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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 17 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
The Labor Department reported its consumer price index jumped 4.2% in April from a year earlier. The data sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 to their steepest 3-day decline in nearly seven months. - Gwynn Guilford, "Inflation Surge Rattles Markets", Wall Street Journal, May 13, 2021.
Last week was a classic mutable-sign and ingress performance for world stock indices.
Global indices opened up strong last week, with both the DJIA and S&P making new all-time highs (ATH) in the U.S., but the NASDAQ fell short once again. The new all-time highs didn't last long. By Wednesday, the DJIA had plummeted 1536 points and tested its 45-day moving average for the first time since its primary cycle low of March 4. The S&P fell more, nearly 5%, in those two days, and broke below the 45-day MA. The NASDAQ Composite never made a new all-time high. Its ATH remained at 14,217 on April 29, within the allowable three-day orb of our three-star critical reversal date (CRD) of April 26. By Wednesday, May 12, with the Moon in Gemini (mutable) and Jupiter spending its last day in Aquarius before entering Pisces (mutable), it was testing 13,000, down 8.5% from its ATH.
One day later, May 13, as Jupiter ingressed into Pisces with the Moon still in Gemini, the decline reversed as suddenly as it began. The DJIA, for instance, was down 473 and 681 points respectively on Tuesday and Wednesday. On Thursday, it was up over 600 points intraday from the low and closed up 433 points. The next day, Friday, it was up another 360 points.
As discussed last week, " Pisces is one of the four mutable signs, and probably the most prone to market reversals of all the changeable, mutable signs. This is especially true with equities, metals (more Silver than Gold) and Crude Oil. If a financial market is making a new multi-month high then, it usually stops and reverses sharply down. If instead a market is falling hard to a multi-month low, it can qualify as a long- or intermediate-term cycle trough and then reverse upwards". On Monday, the DJIA and S&P made new ATHs. By Wednesday, two days later, they were making new monthly lows. By Friday they had regained 60% of their losses already and ended the week with strong rallies.
This pattern of up early, down sharply into the middle of the week, and then a strong rally into the close, was noted in several world stock markets. This is a pattern typical of mutable energy.
Markets shift quickly when the mutable signs are highlighted, especially when a hard aspect involving Uranus is also present. And the dominant aspect this entire year is the three-passage series of the Saturn/Uranus waning square, which will make its second passage in one month. You may remember the first passage on February 17. That was when many world indices made multi-year highs. Some of which are still intact, such as the Japanese Nikkei. The NASDAQ also made its first crest in an ATH double top formation then too. The decline that followed in the next two weeks was even greater than the decline of last week. But neither of these two declines in any global stock index has yet to achieve the level of fallout anticipated via MMA cycle studies as the greater 15.5-month cycle trough (DJIA) time band begins. We will discuss this in detail in next Saturday's mid-year market review webinar (see announcements at end of this report).
In other markets, both Gold and Silver rallied to new cycles highs early last week too, with Gold testing 1850 and Silver 28.00. Both pulled back slightly into Thursday but then resumed their rallies to close near the highs of the week. If you like precious metals, you may be interested in reading last week's MMA Monthly Cycles Report, which offered a new look at Gold's long-term cycle labeling.
Bitcoin also put in an interesting week. After peaking at 64,900 on April 14, Bitcoin fell hard to 47,000 on April 26. After a healthy rally challenging 60,000 again, Bitcoin plunged to a lower low of 45,000 on Thursday, May 13. This has been MMA's hottest market this year with a dozen consecutive winning trades on the daily reports.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
"The more civilized we become, the greater is our need to stare into the darkness". - Elliot Ackerman and Admiral James Stavridis, "2034 : A Novel of the Next World War", Audible Audiobooks, March 2021.
"Permit me to issue and control the money of a nation, and I care not who makes its laws", Mayer Amschel Rothschild, 1790, as taken from www.cmgwealth.com story "On My Radar", by Steve Blumenthal, October 25, 2019.
"Money is more than an economic artifact; it is an idea, a central feature of civilization, the health of which depends, in a liberal society, on the predictability of its value, its stability, not only of today, but in the distant future". - Robert A. Mundell, 1999 Nobel Laureate in Economics, "The Debt Crisis: Causes and Solutions", Wall Street Journal, January 31, 1983.
We are about to enter the second of three powerful geocosmic time bands for 2021. The first was January-February, during which the first passage of the Saturn/Uranus waning square unfolded. It correlated with the attack on the U.S. Capitol by supporters of former President Trump in an effort to disrupt certification of the 2020 election. It also coincided with new all-time and multi-year highs in several world stock indices February 16-18, before retreating into early March. Those highs still stand in some world indices.
The second of these powerful geocosmic time bands begins this week, May 17, and will continue through mid-July. It will contain the second passage of the Saturn/Uranus square on June 14 and is the reason why we are hosting next week's mid-year webinar.
The middle passage of the most intense geocosmic planetary combination of the year is often the most noteworthy in terms of world events and financial market trends. But it is not only the Saturn/Uranus aspect that will occur these next two months. There is also a solar eclipse, in Gemini, on June 10. Prior to that, both Saturn and Mercury will turn retrograde on May 23 and 30, respectively. Following that, Jupiter and Neptune will turn retrograde, June 20 and 25 respectively, while Mercury turns direct in between (June 22). That's a lot of changes of direction in the cosmos, at the same time Jupiter is in the wild and easily distracted sign of Pisces, while Saturn squares Uranus. In other words, these next two months may get rather strange, surreal, a bit like the January insurrection in the U.S. The challenge will be to maintain sanity, and avoid the attraction to go to extremes, to "stare into the darkness", or to draw others into your life who are tempted to go beyond the limits of rational thought.
Yes, I know, with Jupiter in Pisces, who wants to be "rational?" How can you enjoy the sociable, romantic, and the dreamy pleasure principles of Jupiter in Pisces if you have to think and act with reason? Well, you can combine those principles with Saturn square Uranus and all the planetary changes of direction by being inventive and entertaining futuristic visions. It is favorable for original thought and perhaps computer games. But it is not so favorable for disruptive action that catches others (or yourself) by surprise. It may be important to know the difference between reality and the "not real". Be careful of trusting impulses when they lead you past the edge of your knowingness.
How might this cosmic parallel reality relate to one's behavior in markets? Financial markets are likely to be very erratic. The temptation is to think you know what is going to happen next. You may be right, except "next" in this case refers to the move after the "next" move, and not the very "next" move. You saw that last week, and last week was just the beginning of this 11-week trip through the looking glass.
With Uranus, people tend to be early in their predictions. Their visions aren't necessarily wrong, but their timing can be off. With Saturn, on the other hand, people tend to be late. Saturn rules "delays". One party is early, and the other party is late, and the former leaves before the latter arrives. The result is not "acceptance". Now add Jupiter in Pisces to the mix, where people can become very euphoric ("irrational exuberance") about financial markets. We are not done yet. With Saturn/Uranus also doing its out-of-synch robotic dance during this same time, combined with a series of planetary stations (directional changes), euphoria can quickly turn to panic and hysteria. You might think : "What the (add your own slang here) is happening ?".
A lot of money can be made trading these next several weeks because the amplitude of price changes in short bursts of time is likely to be greater than any seen over the past year. At the same time, a lot of money can be lost too by those whose impulses lead them past the edge of their knowingness. Know where the edges are - where your boundaries of knowingness are - and stay within them. Your chances of profiting rather than losing will be greater if you do, whether we are talking about trading, personal health, socializing, or romancing with others.
With this in mind, get ready for a wild ride - it's starting. Have fun, responsibly. And don't put your lifestyle at risk on any trade unless you want to trade it in for another lifestyle.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : Last week before MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE WILL TAKE PLACE MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: See details below, under EVENTS. Or, for more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars, or SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event! See below.
Note 2 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.
Note 3 : Every so often I get asked for a referral for an astrological consultation. There are many excellent professional astrologers in the world, and some-not-so-excellent ones too. I am going to recommend one today that has served my own family and close friends for many years (there are actually several, but I am only going to recommend one of them at this time). Her name is Erin Sullivan, and her contact info is erin@erinsullivan.com. She has an uncanny awareness for what is going on in the world related to the position of major transiting planets. And the most important tool of any professional astrologer, in my opinion, is mastery of transits and how they relate to the stages of life one is going through. There are very few who have this gift of understanding as Erin. She has been an astrological consultant for five decades, is a well-respected author of several books, and her fees are half of what mine are (a great value!). If you want to understand what you are going through in these challenging times, and what is coming up in regard to your career, finances, relationships, and physical or emotional health as indicated by cosmic cycles, contact Erin while she still does consultations.
Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.
Note 5 : .
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Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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