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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 5 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Employers added 916,000 jobs in March and the gains from February were revised higher to 468,000 jobs, the Labor Department said Friday. Economists surveyed by Refinitiv expected the addition of 647,000 jobs. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, ticked down to 6%, its lowest level since the COVID-19 pandemic caused many businesses to at least temporarily close their doors in March of last year. The unemployment rate peaked at a record high of 14.7% in April 2020. - Jonathan Garber, "U.S. Economy Adds 916,000 Jobs in March - The Unemployment Rate Fell to 6%", www/foxbusinessnews.com, April 2, 2021.
Mr. Biden says he wants "other countries to adopt strong minimum taxes on corporations" so nations like Ireland can no longer compete for capital with lower tax rates. Only in Washington would the left punish American employers in the hope that the rest of the world would be as self-destructive".Here Come the Biden Taxes",Opinion Page, Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2021.
Let's do a quick review of what has happened in world financial markets this year, and particularly since the first passage of Saturn/Uranus square on February 17. As a point of reference, keep in mind that the Saturn/Uranus waning square is the most significant and the longest planetary cycle in effect in 2021. It is the 11.25-year quarter cycle (third quarter phase) to the greater 45-year Saturn/Uranus cycle, which will reset when these two planets conjoin again on June 28, 2032. It is this writer's position (backed by actual studies) that the Saturn/Uranus cycle and its quarter cycle phases are the most important of all geocosmic signatures correlating to the culmination of long-term financial market and political cycles.
Starting in Asia and the Pacific Rim, we immediately see the importance of the Saturn/Uranus square aspect of February 17. On that date, or within one day of it, the Australian ASX index made a yearly high at 7207. China's Shanghai Composite also rallied to 3731, its highest level since August 2015. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong rallied to 31,183, its highest mark since March 2018. The Japanese Nikkei Index made a 30-year high of 30,714, and the Nifty Index of India made its all-time high of 15,431. All of these peaks were achieved February 16-18, 2021, as Saturn squared Uranus on February 17.
The performance of the European stock indices was much more erratic than in Asia and Australia. None of the markets we follow topped out on February 17. The German DAX and Netherlands AEX have continued to rally to new all-time highs as of this past week, on April 2, at 710 and 15,110, respectively. The Zurich SMI index rallied to 11,143 on March 26, which is close to its all-time high of 11,270 made on February 20, 2020, one year before. The London FTSE made its most recent high of 6903 on January 7, which was not even a yearly high. The UK is clearly the laggard in Europe, which is interesting because they are the furthest ahead in administering COVID-19 vaccinations. They are even ahead of the U.S. in this matter, whereas Germany, by contrast, is undergoing new lockdown measures along with some other European nations. This fits one of the narratives of Saturn/Uranus, where good news is met with lower stock prices and bad news accompanies rallies.
The U.S. equity markets were very strong last week, with both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P marching to new all-time highs on the last day of the shortened trading week, April 1. The NASDAQ Composite, on the other hand, still finds its all-time high intact as of - guess what ? - February 16, one day before the Saturn/Uranus square. This is important because Uranus rules technology. It has the greatest correspondence to the NASDAQ Composite Index of all the major U.S. indices.
Last week witnessed notable behavior in other financial markets. Agricultural was highlighted, as both Soybeans and Corn made new multi-year highs on April 1 in their nearby contracts. Corn soared to 585/bushel, its highest price since July 2013. Soybeans rallied to 1456, their highest mark since May 2014. Uranus is the planet of extremism, as in extreme price moves and record-breaking prices. Uranus in Taurus, which rules agriculture, so this trend may continue a while longer.
Bitcoin rallied once again to 60,090 on April 2, very close to its all-time high of 61,780 made on March 13, right in the middle of our last two-star geocosmic critical reversal date-time band (March 12-15). In currency markets, the Dollar/Yen has rallied sharply as of late, hitting a new yearly high of 110.96 last week. On that same day, the Euro currency fell to 1.1702, its lowest price since early November 2020. This bullish trend in the U.S. Dollar conforms to the political cycle. That is, the U.S. Dollar tends to be bullish against other world currencies when the U.S. elects a Democrat as its president. Joe Biden, a Democrat, took office on January 20, 2021. The multi-year low in the U.S. Dollar was just two weeks earlier, on January 6, at 89.20. Last week it reached a new multi-month high of 93.43. Our previous advice to traders to diversify their currency exposure by adding non-dollar denominated assets (i.e., other currencies) to their portfolio is no longer valid as of January 2021 and the beginning of the new U.S. administration. Instead, the Dollar is the new "King of the Currencies". It may stay that way for a few years now, until the next election and maybe even the one after that.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
Economists have done extensive work showing how lower corporate tax rates result in higher wages. Higher after-tax profits mean more corporate investments, which means more productive workers, whom companies can afford to pay more. In other words, Mr. Biden's corporate tax increases will hit the middle class hard. This damage won't show up immediately, especially as the economy booms as COVID eases this year, but the corrosive impact will compound in the coming years". Here Come the Biden Taxes",Opinion Page, Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2021.
Continuing with this thought of a new Democratic term in the U.S. presidency, we note two historical correspondences. First, both the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle and the Saturn/Uranus quarter cycle pointed to a change in party leadership at the presidential level. That is that the Democrats would win, and the then-current president, Donald Trump, a Republican, would be defeated. These correlative studies were discussed in both the Forecast 2020 book as well as during the ISAR September 2020 worldwide virtual conference, attended by over 1000 participants.
However, unseating the sitting president after only one term also broke a 16-year presidential cycle pattern where the victor of the 16-year Republican cycle (2000, 1984, 1968, 1952) usually won his re-election bid. Democrats also have a 16-year election victory cycle (2008, 1992, 1976, 1960, 1944). For the winner of the 16-year cycle not to be re-elected is something that has happened twice since 1904. One of those times was the 1980 election when Ronald Reagan beat the incumbent Democrat, Jimmy Carter. The other occurred in the 1932 election of Franklin D. Roosevelt, who unseated Herbert Hoover, the Republican. The cycle (and the term-limits law) was "distorted" for the next 12 years. This begs the question : Will the years 2020-2032 have similarities to those of 1932-1944 ?. There are similarities to the Saturn/Uranus cycle and its phases in both of these 12-year periods, not to mention that the 84-year orbit of Uranus was in the sign of Taurus then and is again now. Taurus is the sign of security and comfort. Uranus is the planet that is anything but stable and secure. It pertains to disturbances and unexpected, abrupt events. It also signifies major changes in policies that can (and often do) have unintended consequences. Nothing goes as expected, especially when Uranus is in a hard aspect with Saturn.
Shorter-term, there is reason to be optimistic. First, as my friend and colleague, Len Oppenheim, points out, the U.S. stock market has been up in the month of April for 15 of the last 16 years. Second, the Vernal equinox has Jupiter rising in Aquarius in Washington D.C. The summer solstice will also find Jupiter rising, but this time it will be in Pisces, the sign it co-rules with Neptune. The economy is likely to continue its cycle of growth through these two seasons. But that changes with the autumnal equinox on September 22 when Pluto (taxes) will be rising in Capricorn (government and the seeds of recession possibly starting to sprout).
In the near term, we have a slew of powerful shorter-term transits that correlate with sharp price moves in stock markets from April 6-29 and especially April 13-26. The Sun and Venus will square Pluto April 12-16, and Venus will conjoin Uranus and square Saturn (April 23-25). This week will find Mars square Neptune on April 9, which pertains to changes in Crude Oil prices. On a social and individual level, Mars represents courage and assertiveness, whereas Neptune pertains to avoidance and retreat. They are opposite, and the square is often an obstacle in need of being addressed and not avoided, although the urge to avoid is stronger than the need to confront. It is a passive/aggressive combination, so it may be wise to decipher what someone really wants and not pay too much attention to what they say they need, want, or will do. What is the real underlying motivation here? It is a wonderful combination for helping out others truly in need. However, one can also be prone to others taking advantage, and where one's efforts to help may be wasted if dealing with people who are insincere or ungrateful. It can also be a time of vulnerability to infections (Mars is energy, Neptune can be leakage or loss of energy), so masking up and remaining 6 feet from others is still the prudent thing to do, even though Jupiter on the ingress ascendant in Aquarius (in the U.S.) suggest the urge to break out, party, and be free is even stronger.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE WILL TAKE PLACE MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: See details below, under EVENTS. Or, for more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars, or SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!
Note 2 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.
Note 3 : .
Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.
Note 5 : .
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Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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