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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 8 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

U.S. equity markets finished in record territory Friday after Congress paved the way for President Biden's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 aid package and the jobs report showed a drop in the unemployment rate. Stocks rose despite a ho-hum jobs report with the addition of  49,000 jobs in January as the unemployment rate fell to 6.3%, according to the Labor Department. In Washington, the upper chamber of Congress early Friday morning voted 51-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tie-breaking vote, to adopt a budget resolution for coronavirus relief. Later on Friday, the measure was passed by the House. - Jonathan Garber, "S&P 500, NASDAQ Hit Records as Congress Nears $1.9T Coronavirus Relief", www.foxbusiness.com, February 5, 2021.

Like Punxsutawney Phil on Groundhog Day 2021, the "Trickster" - Mercury retrograde - was front and center last week. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow on Tuesday, February 2, and returned to his burrow in the ground and thus forecasting six more weeks of winter. The "Trickster" also began its reversal through the cosmos last weekend, on January 30. Just before Mercury's backwardation began, world equity markets experienced their most bearish technical ending to a week in since late October. That bearish setup on Friday, January 29, was abruptly negated on Monday, February 1, as world stock indices and other financial markets quickly reversed and returned to their former trends. It was like Groundhog Day all over again, just one day ahead of schedule.

When it is Mercury's time to turn retrograde, matters often appear to go backwards and upside down. This happens every three months for a period lasting three weeks (January 30-February 20). It affects communications on all levels. And yes, we know astrologers hate it when Mercury retrograde is blamed for anything and everything. But let's be clear : it's not causal. But it is correlative and occurs often enough to warrant attention if you are a trader employing market timing studies. It just so happens that is our niche, our specialty because market timing provides that extra edge that all traders seek. What astrology doesn't provide is the ability or initiative to act upon this knowledge. That is where free will comes in, and combined with the correlation to cosmic phenomena, the outcome of a matter is determined.

In any event, the prior week (January 29) ended very bearish with the steepest decline in three months. But all those losses were recovered with strong rallies by the end of last week, which was very bullish, negating the bearishness of the previous week. Welcome to another live episode of Mercury the Trickster turned retrograde. It should be interesting as Mercury retrograde continues this month, and we approach the first passage of Saturn square Uranus, the Renegade, on February 17. Flip-flops and sudden, unexpected events and changes of direction become the norm.

In the U.S., the S&P and NASDAQ made new all-time highs on Friday, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average just missed. In Europe, the German DAX came within17 points of a new all-time high, but the other indices were still well below their yearly highs. In Asia and the Pacific Rim. India's NIFTY index made a new all-time high, and Australia's ASX rallied to its highest mark since the pandemic low of last March, but the other indices remained well below their highs of January 14-25. Thus, bearish divergences still persist in several regions of the world. Does this mean it is time to apply the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" axiom now that the next U.S. stimulus blowout is about to be enacted ? Could be. It should provide new ammunition for the WallStreetBets crowd. Hedgers beware - or be prepared.

It was a noteworthy week in precious metals, too. Silver soared to 30.35, its highest mark since February 13, 2013. This rally was the "next big thing" recommended by the WallStreetBets group that banded together on the Reddit platform and then traded on the Robinhood platform the prior week to drive GameStop prices to the sky, causing great pain to the professional hedging community as they were caught off guard with their short positions. The hedgers got even last week and drove GameStop sharply down, proving once again the old adage that "You can make a small fortune in trading, but it usually follows starting with a larger fortune". But back to the metals. As Silver soared above $30/ounce, Gold fell below $1800/ounce, testing its lows of late November. Within the next three days, Silver fell nearly 15%, but the rallies may not be over yet, with more stimulus checks on the way. They will surely find their way into the hands of the new class of speculators bent on taking it to the professional trading establishment (Saturn squared by Uranus).

In other markets, Crude Oil rallied to its highest mark in over a year. Bitcoin came back and is approaching 40,000 again. Corn soared to 558, its highest level in almost eight years. It is a wild time, every bit as crazy as expected given that we are in the midst of three outer planet hard aspects, December through February, and now with Mercury retrograde in Aquarius added to the cosmic mix.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts:

There is a long history of high budget deficits being associated with inflation.maintaining stimulus longer than needed usually creates costs that go beyond the short-term federal balance sheet. Michael D. Bordo and Mickey D. Levy, "The Short March Back to Inflation", Wall Street Journal, February 4, 2021.

This book is an invitation to let go of knowledge and opinions that are no longer serving you well and to anchor your sense of self in flexibility rather than consistency". - Adam Grant from his book "Think Again", as reviewed by Philip Delves Broughton, Wall Street Journal, February 5, 2021.

It's the mid-late 1970's shaping up all over again. That was the last time the 45-year Saturn/Uranus waning square occurred. Richard Nixon had recently resigned as the U.S. President, rather than submitting himself to impeachment. Jimmy Carter and the Democrats defeated the Republicans to take over the Executive branch of the U.S. government. Inflation was just about to explode before Carter's one-term stint would end. The stock market made a 4-year high as his term began, but within 18 months, it had about 25%. By the time of the election season in 1980, it was even slightly lower. History could repeat. Joe Biden seems a lot like Jimmy Carter to me, the kind of congenial person you could sit and chat with on the porch of your home at the end of a long day.

Yet, as students of geocosmic studies, we are also aware that under Saturn square Uranus, nothing goes as expected or planned. Government programs and financial markets are all subject to disruptions and changes this year. Conflicts between government rules and regulations versus free markets and the continuing subsummation of small companies by large tech companies, are likely to clash. That is the nature of Saturn (plans and goals) in a hard aspect to Uranus (sudden, unforeseen events or consequences to one's actions). It occurs in three passages between February 17 and December 24, 2021. It will be the underlying theme of our Forecast 2021 Webinar taking place next week. It is a year where it will be advisable to be flexible in your thoughts, opinions, goals, and expectations lest you risk sudden shocks due to being overly rigid. Uranus shatters the glass of Saturn's structures and systems. That which rises sharply can fall even more sharply without much warning.

Shorter-term, we may get another taste of the Saturn/Uranus dynamic this week as Venus will conjoin Jupiter and Saturn and square Uranus, February 6-11. Right in the middle of this time band is the midpoint of Mercury retrograde (February 9-10), another "change" indicator. We just came out of a similar cosmic configuration January 20-29, when both the Sun and Mars formed similar hard aspects to Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus. Get ready for round two.

It won't end there. The following week finds the Saturn/Uranus square occurring February 17. Transiting Mars will next conjoin the Sun/Mercury in the New York Stock Exchange's founding chart (May 17, 1792), February 19-26. This will be followed by transiting Jupiter in opposition to the NYSE's founding Uranus on February 21, allowing an orb of correlation of +/- 1 week. The Ides of March (settlement of debts) comes about a month early for the stock market and perhaps the U.S. government, given that the trial of the second impeachment of former President Donald Trump begins now.

With Mercury retrograde, do not be surprised if the Trump defense centers around election fraud. It is likely to be resurrected (Mercury retrograde). At some point, people will likely begin to realize that life isn't always fair, that some people cheat, and the greatest exploiter of that truism was probably none other than the former President himself. It will soon be time to move on, for both the Democrats regarding the 2016 election and the Republicans regarding the 2020 election. The Independents, which represent the largest voting bloc in the U.S. today, will patiently wait, hoping that the two parties do not destroy one another and the foundation which has become known as the American experience in democracy.

I think that by the Vernal equinox on March 20, 2021, or shortly thereafter, the light at the end of the tunnel will become visible, and Phil the groundhog will be right. A new day, a new season, will begin and both the nation and the world can experience a new sense of optimism. The drama of the past two elections may finally be over. And the arc of COVID-19 may start receding. It's already showing signs of improvement in the latest data figures for the U.S. So, let's visualize that it will continue, and we can have a very enjoyable spring and summer with one another. It is possible if we exhibit care, concern, and respect for one another. Follow the guidelines that you know work. That is the antidote for the Saturn/Uranus tendency to suffer from violating the guidelines that work. We are almost there.

Longer-Term thoughts :


To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : ONLY ONE MORE WEEK ! February 14, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FORECAST 2021 WORLD WEBINAR will take place on Sunday, February 14, 2021, 2:00 PM EST (that's 11:00 AM PST, 7 PM, GMT, 8 PM CET. 1 AM Mumbai, 4 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2021 Webinar. This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2021 book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2020. The focus will be on the Saturn/Uranus squares of 2021 and their relationship to national and international politics, economy, and financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, the Euro, and U.S. Dollar currency. Under Saturn/Uranus, things do not usually go as expected. It is shaping up to be "The Year of the Contrarian". Cost is $55.00 , and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information and registration, go to https://www.mmacycles.com/product/forecast-2021-webinar/ or www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars> Forecast 2021 Webinar.

             Note 2 : The  Forecast 2021 Book  is now out and reviews are coming in. In fact, the e-Book English version has now been out for three weeks. Those who ordered prior to December 7 should be receiving the book this week if you live in the U.S. We do not know how long mail service will take outside of the U.S., but the books are on their way now.

If you have not ordered this year's book and want a printed copy, you are advised to order ASAP. They will sell out this year. There is only one printing of copies based on preordered copies plus 20%. That number will go fast because this week we received an unexpected order from Euro for 25% of our additional copies after the printing was completed. Once they sell out, you may be able to get used copies on Amazon for $100-150. The cost will our supplies last is $55.00 plus postage for the print edition (no postage, of course, for the e-Book edition, and they will remain available indefinitely). There is a discount for those who order both the print and e-Book editions together, or for those who order the "Bundle" of Forecast 2021 and "Trends for the 12 Signs 2021".

"I have started reading some pages of Ray's book getting better every year like an old French wine". A.B. long-term subscriber and diplomat from France after receiving the eBook last week.

If anyone has comments or reviews they would like share, please feel free to send them into us. We will print the ones we find most interesting, sincere, and insightful (and positive, of course).

In addition to this year's Forecast book, we are offering a separate publication for those who enjoy the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. It is titled " Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021", and written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Ray Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Ray beforehand. We will follow that same format for the Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021 book. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the  Forecast 2021 Book.

This year's printed and/or e-Book versions of Forecast 2021 and Trends for 2021 will also be available in these languages :

German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese : https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             Note 3 : THE MERRIMAN MARKET TIMING ACADEMY (MMTA) is now filled. There are no openings left as we begin the two-year program of courses starting January 16, 2021! The next 2-year course will be offered in two years. If you are interested in being placed on a waiting list in the event of any cancellations, let us know. A waiting list has now started.

To learn more about MMTA, check out the 45-minute video discussion with Raymond Merriman and Gianni Di Poce. Click here.For more information on registration and requirements for enrollment, please visit our MMTA page to learn more about this opportunity to learn market timing the MMA way.

             Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.

             Note 5 : .

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             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2022. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February 14 2021 : The Annual MMA Forecast 2021 Webinar will take place on Sunday, February 14, 2021, 2:00 PM EST (that's 11:00 AM PST, 7 PM, GMT, 8 PM CET. 1 AM Mumbai, 4 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2021 Webinar. This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2021 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2020. The focus will be on the Saturn/Uranus squares of 2021 and their relationship to national and international politics, economy, and financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, the Euro and U.S. Dollar currency. Under Saturn/Uranus, things do not usually go as expected. It is shaping up to be "The Year of the Contrarian". Cost is $55.00 , and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording, following the live event. For more information and registration, go to
https://www.mmacycles.com/product/forecast-2021-webinar/
or www.mmacycles.com , Shop> Webinars> Forecast 2021 Webinar .

            

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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