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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 10 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Investors have been preparing for the Federal Reserve to start hiking interest rates. They also know the central bank is cutting the amount of bonds it buys each month. On top of that, they figured, eventually, the tapering would lead to a reduction in the nearly $9 trillion in assets the Fed is holding. What they didn't expect were all three things happening at the same time. While the moves are designed to fight inflation and as the jobs market heals, the jolt of a Fed triple threat of tightening sent the market into a tailspin Wednesday. - Jeff Cox, "The Federal Reserve is Scaring Markets with the Triple Threat of Policy Tightening", www.cnbc.com, January 6, 2022.
The U.S. economy added far fewer jobs than expected in December. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 199,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.9%, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. That compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 422,000 for the payrolls number and 4.1% for the unemployment rate. The numbers come at a crossroads for the U.S. economy as more than half a million Covid cases per day, many related to the omicron variant, threaten to stall an economic recovery that looks to accelerate in 2022. - Jeff Cox, "Hiring falters in December as payrolls rise only 199,000", www.cnbc.com, January 7, 2022.
Venus retrograde struck the world equity markets on Wednesday, January 5, as the Federal Reserve Board shocked the investment community with a much more hawkish-than-anticipated change in monetary policy. Was that the legendary but elusive "gong" that is supposed to be struck when the bull market ends ? Maybe. Venus rules the voice, and the Federal Reserve has the largest voice of any institution on the planet. When the Fed speaks, markets listen. And the Fed says it wants to stop the growth of inflation.
We expected something like this. Last week's column stated, "We suspect important announcements from central banks will come out while Venus is retrograde through January 29 and maybe close to the midpoint of that passage, which is next weekend (January 8-9)". The notes from their December meeting came out late in the day on January 5, shortly after the DJIA and S&P posted new all-time highs. The selloff was dramatic and sudden. It was also the 12 th trading day after Venus turned retrograde and 7 th trading day after Saturn squared Uranus. Our historical studies published in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles showed that primary cycles (crests or troughs) occur well over 70% of the time within 12 trading days of each signature. This is a big cosmic moment as one year ends, and another begins, given these two powerful signatures.
Now, with the weaker than expected jobs report on Friday, the Fed may have to walk back their hawkish discussions if it leads to a severe market selloff. Raising rates and reducing liquidity are not the best steps to take if the economy or stock market begins a sudden and serious retreat. And retreat is a word that goes with retrograde planets like Venus. Plus, Mercury (talk) will join Venus in its retrograde cycle on January 14. On the other hand, acceleration of inflation practically demands this aggressive approach.
Venus retrograde also represents conflicts in decision-making. It can be a time of indecision, seeing things from multiple but contrasting points of view. Does the Fed want to get control of inflation and risk an economic recession, or avoid a recession at the risk of accelerating inflation ? It may not be able to have its cake and eat it too, which Venus (lust) wishes. Perhaps the Fed lets them eat their cake, but not their potatoes, which would be perfectly fine with me.
Equities were not the only market that got pummeled by the Fed announcement last week. Gold and Silver were also doing quite well until then, with Gold testing its high for the current primary cycle above 1830. By Friday, it was testing 1780. Silver was near its cycle high of 23.48. By Friday, it was trading under 22.00. But both started to rally by the end of Friday. Bitcoin and Ethereum also got crushed, with both falling to their lowest levels since their major cycle lows in September. Crude Oil, on the other hand, was a star last week, rising above $80 after being as low as 62.43 on its primary cycle trough of December 2. And why not ? Jupiter just went into Pisces, the sign it co-rules with Neptune, which is already there. Jupiter, Neptune, and Pisces all rule Crude Oil. Nobody likes Crude Oil. But they can't live without it yet.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
Nearly all world stock indices started off the year on fire last week. And nearly all then got drenched by the Fed's aggressive and bold communication of its December meeting. Aggressive and bold - that's Mars in Sagittarius. It was like a fire that had to be put out (Sagittarius also co-rules Crude Oil). It will be interesting to see what the Fed says and does around January 24 when Mars ingresses into Capricorn, conjunct the Fed's Sun and opposite its Pluto, and at the same time opposite the U.S. Venus in Cancer. That is also just five days before Venus (currency) ends its retrograde cycle, also in Capricorn.
Mars transitioning from the fire of Sagittarius to the cold and bleak Capricorn makes me think we will be forced to adjust from a diet of cake to one of potatoes. Mars in Sagittarius may be all over the place with wild speculative ideas. Inflation is still likely to be excessive (Sagittarius). But Mars in Capricorn will know its place and be asked (maybe forced) to get by on less, and until obeyed, so there will be no cake. We could have another battle raging between the Fed and the people or the government. The former wants to be strict and follow through on administering the tough medicine. The latter can't stand the loss of its sugar addiction and rebels against the diet of potatoes.
In the past, it hasn't paid to fight the Fed when it was in a generous and accommodative mood. I suspect it won't pay to fight the Fed when it says it is time to get off our addiction to the sugar highs of fiscal and monetary accommodation we have gotten used to over the past decade. It's not a bad idea to get off sugar. Yet, as Jupiter continues to approach Neptune in Pisces in April, those with the sugar blues aren't going to go down meekly. Inflation will likely be here a little longer, even after the Fed administers a heavy dose of distasteful medicine. But not to worry. I don't think the Fed will last long either on this diet. Once Jupiter enters Aries, another fire sign, after May 10, I expect they will go for the sugar again, thinking they proved a point or feeling the heat of Aries now being administered by a government that never wanted to go cold turkey in the first place, especially heading into a mid-term election.
Somewhere through this schizophrenic year, they - most people - will begin to see the virtue of the path of moderation, consistent with the message of Jupiter in its waxing phase with Saturn. Everyone (except me) really wants a balanced, full-course meal, and that includes dessert and potatoes. I think we will get there. One to three years after Jupiter conjoins Saturn, you usually get a good sell-off. Then three-five years after that, you get a nice bull run. I will talk about that in the Forecast 2022 webinar on February 20.
Longer-Term thoughts :
.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The August September issue of the ICRs (International Cycles Reports), was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA President Raymond Merriman (China's Shanghai Composite Index), MMA Analysts Ken Liao (Hang Seng), Ulric Aspegrén, (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanova (Grains), and Gianni Di Poce (Australian ASX and Dollar, Cannabis, and Live Cattle). Order now to make sure you get this month's report! Consider a one-month trial for only $35.
Stay tuned as the ICR Commodities report will soon add Copper to its analysis! Copper prices have long been considered a leading indicator for the economy. In May of 2021, they reached an all-time high. The research on Copper cycles by Portfolio Manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, and a current student at the Merriman Market Timing Academy, is one of the finest studies on cycles I have seen to date. His research on Copper cycles is stunning. He is on schedule to issue his first analysis on Cooper via ICR Commodities newsletter in the November issue. Sign up now to make sure you get this report! His work is amazing.
Note 2 : Annual Forecast 2022 book see below .
Note 3 : New and coming up from MMA ! .. Starting on January 17 (next week), we will begin issuing the English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report ! China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 4-7 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports are scheduled to include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.
The subscription rate for this new MMA SSE monthly report, which will begin January 24-25, will be :
1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35
These reports will be translated and available in Chinese too, at the same rate, via www.NoDoor.com or through MMA. For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to : shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report.
Note 4 : Starting on Friday, February 4, MMA will begin offering a weekly 10-15 minute YouTube video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets. This video will review the market activity of the past week, and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. The host will be MMTA Education Director and market analyst Gianni di Poce. Ray Merriman will also present on the first episode, and the one nearby to every new moon (monthly) after that. Like this free weekly column, there will be no cost. Stay tuned for further information on this exciting new feature by MMA !.
Note 5 : Coming in January! A new ETF report by MMTA Director Gianni di Poce !. We have received many requests for an ETF report as many readers prefer trading ETFs on commodities and financials rather than futures contracts. So, we are organizing a new service for those who wish to have a monthly ETF report. The ETFs to be covered will include a precious metal (probably GLD), stock index (probably an S&P), Treasury Notes or Bonds, and Bitcoin. Stay tuned for more information as plans develop.
For any questions, please contact us at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call (248) 626-3034, or (800) MMA-3349.
Note 6 :
Note 7 :
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary mid-term report of MMA Cycles (the "addendum") written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia two weeks later).
MMA's annual Forecast Book :
The Forecast 2022 Book is now out! Those who pre-ordered prior to December 10 have likely received the book by now, as have all those who ordered the eBook edition. However, those who ordered after December 10 may still be waiting for delivery as the delivery of additional copies to us by both the mailing house and the printer has been delayed due to matters outside of our control. The mailing hose delivery is due this week, and the printer's delivery is due at the end of this week. Just as soon as we receive them, they will be sent out to those who ordered after December 10. Our apologies for the delay, but as forewarned prior to December 10, any orders received after that date would not be able to be mailed out by the mailing house and would have to wait until we received the additional copies sent to us after December 20, which would probably suffer delays due to the holiday season, which has unfortunately turned out to be the case this year.
In any event, the book is mostly out, and the feedback has been very positive from readers.
And what a year ahead as I see it! In this year's Forecast, you'll discover :
In this year's Forecast, you'll discover :
The importance of the Pluto return in the United States' chart and its conjunction to the U.S. natal Moon.
How Saturn in Aquarius square Uranus in Taurus will come close to an exact conjunction for the final time, and its relationship to protest movements urge for individual freedoms and equality, and fights between tech companies and government.
The New "Era of Moderation" begins.
The outlook for Financial and Commodity Markets in 2022, including The US Stock Market, T-Notes and Interest Rates, Gold and Silver, Bitcoin, Currency Markets, Grain Markets, and Crude Oil, Critical Reversal Dates for 2022.
PLUS! Much, much more.
The cost is $55.00 plus shipping (no shipping costs for eBook version). Order both the print and eBook (Forecast 2022 Bundle) for only $75, a savings of $35.
This year we are again pleased to announce the publication of our Trends for the Twelve Signs 2022 Book, which will include the individual Sun Signs forecasts. This very popular book on the annual outlook for each sign is written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25 . Save $10 by purchasing both Forecast 2022 and Trends for the Twelve Signs 2022 together, Forecast 2022 Ultimate Bundle for $70.
To order this book, click here.
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
This year's printed and/or e-Book version of Forecast 2022 will also available in these languages :
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email :
info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at
https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.
1) Each foreign translation of Forecast 2022 has a section on that nation's stock market that is not in the English or other nation's Forecast Book . Yet we are aware that some readers and investors may be interested in the stock markets of these other nations, but do not wish those editions in the other nation's language. Therefore, we make those stock market outlooks available in English as a separate service for $35.00 each. The overseas market reports for 2022 that are available separately in English include : Japan's Nikkei , China's Shanghai Composite , and the German DAX plus Zurich SMI indices. Each is available in PDF format at $35.00 each. Each report is about 9-11 pages, with their monthly charts as of November 2021, and a list of their critical reversal dates for 2022.
2) The Trends for the Twelve Signs 2022 Book is available now in eBook format! The print edition will be mailed out mid-December, at the same time as the Forecast Book. Find out what lies ahead for your sign in 2022! In fact, it identifies many specific birthdate ranges in addition to the 12 signs that are in store for a remarkable year. This very popular annual sun sign book is written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Trends for the Twelve Signs 2022 covers the health and relationships outlook for each sign (by Langsdorf) and the business, career and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year (by Merriman). The cost of this book is $25 . You can save $10 by purchasing both Forecast 2022 and Trends for the Twelve Signs 2022 together, Forecast 2022 Ultimate Bundle for $70 . This makes for an excellent holiday gift for your family or friends who follow astrology.
MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
January 14 2022 : Zurich Switzerland : Trends for 2022 : sponsored by AstroData, and featuring Claude Weiss, Alexandra Klinghammer, Monica Kissling, Verena Bachman, Antonia Langsdorf, Raymond Merriman and others. This special event will be given online due to COVID-19 meeting restrictions that have been implemented in Zurich at the present time. For more information, contact AstroData at www.astrodata.com.
February 20, 2021 : The Annual Worldwide Webinar and Address on Forecast 2022 with Raymond Merriman. Save the Date! Details and reservations to be announced in early January.
August 25, 2022 : 1:00 PM, Denver, CO, ISAR Conference, 4-Hour Pre-Conference Workshop by Raymond Merriman on "ASTROLOGY AND THE ART OF FINANCIAL MARKET TIMING : HOW TO FORECAST TRENDS AND MARKET REVERSALS".
Financial markets offer objective means to test astrological validity. The Moon changes signs every 2-3 days and is valuable for short-term trading. Planetary stations and aspects identify longer-term market reversals. Approximately 4-5 times/year, markets will form important highs or lows, which are the most favorable times to buy and sell for position traders. This course provides research studies showing the correlation of astrological factors to short-term and longer-term financial markets. The focus will be upon stock markets, precious metals (Gold and Silver), and Bitcoin, and how to integrate astrology with cycle studies to attain optimal market timing skills. Visit https://isar2022.org/schedule/ for further information and register for a great event!.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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