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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 15 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

President Joe Biden signed the $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package on Thursday afternoon. The plan, his top priority as president, sends direct payments of up to $1,400, extends a $300 per week unemployment insurance supplement, expands the child tax credit and puts funds into vaccine distribution. Democrats passed the bill in Congress without a Republican vote through the budget reconciliation process. - Jacob Pramuk, "Biden Signs $1.9 Trillion Covid Relief Bill, Clearing Way for Stimulus Checks, Vaccine Aid", www.cnbc.com, March 11, 2021.

Soon after I went to work in institutional sales at Montgomery Securities, in the early 80's, our managing partner brought in a consultant to instruct us on macro considerations affecting markets. The most important thing, he said, is that the key determinant of constructing an investment strategy is to assess the liquidity cycle. If liquidity is improving you should be looking to go long something. If liquidity is contracting you should look to be short something. Len Oppenheim, "Observations From the Middle End", March 7, 2021.

And so it was last week as the U.S. stock market - and several other world stock indices (not including the NASDAQ) - soared to new or multi-year highs, following the passage of yet another huge stimulus relief package by the U.S. Congress. It feels really good to be getting all this free money in the form of stimulus checks, increased unemployment payouts, and Payroll Protection Loan Forgiveness Programs. And this is just to name just a few of the giveaways compliments of our U.S. government's decision on how to handle all the revenues we pay to the U.S Treasury in the form of our tax payments. They obviously know better than us on how to spend our hard-earned money they receive through taxing our income.

This extravagant spending package is being passed as we head into the new moon this weekend in Pisces that conjoins both Venus and Neptune. As discussed in this column two weeks ago, following the sharp stock market decline into the full moon of February 26, the Pisces new moon of March 13 looks like another case of "irrational exuberance", or delusionary euphoria". If so, this might be a time to "buy the rumor (leading into it) and sell the fact (now that it has passed)". The liquidity cycle continues to expand and explode, and the next step is the realization that the treasury (debt) market may be spiraling out of control (see "Short-Term Geocosmics" below).

Despite all this money being given out and the rally to new (or close-to-new) highs last week, world equity markets continue to flash a host of intermarket bearish divergence signals from their respective highs formed within one day of the Saturn/Uranus square of February 17. In Europe, the German DAX index soared to a new all-time high of 14,595 on Thursday, March 11, as the Sun conjoined Neptune in Pisces, the center of this romantic but delusionary geocosmic set up of March 11-14. The Netherlands AEX also made a high then, but it was lower than its 20-year high made on February 16. Neither the London FTSE nor Zurich SMI could exceed their recent highs last week either.

The bearish divergence was even more striking in the U.S., where the DJIA made a new all-time high on Friday, March 12, but the NASDAQ Composite remains far below its all-time high of February 16. The S&P nearby futures came very close to making a new all-time high on Thursday, March 11, but failed by less than a point from its current all-time high of February 16. This is yet another example of bearish divergence, but it could be negated if the S&P rallies smartly next week.

In Asia and the Far East, the equity markets we follow rallied, yet all remain well below their multi-year highs of February 16-18.

It wasn't only equity markets that benefited from this new spending spree of the U.S. Congress. Crude Oil soared to a new 2-year high on Monday, March 8. Bitcoin is back up, near its all-time high of just over 58,000 last month after falling 26% in between. The Dollar rallied to its highest level against the Japanese Yen since the pandemic crisis of one year ago. But Gold fell to its lowest level in nine months last Monday, March 8. And then heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (March 7-18) kicked in as Gold and Silver also staged impressive rallies late into this last week.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts:

Surging bond yields sent technology shares sliding into correction territory at one point, and there could be an even more severe sell-off ahead if rates keep going higher, according to Ned Davis Research. - Yun Li, "A 2% 10-Year Yield Could Knock 20% Off Tech Stocks, Ned Davis Research Calculates", www.cnbc.com, March 12, 2021.

Now what ? What happens when the euphoria of the new moon in Pisces conjunct Venus, and Neptune, starts to wear off after this weekend ? What happens when heliocentric Mercury moves out of "the big spender" sign of Sagittarius into Capricorn, the sign of sobriety that demands accountability, as its ruler Saturn continues its year-long, in-and-out waning square with the unpredictable and disruptive Uranus ? The transition from optimism to realism is scheduled to begin this week. In April, we find Venus touching off the Saturn/Uranus square (April 23), followed by the Sun doing the same in the April 30 through the first week of May. The second passage of the Saturn/Uranus waning square will then occur on June 14.

Still, on many levels, matters look encouraging. The COVID-19 pandemic is waning, at least here in the U.S., and right on time as forecasted in this column and the Forecast 2021 Book . The peak was projected to be February 2021 +/- 3 months. Progress on the vaccination program has accelerated. Originally the government called for the majority of Americans to be vaccinated by the end of this year. Then it was moved up to September. Then to July. And this week, the White House Press released announced that every American would be eligible to receive a vaccine by the May 1, putting the nation on a path to get closer to normal by July 4. Furthermore, the CDC has eased their restrictive guidelines on travel for those who do receive the vaccination. Jupiter (freedom and travel) has left Capricorn and is separating from Saturn (restriction in travel). Life is beginning to return to "normal", at least in terms of some human activities. Many schools and businesses that have been closed are readying to re-open. The in-person, live conferences will soon return.

It is all part of the bigger Jupiter and Saturn cycle, where the "Great Mutation" (of December 21, 2020) has finally left the earth element and is now beginning its new air element cycles for the next 140 years. It is truly a "New Aira".

Now, if politicians can reignite a healthy approach to global trade with one another, the world might be able to start paying down all this hugely increased debt it has taken on in the past year. Well, forgive me. I am thinking like a new moon in Pisces conjunct Venus and Neptune. I, too, like the feeling of irrational exuberance. But the Capricorn in me understands that there is a consequence to every decision I make and action that I take. Maybe the government has figured out a way to create hybrid saplings to justify their apparent belief that "money must grow on trees" and won't have to be paid back to the central banks of the world.

Nah. That's too much Neptune and Pisces wishful thinking. But I admit, it's fun to imagine that all of this money is really free and doesn't have to be paid back. Next week I will start to worry about "What was I thinking ?" .

Longer-Term thoughts :

T.
To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.

             Note 2 : The  Forecast 2021 Book  is now out and reviews are coming in. In fact, the e-Book English version has now been out from mid-December. Those who ordered prior to December 7 should be receiving the book this week if you live in the U.S. We do not know how long mail service will take outside of the U.S., but the books are on their way now.

If you have not ordered this year's book and want a printed copy, you are advised to order ASAP. They will sell out this year. There is only one printing of copies based on preordered copies plus 20%. That number will go fast because this week we received an unexpected order from Euro for 25% of our additional copies after the printing was completed. Once they sell out, you may be able to get used copies on Amazon for $100-150. The cost will our supplies last is $55.00 plus postage for the print edition (no postage, of course, for the e-Book edition, and they will remain available indefinitely). There is a discount for those who order both the print and e-Book editions together, or for those who order the "Bundle" of Forecast 2021 and "Trends for the 12 Signs 2021".

"I have started reading some pages of Ray's book getting better every year like an old French wine". A.B. long-term subscriber and diplomat from France after receiving the eBook last week.

If anyone has comments or reviews they would like share, please feel free to send them into us. We will print the ones we find most interesting, sincere, and insightful (and positive, of course).

In addition to this year's Forecast book, we are offering a separate publication for those who enjoy the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. It is titled " Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021", and written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Ray Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Ray beforehand. We will follow that same format for the Trends for the Twelve Signs 2021 book. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the  Forecast 2021 Book.

This year's printed and/or e-Book versions of Forecast 2021 and Trends for 2021 will also be available in these languages :

German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese : https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             Note 3 : MMTA Course 2 will begin April 3! The subject of this course will be "The Correlation of Long-Term Market Cycles to Geocosmic Studies". This course is also open to anyone who simply wants to learn the MMA method of determining the time bands for long and intermediate-term cycle highs and lows related to the overlapping of market cycles and longer-term planetary cycles (the correlation is impressive). The cost for this valuable investment timing Course 2 is $1800 and includes 6-7 classes from 1 -3:30 PM, Eastern Time, every Saturday, for six-seven weeks, via Zoom. A recording of each plus the workbook, plus the slides from each class, are provided to those who sign up. Registration is now open ( Click here ). Several markets will be studied, with most emphasis upon the correlation between longer-term planetary cycles and long-term market cycles in stock indices and precious metals. .

             Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.

             Note 5 : .

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             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             April 3, 2021 : MMTA Course 2 begins ! The subject of this course will be "The Correlation of Long-Term Market Cycles to Geocosmic Studies". There are three new openings available for those who wish to complete the MMTA 2-year program (you will have to view the Course 1 recordings and slides). But Course 2 is also open as a solo to anyone who just wants the information and does not want to take the entire MMTA 2-year program or its tests and research projects with the current class of MMTA students. The cost for this valuable investment timing Course 2 is $1800 and includes 6-7 classes from 1 -3:30 PM, Eastern Time, every Saturday, for six-seven weeks, via Zoom. Registration is now open (Click here). Several markets will be studied, with most emphasis upon the correlation between longer-term planetary cycles and long-term market cycles in stock indices and precious metals.

             MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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