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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 20 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Inventories remain at a "very, very low level", Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and chief investment officer of Los Angeles-based DoubleLine Capital, which has $137 billion in assets under management, said during a conference call Tuesday evening".This is not supportive of inflation being transitory". Customer inventories plunged to an all-time low earlier this year as lockdowns aimed at slowing the spread of COVID-19 shuttered factories, resulting in materials shortages and supply chain disruptions. Low customer inventories, especially during periods of elevated inflation, lead to even higher prices because retailers have to pay more for their merchandise. Those higher prices are then passed along to customers. Consumers are already grappling with the highest inflation in 13 years. -Jonathan Garber, "Billionaire Fund Manager Grunlach Debunks 'Transitory' Inflation", www.foxbusinessnews.com. September 16, 2021.
It is getting increasingly risky in the investment world as the Sun approaches its powerful conjunction with Mars in Libra on October 7-8.
Global stock markets tried to rally after the prior week's sell off, and there was some euphoria early in the week as the Sun formed its annual opposition to Neptune on Tuesday, September 14, the same day that the Japanese Nikkei soared to its highest level in 31 years and China's Shanghai Composite tested its multi-year high again. The Netherlands AEX and India's Nifty continued to new record highs on Friday, September 17. But other markets fell as the Neptune euphoria wore off and Venus headed towards its T-square with Saturn and Uranus. The square to Saturn was on Friday, September 17 and the opposition to Uranus will be next week on September 23. As stated last week, "Venus/Saturn square often coincides with an excellent buying opportunity. Any market that declines into this aspect is a candidate for a decent rally to follow". Well, several of the world's stock indices did in fact decline into Friday, September 17. Now we will see if they can find their bottoms and reverse as Venus opposes Uranus.
In other markets, Gold and Silver took another hit with Silver falling back to its lows of August 9 around 22.30. Gold fell to a low of 1745.50 on September 16, but that is well above its primary cycle bottom of 1677.90 on August 9. Gold and Silver are thus on the verge of an intermarket bullish divergence signal as Venus in Scorpio forms its T-square with Saturn and Uranus.
The Euro and Swiss Franc currencies also fell hard against the U.S. Dollar, along with Gold and Silver, in the belief that the FED will soon end its tapering and interest rates will rise. Maybe that will be the case, and fear of such a change was coincident with Mars ingressing into Libra last week, September 15, making a T-square to the to the Sun/Pluto opposition in the Federal Reserve Board chart. Mars entering cardinal signs will also touch off that opposition, causing sharp news regarding the Fed and its intentions. But keep in mind that December 30,2021, Jupiter will re-enter Pisces. It did that once already from May 13-July 28. Everyone thought the Fed would raise rates or end its bond buying purchases and start a tapering policy then too. But instead, Chairman Powell surprised everyone by reaffirming his commitment to keep rates steady and low, and not end its treasury purchases. It could happen again in December -January, which is when everyone is expecting the Fed to tighten and taper. Jupiter's transit suggests otherwise.
Thus, once again, investors struggle to figure out what is real versus what is believed without confirmation. And in the meantime, the markets look for a sustainable trend, while we continue to report the history of past correlations between financial markets, institutions, governments, and the cycles of the cosmos.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
"Goldman Sachs Says Higher Taxes Are the Biggest Risk to U.S. Stocks " - Thomas Franck, www.cnbc.com, September 13, 2021,
Congress faces two massive tasks over the next month : funding the U.S. government and increasing the debt ceiling. Lawmakers have until the end of this month to fund the government, while Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned that extraordinary measures to stave off the debt limit are likely to run out in October. - Thomas Franck, "Debt Ceiling Versus Government Shutdown", www.cnbc.com, September 17, 2021.
The main geocosmic factor underway now is the T-square with Venus to the Saturn/Uranus square, in fixed signs. Venus is in Scorpio through October 7, the same day that the Sun will conjoin Mars in Libra, the ruling sign of Venus. This is a complex setup, with Venus in Scorpio, its detriment, and Mars in Libra, its detriment. Venus is money and credit, whereas Scorpio is debt and concern about new taxes, both of which generate worries about the future health of the economy. Mars in Libra is a time when everyone argues that no one wants to agree to anything. It's like a quarrelsome household.
When the Sun catches up to Mars on October 7-8, the intensity of the need for agreement is high. But everyone wants to blame someone else for the failure to agree. The Democrats can't agree on the next stimulus plan, and the Republicans disagree that any additional spending is even necessary. And during all this time, the clock ticks closer and closer to the final hour when the debt ceiling must be raised lest the U.S. defaults on its financial obligations to others and eventually the government must shut down. Does anyone think they will come to an agreement before this happens ? Under Mercury retrograde in the indecisive sign of Libra (September 27-October 18)?.
In addition to this, the Sun/Mars conjunction has a strong correlation to a sharp decline in U.S. stocks when it is near cycle highs within three weeks of the Sun/Mars synodic cycle. And of course, we cannot forget that Saturn is still in the throes of its waning square to Uranus, the most potent of all geocosmic signatures in effect this year, and a signature portending disturbance and the unexpected. No one believes the U.S. will default. But then again, very few give credence to the correlation of planetary cycles with financial market cycles, except those of you who read this column and know such correlations to cycles in human activity to be highly accurate. Maybe it's not a default. The astrologer isn't always right in the specifics of events that coincide with planetary cycles. But something tends to happen - an event, a policy change, an announcement that surprises - and the theme of those factors is usually consistent with the principles of the geocosmic signatures involved.
Thus, here we are. Several important planetary aspects are now in effect, and many difficult issues confront world governmental and economic/banking leaders. What will they do ? With Mercury about to go retrograde in Libra and the Sun/Mars conjunct in Libra, and Libra always trying to find the middle ground and thus appearing to be indecisive, I don't know. And unfortunately, neither do they or anyone else. I suspect what we will see is a lot of dithering and blaming of others the closer the deadlines for action and decisions approach for each of these matters. It will, however, be an excellent period for the talking heads of opinion shows and columns. Everyone has an opinion under these signatures. But few have solutions or the power and courage to make the necessary decisions, because whatever decision is made, there is apt to be a criticism without an accompanying solution. Libran energies can be very diplomatic and supportive when positive. But they don't like criticism, and yet they can be very sharp in issuing it.
And so, as everyone dithers, stock markets wither.
Longer-Term thoughts :
".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The August September issue of the ICRs (International Cycles Reports), will be released this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA President Raymond Merriman (China's Shanghai Composite Index), MMA Analysts Ken Liao (Hang Seng), Ulric Aspegrén, (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanova (Grains), and Gianni Di Poce (Australian ASX and Dollar, Cannabis, and Live Cattle). Order now to make sure you get this month's report! Consider a one-month trial for only $35.
Stay tuned as the ICR Commodities report will soon add Copper to its analysis! Copper prices have long been considered a leading indicator for the economy. In May of 2021, they reached an all-time high. The research on Copper cycles by Portfolio Manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, and a current student at the Merriman Market Timing Academy, is one of the finest studies on cycles I have seen to date. His research on Copper cycles is stunning. He is on schedule to issue his first analysis on Cooper via ICR Commodities newsletter in the November issue. Sign up now to make sure you get this report! His work is amazing.
Note 2 : Annual Forecast 2022 book see below.
Note 3 : THE NEW MERRIMAN ON MARKET CYCLES : THE BASICS book is now completed and the eBook is out! The print edition will take longer as printers are backed up due to shortages in paper, but it is ready to print at any time. This new edition contains the most comprehensive and modern listing of 175 long-, intermediate-, and short-term financial cycles in over 40 financial, currency, and commodity markets available anywhere! The book is a clearly written text on the MMA methodology for determining cycles periodicities and recognizing patterns within those cycles. It is a 72-page basic book for those who want to improve their timing skills by integrating cycles analysis with technical studies. It is a glossy softcover, 8-1/2" x 11" with illustrations to demonstrate the correct way to count cycle lengths, identify their phases with instruction on the trading strategies used to successfully trade each phase. The cost of the new version will be $35.00 and a pre-publication special rate of $28.00 will be available until September 20 (one more week). Order now and save money! Details for pre-ordering are available now by clicking here.
Note 4 : MMA'S DAILY AND SUBSCRIPTION REPORTS CONTINUE TO BE HOT ! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA's Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin and Ethereum. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETFs). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the Daily report also includes the Weekly report. And now is the best time to sign up because with your order of Forecasts 2022, you get a 10% discount. For further information, click here.
For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
Note 5 : THE VIDEO OF RAY MERRIMAN'S SEPTEMBER 4 WEBINAR ON FINANCIAL MARKETS UPDATE FOR CHINA, GOLD AND BITCOIN IS NOW AVAILABLE!!! The recording of the Friday evening, September 3, webinar came out very well. And the presentation was exciting and most interesting! It was a little longer than expected - lasting 3-1/2 hours. In addition to covering the unique trading opportunity related to geocosmic signatures coming up in Gold before 2022 and the outlook for Bitcoin and the Shanghai Composite Stock Index, several other topics were covered. These included the outlook on: Hong Kong, Russia, and the longer-term world and U.S. economy. There were nine questions answered, some in great depth, such as inflation and interest rates.
The presentation was given in English by Raymond Merriman and translated into Chinese by the staff of the NoDoor school in Beijing. The cost to order the recording of this special broadcast is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation. To purchase the recording of this special event, please visit www.mmacycles.com > Shop > Webinars, or click here.
For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
The Forecast 2022 Book and the Annual Forecast Pre-Order Event is now underway . Our preliminary outlook is that 2022 will be another very important year with the long-term Saturn/Uranus square aspect continuing to be in force. Although 2021 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2021 book have already unfolded. For a review of the Forecast 2021 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard.
This pre-publication period will be in effect through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA Subscription Reports . You may pre-order Forecast 2022 at the discounted rate of $45. After the pre-order event ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1st. Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2022 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2021. Use code SALE2022 at checkout to receive the subscription discount. Click here for subscription information.
This year we are also pleased to announce the publication of our TRENDS FOR THE TWELVE SIGNS 2022 book, which will include the individual Sun Signs forecasts. This very popular book on the annual outlook for each sign is written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with me beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the Forecast 2022 Book. To order this book, click here.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
January 13-15 2022 : Zurich Switzerland : Trends for 2022 : sponsored by AstroData, and featuring Claude Weiss, Alexandra Klinghammer, Monica Kissling, Verena Bachman, Antonia Langsdorf, Raymond Merriman and others. Details and location to be announced in October. Stay tuned !.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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