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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 5 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

NOTE 1 : There will not be a column issued next week due to the 3-day MMA Investment Retreat taking place September 9-11, 2022, in Troy, Michigan. We are looking forward to meeting many of you who will be there, as we discuss where we are in the long-term cycle of several markets, including the stock market, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Treasuries, Energy, and other markets, with an outlook as to when the next great opportunity for long-term investments in each will be due and how to take advantage of each.

NOTE 2 : Markets will be closed in the U.S. on Monday, September 5, due to the Labor Day holiday.

Review and Preview :

The economy added 315,000 jobs for the month, just below the Dow Jones estimate for 318,000 and well off the 526,000 in July and the lowest monthly gain since April 2021. The unemployment rate rose to 3.7%, two-tenths of a percentage point higher than expectations. A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons rose to 7% from 6.7%. - Jeff Cox, "Payrolls Rose 315,000 in August", September 2, 2022, www.cnbc.com.

U.S. mortgage rates rose to their highest level in two months after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell promised to deliver "forceful" action on inflation that he warned would cause economic "pain." Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate on the 30-year loan this week rose to 5.66% from 5.55% for the week ending Sept. 1. The rate is well above the 2.87% recorded just one year ago. - Megan Henney, "Mortgage Rates Climb to 5.66%", September 1, 2022, www.foxbusiness.com.

In the week that followed Fed Chair Powell's warning that the Fed is willing to abort a "soft landing" in deference to its determination to subdue inflation and the economic pain it might cause, the stock markets of the world granted him a big first step in that direction. Pain was everywhere, from stocks to precious metals, currencies, Treasuries, and Crude Oil. Unlike past press conferences, the Fed did little to create a sense that it has our backs. And in response, investors fled the scene of a renewed disaster-in-the-making.

The DJIA ended the week down nearly 1000 points, following the previous week's 1400-point loss. We were expecting a 1000-2000 point decline from the half-primary cycle crest of 34,281 on August 16. But now the DJIA is down over 3000 points. Be careful of what you expect when the planet of the unexpected is in focus. This is not the type of market or central banking behavior associated with the shadow period of Mercury retrograde, which indeed did begin August 20. No. The unexpected reversal from optimistic messaging to pessimistic warnings of probable economic pain by the Fed is all part of the nature of Uranus. And it was Uranus that dominated the cosmic landscape for the entire month of August, which saw the DJIA achieve both its highest level since April 21 on August 16, and its lowest level since July 18 as the week ended on September 2.

The same pattern for August was in evidence in nearly all global stock indices. That is, after bottoming around June 17 when Venus squared Saturn, global equity rose sharply to multi-month highs August 15-19 as the Sun formed a T-square with Saturn and Uranus August 11-14. The markets then reversed, on time, into August 24-29 as Venus made its T-square to Saturn and Uranus. Normally, the Venus/Saturn opposition would have stopped the decline, as the square stopped the decline on June 17. But the difference this time was that Uranus was stationary, changing directions to its retrograde phase, and when Uranus is highlighted like that, it can (and did) simply overwhelm support offered by Venus/Saturn. On top of that, last weekend was a new Moon square Mars, which is a bit like an overloaded powder keg about to explode. Instead of coming to rescue as it usually does in such dire circumstances, Jerome Powell and the Fed instead lit the wick one week ago, August 26, and the retreat was on in earnest.

Nearly every market we track broke one support after another. The 10-Year Notes are testing their lowest level in 12 years. Silver fell below 18.00 for the first time since July 2020. The Euro has fallen to a nearly 20-year low while the Yen has collapsed to its lowest mark since 1998. These are not corrections. They are bungee jumps in which the cord has broken.

In other markets, Crude Oil had appreciated nearly 14% from its low of 85.73 on August 16 to its high of 97.66 on August 30. Two days later it was back where it started, proving once again that markets "go up in steps and come down in elevators". Bitcoin dipped below 20,000 last week, but seems to have found support around 19,500, still well above its low of 17,588 made on June 18.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

Inflation in the Eurozone rose to a record in August. Consumer prices were 9.1% higher than a year ago. That is the highest rate since records began in early 1997. - Tom Fairless, "Eurozone Inflation Tops 9%, Pressuring Policy Makers", Wall Street Journal, September 1, 2022.

Take your pick of several geocosmic factors that probably contributed to this sudden turn from optimism to pessimism in financial markets. Some will say it is the "shadow period" of Mercury retrograde, a phenomenon that started August 20 and will remain in force through October 17. The actual retrograde of Mercury begins this week, September 9-10 and lasts through October 2. The retrograde starts at 8° Libra later this week and ends at 24°Virgo. But many astrologers consider the transit of Mercury from its first passage of 24° Virgo (on August 20, before it turned retrograde) ) to its final passage over 8° Libra (after it ends its retrograde) to be entirely charged with the qualities of Mercury retrograde. The period before the retrograde and after the retrograde that still falls within the degree range of the retrograde, is known as the "shadow" of Mercury retrograde. Interestingly enough, the end of the summer rally in stocks did commence around the beginning of the Mercury retrograde shadow period.

Or it may relate to Mars beginning its unusually long journey through Gemini, which also began August 20 and will remain in the ruling sign of the Trickster (Mercury retrograde) through March 25, 2023. For some odd reason, Mars in Gemini is one of the war-mongering signs for the god of war, along with Sagittarius and Capricorn. It spends more than the usual 6-7 weeks in Gemini this time because it will be retrograde from October 30, 2022, through January 12, 2023, which is yet another planetary sign placement known for its propensity to engage in conflicts that can turn threatening, but one in which the aggressor usually pays a steep price, and oftentimes ends up in defeat.

Or maybe this is all related to the transit of Pluto currently in opposition to Neptune in the founding chart of the Federal Reserve Board (December 23, 1913). Maybe the Fed doesn't really know what it is doing. Maybe it has really lost control, and by changing the narrative from hope and trust in a soft landing to one of fear and pain of loss (loss of job, loss of financial security), it will recover its lost credibility from totally missing the emergence of the highest rate of inflation in over 40 years. It never saw it coming until it was already here. That's the kind of delusion or lack of awareness that typifies Neptune being activated. The only problem with this line of thinking is that inflation is not a problem solely endured by the U.S. or missed solely by the U.S. Central Bank.

In place of each of these possible contributors to the wounded stock market of the last week, I would argue the main cosmic culprit is Uranus. We warned of the unpredictable and chaotic, disruptive nature of Uranus being highlighted in the month of August long before August began. It was to be a fight for the trend of world stock indices. Either the market would explode higher into the eye of the storm, which is pegged to be September 21-28 +/- 2 weeks (Jupiter hitting the midpoint of the next Saturn/Uranus square), or it would turn sharply down and resume a bear market that started shortly after the last Saturn/Uranus waning square of December 24, 2021, and the all-time high of January 4, culminating possibly in a financial panic in August-November. The judgement is still out. Two weeks ago, it looked like the bulls had taken control. But then Uranus struck deep in mid-August, and the Fed has pivoted from the role of cheerleader to alarmist. And it is happening right as we approach the fourth and final passage of the most powerful planetary setup of the year : Jupiter in a double semi-square to Saturn and Uranus. Saturn/Uranus, as we know is a big disruption. With Jupiter, it is even bigger, for Jupiter always does its thing with bigness in mind. Jupiter doesn't do small.

It is beginning to look more like the panic scenario is back. But not to fret. View this as an opportunity to purchase stocks and other financial assets at a greatly reduced price, sort of like a fire sale. Just remember that you need cash and courage to do this. Great opportunities for profit only come with great risks. Some market analysts are calling for a huge decline, maybe 50% by next year. They might be right. But it might come much faster than they think if the lows of June are taken out. And as you know from this column, with Uranus, breaking support or resistance - violating any attempt at restriction - is the name of its game. Get your check book ready to buy (stocks, Bitcoin, Energy) if this happens in the next six weeks.

We will cover all this and more at our Investment Retreat next weekend. See you there !.

Longer-Term thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : FORECAST 2023 SPECIAL OFFERS are now underway ! Written by Raymond Merriman, the preliminary outlook is that 2023 will be another very important year with Pluto starting its 20-year transit through Aquarius. Although 2022 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2022 book have already unfolded. For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

This Annual Forecast Pre-Order Event will run August 2 - October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book, print and eBook, and  MMA Subscription Reports. You may pre-order Forecast 2023 at the discounted rate of $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription reports is offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2023.

After the pre-order event ends, the price for Forecast 2023 will increase to $55 on November 1st. We have worked very hard to keep our Forecast price the same for the past 10 years- no price increase due to inflation (yet)!

Want to save even more on Forecast 2023 ? Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35!

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2023 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

             Note 2 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.

We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.

The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :

1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35

For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.

             Note 3 : New - The new MMA ETF Monthly Cycles Report was just launched on August 17 ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce, this report will cover SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. For an overview from Gianni about what this new monthly report will cover, check out his newest ETF Episode on Merriman Market Analyst's YouTube Channel.

             Note 4 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the month issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report (which featured a special long-term update on Gold), sign up online and select the subscription option : Month Issue One Time Payment + Addendum for only $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report, Special Long-Term Gold Update, and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week.

             Note 5 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.

             Note 6 : Some of you may be interested in listening to the excellent podcasts of Thomas Miller, called "Fun Astrology". Every Saturday he leads a podcast discussing the MMA weekly column that you are reading here. He simplifies it for beginning astrologers and students of markets and trading. I like it because 1) it is educational, and 2) Thomas is an excellent broadcaster/speaker. He has experience in broadcasting, astrology, and financial markets. His podcast on our weekly column are usually uploaded on Saturdays at https://funastrology.com. Check it out. I think you will like what he is doing as well.

             Note 7 : ONLY One MORE WEEKS! THE MMA 2002 TRADING AND INVESTMENT RETREAT in Troy, Michigan. See below.

             Note 8 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.

The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.

The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).

Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35 !.

.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary addendum and mid-term report of MMA Cycles, written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia, two weeks later.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             September 9-11, 2022 : One more week : THE MMA TRADING AND INVESTMENT RETREAT, Troy, Michigan, at the Michigan State University Education Center. SAVE THE DATE ! This special 3-day event will feature a long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term analysis of several financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Bitcoin, Euro, T-Notes, and Crude Oil, plus others to be determined. It will also go into depth the MMA trading plan- how to use the daily and weekly report data points - and how we assess each market and determine the trading strategy for each day based on MMA's cycles analysis, geocosmic studies, solar/lunar studies, combined with chart patterns, price targets, and technical studies. This retreat is required for all graduating students of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy), some of whom will be presenting their own original research and analysis of markets to be discussed by instructors Raymond Merriman and Gianni di Poce. Attendance to non-students will be limited, and special rates will be available to subscribers of MMA reports (monthly, weekly, or daily). If you are a short-term trader, or an investor interested in the longer- and intermediate-term outlook, this is a special event you will not want to miss. It is an opportunity to not only learn about the future outlook for several financial markets, but also an opportunity to connect with those who understand and have mastered the MMA methodology of market analysis and market timing. This is a one-of-its-kind opportunity !.

For information and registration, click here.

Or, to get on the early release announcement next week with special discounts for subscribers only, drop us an email at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

An added feature will be "Determining Your Best and Most Challenging Times for Trading Via Transits to your Natal Chart".

Please note that we are staying at the Embassy Suite Hotel in Troy, about one mile from the conference center. They will hold rooms for us at the special rate of $139/night until August 26. After that they will release any unsold rooms to the public. Call us or email us for the special code to insert for the MMA special rate.

Note : The MMA Investment Retreat is also available both in-person and as a virtual event via Zoom.

             A.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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