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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 11 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
The U.S. economy created jobs at a much slower-than-expected pace in September, a pessimistic sign about the state of the economy. Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 194,000 in the month, compared with the Dow Jones estimate of 500,000, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8%, better than the expectation for 5.1% and the lowest since February 2020. - Jeff Cox, "September's Jobs Creation Comes Up Short With Gain Of Just 194,000", www.cnbc.com, October 8, 2021.
September's wage gains provided more fuel to the argument that the current pace of inflation could run longer than many economists anticipate . - Jeff Cox, "Strong Wage Gains Cast Doubt That Inflation Is Going Away Anytime Soon", www.cnbc.com, October 8, 2021.
It is hard to say which had the stronger correspondence to the sharp price swings in global equity indices last week: the new Moon in Libra, the Sun conjunct Mars, or the midpoint of the Mercury retrograde cycle.
The new Moon in Libra has a greater association with highs in world stock indices, but last week's lows were the story of the week on October 6 when the lunation took place. Perhaps that is because Mercury retrograde is also, a time when many technical or chart patterns exhibit the opposite of their historical tendencies or give false buy and sell signals that are negated soon afterwards. The midpoint of the three-week retrograde cycle was October 7-8.
Then there is the Sun/Mars 25-month synodic cycle. Historically this geocosmic signature has a strong correlation to 8-20% reversals in stock indices within an orb of 8°. That would cover the period from September 13 through November 1. The exact date the conjunction took place was October 7 in the USA. Whatever the correlation, global stock indices made a Trickster-like sudden reversal from their multi-week decline in the middle of last week and then staged strong rallies.
Looking back, we can see that not all world stock indices suffered an 8% or greater decline from their recent highs. Perhaps the most stunning example of this occurrence was in Japan, where the Nikkei Index soared to a 31-year high of 30,795 on September 14, a geocosmic 2-star critical reversal date (CRD). Three weeks later, on October 6, it plummeted to 27,292, a loss of 11.37%. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong had fallen 10.8%, while the Zurich SMI fell 9.6% into last week's low. In the U.S., the nearby NASDAQ futures fell 8.5% from its all-time high on September 7 to the low of October 6. But then a funny thing happened on the way to the stock market forum. Everything suddenly reversed from the lows of the new Moon on October 6 and the next two days saw healthy rallies. Was that the end of the Sun/Mars decline ? It could be, given that several technical indicators have now switched to a bullish mode. However, with the Trickster still retrograde until October 18, misleading and conflicting signals are still possible. It is never a given when he is on the loose.
In other markets, Crude Oil finally touched the $80/barrel level on Friday, October 8 for the first time since November 2014. Bitcoin exploded again, reaching 56,141 on Friday, and starting to make a challenge to its all-time highs around 65,000. Just three months ago it was making lows around 28,800, so that is a nearly 100% gain for the leader of the cryptos.
In the so-called "stable" currencies, the Euro fell to 1.1527 last week, again on October 6, its lowest point in over a year. However, this didn't seem to bother Gold and Silver, which on Friday were at their highest levels since their recent lows on September 29. Silver especially looks interesting now, following its yearly low of 21.41 less than two weeks ago.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
House prices are rising at a record pace, but incomes aren't keeping up - which is making home ownership less and less affordable. - Orla McCaffrey, "Home Affordability Hits Lowest Point in Years", Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2021.
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva cited rising risks from inflation, debt, and a divergence in growth prospects between nations with access to coronavirus vaccines and those in need of shots. Martin Crutsinger, "IMF Scales Back Global Recovery Projections", Associated Press, October 8, 2021.
I always look forward to this time of the year because it marks the time when I go into seclusion to write the greater part of the annual Forecast Book . And that exercise provides me the opportunity to research and review current geocosmic patterns and their correlation to historical events, especially involving world economic and financial market cycles. I feel it gives me greater confidence in developing an outlook for the next year, which in turn helps organize my thoughts for investments and position trading. In many cases, I get a sense of inspiration from the discoveries this process yields.
I had an interesting experience this past week that I hadn't encountered since college. I had a "writer's block". Typically, I wake up in the morning with an idea of what I want to examine and/or write, and begin writing all day, or at least until it is time to write my daily report for subscribers after markets close. But that wasn't happening the previous week or even last week. Nothing was coming to me. My research was not showing anything that I would call "insightful", or "attention-getting" about 2022 It was dull; I was dull. I was also getting a little anxious because there were only so many days available to write the Forecast Book and they were passing with nothing to show.
So, I thought I would change it up a bit. Instead of waking early in the morning, I started writing late at night. Voila! There it was! Suddenly I found myself to be a late night writer, and ideas and insights began to flow. "What is this about ? " I asked myself. Maybe it's Mercury retrograde. After all, Mercury is my ruling planet, the planet that rules writing, and it is located in my third house of writing. Maybe it's not just market trends that reverse under retrograde planets like Mercury. Maybe it is ordinary daily routines that get disrupted too.
Now, when you think of blocks in life, like a "writer's block", you tend to associate this with Saturn. And so it is not surprising that the next powerful Level 1 geocosmic signature unfolding will be Saturn stationary, turning direct on Monday, October 11. It is a Level 1 (strongest) signature because it has a very high correspondence (70%) to primary or greater cycles in U.S. stock markets within nine trading days. The low of last Wednesday in several world stock indices may be a primary cycle trough or a re-test of one, as it would be only three trading days before Saturn turns stationary. Saturn's theme is to depress, contract, hold down. It rules walls. Maybe it rules writer's blocks, too. After all, this Saturn stationary takes place in my fifth house of creativity, and it just happens to be in an exact opposition to my natal Saturn in Leo.
It is so easy to blame Mercury retrograde and the Trickster for anything that goes wrong. And yes, my computer and essential software programs were on the blink last week too, not to mention my doorbell stopped working and the battery to the key lock in my automobile went dead.
Oh, lord. I am so glad I can now recognize Saturn is going stationary this Monday. I can quit blaming Mercury retrograde for all my writers block and turning me from a morning person back into an evening person. It makes me feel like I am in college again. But wait : isn't Saturn supposed to make you feel old? Maybe that's just another case of Mercury retrograde reversing reality from what we would normally expect into something totally different.
As far as next week and markets go, Saturn is not the only planet changing direction within a week of October 11. Pluto ended its retrograde motion on October 6. And on October 18, both Mercury and Jupiter will cease their retrograde motions. That's four planets reversing their retrograde motions to direct within one week of October 11. That's huge and rare! It would be no wonder if financial markets reversed their trends too. And since geocosmics reflect changes in human activity, the cause of all this is likely to be a change in the focus of the collective. What seemed important before (i.e., debt ceiling, government shut down, increasing cases of the Delta variant), may transition into something else, and with that comes new trends in both thought and market behavior.
Longer-Term thoughts :
".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The August September issue of the ICRs (International Cycles Reports), was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA President Raymond Merriman (China's Shanghai Composite Index), MMA Analysts Ken Liao (Hang Seng), Ulric Aspegrén, (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanova (Grains), and Gianni Di Poce (Australian ASX and Dollar, Cannabis, and Live Cattle). Order now to make sure you get this month's report! Consider a one-month trial for only $35.
Stay tuned as the ICR Commodities report will soon add Copper to its analysis! Copper prices have long been considered a leading indicator for the economy. In May of 2021, they reached an all-time high. The research on Copper cycles by Portfolio Manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, and a current student at the Merriman Market Timing Academy, is one of the finest studies on cycles I have seen to date. His research on Copper cycles is stunning. He is on schedule to issue his first analysis on Cooper via ICR Commodities newsletter in the November issue. Sign up now to make sure you get this report! His work is amazing.
Note 2 : Annual Forecast 2022 book see below.
Note 3 : THE NEW MERRIMAN ON MARKET CYCLES : THE BASICS book is out! The printed edition has just been received on Friday, October 1, and the eBook is also available! This new edition contains the most comprehensive and modern listing of 175 long-, intermediate-, and short-term financial cycles in over 40 financial, currency, and commodity markets available anywhere!
The book is a clearly written text on the MMA methodology for determining cycles periodicities and recognizing patterns within those cycles. It is a 72-page basic book for those who want to improve their timing skills by integrating cycles analysis with technical studies. It is a glossy softcover, 8-1/2" x 11" with illustrations to demonstrate the correct way to count cycle lengths, identify their phases with instruction on the trading strategies used to successfully trade each phase. The cost of the new version will be $35.00 Details for ordering are available now by clicking here.
Note 4 : MMA'S DAILY AND SUBSCRIPTION REPORTS CONTINUE TO BE HOT ! If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA's Weekly or Daily Market reports. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, Crude Oil, Bitcoin and Ethereum. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETFs). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the Daily report also includes the Weekly report. And now is the best time to sign up because with your order of Forecasts 2022, you get a 10% discount. For further information, click here.
For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
Note 5 : Coming in January! A new ETF report by MMTA Director Gianni di Poce !. We have received many requests for an ETF report as many readers prefer trading ETFs on commodities and financials rather than futures contracts. So, we are organizing a new service for those who wish to have a monthly ETF report. The ETFs to be covered will include a precious metal (probably GLD), stock index (probably an S&P), Treasury Notes or Bonds, and Bitcoin. Stay tuned for more information as plans develop.
For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary mid-term report of MMA Cycles (the "addendum") written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia two weeks later on October 26).
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
The Forecast 2022 Book and the Annual Forecast Pre-Order Event is now underway . Our preliminary outlook is that 2022 will be another very important year with the long-term Saturn/Uranus square aspect continuing to be in force. Although 2021 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2021 book have already unfolded. For a review of the Forecast 2021 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard.
This pre-publication period will be in effect through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA Subscription Reports . You may pre-order Forecast 2022 at the discounted rate of $45. After the pre-order event ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1st. Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2022 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2021. Use code SALE2022 at checkout to receive the subscription discount. Click here for subscription information.
This year we are also pleased to announce the publication of our TRENDS FOR THE TWELVE SIGNS 2022 book, which will include the individual Sun Signs forecasts. This very popular book on the annual outlook for each sign is written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with me beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered with the Forecast 2022 Book. To order this book, click here.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed and/or e-Book version of Forecast 2022 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
January 13-15 2022 : Zurich Switzerland : Trends for 2022 : sponsored by AstroData, and featuring Claude Weiss, Alexandra Klinghammer, Monica Kissling, Verena Bachman, Antonia Langsdorf, Raymond Merriman and others. Details and location to be announced in October. Stay tuned !.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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