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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 19 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
"We had an incredible shock, but look how fast we're bouncing back", said Alan Sinai. "We're in the early stages of recovery and we've got three to five years to go. I think we're going to end up in a boom". That boom might have a potentially troubling side effect. Inflation, as measured by the consumer-price index, is expected to jump sharply from 1.7% in February when March data is released Tuesday. "It makes it hard for a forecaster because I've never seen anything like this ever", Mr. Sinai said. - Gwynn Guilford and Anthony DeBarros. "Forecasters Brace for Uncharted Liftoff", Wall Street Journal, April 12, 2021.
Congratulations to those who want higher inflation. You've got it. The U.S. has never before pursued government-spending and monetary expansion of this magnitude with a hot economy and the Fed says it will wait for durable inflation to appear before changing. Good luck. "Inflation Arrives. Is it 'Transitory' ?", Wall Street Journal Opinion page. April 12, 2021.
They came of age just as the twisted pathway to a new, warped version of the American Dream first came into focus, one built not on morality but on money, not on personal freedom but on personal indulgence, not on the promise of a future but on the mouthwatering appetite for the present. - Glenn Stout, "Tiger Girl and the Candy Kid", as book-reviewed by Edward Kosner in the Wall Street Journal, April 15, 2021.
Another record week for U.S. and other world stock markets as this bullet train keeps humming along at full throttle. The party inside just keeps getting more and more wild amidst the never-ending stream of cash and talk of more stimulus that keeps fueling this record run. You would think the Sun is in Aries. Oops! It is! And along with Mars (ruler of Aries) in Gemini, both of these fiery planets have been in a strong harmonious aspect with Jupiter and each other the last two trading days.
But that changes on Monday when the positive influence of Jove starts to wane, and the Sun (along with Mercury) advances into the steadier and more deliberate sign of Taurus. It is like the rabbit and the turtle. Aries is the hare and Taurus is the tortoise, sometimes also affectionately referred to as a "couch potato" when its mind isn't focused on working hard or going through a fit of anger. Then the tortoise becomes the bull, and you better get out of its way. It's not that equity prices will come down hard with the Sun in Taurus. But they may move up in slower steps.
However, this time, those "steps up" might get disrupted as Venus, the ruling planet of Taurus, comes into a conjunction with Uranus, a noted disruptor that can cause any organic movement to stumble or break into a heated rush. With Uranus you never know if it is going to be a breakout (it's already breaking out) or a reversal. But seldom does the market resemble a couch potato under this influence. It will be interesting to see who wins out this week : the earthquake-nature of Uranus or the "pleasurable walk-through the garden" stroll of Venus in Taurus ? I think the tortoise may be in for a bit of jolt these next two weeks. Uranus won't resist the temptation to mess with the fixity of the Taurus mind and create some havoc.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
As much as $1 trillion a year in federal taxes may be going unpaid because of errors, fraud, and lack of resources to enforce collections adequately, IRS Commissioner Charles Rettig told lawmakers Tuesday. The IRS collected more than $3.5 trillion in taxes in the 2019 fiscal year. (The IRS) suggested it could bring in an additional $5 to $7 in revenue for each added dollar spent on enforcement. - John McCormick. "IRS Chief Says Up to $1T a Year in Taxes Could be Unpaid", Wall Street Journal, April 14, 2021.
Ah, yes. Whenever lawmakers want to divert attention from their wishes to raise taxes, it is not uncommon to see articles like this about the "real problem" being the tax cheaters. It is never about the lawmakers and their acts to spend incredible amounts of the people's money, and the gigantic increase this will have upon the national debt. It is as if they truly believe that just because interest rates are kept artificially low, there really is no increase in debt. Though interest rates are historically low, current spending is more than "relatively" huge, and the principle still has to be paid back eventually.
Not only is the diversion to "tax cheats" a distraction from the real problem of lawmakers' unbounded spending spree and the IRS coveting a larger budget, but these kinds of stories always seem to make national headlines when Pluto is activated in the heavens by other planets. Last week was such a week, as both the Sun and Venus formed a waxing square aspect to Pluto (taxes) in Capricorn (government). The subject is likely to continue to be hot news as cold Pluto will turn retrograde, with the Moon in Scorpio, on April 27. Pluto and Scorpio (its ruling sign) have an association with all the fun things in life that get you into real trouble : death, deficits, debt, taxes, and (thank goodness) sex.
But let's talk about other subjects that are more pleasurable than taxes and the increase of debt : financial markets, such as currencies, and most notably in the news now, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. For this subject, we switch to Uranus, planet of space, technology, and the future. It is now in its 7-year trek through Taurus (2018-2025), and Taurus rules currencies. Uranus rules tech and digital matters, but by sign it also pertains to sectors of the economy and financial markets that exhibit "boom/bust" cycles.
No one can argue against the fact that Bitcoin has been in a "boom" cycle. As recently as March 13, 2020, Bitcoin was trading below $4000. Now it is more than 15 times higher, making new all-time highs above $60,000, with many "experts" calling for $100,000 and even higher, while various central banks (as in China and the U.S.) are looking into creating national digital currencies. And of course, Coinbase, the largest retail seller of crypto currencies, had a very large IPO start last week. This all fits with Venus (ruler of Taurus and hence another 'currency" related planet) conjunct Uranus (digital) in Taurus (sign of money), which is approaching April 22. Following that, the Sun in Taurus will also conjoin Uranus on April 30. That is why the tortoise may be in for a bit of a jolt.
Some financial astrologers are attributing the vertical rise in Bitcoin (and other cryptos) to the transit of Uranus making a trine aspect to the Sun in the first trade chart of Bitcoin, which took place back on January 3, 2009. I think it has more to do with Uranus simply transiting through Taurus, where examples of boom/bust patterns related to the sign of the Uranus transit are in abundance. Unfortunately, we have no prior history of transiting Uranus making a trine to the Sun in the Bitcoin chart. This is a first.
As to the question of whether Bitcoin will soon have a "bust" to its "boom", both methods of analysis suggest the possibility. A "bust" signature is a hard aspect involving the transit of Uranus, Neptune, or Pluto to a natal or founding chart's Venus or Jupiter, and possibly Saturn. Transiting Pluto, the taker of life force and ferryman of the underworld, will conjoin Jupiter in Bitcoin's founding chart in 2023-2024. Uranus will square Venus in 2025-2026. Can Bitcoin keep soaring that long? Maybe not.
Bitcoin was "born" in 2009, at the height of the world stock market crash and Great Recession, when Saturn was in opposition to Uranus. Saturn in a hard aspect to Uranus can also be considered a "crash" signature. And right now, the next quarter cycle of Saturn/Uranus is unfolding. This is the waning square, taking place three times between February 17-December 24, 2021. Interestingly enough, Neptune is transiting over this opposition It is conjunct to BTC's Uranus and in opposition to its Saturn. Neptune is euphoria, and certainly this is a time of euphoria for Bitcoin. But aspects involving Saturn/Uranus can also highlight a time of an abrupt trend change. It can happen in a flash, crash, hack, or computer malfunction. So, right now, Bitcoin is in a year that could portend both euphoria and a sudden disturbance. It may be in a "boom" that is readying for a "bust" even before Uranus finishes its trine to Bitcoin's natal Sun next year.
Enjoy the ride while it lasts. But never forget the law of gravity : whatever goes up must come down, and the higher it goes, the harder it falls. It's kind of like the concept of "pride" and the "cycle of life". This is a time when those who are overconfident in their judgments or boastful about their successes may experience the jolt of Uranus. From rabbit stew and turtle soup we get served humble pie.
And the best teacher of humility is the markets. Expect the unexpected - in a flash, these next two weeks.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE WILL TAKE PLACE MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: See details below, under EVENTS. Or, for more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars, or SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event! See below.
Note 2 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.
Note 3 : .
Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.
Note 5 : .
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Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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