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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 15 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

"Bitcoin is almost as bs as fiat money". Elon Musk, who just purchased $1.5 billion of Bitcoin and drove the price up towards $50,000.

India's government plans to introduce a bill in the country's lower house that would ban private cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin and create a national cryptocurrency. - Abigail Johnson Hess, "India Might Ban Private Cryptocurrencies Like Bitcoin", January 30, 2021, www.cnbc.com.

It may be Mercury retrograde, but the Trickster is showing no sign that the bull market in stocks or Bitcoin is letting up.

Global equity markets soared again last week, with many making new all-time or multi-year highs. These include stock markets in the Netherlands, Germany, China, Japan, India, and the U.S. Most indices made their highs between Monday and Thursday, February 8-11, as Venus conjoined Jupiter and with the new moon in Aquarius. In fact, Venus was involved in three major aspects last week, including its conjunction with Saturn (February 6) and square Uranus (February 7). But neither that Venusian combination, or Mercury retrograde, or the approaching Saturn/Uranus waning square on February 17 have shown any sign of a reversal yet. Maybe it's waiting for the end of Mercury retrograde or other geocosmic combinations unfolding next week (see section on "short-term geocosmics"). Or perhaps it is waiting for the end of fiscal stimulus programs and monetary easing policies. If so, this may take a while.

Crude Oil enjoyed another bullish week, testing 60.00 for the first time since January 8, 2020. Corn prices also soared to 574 last week, their highest level since June 2013. But the real star was Bitcoin, which made another new all-time high, nearing 50,000 on Friday's intraday high.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts:

Mercury retrograde ends this week (February 20-21) as the first of three passes of the Saturn/Uranus waning square takes place. Let's discuss Mercury retrograde within the context of today's stock market. Oftentimes financial markets, like stock indices, will form a major or primary cycle (high or low) within three trading days of Mercury turning retrograde. When they don't, then the trend of that market usually continues until the midpoint of Mercury retrograde, +/- 2 trading days. In the present case, most world stock indices formed a major or primary cycle trough on the Friday or Monday surrounding Mercury's retrograde of Saturday, January 30, so there was no cyclical reversal near the retrograde midpoint, which was February 9-10. However, like most retrograde planets, when a short- or intermediate-term counter-trend begins near the time of the retrograde, it will often end that counter-trend move within three trading days of when it turns direct. In the current case, that means within three trading days of next weekend, February 20-21, depending on the time zone (the U.S. will observe the station on February 20, whereas Europe and Asia will observe it the next day).

This period surrounding the direct station of this Mercury period is also important for other reasons. The first is that it is so close to the first passage of the Saturn/Uranus waning square on February 17. Second, it will be one day before Venus forms a square with Mars (February 19), which is in Taurus, its detriment sign, but it is also the dispositor of Venus, which rules Taurus. Venus square Mars in fixed signs indicates a time when compromise is challenging to procure. This aspect is often given more toward disagreements and disputes where both sides lock-in and refuse to budge, thinking they are right, and the other side is wrong. It can be terribly judgmental and harmful to a climate for open and constructive discussion. Third, this Venus/Mars square make a direct hit to the NYSE founding chart (May 17, 1792). Transiting Mars will conjoin the NYSE Mercury in Taurus, and transiting Venus will conjoin the NYSE in Aquarius. These three factors can manifest as a sudden reversal in U.S. stock markets. Frequently, however, these movements are short-lasting, except in the case of Saturn/Uranus, which can have longer-term implications. With Uranus and Mars in Taurus, and due to the fact that Uranus has an association with digital matters and Taurus (and Venus) rules currencies, further extreme Bitcoin moves may be highlighted.

Longer-Term thoughts :

The Federal Reserve will continue bolstering the U.S. economy through low interest rates and hefty asset purchases, Chairman Powell said Wednesday. The Fed is unlikely to "even think about withdrawing policy support" by raising rates or reducing its bond purchases for the foreseeable future, Mr. Powell said. - Paul Kiernan, "Powell Says Fed Will Keep Up Its Support", Wall Street Journal, Economy, February 10, 2020.

Last week he (Biden) made a show of listening at the White House to 10 GOP Senators who made an initial counteroffer of 618 billion (to Biden's proposal of $1.9 trillion). Mr. Biden and Democrats on Capitol Hill then ignored the GOP and rammed a budget resolution for the $1.9 trillion through the Senate and House on a partisan vote. So much for bipartisanship. "Biden Goes Party Line on $1.9 Trillion", Wall Street Journal "Review and Outlook", February 8, 2021.

If you are scratching your head and wondering how stock markets can keep going higher and higher, the quotes above explain why. This never-ending market intervention or "financial engineering" by the Fed, which has been going on for 13 years (since Pluto entered Capricorn in 2008), assures there will be plenty of liquidity to keep driving markets higher. And the increasing addiction to more spending and stimulus programs by the U.S. and world governments just increases this liquidity situation (plus enhances the chances of politicians being re-elected). All that money has to go somewhere, and much of it will go into the pet projects of states and districts of several congressional members, which are known as earmarks or pork barrel personal projects. Much will also end up in stocks. This will continue indefinitely, or as long as it works.

Is it truly this easy to artificially inflate stock prices and equity markets? Are there really no consequences or disruptions to "ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy)" and "QE (Quantitative Easing) infinity" policies, except in rare cases of something like a pandemic? Maybe, as playwriter and well-known astrologer Michael Lutin projected in 2008, we are living in "Plutopia", a reference to the 16-year passage of Pluto in Capricorn, 2008-2024. It is not exactly "utopia" on any other level than inflated financial assets.

It will be interesting to see how these seemingly never-ending monetary easing and fiscal stimulus policies affect equity markets (and the U.S. Dollar) as we come to the first of three passes of the Saturn/Uranus waning square aspect this week on February 17. Two more passages will follow until they start to separate after December 24.

Under Saturn square Uranus, nothing goes as expected. People change their minds, go against their words, and policies abruptly change. Think of the concept of "unity and bipartisanship" promised during the campaign season. Then look at the actions of the past two weeks under the new administration, which has been anything but "unity and bipartisanship". You can't have the former without the latter. It is the actions that matter, and there is already a disconnect at the executive level after less than one month in power.

If not conscious and careful, and if not honest and truthful with one's words, and consistent in one's actions in accordance with those words, the ultimate result of Saturn square Uranus for the masses will be a disappointment. Under a Saturn/Uranus transit, populations will hold their leaders accountable to "walk their talk", not just "talk the talk". If leaders (or anyone) cannot back their words with appropriate actions, then one must expect the unexpected in the form of rebellion and activism (Uranus at work). The public will not be quiet or silenced, not with Saturn in Aquarius (masses) square Uranus (also the masses), nor with Pluto still in Capricorn (reform). The solution is as obvious as the problem. That is, mean what you say and say what you mean, especially with such lofty and welcomed concepts as "unity" and "willingness to listen to the other side". It can be done. It is simply a choice - a choice to connect action to one's words. The decision to do so, or not, will greatly affect the way that Saturn square Uranus will manifest this year.

Following through on one's promises may also impact financial markets, which are prone to reversals of long-term trends under Saturn/Uranus quarter cycles. In fact, the 11.25-year Saturn/Uranus quarter cycle has arguably the most powerful correlation of all planetary combinations to sudden and unexpected reversals in financial markets throughout history, especially from all-time highs. The last two instances were in 1999-2000 and 2008-2009. This planetary combination was also present just before and during the two greatest depressions in U.S. history: 1834-1842 and 1929-1932 (90 years apart). It arrives again this week. Let's hope this cyclical correlation to financial, social, and political upheaval will be negated in 2021 by leaders from all walks of life striving to avoid hypocrisy instead of choosing to act with integrity and work together with an eye towards compromise and inclusion. Unity depends on it.


To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : This is IT ! Sunday, February 14, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FORECAST 2021 WORLD WEBINAR will take place on Sunday, February 14, 2021, 2:00 PM EST (that's 11:00 AM PST, 7 PM, GMT, 8 PM CET. 1 AM Mumbai, 4 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2021 Webinar. This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2021 book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2020. The focus will be on the Saturn/Uranus squares of 2021 and their relationship to national and international politics, economy, and financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, the Euro, and U.S. Dollar currency. Under Saturn/Uranus, things do not usually go as expected. It is shaping up to be "The Year of the Contrarian". Cost is $55.00 , and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information and registration, go to https://www.mmacycles.com/product/forecast-2021-webinar/ or www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars> Forecast 2021 Webinar.

             Note 2 : The  Forecast 2021 Book  is now out and reviews are coming in. In fact, the e-Book English version has now been out for three weeks. Those who ordered prior to December 7 should be receiving the book this week if you live in the U.S. We do not know how long mail service will take outside of the U.S., but the books are on their way now.

If you have not ordered this year's book and want a printed copy, you are advised to order ASAP. They will sell out this year. There is only one printing of copies based on preordered copies plus 20%. That number will go fast because this week we received an unexpected order from Euro for 25% of our additional copies after the printing was completed. Once they sell out, you may be able to get used copies on Amazon for $100-150. The cost will our supplies last is $55.00 plus postage for the print edition (no postage, of course, for the e-Book edition, and they will remain available indefinitely). There is a discount for those who order both the print and e-Book editions together, or for those who order the "Bundle" of Forecast 2021 and "Trends for the 12 Signs 2021".

"I have started reading some pages of Ray's book getting better every year like an old French wine". A.B. long-term subscriber and diplomat from France after receiving the eBook last week.

If anyone has comments or reviews they would like share, please feel free to send them into us. We will print the ones we find most interesting, sincere, and insightful (and positive, of course).

In addition to this year's Forecast book, we are offering a separate publication for those who enjoy the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. It is titled " Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021", and written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Ray Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Ray beforehand. We will follow that same format for the Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021 book. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the  Forecast 2021 Book.

This year's printed and/or e-Book versions of Forecast 2021 and Trends for 2021 will also be available in these languages :

German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese : https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             Note 3 : THE MERRIMAN MARKET TIMING ACADEMY (MMTA) is now filled. There are no openings left as we begin the two-year program of courses starting January 16, 2021! The next 2-year course will be offered in two years. If you are interested in being placed on a waiting list in the event of any cancellations, let us know. A waiting list has now started.

To learn more about MMTA, check out the 45-minute video discussion with Raymond Merriman and Gianni Di Poce. Click here.For more information on registration and requirements for enrollment, please visit our MMTA page to learn more about this opportunity to learn market timing the MMA way.

             Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.

             Note 5 : .

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             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2022. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             February 14 2021 : The Annual MMA Forecast 2021 Webinar will take place on Sunday, February 14, 2021, 2:00 PM EST (that's 11:00 AM PST, 7 PM, GMT, 8 PM CET. 1 AM Mumbai, 4 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2021 Webinar. This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2021 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2020. The focus will be on the Saturn/Uranus squares of 2021 and their relationship to national and international politics, economy, and financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, the Euro and U.S. Dollar currency. Under Saturn/Uranus, things do not usually go as expected. It is shaping up to be "The Year of the Contrarian". Cost is $55.00 , and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording, following the live event. For more information and registration, go to
https://www.mmacycles.com/product/forecast-2021-webinar/
or www.mmacycles.com , Shop> Webinars> Forecast 2021 Webinar .

             March 27, 2021 : MMTA Course 2 begins ! The subject of this course will be "The Correlation of Long-Term Market Cycles to Geocosmic Studies". Cost is $1800 and includes weekly classes from 1 - 3 PM, Eastern Time, every Saturday, for seven weeks, via Zoom. Registration details will be announced shortly. a

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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