road-runner trickster whose knack for corresponding to false breakouts of support and resistance, along with a propensity for pre-mature or unwise decision-making before all the facts are known, or reversal of former positions once all the facts are known, is back. And this time he might be exhibiting the full range of his otherworldly (and impractical) talents because he is turning retrograde in that wonderfully delirious but oftentimes fantasy-oriented sign of Pisces.
This is a time when you may feel like singing a happy song because you think you are in love or cursing because you said the wrong thing at the worst time possible and its totally embarrassing and now you feel like singing the blues. Before you propose anything under this Mercury retrograde in Pisces, you better make sure you are on the same page as the person you are proposing something to. Or maybe it's not even a proposal in your mind (or theirs). It may come off as more of an order or a demand, but like some of the candidates running for president, you may choose the wrong word, or give the wrong name of the person you are talking to. If it is your broker, be clear as to whether you mean "buy" instead of "sell", especially after being reconnected after your cell phone went temporarily dead. All sorts of strange things can go wrong (after appearing to go right at first) under this particular Mercury retrograde in Pisces.
But what does this mean for markets ? Not much, except it often correlates with sudden, short-term reversals nearby, but not necessarily of the primary cycle type. It's more of a trading cycle in the majority of cases. That is, you can trade it, but you better not marry it.
Yet, this Mercury retrograde may be more important than most, It could correspond with cycles greater than a trading cycle type because Mars will also enter Capricorn on the same day, and that is a big deal (well, almost everything is presented as a "big deal" when Mercury is in Pisces - or Sagittarius, because Jupiter rules both). But why is Mars entering Capricorn a big deal ? Because the Federal Reserve Act was passed on December 23, 1913 when the Sun was in 1º Capricorn, in opposition to Pluto at 0º Cancer. These can highlight times when the Fed comes into the picture, oftentimes with new policies or announcements that jar interest-rate related markets, like T-Notes and currencies, which then indirectly (or directly) influence price movements in precious metals and stocks. With Mercury going retrograde in Pisces, this can seem like a curve ball (or a screwball) just when you thought everything was going so well. Suddenly the focus of attention changes (as if Mercury retrograde in Pisces can focus at all). But is the change based on reality or rumors ? That's where Mercury in Pisces, going retrograde, can get a little dizzy. One day it seems like the situation is under control. The next day it's back to being unsettled. And financial markets often respond, in whipsaw-like fashion, to this good news/bad news comedy-tragedy that continues to play.
Traders and investors need to keep their eye on the larger picture, especially at times like this when Mercury is retrograde in Pisces, which can coincide with too much attention on a lot of noise (whipsaws) that means very little in the long run. And what is that larger picture we are looking at ? It is exactly what we discussed in last week's webinar : the stock market is in a prolonged time band when a long-term cycle crest is due (April 2019-November 2020), based on Jupiter in 10º Sagittarius to 20º Capricorn, with an 85% probability (my estimation) of a 20-50% decline that will then follow into or after the Saturn/Uranus square of 2021. The details are in the tables of past Saturn/Uranus and Saturn/Pluto hard aspects that were (are) provided to those who attended that event.
Shorter-term (after all, we are traders too), February 16 is just the beginning of a three-week period when eight geocosmic signatures occur that have a historical correspondence to the culmination of cycles (lows or highs) in many financial markets. Just as important (even more important) as Mercury turning retrograde and Mars entering Capricorn on February 16, is the transit of Venus forming a square to Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto (the "Capricorn Stellium") February 23-March 3, and the two Level 1 (most powerful) conjunctions of Sun/Neptune and Venus/Uranus on March 8, the day before Mercury turns direct (on March 9). Normally, I would say these next three weeks promise to be wild and erratic, except I know that anything promised with Mercury retrograde in Pisces is a promise that might never be delivered. It may be better to practice singing and dancing, and maybe meditating too. Just be careful of rumors presented as facts.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The MMA Forecast 2020 Webinar recording is now available! This once-a-year broadcast showed the odds for a potential stock market crash in 2020-2023 and discussed what to do about it to protect one's portfolio. This 2+ hour webinar discussed the geocosmic importance of Saturn conjunct Pluto that took place January 12, which is very evident in today's news (impeachment, assassinations, sports scandals, record high in stock prices, rallies in metals, etc.). It discussed the forthcoming Jupiter/Saturn conjunction on the Winter Solstice 2020, right after the U.S. election, and its historical correlation to economic and market cycles. Updates were provided on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019, including the U.S. and German stock market (DAX), Gold and Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, and currencies. The stock markets and Gold were given most attention. Cost of the recording is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation plus instant access to the video recording of the event.
Note 2 : SPECIAL ANNUAL REPORTS ON JAPANESE, CHINESE AND GERMAN STOCK INDICES FROM MMA. This year's English edition of the Forecast 2020 Book is 250 pages, our largest ever. We think readers will be pleased with additional analysis on the three synodic cycles that will be in effect in 2020, something that has not happened in over 130 years. The correlation of these cycles to mundane, political, and economic events is fascinating, especially the research on the longest of these planetary cycles beginning this year: the 32-37 year Saturn/Pluto conjunction. It is unlikely you will find a more complete examination and explanation of the Saturn/Pluto conjunction taking place on January 12, 2020, than you will find in Forecast 2020, except via the work of Claude Weiss at www.astrodata.com.
In addition to the English edition of Forecast 2020, Raymond Merriman has written three special 9-page yearly market reports/forecasts for the Japanese Nikkei, Chinese Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX stock indices. Each of these is translated and printed in its respective Japanese, Chinese, and German book editions of Forecast 2020.
Many of our English readers and global investors may find these reports to be of special interest too. Therefore, we will make each of these reports available for purchase for $30 a piece. They are written in English and analyze each of these markets from the perspective of their long- and intermediate-term cycles, as well as citing their correlations to planetary cycles in effect in 2020, such as the history of the three major synodic cycles that will unfold next year.
If you are interested in ordering either of these three special reports on the 2020 outlook for the Nikkei, Shanghai Composite, or German DAX, please visit our Special Annual Report shop.
Note 3 : March 11, 25, and April 1: LEARN ABOUT FUTURES ! See below for more information
Note 4 : The ICR (International Cycles Reports) from MMA was issued last week. The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2020. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2020 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2020. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also available in these languages :
Italiano : at
https://ilmiolibro.kataweb.it/utenti/79533/market-timing
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
March 11, 25, and April 1 : LEARN ABOUT FUTURES ! We are hosting a three-part course over a 4-week period, 2 hours each class via video conference. At first, we were going to schedule it on Sundays, but this will interfere with the national collegiate basketball tournaments (I am a big college basketball fan), so we are moving it to Wednesdays starting March 11, at 7 PM EST (or EDST). The objective of this 3-part course would be to instruct attendees about trading futures, or ETF's that reflect futures' prices, as given in each MMA subscription report. The class would be structured with the first hour of introduction and review of the current markets and trading opportunities that are setting up, especially during the important March 20-April 7 critical reversal zone. The second half of each 2-hour class will be Q&A. The cost for these three classes would be $295. If you are interested, please visit TRADING WITH MMA MARKETING TIMING METHODS or let us know if you are interested in such a series of classes by contacting customerservice@mmacycles.com. Attendance will be limited to 30 students. If you can't make the live presentation, video recordings of each class will be available for those who enroll in the course.
September 9-14, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 Conference on "Reimagining the Future". The largest and most exciting international astrological conference taking place in 2020. With a faculty of over 100 of the world's top astrologers from 25 different countries, and very dynamic tracks on Financial Astrology, Mundane and Political Astrology, and other topics, this is an event you will not want to miss. On Wednesday, September 9, Ray Merriman will be conducting a 4-hour workshop on ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS. This course will provide research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial market timing in stock markets, precious metals, and Bitcoin. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!
Saturday, September 12 - 2020, I will be presenting a lecture on "The Times, They Are a Changin' - The Political, Economic, and Monetary Revolution". It's not just the convergence of the 20-, 200-, and 800-year long-term Jupiter/Saturn cycles. It is also Saturn in Aquarius, squaring its ruler, Uranus, in Taurus. The convergence of the Jupiter/Saturn cycle in air sign Aquarius symbolizes the dawn of a new socio-economic-political era; the waning Saturn/Uranus square, the demise of an older order. What does this bode for financial markets of the world, and what can you do? We will discuss that in this lecture.
Sign up by January 19 and receive a pre-registration special discount price of under $400 for the Main Conference. A discount for pre- and post-conference workshops is also in effect until January 19. To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed !
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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