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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 3 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 6.4% seasonally adjusted annual rate in January through March. That left the world's largest economy within 1% of its peak reached in late 2019 before the coronavirus pandemic hit the U.S". - Josh Mitchell",U.S. Economy Bounces Back Near Its Peak", Wall Street Journal, April 30, 2021.

Real GDP rose 6.4% in the period (January-March), as vaccines rolled out, state lockdowns eased, and Americans spent December stimulus payments. The gusher in government transfer payments has hampered the recovery by increasing the incentive not to work. Employers across the country say they can't find workers due to the federal enhanced $300 weekly jobless benefits that won't expire until September. Nearly half of unemployed workers can make as much on the couch as they can on the job. - Opinion Page",The Post-Pandemic Boom: Biden Inherited a Very Strong Recovery, Not a House 'On Fire,' " Wall Street Journal, April 30, 2021.

It was a strange and chaotic week for world financial markets, filled with sudden sharp but short-lived reversals - about what one would expect given that Uranus was conjoined in Taurus by Mercury, Venus, and the Sun April 22-30. Uranus-highlighted periods are usually filled with surprises and abrupt changes.

Once again, world equity markets were flush with cases of intermarket divergences surrounding a strong geocosmic critical reversal time band. The current heavily populated time band of geocosmic signatures extends from April 9 through May 8.

In the U.S., both the S&P and NASDAQ indices made new all-time highs last week, on Thursday, April 29. But the DJIA did not. It's all-time high of 34,256 on April 16 remains intact. Until all three indices make new all-time highs in the same week, a case of intermarket bearish divergence remains in effect. However, in spite of that divergence, the U.S. markets have not declined very much either. The DJIA, for example, continues to find support above 33,700, only 500 points off its all-time high.

In Europe, the Netherlands AEX index also made a new all-time high on April 29. But it too was unaccompanied by the other European indices. The all-time high in the DAX remains intact as of April 19. The same day registered yearly highs for the London FTSE and Zurich SMI indices. Thus, intermarket bearish divergences exist in Europe too until all four make new yearly highs in the same week.

The Far East only found the Australian ASX index matching its all-time high last week, as it reached 7358 on Thursday, April 29, the same price it recorded on April 19. China's Shanghai Composite and the Hang Seng of Hong Kong notched new monthly lows and remain well below their yearly highs. In India and Japan, the NIFTY and Nikkei indices still maintain February 16 as their all-time and multi-year highs, respectively. That is important because that was just one day before the first passage of the powerful Saturn/Uranus waning square.

Several other financial markets also exhibited notable price movements last week. Bitcoin dropped 27.5% from its all-time high of 64,900 on April 14 to last week's low of 47,000 on April 26. Then, typical of Uranus, it began another rally and is up over 10,000 as of Friday. The Euro currency soared to 1.2161 on Thursday, April 29, its highest mark in 9 weeks. But on Friday, April 30, as the Sun conjoined Uranus, it suffered a sharp decline. Crude Oil rose to 65.47 on April 29, approaching its yearly high of 67.98 made on March 8. Metals were relatively quiet, but grains were spectacular, reflecting the breakout energy of Uranus in the agricultural sign of Taurus (and conjoined by Mercury and Venus). Soybeans skyrocketed to 1608, nearing its all-time high of 1794 made in September 2012. Corn popped to 746, its highest price since July 2013. Wheat also exploded, reaching 773, its highest level since February 2013. This activity was accurately described in the Forecast 2021 book, which will be reviewed again in our special webinar taking place on May 22 (see announcements below). We expect another full house for that event.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

When Lawrence Summers criticized the Biden's administration's new economic policies in recent weeks as being the least responsible in 40 years, you might have expected the warning to jolt Democrats. Instead, Mr. Summers was largely dismissed by his fellow Democrats. Progressives shouted him down on Twitter after he warned that the new administration's $1.9 trillion economic rescue program  could overstimulate the economy  and spark inflation. Behind the drama, the party's resistance to Mr. Summers's call for moderation is a sign that a torch is passing in economic thought and economic policy. - Jon Hilsenrath", Behind Biden's Big Spending Plans, the Waning Sway of Economic Caution", Dow Jones and Company, April 29, 2021.

The stock market's record-breaking performance through April 2021 is an example of how planetary aspects correlate to mundane conditions in the world, but not necessarily or directly to equity prices.

The most powerful geocosmic signature in effect in 2021 is Saturn in a waning square aspect to Uranus. In classical astrology, the square - especially the waning square - is arguably the most difficult of all aspects to navigate smoothly. Uranus portends new and major changes in society, whereas Saturn's dynamic is resistant to change. Saturn desires to stay with the tried and true, the traditional and known. It is the play between risk-taking versus the urge for safety in the "known". To some, this means the future (Uranus) is being held hostage by history (Saturn), and it must be liberated at all costs. In this case, the costs are unprecedented and leading the world into a bold, exciting, but unknown future.

But this future is also represented by the "New Aira" of the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle in air signs for the next 140 years. That is, after spending most of the previous 200 years conjoining in earth signs, which is cautious, practical, and traditional, Jupiter and Saturn now begin a 140-year period where their conjunctions take place in air signs. Unlike earth, air signs place great value on the theoretical, intellectual, and abstract concepts that are original. They can be bold, but also may seem rather arrogant and willing to take risks in comparison to the traditionalists represented by the earth principle.

Will these new "Modern Monetary Theory" (MMT) concepts that are suddenly in vogue today, work ? No one knows. But we are soon to find out as they also start to be administered aggressively under the waning square of Saturn and Uranus.

We see these two forces struggling mightily against one another today. A new world order is unfolding, and nowhere is it more apparent than in the field of politics and among the "New Keynesian economists", who are eager and willing to test out ideas of vast with no past record of success. They possess little fear of failure or any "unintended consequences" made possible by unlimited government borrowing. Further, they believe that as long as the U.S. Dollar is the standard world currency and the Fed can print as much as it wants (because the U.S. will never default as long as its central bank can print and monetize debt), they can spend freely without negative consequences down the road. Which might be true - that is until inflation clearly returns. But who remembers or cares anymore what that was like 40 years ago ? That "ancient history" will not be permitted to hold our future as hostage any longer.

Or will it ? With Saturn (history) square Uranus (risky and bold), we are about to find out.

In the meantime, the Saturn/Uranus square clearly relates to this struggle between the reality of the past (earth and Saturn) and the new intellectual ideologies of a bright and bold future (air and Uranus). But so far, the square of these two planets has not resulted in a crash of world equity markets, which would be a classical interpretation of those planets. Instead, global stock markets continue rising to new all-time and multi-year highs as more and more "New Keynesian" economic policies and politics lead to more and more stimulus, spending, and debt. It is as if these "New Keynesians" believe that paying back these debts will not be a problem, for the Fed can just print more money. The U.S. can never default or go broke as long as the Fed can still print the U.S. Dollar, the international standard currency. But if not an issue per MMT, then why the insistence on higher taxes ? Is the purpose of higher taxes related to something else ? Something political ? Something personal ? Something pertaining to "ancient history ?".

The problem is, as economist Larry Summers warns, "The laws of economic arithmetic still apply". In other words, the spending will have to be paid for, and there is no free lunch, even with financially-engineered zero interest rates created by the one body that has the power to print the international standard fiat currency at will - for now.

Enjoy the ride while it lasts, and just remember that the laws of economic arithmetic not only still apply, but so do the rules of gravity.

Longer-Term thoughts :

T".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE WILL TAKE PLACE MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: See details below, under EVENTS. Or, for more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars, or SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event! See below.

             Note 2 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.

             Note 3 : Every so often I get asked for a referral for an astrological consultation. There are many excellent professional astrologers in the world, and some-not-so-excellent ones too. I am going to recommend one today that has served my own family and close friends for many years (there are actually several, but I am only going to recommend one of them at this time). Her name is Erin Sullivan, and her contact info is erin@erinsullivan.com. She has an uncanny awareness for what is going on in the world related to the position of major transiting planets. And the most important tool of any professional astrologer, in my opinion, is mastery of transits and how they relate to the stages of life one is going through. There are very few who have this gift of understanding as Erin. She has been an astrological consultant for five decades, is a well-respected author of several books, and her fees are half of what mine are (a great value!). If you want to understand what you are going through in these challenging times, and what is coming up in regard to your career, finances, relationships, and physical or emotional health as indicated by cosmic cycles, contact Erin while she still does consultations.

             Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.

             Note 5 : .

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             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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