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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 08 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
The U.S. economy added 379,000 jobs in February, evidence the labor market's recovery is gaining steam nearly one year into the pandemic as coronavirus caseloads fall nationwide and many states ease restrictions on business activity. The unemployment rate fell slightly to 6.2% - well below the April peak of 14.7%, but about twice the pre-crisis level, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report, released Friday. Economists surveyed by Refinitiv expected the report to show that unemployment remained unchanged at 6.3% and the economy added 182,000 jobs. - Megan Henney, "February Jobs Growth Surges Above Expectations", www.foxbusness.com, March 5, 2021.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped Friday after the February jobs report topped expectations, sending the benchmark yield to its highest level this year. The prospect for strong economic growth and budding concerns about inflation have pushed down the prices for bonds. The climb in Treasury yields has led some to speculate that the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy to hold down parts of the yield curve or even ease up on its dovish stance, but so far, the central bank has not shown a willingness to alter course. - Maggie Fitzgerald, Vikki MeKeever, "10-Year Treasury Yield Jumps to Yearly High 1.62% After Strong Jobs Report", www.cnbc.com, March 5, 2021.
This was a wild week in world equity markets. In fact, it was quite brutal for short-term aggressive traders when you look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the past seven days. The prior week ended with the DJIA down 559 and 469 points on Thursday and Friday, February 25-26. All technical and chart pattern indicators looked very bearish coming into March. But then Fed Chair Jerome Powell made a statement that the Fed is quite comfortable with inflation continuing to rise even in light of the collapse in long-term Treasury prices. The market was up 603 points on that news. But then the DJIA turned down -144, -121, and -345 points over the next three days, looking very weak again going into Friday's job's report.
However, the payroll reports were much stronger than expected, and the DJIA reversed again. It was up 572 points on Friday, March 5. Everyone would be wise to remember two things. First, Fed Chair Powell is not an economist. He is a lawyer. Understanding the effect of artificially engineering a zero-interest policy for an indefinite period of time has consequences, such as a fear of inflation. Some basic economic principles cannot be arbitrated to an outcome desired through oral argument.
Second, keep in mind that this schizophrenic market activity is happening shortly after the first passage of the Saturn/Uranus square on February 17, within one day of many world stock indices making new all-time or multi-year highs. Under the Saturn/Uranus square, nothing goes as expected. One may expect sudden surprises and the unexpected through the remainder of 2021.
I am not sure anyone expected a sudden rise in interest rates going into 2021, although it does fit the Saturn/Pluto cycle very well as described in our Forecast 2021 book. That it would cause equity markets to hemorrhage at sudden intervals due to a concern that inflation might occur stronger than the Fed chair thinks was equally unanticipated. I am also not sure that this plunge in Treasuries is not also the result of a large nation selling its inventory of U.S. Treasuries. No one is talking about that or asking about it publicly. And the Fed Chair would understandably not want to broach the topic. But it seems reasonable that someone has to be selling aggressively to cause a disruption of this magnitude in the Treasury market, which then disrupts currency, metals, and equity markets.
The prior week's column made a note of the fact that the DJIA and other world indices were falling into the full moon of February 27. The new moon, due two weeks later on March 13, would be in Pisces conjunct Venus and Neptune. We reported that with this new moon in Pisces combination approaching on March 13, " . we are about to enter another period of delusionary drama. Under Neptune and Pisces, euphoria may strike again, and stocks start to soar for no apparent reason - at least none that can be verified or makes any sense. But one also has to realize what happens when a Neptune and Pisces-highlighted period isn't euphoric. What is the opposite of euphoria and wishful thinking when reality strikes ? It's hysteria and panic". Maybe we should have pointed out that Pisces is one of the dual signs in astrology (so is Gemini). As such, it can seamlessly exhibit contrary expressions in quick order. In this case, the equity markets can flip back and forth from euphoria to hysteria. In trading and chiropractic communities, this type of behavior pertains to a concept known as "whiplash". Lawyers know about this.
In addition to euphoria and hysteria, Neptune and Pisces can also be associated with uncertainty and confusion. Equity markets were certainly uncertain last week. In fact, they have been quite uncertain since February 17 when the Saturn/Uranus square shook markets and coincided with many reversals down from all-time or multi-year highs. In Europe, the Netherlands AEX index tested 700 on February 16, very close to its all-time high of September 2000 at 703. It has been trending down ever since. But in Germany, the DAX rallied to another new all-time high last week, March 3. The Zurich SMI remains well below its multi-year high of 11,014 made on January 25. And in the UK, the London FTSE is doing nothing of any interest (no highs or lows as of late).
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the stock markets of Japan, India, China, and Hong Kong all made multi-year highs within one day of the Saturn/Uranus square on February 18. The ASX of Australia also posted its highest mark since the crash of last March 2020, exactly on February 17, 2021. But each of these indices has fallen substantially since then.
In the U.S., the S&P and NASDAQ made their all-time highs on February 16, and the DJIA made its peak on February 24, for a case of intermarket bearish divergence. Each dropped steadily into lows late last week and then rallied sharply on Friday following the jobs report. Maybe we will see another round of euphoria yet going into the new moon of March 13, which happens to be the same day that the Mercury retrograde shadow period ends. If not, maybe we will see panic and hysteria. With so much Neptune and Pisces, no one can be confident of anything right now, although many may make such claims. When Pisces is highlighted, matters such as facts, truth, and accuracy are often hidden. This is not to imply Pisces people are this way (for indeed they are not), only that the world and its inhabitants seem challenged by these virtues during these times. So, our assignment this week is to locate the truth and get the facts before we act. Good luck.
But back to markets. Last week was also difficult for currencies and precious metals, which fell rather hard. Gold dropped to 1683 on Friday, its lowest mark since June 8, 2020. The Dollar/Yen rallied to 108.63 on Friday, its highest level since June 8, 2020. W.D. Gann would like that, as Monday, March 8, is exactly nine months later. Crude Oil soared last week to 66.42, its highest mark since April 24, 2019. This fits with Pisces and Neptune very well. And finally, Bitcoin had an "inside week", following its all-time high of February 22 at 58,445 and its low of 43,021 on February 28.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts:
We will be brief here. It is all about the new moon conjunct Venus and Neptune in Pisces next weekend, March 13. That is a strong signature for financial market cycles and their correlation to geocosmic studies. Pay special attention to Crude Oil late this week and early the week after.
All of this Pisces energy may not be conducive to position trading. However, it is good for romance and the arts. It is a favorable time to explore your imagination and tap into your creative potent ial. Enjoy the next two weeks and seek out situations that are free of stress.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce , MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman . This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here .
Note 2 : The Forecast 2021 Book is now out and reviews are coming in. In fact, the e-Book English version has now been out for three weeks. Those who ordered prior to December 7 should be receiving the book this week if you live in the U.S. We do not know how long mail service will take outside of the U.S., but the books are on their way now.
If you have not ordered this year's book and want a printed copy, you are advised to order ASAP. They will sell out this year. There is only one printing of copies based on preordered copies plus 20%. That number will go fast because this week we received an unexpected order from Euro for 25% of our additional copies after the printing was completed. Once they sell out, you may be able to get used copies on Amazon for $100-150. The cost will our supplies last is $55.00 plus postage for the print edition (no postage, of course, for the e-Book edition, and they will remain available indefinitely). There is a discount for those who order both the print and e-Book editions together, or for those who order the "Bundle" of Forecast 2021 and "Trends for the 12 Signs 2021".
"I have started reading some pages of Ray's book getting better every year like an old French wine". A.B. long-term subscriber and diplomat from France after receiving the eBook last week.
If anyone has comments or reviews they would like share, please feel free to send them into us. We will print the ones we find most interesting, sincere, and insightful (and positive, of course).
In addition to this year's Forecast book, we are offering a separate publication for those who enjoy the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. It is titled " Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021", and written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Ray Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Ray beforehand. We will follow that same format for the Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021 book. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the Forecast 2021 Book.
This year's printed and/or e-Book versions of Forecast 2021 and Trends for 2021 will also be available in these languages :
German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
Note 3 : MMTA Course 2 will begin April 3! The subject of this course will be "The Correlation of Long-Term Market Cycles to Geocosmic Studies". This course is also open to anyone who simply wants to learn the MMA method of determining the time bands for long and intermediate-term cycle highs and lows related to the overlapping of market cycles and longer-term planetary cycles (the correlation is impressive). The cost for this valuable investment timing Course 2 is $1800 and includes 6-7 classes from 1 -3:30 PM, Eastern Time, every Saturday, for six-seven weeks, via Zoom. A recording of each plus the workbook, plus the slides from each class, are provided to those who sign up. Registration is now open ( Click here ). Several markets will be studied, with most emphasis upon the correlation between longer-term planetary cycles and long-term market cycles in stock indices and precious metals. .
Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.
Note 5 : .
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Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2022. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
March 27, 2021 : MMTA Course 2 begins ! The subject of this course will be "The Correlation of Long-Term Market Cycles to Geocosmic Studies". Cost is $1800 and includes weekly classes from 1 - 3 PM, Eastern Time, every Saturday, for seven weeks, via Zoom. Registration details will be announced shortly. a
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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